Chapter 774: Countdown
Now in 2013, Tang Juexiao has already smelled something, and at this time, there are big Vs on the Internet doing all kinds of economic explanations, anyway, the public says that the public is reasonable, and the mother says that the mother is reasonable, it depends on which side you are on.
However, conservatives, reformers, and Qingliu who are forced to love one thing agree that housing prices will hurt industry.
For this reason, the government began to control housing prices......
This one......
In fact, I am willing to believe that the highest government wants to control it, not to control the fall, but to maintain stability.
But human nature is greedy, knowing that flipping houses is the most profitable, and it is normal for many people not to do business. And even if the government says "housing is not speculation", as long as the policy is not implemented, there will still be frequent kings below, and there may even be people who go crazy before the restrictions.
In this era of economic dominance, if the local industry is very profitable, it may still suppress the price of housing from rising. When the industry is not profitable, all the capital will flow into the speculation. In the later period, the national housing prices exploded, that is because no one makes money, they all want to speculate in real estate, many people know that they want to buy drums and flowers, and the gambling government does not dare to let the housing prices collapse.
Tang Juexiao has been observing Wang Shoufu recently, plus he has been observing Xu Shoufu before, and he has found the difference between the two.
No matter what you do, it's actually no different from stock trading, it's just eyesight. Wang Shoufu has been speculating in stocks for decades, specializing in a stock. Xu Shoufu is looking at the trend of the entire market and acting at the opportunity.
Wang Shoufu came from a good background and lived in the army, and sometimes he was outspoken, which is a weakness for business. Xu Shoufu's family has been poor since he was a child, and he can do it all by his eyesight. Wang Shoufu has a flaw due to his gaffe, maybe it will be Xu Shoufu's turn to break out. But Xu has always been a low-key person, and once he is exposed to the foreground and becomes too eye-catching, he may be suspicious, or even deliberately play the wrong chess to make himself "ordinary".
Among the richest men Tang Juexiao has observed, he learned the layout in Brother Tianqiao, learned to pretend to be mysterious and hidden intentions in Brother Xiaoma and Robin, learned fine management and feelings in Jack Ma, learned how to specialize in a stock in Wang Shoufu, and learned to look at the market in Xu Shoufuman......
second-level, Ding Sanshi's gangsterism, Lei Jun's cost performance, and Zhou Hongyi's courage ......
Through "watching", Tang Juexiao felt that the Sino-US trade war would eventually come.
First of all, the United States is China's largest exporter, and China, the world's factory, basically has to sell its products there, and the United States has a huge deficit, so it is impossible for them to be without ideas. And because they are China's largest exporters, once they are restricted, it will have a huge impact on China's economy.
Second, the comprehensive development of China's industrial, agricultural, and service industries is too large and the speed of progress is astonishing.
Third, the United States has this ability, and it can naturally deal with the downstream by controlling the upstream of various industries.
But the trade war is not actually the biggest problem of the domestic economy, after the trade war, it is estimated that the giants feel bad, and the general people will not feel very keen, at most they will feel aggrieved.
The growing housing prices are the source of pressure for ordinary people.
Even rising house prices will affect a variety of industries, such as manufacturing. Working part-time jobs can't save money, and many people prefer to go home and be idle.
Rents have risen, labor has risen, taxes have risen, and prices have risen...... It's an internal worry.
India and Vietnam have developed, especially India, which has a large number of cheap labor and so-so industry, which is terrible...... In particular, they are not afraid of pollution and do not need to speak of human rights.
At this time, China is the "world factory", simply put, it is to work for the whole world, and if you work hard, you can buy a second-hand Wuling Hongguang, and you can make the boss happy to mention a new BMW.
Chinese industry workers realize that it can't be done, so they want to enter the "management", or ask for a little equity, not only the United States, but also those who have upstream technology will laugh and choose India, because ......
A motorcycle in India can only ride about 10 people, and they want Wuling Hongguang too much!
Tang Juexiao realized that it was a matter of time before the United States provoked a trade war, and he had no choice but to strengthen the self-evolution of China's manufacturing industry, so that it would be difficult for India and Vietnam to grab business, which was the best way to deal with it, and it was too late now.
Many people can see a little sign of these things, but not many can analyze the whole set of ideas.
At this time, there is also a brick family on Baodao who said: "Mainlanders can't afford to eat tea eggs." ”
Many Chinese people also underestimate India and Vietnam......
These analyses were all in Tang Juexiao's brain, and he didn't dare to say anything.
Housing prices are soaring, water and electricity taxes are too expensive, foreign investment is withdrawn, manufacturing pad printing, and the United States will launch a trade war with China...... It is estimated that Lei Jun didn't believe it.
Once it is revealed that he said these words, it is estimated that half of the political capital he has saved will be lost.
But when the day comes, he has arranged some measures in advance to take effect, and the people above are all people who understand, and that will be the time when he explodes.
Tang Juexiao wrote about planning, how to enhance the manufacturing industry through the "Gu raising" strategy, originally he wanted to mention it on some important occasions, such as the two sessions. But it's too tricky to think about, he's going to give away the credit, and it's best to know that he didn't have more than 10 people to do it.
At night, I called home to report my health, and my father talked about buying a villa in his hometown.
Now the restrictions on building villas will become stricter and stricter, the more upper-level commodities will maintain their value, the faster the price will soar, and the villas with various restrictions will soar first, then the first-tier cities, and the second-tier ......
Tang's father is an architectural designer, but he was also frightened by the soaring housing prices at this time, so he asked Tang Juexiao about the situation.
Tang Juexiao said: "Now that exports are good, the domestic manufacturing industry is thriving, what is the collapse of housing prices and currencies...... Inexistent. ”
Dad Tang said: "But recently, there is an economic expert named Lang Xianping, who is as famous as you. He said that the house price would fall, and your mother and I thought about waiting for a period of decline before buying. ”
"??? when have I ever been on the same level as him?"
"In the past, the top 10 Internet influencers were rated on the Internet, except for you, he is still popular. ”
Tang Juexiao remembered this......
That sassy god-level scumbag......
"Don't listen to Lang Xianping at this time, let Ren Zhiqiang do it, the house price can't go down now. ”
"Son, but it's going up so much, I don't know the bottom of my heart, who can afford to buy a house after such a rise?"
Tang Juexiao thought for a while and said: "This is a process of class solidification, in every country with high housing prices, houses are rising like this, seeing that people can't afford to buy houses in the future, in fact, everyone has a house to live in, but they are just willing to go back to a small place." You can buy whatever you want in the past two years, you don't have to ask me, you can ask again in two years......"
There was another talk about class solidification before, that is, the gap between the rich and the poor was widening.
Pinxi seems to prove that consumption has not risen, and if you count the mortgage repayment, people are mostly spending wildly.
Looking at many people's monthly income of 20,000 yuan is no different from 2,000 yuan, in fact, there is, and the difference is in twenty or thirty years later, which is intuitively reflected in their next generation.
16 is okay, 17 will be the last madness......
Tang Juexiao said that he could buy it casually in the past two years, and Tang's father instantly understood what he meant.
"You are smart in big things, but sometimes you are confused in small things...... In the next 2 or 3 years, I don't know if you calculated it or if there is a channel, don't say this kind of too accurate number in the future. Dad Tang said.
Tang Juexiao was stunned for a moment and said, "I remember." ”
……