Chapter 207: Charging into battle
Is there a technique for speculative trading?
The answer is existence.
Whether it is stock trading or futures trading, there is a certain degree of technicality.
From the K-line pattern to the moving average buying and selling system, and then from the moving average system to the trend, as well as the derived various support and resistance calculation methods.
Golden section line, percentage line, wave ruler..... and so on and so forth.
Sometimes many people find that these technical things are so magical.
At some key points, the price calculated by technology will always perfectly coincide with the price required for buying and selling.
Maybe it's the existence of the magnetic effect, maybe it's the inexplicable law....
But unfortunately, there has never been a technology that is necessarily profitable, and there will never be an absolutely correct technology.
Those who will believe that they will definitely make money, only fools, who will say how good he is and can help people make money, are also definitely liars.
Except for some pretending to be ghosts, there is no such thing as a stable trading system in this world.
As the big guy cried in a video.
Three years, I've been waiting for three years, I'm just waiting for an opportunity.
Double moving averages are arranged in long positions.
I'm not trying to prove how great I am, I just want to tell the futures market that the money I lost must be returned.
As for the results.....
When the price of adzuki beans rises from around 2,000 points to 3,800 points, all moving averages are aligned upwards.
Whether it is a daily, weekly, or monthly, it is above the moving average.
There are countless strong moving average supports below.
Since futures trading is a more frequent speculative trade, there are more people who are relatively proficient in technical trading.
When many people found that the red beans stood on the moving average, they chose to go long technically.
But everyone also knows that prices never go up all the time, and there can be no thing that only goes up and doesn't go down.
Therefore, if someone is long, someone must be short.
There are many reasons, and there are empty reasons.
But in the end, it is always the market that has the final say.
3600 points, the strongest support line of red beans in the near future.
The daily weekly-monthly triple defensive support line, the golden section and the percentage of the 0.5 support line.
Countless supports, here formed the most solid defensive position of the bulls.
This is also the main reason why Yuan Baocheng and Huang Bingsen must hit the price below 3500.
The long and short battles of futures trading are no different from the battles between the enemy and us on the battlefield.
Any support defense is equivalent to a trench defense position.
This position is not only a position for one's own side or the enemy to rely on to protect one's life and defend in a war, but also one psychological defense line after another.
Anyone who has been on the battlefield will know.
On the battlefield, the equipment of troops is important, but the morale of the army is no less important.
A well-equipped and well-qualified army can kill ten times more mud legs.
The most famous is Zhang Xutuo's 2,000 iron cavalry at the end of the Sui Dynasty, which killed Li Mi's army of 400,000 peasants.
Theoretically, this is not scientific.
But in the battle, the indomitable cavalry, both in momentum and psychology, completely defeated the 400,000 peasant army.
It seems that there are many people, but in fact, they are about to collapse at the touch of a button.
It was a psychological fear.
If we say that the regular army is against the mud-legged peasant army, it is because of the difference in professional training, the psychological level, and the big gap in combat quality.
But in fact, even if both sides are real elite troops, as long as morale and psychology are involved on the battlefield, a one-sided situation will still be formed.
Just like when a city is sitting, a defensive line or even just a flag is shot down, it can cause a serious psychological breakdown.
That kind of collapse, even if the strength of the two sides is not much different, but as soon as it collapses, it will immediately be defeated.
When it is more classic, there will be a person who can chase and cut dozens or hundreds of people with a knife.
A person with a psychologically collapsed will be a pig ready to be slaughtered at any time.
In futures trading, the support line is the psychological defense line between the bulls and bears.
Once the support or resistance line is broken, it is equivalent to the psychological defense line is broken.
The blow it forms will break anyone.
That feeling is no less than being taken with a super thick wooden stick and smacked on the head.
Hit you dizzy, hit until you are stunned, hit until you can't react in any way.
Following.
Suzhou Commodity Exchange opens.
