Chapter 329 Report of the Planning Commission

Sitting in the small conference hall of the Planning Commission, Su Cheng silently looked around at the nearly 100 young cadres of the Planning Commission in the audience.

In terms of the political structure of China, these young people have almost stood on the innermost runway, which is equivalent to the ancient second-class jinshi to the third-class jinshi.

For such a group of proud people, it is very difficult for them to collectively admire someone. On the contrary, the proud will treat the superior with a more critical attitude, just like the ancient Jin non-commissioned officer.

Su Cheng gently removed his watch and placed it in the upper left corner of the table to remind himself of the time to make the report.

On the top left of the watch is the date, reflecting the small inscription November 14.

When the second hand reached the direction of the Chapter 329 Planning Commission report meeting at 0 o'clock, Su Cheng coughed lightly and said, "The report I made today is about the status of China under the new situation. First of all, I would like to say a little about the Soviet Union. Why the republics of the Baltic coast became independent in the first place, I think, a tendency caused centrifugation. Union republics, especially wealthy ones, believed that they had contributed more to the USSR than the USSR had given them. On this issue, they are not going to take into account the past when Stalin helped them build many factories...... The current Soviet Union has fallen into such a rhythm that when the union republics cannot solve the problem on their own, they blame the entire Soviet Union, but if a certain republic does something well, it belongs only to this republic. In fact, the same problem has also arisen within the state-owned enterprises of China, or at the local level, or in the ministries and commissions......"

Now that Sioux City has embarked on the shortcut to the south, he will continue to do it very seriously. This report was written by him after synthesizing what he knew about the trend and then ordering more than a dozen people in the Dahua Strategy Department to write it based on the existing research content and with reference to public publications at home and abroad.

The correct arguments, and the perfect arguments, formed a self-contained structure, and the meeting room in Chapter 329 of the Planning Commission report quickly fell silent.

When Sioux City said that "it was political struggles, national issues, and social issues that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union," many people nodded frequently.

The Planning Commission prides itself on being the designer of China, and its young people are also full of self-confidence, and naturally have their own thinking about the real world problems. But after listening to Sioux City's report, many people's thoughts were clear.

Sioux City is a standard hindsight strategy. Push back and forward, know that the USSR is going to collapse, find the reasons, know that the USSR is going to be privatized, look for arguments......

This practice is natural, smooth and clear.

Someone immediately raised their hand to ask a question.

Su Cheng saw it above, stopped with his hand, and said: "What I am talking about today is not the theory of the cause of the Soviet Union's solution. This is just a prelude, and questions will not be accepted for the time being. Next, I would like to talk about the status of China, what we can gain in the collapse of the Soviet Union, and how to do it. ”

He took the cup and drank it. Shui found that the group of people were all staring at him with wide eyes, and they were no different from the workers in the Dahua factory.

Without the aura of identity, the young people of the Planning Commission are just young people.

While Su Cheng sighed, he slowly spoke: "Since the collapse of the Soviet Union cannot be prevented, we must make more use of the good side and avoid the bad side." On the bright side, the collapse of the Soviet Union will destroy its own industrial existence, thereby unleashing China's industrial capacity. Some people can exchange hundreds of wagons of light goods for planes back, and some people make a fortune by being a bad man. This method of bartering can indeed make a lot of money, but I would like to say that the collapsed Soviet industry will create a huge demand market that will be able to massively increase our exports. ”

"The ruble is no longer worth much, but it is very troublesome to trade in barter, and as far as I know, the contract that cannot be fulfilled is a big trouble. Someone below finally couldn't help but speak, and the sound of approval rang out at the same time.

Su Cheng nodded slightly, and said: "We can provide loans to the Soviet Union, in the name of the government, specifically to provide loans to the Soviet Union, so that they can buy our industrial products, just like the Marshall Plan after World War II."

On the one hand, we gain international morality, and on the other hand, there are real profits. ”

"Where the profits are generated, our country's own foreign exchange is not enough. ”

"We don't use foreign exchange from the state, in fact, we only need to start a name, and we don't even need to pay much money. Under the astonished faces of everyone, Su Cheng took out his long-brewing plan and said: "We will first apply for a loan in the name of a bank from the Bank of the Soviet Union, the Bank of Russia, or the national banks of other Union Republics. Then, at a higher interest rate on the loan, the money was lent to the Soviets, and they were asked to use the money to buy Chinese products, in fact, there was no real payment, as long as the Chinese side paid in RMB to buy Chinese goods, and then settled in rubles. ”

At this moment, not only the young people of the Planning Commission, but even the leaders sitting in the back were stunned.

Compared with usual, the kind of financial operation that Su Cheng said is actually more profound. In fact, for a country with a legal tender like China, the cost of the renminbi itself is very limited, and by this means, it is absolutely lucrative in the medium and long term, and even exceeds the short-term fast line. But the bad part is that it can't be realized quickly, and it takes 10 years or more to have excess profits to emerge. But it is the most suitable country though.

