Volume 2 Municipal Bureau Serious Case Group 5 Chapter 120 Hypothetical Reasoning (2)
When Zhang Zhengang spoke, including Jiang Weimin and Cao Feng, they were all stunned for a moment, and they were all aware of this problem at the same time, but only Wu Wei looked at everyone with a stupid look and asked, "What's wrong with you?"
"Do you remember what Xie Jun said on the phone call?" Shao Dong did not answer him directly, but instead asked a question.
Wu Wei reacted quickly to this question and said, "Remember, he said that our cash truck encountered robbers, what's the problem?"
In the final analysis, Wu Wei is very professional in his field, but he is still a little slow to analyze the facts of the case.
Similarly, Shao Dong still did not answer his question directly, and continued to ask: "For example, if you find out that I am going to kill you, what will you say when you report the case?"
"Shao Dong wants to kill me?" Wu Wei said subconsciously, and then suddenly said: "You mean that Xie Jun doesn't know the robbers at all!"
He finally understood that if Xie Jun knew the robbers, at that critical juncture, he should say the names of the robbers and leave clues for the police to solve the case.
But if Xie Jun didn't know the robbers, then there was no such thing as revealing his identity.
"Then if it's just like what Cao Ju said, the robbers are only familiar with the other three people, and Xie Jun may just nod their heads and encounter, but they can't name them, isn't Xie Jun's statement when he called the police completely valid?"
When everyone was in deep thought, Jiang Weimin, the technical section chief who was not doing his job and was very advocating reasoning and handling cases, couldn't help but ask another question.
To be honest, he still believes in acquaintances committing crimes, because judging from the investigation and evidence collection of the technical department, the probability of acquaintances committing crimes is obviously much greater.
Regarding his statement, Shao Dong still shook his head and said: "Just like you said, it is possible that Xie Jun only knows one or a few of these robbers, but he can't name them, but you have thought about the first question, since you have already attacked the other three money carriers, whether they deceived the car door or the car window, at this time, if you want to get in the car to deal with Xie Jun, the easiest and most effective way is definitely not to smash the car window!"
"So what if we assume that the robber and the money carrier don't know each other, or that the robber wears a hood?"
Zhang Zhengang was no longer optimistic about the first hypothesis, and he immediately put forward the second hypothesis.
Regarding this hypothesis, Shao Dong also thought about it, did not hesitate, and said directly: "If according to Zhang Ju, that is, the robbers and money transporters do not know or wear hoods, then let's analyze the first one first, I don't know."
If the robbers and the money carriers do not know, based on vigilance, at most one person on the car will solve the problem, but according to the investigation of the technical department, several cash carriers have died in their seats, and there is no trace of resistance at all, indicating that when the problem was solved, there was no accident at all, and the biggest possibility was that after the problem was solved, the robbers suddenly broke out, but this also does not make sense, because when Xie Jun called the police, we clearly heard the sound of the robbers smashing the car window, which shows that the money carrier was aware of the problem at that time, but did not resistWhy?
Moreover, we have to know that the windows of the cash trucks are not ordinary materials, how did the robbers smash the windows of the car and even attack Xie Jun in such a short time?"
"Could it be that before Xie Jun called the police, the robbers had already started breaking down windows and doors?"
Wu Wei asked at the right time, but Shao Dong asked rhetorically: "Then I want to know, what was the money carrier doing when the robbers broke the windows and doors?"
This is also an unconscionable place, you say that if the four cash carriers experienced fierce resistance, and then were killed by the robbers, this is reasonable, but the evidence given by the technical department is that none of the four cash carriers resisted, and they were killed by a knife in an instant, which constitutes a lot of unclear links in it.
As for the robbers wearing hoods, it is not to mention that if the robbers force the cash trucks to stop and wear hoods, the money carriers should be even more vigilant.
Based on these theories, it can be said that both hypothetical theories have undoubtedly been overturned and completely untenable.
When Shao Dong's voice fell, the office fell into a dead silence again.
By this time, they all realized the strangeness of this robbery, because no matter which point of view, it was not true!
"Then don't we have no direction to detect now?" Zhang Zhengang asked, to be honest, after asking, he felt that he had no bottom in his heart.
Cao Feng and Jiang Weimin were silent at the same time, and they, like Zhang Zhengang and Wu Wei, couldn't help but set their eyes on Shao Dong.
Everyone knows that Shao Dong is an expert in this area, and after a moment of silence, Shao Dong said: "Now, we need to figure out two things, such as the first hypothesis, if the robber and the money carrier know, then based on our previous inference, if they know, it is easy to deceive the door or window to open the door, then the question is, what is the purpose of the robber smashing the window? Is it to cover people's eyes or to attack Xie Jun at the first time?" Whatever the purpose, if the robbers and the money carriers knew each other, the purpose of their smashing windows and prying doors was something we must figure out.