The opening price of red adzuki beans is 3,800 yuan a ton.
But before the retail investors in the market were ready, dozens of super sell orders were suddenly smashed on the handicap of red beans.
9:00:01 The price is 3780, the current hand is 3888 lots, and the position is increased by 3888 lots, and the short position is opened
9:00:02 The price is 3770, the current hand is 3888 lots, and the position is increased by 3888 lots
9:00:03 Price 3760 3888 lots increase position 3888 lots open short
9:00:04 The price is 3750, the current hand is 3888 lots, and the position is increased and 3888 lots are opened
……
9:00:35 Price 3680 3888 lots increase position 3888 lots open short
In just thirty-five seconds, under these dozens of super sell orders, the price of red beans was smashed to 3680 points.
Compared with yesterday's closing price, it fell by 120 yuan.
120 points, 1200 yuan per lot.
This means that if you open a short order at 3,800 yuan, you can earn 1,200 yuan in these 35 seconds.
The intensity of the terror hit the market into a brief silence.
After these 35 seconds, the market was as quiet as death.
It seems that the bulls were stunned and couldn't organize a counterattack at all.
"Haha, Lao Tzu made a fortune yesterday overnight, I just said, it has risen so much, how can it not fall ....."
"Damn, Lao Tzu was bearish yesterday, and before he had time to open an order, he dived...."
"Xiao Sun, you believe it now, I asked you to short with me, you still don't believe it, what's the use of your technology, it's up so much, it's hell if it doesn't fall...."
"Lao Wang, I told you to go short, you have to be long, you, you...."
"Fortunately, it finally fell, and if it rises again, it will blow up Lao Tzu. ”
"You idiot, I asked you to add space yesterday, if you listen to my air addition, you won't return to your roots now. ”
"That is, I am empty at 3300, yesterday I added ten empty hands, and now a wave will return to the capital. ”
“…..”
The decline of 120 points and the profit of 1200 yuan in one hand made the bears who held short orders smile one by one.
Those who gloat, those who regret it, and many who say cool things.
Those who hold long positions are miserable, and their faces are wrinkled like eggshells.
"Damn, I'm just a fool, it rose to 3800 yesterday, and I vomited all the money I earned. ”
"Fortunately, I reduced my position yesterday, otherwise I wouldn't have made any money. ”
"It's over, I chased 3760 yesterday, and now I have lost 800 yuan in one hand....."
"I'm afraid of a hair, it's good if it falls and adds more, and it will be earned back after a rebound. ”
"And what if it falls again?"
"If you fall and increase your position, you can still fall and stop ......"
"I opened the market with a throwing knife ....., and I was hacked to death. ”
The 120-point drop in red beans made retail investors talk about it, but for them, it was just a discussion.
Every day, every second, a similar market can happen at any time.
It's commonplace, and it's already strange.
Without these fluctuations, where would everyone go to make money?
Everyone knows that their arguments will not change the trend of the market.
As a certain master speculator once said.
When the market moves in the right direction, no one can stop it, and when the market moves in the wrong direction, no one can stop it.
And all you have to do is know whether you are right or wrong.
Maybe the red bean hit too hard at the moment of opening, or maybe the price of 3650 is the support of its 10-day moving average.
After 9:01, the market of red beans did not have much shock.
By noon, the adzuki beans closed at a price of 3,650.
Standing firmly above the 10-day moving average.
….
Suzhou is just over an hour's drive from the magic capital.
At the close of trading at noon, Zhao Jiangchuan had secretly arrived in Suzhou.
At a hotel not far from the exchange, several people met again.
Zhao Jiangchuan, Wei Zexi, Ye Tan, Tang Wannian.
"In the northeast, the market has almost swept the goods. ”
"South China has received 50,000 tons of goods, and it has basically not been received in the past two days. ”
"Well, it's almost the New Year, and everything that should be sold is almost sold, so it's impossible to sweep all the goods for us. ”
Man is a very intelligent creature.
