Chapter 218: The Fuse
Pu Ruo's coldness comes from his bones.
Now Leng Buding was teased by Guan Qiu, and his heart was in turmoil.
But thinking of this guy's various bad deeds, the feeling of electric shock quickly disappeared, took the flower and said "thank you", Shi Shiran walked away.
Guan Qiu raised his hand to smell the flowers, and then followed.
I walked around New York, found an Italian restaurant for a sumptuous dinner in the evening, and went back to the hotel to continue studying stock futures.
During the period, Guan Qiu logged on to the Google Chinese site, looked up some relevant knowledge about crude oil this year, and then found something.
Historically, there have been two major oil crises due to rising oil prices, the first of which was in 1973-1975, when prices soared from $1.8 to $10 per barrel.
The second time was from 1978 to 1982, when the international crude oil price reached a maximum of 39 US dollars per barrel;
These two oil crises had a serious impact on the world economy at that time, especially the economies of the developed countries.
After that, the price of crude oil began to fall slowly (crude oil is only a general term for trading, it is also divided into light oil, natural gas, thermal oil, Brent crude oil and other categories).
In 1990, between September and October, oil prices soared again and exceeded $40 per barrel for the first time, but soon fell below $20 per barrel two months later.
Looking at the sharp rise and fall of oil prices in these few times, we can see the shadow of war in it.
In addition, as Park Ruo said, oil prices also depend on factors such as the dollar exchange rate, market expectations, speculation, climate change, etc., so oil has a variety of attributes: commodity, politics, finance, etc.
But looking at the current Iraq war, it has been a year and a half from March last year to August this year, and the increase in oil prices has not been obvious, or it has not met market expectations, which is obviously not in accordance with the law.
It made him feel that something was missing - political attributes.
You must know that in March last year, when the US-British coalition forces brazenly launched a war against Iraq, in addition to major cities in the United States, many countries held anti-war demonstrations.
These include Greece, Denmark, Switzerland, Finland, Brazil, Germany, South Korea, Syria and China.
However, walking on the streets of New York today, he did not feel the atmosphere of war at all.
Knowing that the war is still going on, and the shadow of death hangs over the families of every soldier, shouldn't they demonstrate in this country that symbolizes freedom?
Or is it that those capitalists are plotting and now it's just the last moment before the storm?
"It must be like this!"
The oil war in Iraq has had a serious impact on the world's politics and economy, and Russian scholars have even called the Iraq war "part of the third world war" provoked by the United States.
At this juncture, as a contradiction point of the conflict, the price of oil is still rising unhurriedly, which is simply too strange and unreasonable.
Guan Qiu told Pu Ruo what he thought of.
It's a pity that if Park is not a reborn, his speculation can only be used as a reference, and it is impossible to agree with it all.
……
The next morning, Pu Ruo took Guan Qiu to a brokerage firm on Fifth Avenue called "Wells", which was their agent.
This securities company has a "trading seat" on the exchange. The trading seat is a fixed position for securities companies to trade on the stock exchange, and it also includes the meaning of trading qualifications, that is, only after obtaining a trading seat can they engage in actual securities trading business.
Pu Ruo rented a large room here as a trading room for this crude oil operation.
There were already four men and two women in the trading room, this was the helper Pu Ruo had found, and they were all nervously analyzing various information at this time.
$30 million is not a small amount in this year, and if Guan Qiu and Park want to swim back to China if they lose, their red wine steak will also be lost.
When Pu Ruo came in, everyone said hello.
As for Guan Qiu, he was directly ignored.
"Pu Ruo you came just in time, according to our analysis, continue to place long orders......"
When focusing on something, time flies very quickly, and in a blink of an eye, it is noon.
Everyone had lunch in the big room and continued to analyze the situation in the afternoon.
Guan Qiu has been watching and listening from the side.
On the morning of Monday on the 23rd, Guan Qiu and Pu Ruo went to the "New York Mercantile Exchange" adjacent to the New York Stock Exchange, that is, the futures exchange.
It was once open to the public, but it stopped after the 911K attacks, and ordinary visitors can only pass behind a metal fence set up by security personnel and take photos, but to enter, they need to apply in advance and get an invitation to the exchange.
Only Pu Ruo had gone in before, and he just looked outside.
Today, because I was invited, I was fortunate enough to come in with a group.
After passing through the airport-like security check, take the elevator through a special passage to the promenade on the second floor, where you can see the entire trading floor below through large bulletproof glass windows.
Guan Qiu stood behind the glass window, holding on to the cool marble-textured wooden railing of his tentacles, overlooking the world-famous exchange.
Compared with the New York Stock Exchange next door, the commodity exchange is relatively smaller, and there are not as many trading seats as there there, but it is more lively.
The traders in the hall waved their arms and shouted something hoarsely.
Guan Qiu has read the relevant information and knows that this is a common "outcry trading" method in the US stock exchange.
