Chapter 440: Soaring
Seeing Chen Qiaoshan writing there, Sun Fatzi was startled, and when he hung up the phone, he hurriedly asked, "Are you really doing crude oil futures?"
"Didn't you hear everything?" was not ready to hide it from him, Chen Qiaoshan responded very casually.
"At your speed, I can only understand half of it. ”
Chen Qiaoshan smiled: "Your level is not good, you have to work harder to turn back." ”
Sun Fatzi's face was a little unbearable, and he complained: "With the speaking level of our high school foreign language teacher, can I get better?"
"Good、Day can be pronounced as a dog leash.,I took a listening class at the National People's Congress.,I almost didn't fight with anyone when I practiced in groups.,It's become a laughing stock in the department.,Hey.,Don't say it.,I'm ruined in the hands of the old master.。 ”
Chen Qiaoshan smiled very unkindly, "The old man's spoken language is almost meaningful, but it's not as burying people as you are, right?"
"Forget it, don't mention it. "Sun Fatzi looks like he has nothing to love.
Thinking of what he had just heard, he immediately became energetic again, glared at Chen Qiaoshan and said: "I said why is it to check the crude oil information again, and to ask me to apply for Bloomberg training, you kid is not authentic, you actually secretly do futures, and you don't take me!"
"You want to get in? Chen Qiaoshan put on a nonchalant expression, "I offset Kangsheng's equity and bought a $2 million oil call option." ”
Sun Fatzi was stunned, and just asked him if he could raise money, but the speed of this slap in the face was too fast.
Chen Qiaoshan ignored him, looked at his watch, and continued: "The contract that my financial advisor just signed at noon has been less than 10 hours now, didn't you take 500,000 dividends last time, and I will count you as 5% of the shares." ”
"How about it, think about it, it's too late to make a decision?"
Sun Fatzi lost his mind for a moment, but soon he regained his clarity, "Forget it." ”
Afraid that Chen Qiaoshan would misunderstand, he explained: "Dashan, to tell you the truth, I'm not afraid of losing money with you, I know, your kid has a good eye, and things that are optimistic can't go wrong, I don't want to continue to take advantage of you." ”
Chen Qiaoshan was very surprised, this was not the character of Sun Fatzi, he couldn't help but look this guy up and down several times.
Sun Guangming was furious when he saw it, and hurriedly said: "Okay, don't look at me with this kind of look, I have already thought about where the money will go, didn't Wang Wei pull you into the gang, I told him in private, no matter what you decide, he promised to take me." ”
Sun Guangming has been in Tianyi Securities for more than half a year, and because of Chen Qiaoshan's relationship, Wang Wei takes great care of him.
Taking the opportunity, he learned a lot about the explicit and unspoken rules of the stock market, and also became more aware of the opportunities and risks inside.
Sun Fatzi knows that it is too risky to fight alone, and it is better to become a member of the tour capital by looking for traces of hot money and following the trend of stock speculation.
Chen Qiaoshan found that he had underestimated Sun Fatzi, and with the current situation, it was a good choice to follow Wang Wei.
……
Overnight, the situation changed.
Even if the Gulf of Mexico severely cuts production, the oil shortage faced by the United States is not serious, and the crude oil stocks in the strategic reserve are enough to cope with the short-term shortfall, but the final direction depends on the choice of the US government.
September and October are the peak seasons for U.S. crude oil demand, and once the production capacity cannot keep up, it will seriously affect the supply of refined oil products in winter.
It is clear that the world's largest crude oil import market will continue to increase demand if production capacity cannot be restored quickly, and for a while, the oil market is restless.
At this moment, Russia also jumped out.
On the night of the 8th, there was a sudden rumor in the market that the Russian government would take surprise action against Yukos Oil Company, which was suspected of huge tax fraud, including but not limited to freezing its bank fund accounts in Russia.
Although Russia is not a member of OPEC, it is a crude oil supply giant that can shake the direction of OPEC policy.
Today, Russia's oil production capacity ranks second in the world, but after 07 years, it will replace Saudi Arabia and secure its position as the world's largest oil exporter.
One night, Chen Qiaoshan's mobile phone ringtone did not stop, and he was also tired of coping.
"News from Hong Kong again?"
Yan Xiaoqin was also awakened, and asked in a daze, with an obvious nasal voice.
Chen Qiaoshan covered the microphone and said excitedly: "Oil prices in the New York market have soared by 7.9%, and the price of Brent crude oil futures in London has also risen to $36.4, and there is a possibility that it will continue to rise." ”
Chen Qiaoshan's sleepiness disappeared without a trace, and the market price was getting closer and closer to the contract price, and every penny increase in the international crude oil price brought him closer to exercising his rights.
"Oh, yes. Yan Xiaoqin obviously didn't listen, turned over, and fell asleep in a daze.
