Chapter 641: Hegemonic Stability Theory
Chapter 641 of the text Hegemony Stability Dìng Theory
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"Hmm, what do you think?" Qin Feng was a little curious, every time Lu Qiujian talked to him before, most of the time he would only talk to him about things related to the Xihe plan, and it was the first time that he took the initiative to talk about his views on the international situation like this!
"When I was studying at Princeton, I met many academic masters who were authoritative in their respective fields! Among them was Professor Robert Gilpin, who taught international relations!" Lu Qiujian did not answer directly, but talked about his own experience, "Professor Gilping and Professor Charles Kindleberger of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology are the founders and perfecters of the hegemonic stability theory, an important branch of international political theory!"
Qin Feng didn't speak, but just nodded slightly and asked Lu Qiujian to continue! As a politician, it is indispensable to understand the relevant knowledge of international politics and economics! He also dabbled in the works of Kindleberger and Gilpin.
The main contents of the theory of hegemony and stability include: hegemony brings stability to the world economy and economy, hegemony is self-sacrificing, hegemony is bound to decline, and the loss of hegemony leads to the instability of the world economy and economy. Lu Qiujian slowly expounded the academic ideas of these two masters of international politics and economics, "An open and free world economy needs a hegemon or a dominant power; a very important reason why World War II broke out was that Britain's hegemony was weakening at that time, and Britain was no longer able to guarantee the international settlement system, and the United States was unwilling to take over this responsibility from Britain until 1936." Since World War II, and especially in the past 20 years, the rapid development of the global economy seems to have confirmed the doctrine of these two professors from the side! It is precisely because of the establishment of the international free economic order with the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and the International Monetary Fund as the main body under the leadership of such a hegemon as the United States, that the international community has generally enjoyed security and peace, the free international economic order and the international monetary system have basically functioned normally, and the world economy has expanded extremely smoothly. ”
Qin Feng seemed to have a different opinion on this point, but his mouth opened, but he still didn't interrupt Lu Qiujian's words, and continued to listen to him quietly.
"However, Professor Gilpin also believes that there are three major reasons that will lead to the inevitable decline of the hegemon: First, hegemony is built on the hegemon's overwhelming military, economic, and scientific and technological strength, but what determines a country's economic development is not the existing production capacity, but the ability of the economy to transform itself!
In order to pay the cost of maintaining hegemony, the economic surplus of the hegemonic country is gradually decreasing or even exhausted! Finally, in order to maintain hegemony, some free riders will appear, and these free-riders will weaken the strength of the hegemonic country! For example, in order to maintain the free world economy, the United States has subordinated many of its narrow economic interests to the economic interests of its allies and endured discrimination against European and Japanese exports to the United States. As a result, the US economy suffered greatly, while Europe and Japan quickly rose to become challengers to US hegemony. ”
"I have also read the works of Professor Gilpin and Professor Kindleberger, although they are different from our economic system, but they still have a great enlightening effect on me!" Nodding his head to show that he understood what Lu Qiujian meant, Qin Feng continued to wait for Lu Qiujian to say the ultimate purpose of his long speech.
"I think we can speed up the process of the decline of the hegemon, that is, the United States, in some way! So as to put them in a predicament, temporarily powerless or weaken their interference with us, and buy time for our development!" Lu Qiujian's eyes flashed with inexplicable brilliance, and he said his plan!
"Oh, what are your plans?" Although Qin Feng's tone was still calm, Lu Qiujian was still keenly aware that his heartbeat was accelerating!
"Just like what I just said! An important example of maintaining the hegemony of the United States is its aircraft carrier formations all over the world! The 11 aircraft carrier formations have given the United States a powerful ability to project troops over long distances! They rely on these aircraft carrier formations to allow their troops to appear in the world's major hot spots! They can exert military pressure and conduct operations in places far away from their territory and without relying on the situation of local airfields. For example, the Seventh Fleet has exerted pressure on our country many times!" Just a few years ago, the USS George Washington nuclear-powered aircraft carrier took over the Kitty Hawk and docked at the Yokosuka Military Port in Neon Kanagawa Prefecture, which once again enhanced the deterrent power of the United States in Asia.
"So, if the number of their aircraft carriers suddenly drops, will it lead to an acceleration of their decline?" Lu Qiujian asked, "The decline in the global troop projection capability will inevitably lead to the decline of the global intervention capability of the national team! Although they can quickly use mothballed aircraft carriers or directly build new aircraft carriers! However, raising funds, construction, and personnel training all cost money, and it takes time! Using this time, we can just complete the announcement of the successful implementation of controlled nuclear fusion, and quickly start the layout for it! By the time the strength of the people of the United States recovers, our preliminary work may have been completed!"
Qin Feng shook his head, "It is not an easy task to destroy the aircraft carrier of the United States! If we can do it in time, we will have to pay a very heavy price! And we will definitely suffer the crazy retaliation of the people of the United States! It may even trigger a nuclear war, this kind of price is really too heavy! We absolutely cannot accept it!"
Lu Qiujian's thoughts made him quite speechless, since World War II, there has not been a situation in which a country's aircraft carrier has been sunk! Because no country can withstand the crazy retaliation of the Chinese people! If he hadn't known that Lu Qiujian had always been very reliable in speaking and doing things, Qin Feng would probably have just brushed his sleeves and left.
"I understand! Maintaining a peaceful situation is more advantageous for us! Because time is on our side after all!" Lu Qiujian nodded and said that as long as China is stable and the application of controlled nuclear fusion is added, it is only a matter of time before it catches up with or even surpasses the United States! As for the possible interference of the United States in the future, at most it will slow down this process a little, but it will not completely interrupt this process.
But this is exactly what Lu Qiujian doesn't want to see, the interference of the United States will inevitably increase the pressure of the country, and his next research speed will also be disturbed, so he will discuss this issue with Qin Feng.
Seeing Qin Feng's puzzled expression, Lu Qiujian said slowly, "What if, I mean, if there is a way to drastically reduce the number of aircraft carriers in the United States, and they can't find a way to do it?" )