Because the price of red beans continued to rise, Zhao Jiangchuan and his group could not receive the purchase on the spot.
This is very unreasonable.
But interestingly, that's just the way it is.
The price of red beans has risen from the lowest price of one dollar to two yuan a pound now, as much as double the increase, which makes people who have sold beans before regret it.
Under the psychological gap and facts, many farmers have a reluctance to sell.
Coupled with the rapid increase in spot sales, some spot dealers also have the psychology of holding goods and waiting to be sold.
Prices are rising, but storage is declining rapidly.
The four companies jointly swept almost 100,000 tons of goods across the country, and only used up 300 million yuan.
However, the spot of 100,000 tons means that the spot market cannot come up with a larger amount of goods.
Production is not necessarily all sales.
The spot that goes on the market every year is often 67% of the sales volume.
As long as the 100,000 tons of spot prices of the four companies do not move, the price of red beans will rise passively.
Because, the relationship between supply and demand has changed.
If you don't want to go up, you can't do it.
Now, it's just a matter of waiting for the final showdown in the futures market.
"In the morning, Hu Hansan's side sneaked up on the opening, and smashed down more than 100 points in an instant. ”
"I kept the price above the 10-day moving average in the morning. ”
"Well, if you don't maintain the price, it won't be good to save sentiment once the trend collapses. ”
"In the afternoon, we pulled up the price again, and there was still more than a month to deliver, and we took the opportunity to force all the bears to die before delivery. ”
"Good ......"
Trends, popularity, general trends.
The three are like battlefields in trading, and only with strong popularity can they attract more funds to join.
Ants bite elephants to death.
When the inflow of funds from one side completely exceeds that of the other, a general trend of defeat will be formed.
The irresistible torrent can kill the opponent.
Wei Zexi is not a professional background, and in some discussion, he quickly came up with a strategy to blow up the shorts.
Now that the spot market has been absolutely controlled, as long as there is another wave in the futures market, all the shorts in it can be buried alive.
According to the current position of 700,000 short positions, as long as you kill all these guys, you can grab more than a billion yuan.
Even if the four of them work together, that one can make a profit of three or five billion.
There are also 100,000 tons of goods in the spot market, and when the time comes, it will be a profit when it is sold.
When Tang Wannian and Wei Zexi Ye Tan were discussing how to ship and kill people in the future, Zhao Jiangchuan had a toothache.
He said helplessly.
"That, big brothers, we've been busy for a long time, so we can't just catch a little bit of it. ”
Ga....
So little?
The other three looked dazed.
More than a billion, according to the current positions of each company, how can a company have a profit of three or five billion.
How can it be called such a point.
It's just that Zhao Jiangchuan said yes, and others are not easy to refute, now everyone is in one camp, and it is not the time to turn around.
Ye Tan and Tang Wannian glanced at each other, smiled and said.
"Jiang Chuan, do you have any good suggestions?"
"Why don't we give the bearer a trap?"
Charge into battle.
It's an idiom.
But in fact, charging and trapping can be separated.
After the charge, you can get caught in enemy formation, or you can trap alone.
In the art of war, there is a saying about luring the enemy to go deeper.
It is to lure the enemy into a deeper pit with a certain amount of chips in order to achieve greater victory.
For Zhao Jiangchuan, he didn't care about the profit of three or five billion yuan at all.
He wanted to a bigger scoop.
"Jiang Chuan, you can see if it works. ”
"Now the total short position is more than 700,000, but I believe that with the combined strength of the Handong Yuan family and the Huang family, the funds in our hands are still abundant, we might as well ......"
Your uncle's....
Why is this kid so insidious.
After Zhao Jiangchuan finished speaking, the eyes of the three people changed.
It's too chicken and lacks morality.