If the second hypothesis is true, and there is no intersection between the robbers and the banknotes, then we need to figure out another question, what caused the four banknotes carriers to be attacked by the robbers when they did not resist and were killed, and the reasons why the four banknotes carriers did not resist is also what we need to figure out. ”
After Shao Dong finished speaking, he also fell into deep thought, to be honest, he also wanted to figure out these two questions, these two questions were directly related to the judgment of the entire case later.
Of course, these two questions are not so easy to figure out, at least as far as the existing evidence is concerned, there is no understanding of these two issues.
Because these two questions are inherently contradictory, whether the first question or the second question, placed in the same hypothesis, contradicts the hypothesis.
But now there are no clues that can be used, which has caused us to fall into a predicament now, since it is a predicament, there must always be a direction to break through, even if you know that this direction may not be the right direction, but it is better to have a direction than to bump around like a headless fly.
"Section Chief Jiang, your technical department has been working hard for this time, no matter what, collect as many clues as possible from the scene of the crime, don't be afraid that the clues collected are useless, for fear of missing vital clues. ”
Zhang Zhengang obviously has the attitude of rather killing than letting go, and it's not surprising to think about it, a public security chief like Zhang Zhengang, who has never worked on the front line, is actually a little monotonous in his thinking and methods for solving cases, but at this juncture, don't say monotonous or not, as long as it is useful.
Regarding Zhang Zhengang's statement, Jiang Weimin only nodded, for the large amount of work in the next period of time, Jiang Weimin has long been mentally prepared, after all, no matter what you say, this is the worst and most influential case since the opening of H County.
At this moment, Cao Feng looked up at Zhang Zhengang and said, "Zhang Ju, what about the kidnapping case of Zhu Houzhao's family?"
Speaking of this, he glanced at Shao Dong intentionally or unintentionally.
Although Shao Dong is a temporary deputy director, all of them know that Shao Dong's purpose in coming here is only to rob the cash truck, and the temporary deputy director is just for a kind of training and more justification, as for the kidnapping case of Zhu Houzhao's family, it is really not in Shao Dong's responsibility.
But at this moment, there are two major cases in H County, and at any time, picking out one of these two cases is enough to break the sky, not to mention that the two happened together in H County.
To tell the truth, when County H encountered such two cases at once, people in the system called them unlucky.
But the most interesting thing is that Shao Dong didn't need to intervene in the kidnapping case, but after he knew about it, he intervened as soon as he could. Moreover, they have already been to the victim's home, and even given instructions on the development of the case and the direction of detection.
Zhang Zhengang is such a smart person, he has been in the officialdom for decades, if he can't even see through Cao Feng's careful thinking, wouldn't he be in the officialdom for nothing?
Obviously, the two of them undoubtedly want to see Shao Dong's attitude, although for the kidnapping case, the robbery of the cash truck is more important and urgent, but now the H County Public Security Bureau is busy, just a cash truck was hijacked, and the various departments did not even have a day of rest, if some people were separated into the kidnapping case of Zhu Houzhao's house, it was really powerless.
Although Shao Dong didn't understand these minor tunes in officialdom, when the two finished speaking, they glanced at themselves in unison, even if Shao Dong didn't understand these things in officialdom, he knew what they meant.
However, as far as he is concerned, he is more honest than Zhang Zhengang and the others, although he also knows that his deputy director is just a resume for promotion in the future, but as the so-called, in his position, since he should be in charge of the deputy director in charge of criminal investigation, he will naturally not shirk in order to avoid trouble.
Shao Dongdao: "Regarding the kidnapping case of Zhu Houzhao's family, I have a preliminary understanding, this case is also tortuous and bizarre, and the kidnappers obviously made full preparations before they started, my opinion is that it is better to report to the city bureau again, and it is best to let the city bureau send some more people over." ”
In fact, in Shao Dong's heart, the robbery of the cash truck has not yet made him pay attention to the kidnapping case, after all, there is still a hostage in the kidnapping case that theoretically has the possibility of being saved, and life is above all else, this is Shao Dong's belief since he became a policeman.
Zhang Zhengang said: "Even if the above is sending people, but we don't have the manpower to lead the entire investigation process of the case, I have communicated with Wang Gang before you came, no matter how it develops over there, Wang Gang must withdraw before tonight, and everyone in the criminal police team is now in the case of the robbery of the cash truck, and there is no manpower at all." ”
https:
Please remember that the first domain name of this book is .. Mobile version reading URL: m.