Most of the staff of the Planning Commission have the corresponding financial understanding, but there is no need to explain too much about Su Cheng, he turned to the leaders and continued: "The problem of the Soviet Union is not the lack of money, but the loss of credibility of the ruble, and the loss of confidence in the use of it. Therefore, as long as we have something real to buy from the Soviet Union, they don't care about lending us money. Because they gave out rubles, and we also paid rubles. It's just an air-to-air numbers game. On this basis, the price of our products can be a little higher, the interest on loans from the USSR can be a little lower, and the interest on loans to Soviet businessmen can be a little higher. ”

The argument made by Sioux City has actually been used for a long time. The modern Russian conglomerates have basically risen in the financial turmoil of about 10 years, and they have made a lot of profits by using this empty glove white wolf method.

For people who were snapping up Soviet assets, it didn't matter at all what the interest on the loan was, as long as they could get the money to buy the factory, it would be even better. However, the state-owned banks of the Soviet Union did not dare to lend easily, so they went through the intermediary channels of private banks to complete the payment of the entire financial system.

By 1991, the interest rate of the state-owned banks of the USSR had risen to 100%, but the interest rate of commercial banks was even more exaggerated, to 200%, and even more excessively, the money of commercial banks was loaned from the state-owned banks of the USSR.

That is, no matter how the ruble falls, commercial banks must earn at least 100% of their profits. 1 million rubles for 1 million rubles, 10 billion rubles for 10 billion rubles.

In the end, inflation can only determine the question of how much you earn and how little you earn, and no matter how much its value changes, the extra 100% will not be able to run away.

It can be said that commercial banks are exchanging risks for money, while state-owned banks have to reduce risks in order to maintain the domestic financial system......

Siox City was more willing to use financial means to make money than to make a big purchase in the Soviet Union. This method is not obvious, but the profit is definitely more than 100 industrial companies.

Someone below asked: "The economy of the USSR is not good now, what if the loan cannot be repaid?"

"We use mortgages, which are secured at the current price. If the other party is unable to repay the loan, we will confiscate the collateral. "Sioux City said it naturally.

Xie Weiwei was dumbfounded when she heard this, and said: "This is too ruthless, using the current price as collateral, wouldn't it reduce the price of the collateral dozens of times?"

Houses, land, and factories in the Soviet Union have greatly reduced their prices, and some of them can be described as worthless. Of course, the mortgage should be secured by the price at the time of the loan, which may only be 10% of the price at its peak.

Most Soviets applied for loans to buy their own factories, real estate, and other means of production, and their purchase price was often only a few percent of the actual value. However, since the Soviet Union did not allow foreigners to buy these assets directly, they were obtained through mortgages, which became an important part of the privatization process after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

As a bank, if a large number of mortgage loans are issued, there will definitely be some loans that cannot be recovered for various reasons. Therefore, the acquisition of collateral is inevitable, and the profit from this alone is estimated to compensate for the value of the domestic light industrial products.

The people present are all people who have been planning for the country all year round, and they often think about things very deeply.

Xie Weiwei was very surprised to find that Su Cheng's plan was actually one link after another, and it was tightly matched. She couldn't help but have a hint of realization, Su Cheng's idea of planning this was definitely not improvised. Thinking of this, she stood up and asked, "The Soviet banks are too busy to take care of themselves, and if they really disintegrate, it is estimated that they will fall apart, and in this case, we may not be able to borrow money." ”

Su Cheng looked at his watch and said: "According to my analysis, Yeltsin will soon announce the takeover of the financial power that originally belonged to the Central Bank, and the plan for the Russian Central Bank to take over the National Bank of the Soviet Union is estimated to have been drawn up and will be released at any time." Judging by the time, it will happen within this month, maybe in the last few days. ”

This is the strategic division of Dahua, based on the conditions drawn up by Sioux City, inferred. If the Soviet Union disintegrates at the end of December, and this is also the case, then Russia, as the main body, must take over the financial and financial power at least one month in advance, otherwise, Russia, as a main body of the state, will not be able to function. Just as the Soviet Union, as a national subject, would not have been able to function if it had been deprived of its financial rights.

Hearing this, Director Lu couldn't hold back and said, "That's all for today, Su Dong, the questions you talked about are thought-provoking, please give us a time to think about it." ”

Now everyone knows that Sioux City doesn't really want to make a report to young people, he uses the form of a report to listen to the sky. Moreover, after being filtered by the Planning Commission in advance, the gold content of this report has also been greatly improved.

He Tao, who is also 87 years old, sighed softly, thinking: If Su Cheng's opinion is valued by the leadership, his right to speak in the international situation in the future will be very different.

…… (To be continued!!