The traders who shout in the market are all traders, who accept the customer's trading instructions or place their own orders, and investors cannot enter the market directly.
Because the atmosphere of this method is very active, it is easy to stimulate the emotions of the traders on the floor, so many foreign exchanges still adopt this simple form of trading.
Guan Qiu didn't know that in his previous life, the United States eliminated the outcry trading model in 2015, anyway, in his current opinion, the excitement is lively, but compared to the ever-changing futures market, this trading model is too slow.
I took a look around the second floor.
And Pu Ruo was communicating with some big brokers, and the little mouth with pale pink lip gloss was like a little goldfish spitting bubbles, and a string of English was spit out.
To be honest, in the past few days, watching Pu Ruo skillfully deal with various characters, he really admires it, and the high-achieving students from the Ivy League are really not blown.
I have to say that there is really a gap between people.
If he weren't reborn, a dick like him, Pu Ruo could hang him for one hundred and eighty.
After spending two hours in the exchange, Pu Ruo came over and said, "Let's go." ”
Guan Qiu let out an "oh" and left with Pu Ruo.
The whole process is basically a transparent person.
……
……
Three days have passed in a blink of an eye, and the international crude oil price has risen and fallen, and the $3 million has changed from a floating profit to a loss, and if the transaction fee is included, the loss is probably less than $200,000.
Pu Ruo is looking for the best time to enter the market.
Guan Qiu also waited, waiting for the arrival of the "fuse".
And he is now sure that it will come!
At 8 a.m. on August 26, the atmosphere on the streets of New York slowly changed.
He noticed that the barrier in Manhattan Square had been reinforced, and then some men and women in uniform appeared handing out flyers.
Guan Qiu asked Pu Ruo what were written on the people of those leaflets?
Pu Ruo first read it in English, and then said in Chinese: Support our army, take them home!
Guan Qiu was a little excited.
He felt the fuse was coming.
Suddenly he realized that if this was really the fuse, then the big conglomerates and international speculators would definitely clear the situation.
How to clear the field?
Of course, it is to carry out large-scale shorting, shock, and knock out all of them.
If this is the case, his leveraged $3 million will definitely be lost.
Thinking of this, Guan Qiu immediately told Pu Ruo about his guess, and the expression on Pu Ruo's face was quite solemn.
Although he wanted to teach Guan Qiu a lesson, no one wanted to lose.
As the main trader of crude oil futures this time, since he has realized the danger, it would be foolish to insist on going his own way.
She immediately called the Wells brokerage firm and asked them to raise the stop-loss line while keeping a close eye on the broader market.
Guan Qiu's mood also became nervous.
Crude oil futures are extremely risky, and once the judgment is wrong, the $30 million may be blown up within a few minutes.
Wait!
Keep waiting!
Wait until the crude oil market skyrockets uncontrollably!
……
On the 27th, the whole New York City suddenly became agitated, from Manhattan to Queens, to Brooklyn and the Bronx, as if there were countless more people overnight.
Guan Qiu took Pu Ruo's hand and walked in the crowd, feeling the restless atmosphere.
There were only two things that were talked about in the crowd: the Republican National Convention, the war!
After Guan Qiu's reminder, Pu Ruo realized something, and she was so excited that she couldn't be more excited.
When a volcano is about to erupt, a speck of dust falling from the sky can be a strong signal.
Pu Ruo raised his head and asked, "It's coming soon, right?"
Guan Qiu held her hand tightly and nodded, "Yes!"
Back in the hotel, Pu Ruo immediately called the people at Wells Comptoir and asked them to pay close attention to the movement of the market.
Because Guan Qiu's room was facing Times Square, he asked Pu Ruo to work in her room.
At eight o'clock in the evening, there were not only no fewer people in the square, but more and more.
Guan Qiu was so nervous that his heart was about to jump out of his throat.
At nine o'clock in the evening, the square was densely packed, full of human heads, but no one made a sound, and it seemed eerily quiet.
At ten o'clock in the evening, a circle of huge English letters spelled out by prayer candles appeared in the middle of the square - peace!
Guan Qiu turned his head to look at Pu Ruo, but Pu Ruo's face was full of shock.
Shocked by this scene, but even more shocked by Guan Qiu's astonishing prediction.
Everything fits the story he described.
If......
If there are demonstrations tomorrow, then this war caused by oil will eventually feed back to oil.
The most direct manifestation of this is that all stocks and commodities related to crude oil will skyrocket!
At twelve o'clock in the evening, the number of people in Times Square was still increasing, and the black pressure was overwhelming, and there was no end in sight.
Pu Ruo, like Guan Qiu, didn't sleep all night.
When the pre-dawn light came, as if the battle horn was sounded, the crowd of people sitting in the square all stood up, took out the banners that had been prepared for a long time, and began a huge procession......
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