"Brother Zhao, you readers, your stomach is full of ideas, no wonder the old saying goes, there is no good thing in readers. ”
"Brother Tang, what you said is wrong, I am also a scholar, but I am full of justice, and I am not sassy at all. ”
"Xiao Wei, don't you say that I forgot that you are also a scholar, or the Central University of Finance and Economics, let's talk about the degree of sassy, you two guys, which one is not sassy?"
"I kind of understand, Jiang Chuan, this guy, must not read sage books, and he doesn't read serious truths. ”
After getting along for a while, these four guys have a bit of a similar smell.
Each one, is not a good thing.
What is that called....
Birds of a feather flock together.
The four guys who are not good things, when they find out that the other party is not even more than themselves, they suddenly have a feeling of sympathy for each other.
It's not easy.
In addition, they are all in the bullish camp now, so the relationship between several people is still good.
Zhao Jiangchuan's idea some time ago left the four companies with a lot of strength left in the spot, so now I will make fun of this guy with a lot of ideas.
Wei Zexi, who was born in a famous family and was well-educated, was stunned by the things concocted by Zhao Jiangchuan at that time.
A few others weren't much better.
It's all things that don't go into the stream, it's just a bad thing.
What melanin, keep the water tender and slippery, remove melanin and restore the original color.....
But everyone knows that throwing these things out, the effect will definitely be so good that it explodes.
Wei Zexi graduated from the class and was young and ambitious, so naturally there will be no shortage of women.
He knows very well how lethal this kind of thing is to women.
It was a fatal temptation.
Ye Tan and Tang Wannian are naturally not good things.
Two people in their thirties, with their abilities and capital, what kind of woman has not played.
Where will it not be clear how terrifying those things that Zhao Jiangchuan will come out.
As a result, it turned out that the articles concocted by Zhao Jiangchuan were simply brainwashing.
In the bombardment of various companies through the media, the sales volume of the red bean retail market has increased several times.
"Boss Ye, no matter how much I am sassy, I don't have Jiang Chuan, don't you know, my secretary, I don't eat during this time, and I drink porridge made of red beans every day......
"Haha, it's the same in my company, several women came to the company with thermos cups at noon. ”
"By the way, Jiang Chuan, did the red bean really tell you that it has that kind of blackening effect?"
Ye Tan suddenly asked, and Tang Wannian and Wei Zexi, who asked, were stunned.
The three of them were like three owls, staring at Zhao Jiangchuan.
Ma Ma Bi.
I don't know if it will work.
Zhao Jiangchuan didn't know how to answer, he could only laugh dryly.
"Probably there should be.....
Yes, the three of them understood, and even they were about to be fooled and stupid, no wonder those women were convinced.
In Zhao Jiangchuan's dry laughter, the three of them glanced at each other and saw the meaning in each other's eyes.
This kind of demagogic method is terrible.
The three of them are also human spirits among human spirits, otherwise it would be impossible to grasp wealth that many people can't grasp.
But they never imagined that people's hearts could be manipulated in this way.
It's simply impeccable.
Ye Tan made up his mind in his heart, if he could not provoke Zhao Jiangchuan in the future, he would definitely not provoke this goods, he was full of crooked ways and evil ways, and he was definitely not a good type.
Wei Zexi is okay, he is very envious of Zhao Jiangchuan's refined thinking.
If you can become a real friend with Zhao Jiangchuan, you will definitely be able to help a lot in some things in the future.
Even if there is no interest involved, if there is such a friend who lacks morality, life must be full of fun.
As for Tang Wannian, he didn't have so many ideas.
If you have fate, it's naturally good to be a friend, but if you don't have fate, it's useless to force it.
It depends on whether the two sides can have enough trust in the future.
In Zhao Jiangchuan's explanation, the four unanimously agreed on the possibility of this method.
With the spot chips in his hand, Zhao Jiangchuan's trap can be said to be foolproof, not to mention that in addition to the battle situation, Zhao Jiangchuan thought of a more immoral way outside the game.
This immoral method made the three of them simply creepy.
。 m.