Chapter 461: Outlook (See after 12.20!)
The prevailing view in the academic community is that it will take 50 years for controlled nuclear fusion to be realized, and it will be 50 years forever, that is, in 2007, everyone expected to achieve it around 2057, and in 2008, this time node became 2058 again.
Now that Lu Qiujian has shortened this time to fifteen years, it is no wonder that Qin Feng is so excited; he used to think that it would be good to see the dawn of controlled nuclear fusion in his lifetime, but now according to the time point given by Lu Qiujian, he can completely witness the success of the Xihe plan during his tenure, how can you control your emotions?
"The claim that controlled nuclear fusion is still 50 years away is based on the fact that the investment in crude oil remains unchanged, and now we have invested such a large amount of money, manpower and material resources, so we can shorten the time to 15 years!" Lu Qiujian explained.
More importantly, it is the one who is in charge of this project! If it were someone else, I am afraid it would not have been so smooth, of course, this kind of immodest words Lu Qiujian would not have said, "Of course, this point in time is based on the fact that the central government will always give full support to the project, and there will be no reduction in investment and transfer of manpower to other projects in the middle, if such a thing happens, I dare not guarantee it!"
"You can rest assured at this point, since the central government has decided to start the Xihe plan, it is ready for long-term support!" Qin Feng said firmly, "At the beginning, our predecessors completed the big project of two bombs and one satellite under such difficult conditions, and now our situation is much better than in the past, so there is no reason to give up such a plan halfway!"
"In fact, the Xihe Project is not lacking in self-hematopoietic ability! You know that I have worked at CERN for a period of time, and although CERN is mainly engaged in research in basic fields, it has also given birth to many by-products with extremely high economic value, such as the Internet, which has brought great changes to the entire human society!" Lu Qiujian took CERN as an example, "Xihe Project involves research in materials science, lasers, low-temperature superconductors, artificial intelligence, super batteries, and other fields. These are all studies that can bring great economic returns, and at the same time can promote the development of our national defense!"
"At the beginning of the plan, we still need the central government to give us a blood transfusion, and in the future, maybe the economic value created by the Xihe plan will far exceed the funds provided to us by the central government. Lu Qiujian said confidently.
"The old man said back then that science and technology are the primary productive forces!" Qin Feng nodded and replied, "Some people say that there is nothing higher than the rate of return on investment in science!" In the past 100 years or so, it is precisely because of the backwardness of science and technology that China has been bullied by the great powers and experienced a long period of humiliation! It is precisely for this reason that after the founding of the People's Republic of China, under such arduous conditions, we will vigorously develop the two bombs and one satellite; now that the historical opportunity has befallen our generation, we will absolutely not miss this opportunity to realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. ”
"I know you're taking a big risk, too. But I will not let you down!" "Transferring funds close to a few thousandths of China's total annual GDP to a project, and it is not possible to elaborate on the actual situation of the project, and even the elder body is under tremendous pressure.
In fact, it is very risky to adopt a national system to carry out a large-scale scientific research project in this way; this risk is manifested in many aspects; First, how can we ensure that such investment will definitely produce results? Second, how can we ensure that these funds are used efficiently? Is there a better plan? For example, if China and the United States are conducting a certain scientific research competition at the same time, China spent $10 billion to make the project possible, and the United States came out of the picture and did everything with one billion dollars. The effect is still better than that of Huaguo! This makes outsiders know how to evaluate it?
This kind of thing is not uncommon in history, such as the Uranium Club led by Heisenberg, with the participation of top scientists such as Hahn, Geiger, Laue, and Porter, and Oppenheimer, and the Manhattan Project, in which Fermi, Ball, Chadwick, Feynman and many other geniuses participated, and Germany finally fell short after investing a lot of money.
Among them, of course, there was a German heavy water plant that was blown up by the Allies. The lack of moderators, the lack of graphite purity, and the fact that Germany did not invest as much as the United States, Hitler's policy drove out a large number of excellent scientists. But Heisenberg's team is not as good as Oppenheimer's team is also an important reason.
In this regard, Lu Qiujian is not worried, he can be sure that he is the best scientist in the field, and that other countries have not yet started such large-scale projects, and he is confident that he will achieve the application of controlled nuclear fusion before all countries.
He had faith in these things, but the faith of the elders was not necessarily as strong as his. Although Qin Feng said this now, if he did not achieve results for a long time in the future, then the next step would definitely be to cut funds or even cancel the project!
So, in order to help them build confidence and provide them with continued support, as well as to explain to the rest of the world where the Xihe Project funds were going, Lu Qiujian had to lead the team to continuously roll out various results, which were screened and published.
Those core achievements that are closely related to controlled nuclear fusion can only be reported to the elders, while other achievements such as low-temperature superconductors and super batteries, which are not only applied to nuclear fusion, can be directly disclosed and widely promoted. This is true of artificial intelligence like before.
Then Lu Qiujian reported to Qin Feng according to the project schedule he planned in the early stage, "The first stage is the construction stage of the experimental reactor, which is expected to last five to six years from the time we settle in the base, and the second stage is the experimental phase of thermonuclear fusion operation, during which the performance of nuclear fusion fuel, the reliability of the materials used in the experimental reactor, and the developability of the nuclear fusion reactor will be verified, and scientific and technical certification will be carried out for large-scale commercial development of fusion energy, which will last for seven to ten years!" The third stage is the finishing stage, when the experimental reactors at the base can be dismantled and decommissioned, and the construction of new commercial fusion power plants will begin at the same time!"
Qin Feng calculates the time, and if everything goes well, he will be able to hold a ribbon-cutting ceremony for the controllable nuclear fusion power plant during his tenure!"So how is the research progress of other countries?" (To be continued.) )
PS: It's better to release three at a time today, and the subscription went up a lot yesterday!