Chapter 198: Academic Analysis
(The number of the fire cloud needle in the previous chapter has been slightly changed, and five can be refined at the same time, otherwise Mr. Gu will have ****...... )
"Migration is a very important social change, and it has been the case since ancient times. Pen ~ Fun ~ Pavilion www.biquge.info In ancient societies, the factors of migration were mostly natural disasters, wars and immigration.
The Qin and Han dynasties aside, let's first talk about the period of the Northern and Southern Dynasties, in the turmoil of one or two centuries, the population of the north to the south reached more than one million, accounting for 1/7 of the original household registration in the north, laying the foundation for the shift of economic and population center of gravity from north to south.
Then there was the Anshi Rebellion, the so-called world-dressed scholars, avoiding the Eastern Wu, Yongjia moved south, and it was not here. This wave of migration to the south continued until the Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms, resulting in the population of the South reaching an equal level with the North for the first time.
The third time was in the early Ming Dynasty, when the Central Plains was reckless and scarce. In order to alleviate this situation, coupled with the need to open up the frontier and defend the borders, the Ming Dynasty began to organize large-scale population migrations. Nine sides were set up on the first line of the Great Wall, from Liaozuo in the east, to Xuanda in the north, to Longxi in the west, and to Yunnan and Shu in the south.
The fourth time is immigration outside the border. The lower reaches of the Yellow River have been hit by disasters year after year, and thousands of peasants have flowed into Guanwai, and in more than 100 years, until the eve of the founding of the People's Republic of China, the population outside Guanwai reached 60 million. In the entire migration history of the Xia Kingdom, it was the most intense. ”
In other words, Ebony City has been holding meetings in a row for the past few days.
Today, too, a very special lecture is being held. There were dozens of people here, all of whom were high-ranking officials from various major provinces, and the old man with glasses was also among them.
On the stage, a gray-haired professor is explaining to the huge display screen:
"After the founding of the country, the impact of natural conditions and war became less and less, and policy and economic factors continued to increase. This should be very clear to everyone, so I won't go into details. The first is from the rural areas to the cities; the second is from the interior to the coastal cities and industrial and mining areas; and the third is the large-scale development of the western region.
To some extent, migration is a decisive factor in political, economic, and natural environmental changes. With the relocation again and again, we have now developed urban agglomerations, economic centers and backward areas......"
The professor spoke for a long time, stopped to drink a sip of water, and said in a hoarse voice:
"Now, it seems, we are back in the past, back to the time when natural disasters determined the migration of human beings. Let's just say that the entire western province, with a total population of 24.67 million, Huozhou accounts for about 3%, which doesn't seem to be much, but let's analyze it specifically. Among them, 370,000 are men, 350,000 are women, 190,000 are under the age of 18, only 170,000 are between 18 and 35 years old, 240,000 are between 35 and 60 years old, and the rest are over 60 years old.
Among these people, less than 10% have an annual disposable income of more than 100,000 yuan.
Minors and the elderly bear a heavy burden, they are all vulnerable groups who are unable to work, cannot generate value, and need welfare resources. The middle-aged group, which accounts for the largest proportion, has a stable life, work, and thoughts, allowing them to leave their hometowns and start over in a new environment. Personally, I think that there are quite a few people who will not adapt, and it is this part of the population that is a potential safety hazard.
Therefore, there are only 170,000 young adults who can really produce value.
And these people move to various places, education, employment, pension, medical care, housing, etc., will break the inherent system of the original city, and even cause burden.
What we are thinking about now is how to distribute the 700,000 people and keep it as stable as possible.
Qingning Province has a population of 6 million, Tangut Province has a population of 4 million, and Longxi and Mobei both have more than 20 million. The first two are vast and sparsely populated, but there are also few employment opportunities, and the security system is even more imperfect. And don't forget, these two provinces are primitive landforms, plateau glaciers, harsh environments, and there is a Kunlun Mountain in the territory!"
Sizzle!
As soon as these three words came out, everyone was shocked.
The current law is that mountains and rivers are prone to abnormality. Since provincial-level scenic spots such as Phoenix Mountain can be turned into nodes, Kunlun, which is respected as the ancestor of all mountains, can not be guaranteed by anyone.
"The terrain of Longxi and Mobei is slightly gentle, but there are also Qilian Mountains and Yin Mountains. These two provinces are lacking in industry, and a large number of people are pouring in in at once, and I feel that the ability to accept them is limited.
That's why we decided that Qingning and Tangut should not be considered, and a small number of Longxi and Mobei could be moved, and most of them should be moved to the hinterland of the Central Plains. ”
“……”
There was silence in the room, even though they knew the impact and impact of this incident, but when they heard the experts' analysis, their sense of grief instantly multiplied several times.
This is not over, the old professor is also very emotional, and said:
"I made a rough estimate, how much will we lose if the Fire Island becomes a dead place?
First of all, 565.1 billion tons of coal, 350 million tons of iron, 161 million tons of copper, 26.5752 million tons of gold, 180 million tons of sodium saltpeter, 76 million tons of magnesite, 20,404,360 tons of miscanthus salt...... and 100,000 acres of arable land, 350,000 acres of cotton, 500,000 acres of grapes, 50,000 tons of meat and 30,000 tons of dairy products per year......"
He reported a series of 17 kinds of mineral resources and 12 kinds of agricultural resources, and continued: "Also, if the so-called fire aura spreads to the area of Sha'er Lake, Ayding Lake, and Qiketai, these areas contain a large number of shallow coal fields. It's not just a matter of destruction, once the coal field burns, I, I really can't imagine that kind of scenario. ”
“……”
In the silence, his voice suddenly became a little dry, his tone sank, and he said slowly:
"Since the beginning of the year, I have been researching the proposition of "New Environmental Change and New Social Relations". Taking Tianzhu Mountain as an example, Tianmen Town has a population of 80,000, most of which depend on scenic spots for their livelihood. However, after the closure of the mountain, the population has been greatly lost, and now there are only 50,000 permanent residents, and there are few young and strong left.
What used to be a million tourists has dropped to a thousand. Tianmen Town has been reduced from a local township with comprehensive industrial services to a small village that can only provide basic living security......"
The old professor is highly respected, has been received by many leaders, and he is not afraid to speak, and said directly: "I take this opportunity, I implore the government to pay attention to it, this is definitely an emerging discipline worthy of development and promotion, and talent training is urgent."
Finally, I would like to make a personal suggestion:
The government should establish a reasonable and effective rescue and resettlement mechanism that can be followed for a long time, and be prepared for continuous large-scale population migration activities. This general direction should be to concentrate on urban clusters, to the plains, and try to stay away from special landform areas. In particular, the population of the northwest and southwest borders, the central and southern mountainous areas, and the northern mountainous areas may be seriously lost!"
“……”
The old professor finished speaking, glanced at everyone, packed up the materials, and was about to end.
The leader immediately got up, held the other party's hand and greeted him in person, inviting him to take a seat. Then, he didn't go on stage, he turned to face everyone and said:
"Professor Li's suggestion is very valuable and we will focus on it. I would like to add that the current problems are all actionable problems. Once we can't operate it, we need some so-called monks to solve it, and it is a large number of monks, and we will inevitably be overstretched.
Therefore, after you go back, in addition to the immigration work, you should also pay close attention to and support the local palace temple, and carry out more activities to recruit disciples. Tianzhu Mountain is the first batch, and what we want to cultivate now is the second batch, the third batch, and even keep doing it!
Alright, adjourn!"