Looking at her inadvertently exposed pink and snowy breasts and curvy waist, Chen Qiaoshan couldn't help but feel bloody, worthy of the name of Yan Fairy, and his youthful and beautiful carcass was particularly attractive, which made him have the urge to fight again.
"Chen?"
Just when Chen Qiaoshan was at war in his mind, Eliot's noisy voice came from the microphone, he temporarily rested his mind, it was still important to get down to business, in order to suffer less crime, he simply went to the study.
"Elliot, what's going on?"
"Great news, the Russian energy market is completely disrupted. ”
It's already three o'clock in the morning, Elliot is still sitting in the office, the market is volatile, and staying up late and working overtime is the norm.
"Energy exports have always accounted for 20% of Russia's GDP and more than 60% of its foreign exchange earnings, and from 99 to the present, 90% of Russia's GDP growth has benefited from energy exports. ”
"In the Putin government, crude oil export revenues account for 15% of government revenues, plus taxes and supporting industries, the oil industry together contributes more than 40% of Russia's fiscal revenue. ”
Elliot paused, then continued: "Yukos is the largest oil company in Russia, accounting for more than a third of Russia's oil output, in other words, 10 to 15 percent of Russia's budget is provided by a private company. ”
"Chen, do you know what that means?"
Chen Qiaoshan turned on the computer and said, "Don't think about considering my financial knowledge reserves, you must know that I am also a financial professional." ”
Having said that, Chen Qiaoshan replied succinctly: "For a country, controlling 5% to 10% of the state finance means controlling the state. ”
Thinking about it carefully, Chen Qiaoshan is also excited, being able to control the lifeblood of a country is exciting to think about, especially Russia.
Of course, Chen Qiaoshan knows very well that there is *** in Russia, and all speculators are local chickens and dogs.
He knew very well in his heart that this should be the follow-up to the Yukos incident in 03, because Yukos's boss Khodorkovsky was preparing to sell 40% of the company's shares to an American consortium, which would obviously threaten Russia's national interests.
As a financial oligarchy, the ending is generally not good, and Chen Qiaoshan knows that what awaits Khodorkovsky will be a prison sentence.
"Chen, now the news has not been confirmed, countless media are blocking outside the Russian Ministry of Justice, there is a five-hour time difference between Moscow and Hong Kong, it should be ten o'clock at night, once the verdict is made"
There was a sudden pause on the other end of the phone, followed by Elliot's foul mouth, "Oh, Bullshit!"
Chen Qiaoshan's heart moved, and he hurriedly asked, "What's wrong?"
"The news came out, Putin signed an order, the Russian Ministry of Justice decided to extend the detention of Khodorkovsky, and the Assets Clearance Bureau came forward to freeze the shares of Yukos's largest subsidiaries, Yugansk and Tomsk, two major oil companies. ”
"Now it seems that Yukos is bound to stop production. "Elliot was confident.
"OPEC ran out of back-up capacity at the end of July, and Russia is bound to cut production by more than a quarter in the next few months. ”
"Global oil supply shortages are inevitable, Chen, congratulations!"
Although it was early in the morning, Eliot was in good spirits.
The sharp rise in oil prices is a foregone conclusion, and he knows that there is still a possibility that oil prices will continue to rise, and it is not impossible to break through $40 in one fell swoop.
Oil is not only about the economy, but also a battlefield for major powers to wrestle, and once the share is ceded, it will not be able to recover immediately if they want to seize the market.
Everyone is waiting to see that once the U.S. government decides not to use its strategic reserves, but instead increase imports in September to make up for the shortfall caused by the shutdown, oil prices will inevitably fluctuate.
Of course, the factors for the change of crude oil prices are not so simple, once the oil price exceeds 40 US dollars, the deep-sea oil exploration in the Gulf of Mexico will be profitable, and there will inevitably be the shadow of European and American consortiums behind this.
Elliott had a very ridiculous feeling, he was still persuading Chen Qiaoshan to give up the contract the day before yesterday, but as soon as he got the option from Mitsui Bank, the oil price skyrocketed, which is too much of a coincidence.
"Chen, do you have the ability to predict the future?" Eliot made a tentative joke, although the Eastern civilization is very mysterious, but in his opinion, it should be more intuition and gambling.
"Well, I still stick to my original view that the price of oil can go up to more than $60. ”
Chen Qiaoshan can't tell the truth, and Elliot naturally can't take it seriously.
"Chen, you'd better keep the communication channels open, there has been too much news recently, oil prices are very volatile, once the U.S. Department of Energy makes a statement, it can shake the current trend, and we must be ready to exercise our rights." ”
Chen Qiaoshan has nothing to say, as for whether to exercise his rights or not, there is definitely no need to rush for a while, he knows that the current news is not enough to make oil prices soar by 70%, as long as there is patience, in order to obtain the greatest benefits.
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