Chapter 593
The year that has just passed is undoubtedly the most difficult year since China's reform and opening up. The previous year's nationwide rush of buying triggered a serious price rise and inflation, which directly led to the failure of the central government's price control plan.
In order to control people's blind panic consumption, the state has been forced to introduce a series of restrictions and repressive policies. Specific to the color TV industry,The unprecedented start of the special consumption tax and the localization development fund,The retail price of color TV has risen a lot。
At the same time, at the turn of spring and summer last year, affected by the international environment, there was a serious political turmoil in China, and the short honeymoon period between China and the West quickly came to an end. As a result of the political turmoil, overseas investment has been sharply reduced, which has directly led to the national economic growth rate falling to the lowest point in a decade.
In this context,China's color TV industry in the past two or three years,It seems to have experienced a round of rapid roller coaster。 In 1988, the sales of color TVs nationwide reached an unprecedented 9.06 million units, an increase of 2 million units in one go compared with the previous year. Just when the entire industry began to work hard and hoped that sales would exceed the 10 million mark in the coming year, last year's sales had an avalanche and fell back to only 7.82 million units.
In the case of sluggish sales, although the country's color TV production has also declined simultaneously, it still reached 9 million units. Of course, this figure has stripped away the part of the production that RCA is doing in mainland factories and directly used for export. That is to say, in the whole of last year, hundreds of TV factories across the country had a backlog of nearly 1.2 million color TVs.
What's more serious is,Due to the previous color TV sales have risen year after year,So that although the state strictly restricts the repeated introduction of color TV production lines,But the impulse to expand production capacity in various places is still very high。 Taking the color picture tube, the most core accessory of color television, as an example, in addition to the production base of the Oriental Group put into operation in the deep-sea special zone, there are currently only three factories in the country that can produce it.
They are Xian-Yangcai tube factory with a production capacity of 3.5 million, Huhai electronic tube factory with a production capacity of 300,000, and Sino-Japanese joint venture Fuxin tube factory with a production capacity of 300,000. The 4 million production capacity, coupled with the 2 million color tube quota approved by RCA Company, a subsidiary of the Oriental Group, for domestic sales, and the 1 million color tube production capacity that has been put into operation by other enterprises in the past two years around the RCA deep-sea special zone TV industry base, the country can only supply 7 million color tubes. And even if the output of color TVs after last year's production was reduced, it is still necessary to import 2 million color tubes throughout the year, in order to meet the production needs of various TV factories.
However, according to the information collected by the Oriental Commercial Company, in the first half of this year alone, two new color tube factories will be officially put into operation, with a production capacity of 3.4 million and 1.9 million respectively. In addition, in the second half of this year, there will be Huhai Yongxin, which has a design capacity of 1.7 million, and Mack Enterprises, which is wholly owned by GE of the United States and has a production capacity of 1.5 million, and Thompson, a Sino-French joint venture with a production capacity of 1.5 million.
That is to say, the domestic color tube production capacity will increase by 10 million at the end of this year. Starting next year, the domestic supply of color tubes will fall into a cycle of serious oversupply. At the same time, the Oriental Commercial Company has just obtained approval from Beijing, and the quota of color tubes sold in China this year can be increased to 3 million.
Since last year, China's foreign exchanges have come to a complete standstill, and many foreign investment projects that have been negotiated have been suspended or cancelled by foreign parties for various reasons. In order to avoid political risks, the Eastern Bloc began to carry out a planned strategic contraction in the interior in 1988 ahead of schedule.
By the time of the turbulence last year, the Eastern Bloc had already completed its strategic adjustment, so it was barely affected. Of course, Li Xuan is not really ready to withdraw from the mainland, after all, China will be the world's fastest-growing market with the most growth potential in the next 30 years. Whoever loses the Chinese market loses the future!
Since last year, Beijing's political climate has undergone subtle changes, and even whether to continue to open up to the outside world has been hotly debated at the top level of the central government.
This state of ideological confusion will undoubtedly seriously interfere with the daily operations of foreign-funded enterprises such as the Oriental Bloc. You must know that many private enterprise owners in China took the initiative to donate their factories to the state free of charge last year in order to protect themselves, which laid many hidden dangers for the clarity of corporate property rights in the future.
And Li Xuan also knew very well that this contest between the party's defenders and reformers would last for two more years, and it would not be until another spring in 1992, when the old man wrote a magnificent poem by the South China Sea, that everything would be settled.
Of course, the Eastern Bloc does not mean that it will have to wait until after '92 before it can reflexively continue to invest in the mainland. As the saying goes, the icing on the cake is not as good as charcoal in the snow, the period of real chaos has passed, and the order in the country has long returned to normal. It's just that investors are cautious, and most people don't dare to risk their real money until the dust settles on the debate in Beijing.
As a result, although the mainland is still actively shouting loudly, the investment it can really attract is far less than expected, which has directly affected the healthy development of the national economy. Among them, capital from Europe, the United States and Japan shows no signs of thawing in the short term due to the political isolation of China at the government level.
However, in the early days of reform and opening up, China's efforts to attract foreign investment were not from Western capital, but from overseas Chinese capital from Hong Kong, Macao and Southeast Asia. Compared with the Western world, which is very unfamiliar with China, Chinese capital of the same species and origin without cultural barriers is obviously easier to adapt to the domestic investment environment.
This time, although they are not as resolute as Western capital in retreating, they are also generally in a wait-and-see and hesitant state. As far as the mainland side is concerned, this force is the easiest to convince and win at the moment. But if you want to really open the stalemate, at this time, you urgently need an influential leading brother to come out and set an example in order to appease people's hearts!
And the best choice is undoubtedly Li Xuan, the light of the Chinese with the title of "the richest man in the world". If he can stand up and say that he is optimistic about the future development of the mainland, it will be more effective than saying 100 words on the mainland side itself.
Therefore, from the beginning of the New Year's Day, the first day of the 80s and the new 90s, the Shenhai Special Economic Zone has sent a powerful lobbying group, including ******** and the mayor, to tackle key problems in the Eastern Bloc and Li Xuan in turn.
After turning the page in 198-9, for Li Xuan, the biggest landmine in the country has been removed, and the next time is naturally the time for large-scale expansion. And since the mainland side has sent it to the door itself, it is really unreasonable not to kill such a good opportunity. (To be continued.) )