Chapter 423: Expectation

came and went in a hurry, and Chen Qiaoshan's trip to Hong Kong ended in a hurry.

When the plane arrived at Yanjing Airport, Yan Xiaoqin had been waiting for a long time, and when she saw Chen Qiaoshan pushing her luggage out of the gate, she was very excited and waved her hand again and again.

Yan Xiaoqin was obviously dressed up on purpose today, wearing light makeup, her already delicate face looked even more delicate and moving, and she wore a national-style embroidered plain mid-sleeve shirt on her upper body, paired with a chiffon A-line skirt, dressed easily and freely, which highlighted her delicate and moving figure.

Chen Qiaoshan felt that his eyes lit up, and he left for a few days, but he missed it very much in his heart, especially in this enthusiastic season, and he couldn't help but feel ready to move.

Seeing him coming, Yan Xiaoqin suddenly smiled like a flower, and subconsciously wanted to take over the luggage cart in his hand, but Chen Qiaoshan hugged her moving body regardless of it, and kissed her on the face.

In public, the intimate behavior of young men and women is very conspicuous, and the two have really attracted a lot of attention.

Yan Xiaoqin was suddenly embarrassed, her face turned red, she quickly broke free from Chen Qiaoshan's arms, glanced at him, and said angrily: "I'm going to die, so many people!"

Although it was only a superficial contact, in the summer, Chen Qiaoshan felt a little bit of a soul grant, he smiled: "We don't have anything to do, I like to see them and let them see." ”

Yan Xiaoqin couldn't do anything about his cheekiness, so he could only glared at him helplessly, urging: "Let's go, don't be embarrassed here." ”

Chen Qiaoshan didn't care about himself, he waited for a lot of opportunities, and he didn't have to be in a hurry, so he pushed his luggage out of the airport with a smile.

got into the car and watched Yan Xiaoqin get on the airport highway with the steering wheel in a similar way, Chen Qiaoshan said with a smile: "I haven't seen you for a few days, my skills have improved." ”

Yan Xiaoqin glanced at him, and said very arrogantly: "What do you think, it's not that difficult, like you, you don't even have a driver's license, and you still want to drive without a license." ”

Chen Qiaoshan was speechless, he wanted to get a driver's license, but he never had this opportunity, he secretly wondered, it's not a matter if it goes on like this, maybe he can find a driving school to find a way to go back.

"How is it in Hong Kong this time?" Yan Xiaoqin asked again, unfortunately, as soon as he finished speaking, Chen Qiaoshan's mobile phone rang as soon as he turned it on.

Yan Xiaoqin asked, "Who, you just got off the plane and found it?"

He picked it up and saw that it was a Hong Kong number, and Chen Qiaoshan was also a little strange, he had just left, who found it so quickly.

"I don't know, Hong Kong number either. Chen Qiaoshan explained, and then pressed the answer button, "Hey?"

"Mr. Chen, it's me, you've already arrived in Yanjing, right?"

"Elliot?" Chen Qiaoshan was stunned, "I just got off the plane." ”

Saying that, the two had just met before getting on the plane, and it had only been half a day, why did they find it again, and he couldn't help asking: "What's wrong, is there something wrong?"

Eliot said with a relaxed tone: "Mr. Chen, something is going on temporarily, and I think it's necessary to communicate with you again." ”

"You say. Chen Qiaoshan knew something was wrong, this phone call was obviously made by pinching points, and he was also a little curious about what was going on.

"Just two hours ago, the rotating chairman of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Indonesia's oil minister, Pulno, announced that in order to stabilize oil prices, OPEC is ready to increase crude oil production by 100 to 1.5 million barrels per day, which is about 3 to 5 percent of global crude oil capacity," Elliot said. ”

Chen Qiaoshan understands what this means, and OPEC has increased production, which can be described as a scoop of cold water for the international crude oil futures market.

As a commodity, crude oil is not only a commodity, but also has its own financial attributes, in addition to the basic supply and demand, inventory impact, as well as capital, geopolitical wrestling, the key factor in predicting crude oil prices is the policy direction of OPEC.

Chen Qiaoshan knows very well in his heart that once OPEC increases production, international crude oil prices will definitely plummet, which is obviously inconsistent with his memory.

He clearly remembers that the Singapore branch of China Aviation Oil went bankrupt because of the soaring oil prices.

Chen Qiaoshan confirmed: "Elliot, is the news reliable?"

"It's true, Bloomberg and Reuters both released the news as soon as possible. ”

To improve the convincing force, Elliot also emphasized: "In today's New York futures market, the price of September crude oil futures plummeted by $1.4 to $8 in the morning, a decline of as much as 4.2%. ”

Chen Qiaoshan felt that the roots of his teeth were sour, and he didn't know how many people would go bankrupt because of this news, and he was a little glad that he didn't rely on his memory to make crude oil futures, otherwise this order would be enough for him to drink a pot.

"Chen, even if oil prices plummet, the current world crude oil price is still at a high point in the past two decades, and the possibility of rising is very small, you must know that high oil prices may not be in the interests of oil-producing countries......

Mr. Chen, who is now barely a financier, certainly knows that high oil prices are not necessarily a good thing for countries that rely heavily on oil exports, especially when the global economy is in a downturn.

The higher the price of crude oil, the higher the profit, and correspondingly, the higher the oil price in the absence of demand, the surplus productivity of the oil-producing country is significantly increased.

At the same time, prolonged high oil prices will encourage non-OPEC members to extract shale, deep-sea oil and oil sands, and accelerate research and development of alternative clean energy sources.

Chen Qiaoshan is very puzzled, this is not good news, now the demand is insufficient, OPEC will increase production, and the price will fall.

Chen Qiaoshan was a little hesitant, he really couldn't understand why international oil prices would suddenly soar in the next month under the condition of global production increase, and even reached a record high of $55 at one point.

Chen, unless a war breaks out between Saudi Arabia and Iran, crude oil prices are unlikely to skyrocket, and it is very unwise to buy call options now. ”

Chen Qiaoshan scolded his mother in his heart, can't he give a reliable example, although the two countries of Iran and Saudi Arabia have been feuding for thousands of years, they have never really done it, but they are very happy.

Seeing that Chen Qiaoshan was silent, Elliot had already predicted that investment was to make a profit, and no one wanted to invest money in projects that were bound to lose money.

Today's international crude oil prices are at an all-time high, and even OPEC is ready to intervene.

"Chen, the crude oil futures market is too risky, I can prepare a more reasonable portfolio for you......"

Elliott's professionalism is first-class, and his eloquence is also very good, and he throws out various venture capital packages one after another in the blink of an eye.

Chen Qiaoshan couldn't cry or laugh, he didn't say anything, and then he began to flicker.

He found that, in essence, there is no difference between private financial advisors and those who sell wealth management products in China, all for the purpose of pursuing greater interests.

"Elliot, I think you're mistaken, I don't intend to give up investing in crude oil options. ”

Chen Qiaoshan's words almost made Elliot vomit blood in anger, why didn't he listen to persuasion, he talked for a long time, but it had no effect at all.

"Chen, you must know that as a full-time financial advisor, I need to be responsible for your investments. Elliot really couldn't figure out why Chen Qiaoshan still insisted in the face of such an obvious general trend.

The capital market is the most cruel, but people who gamble too hard usually end badly, and it is not uncommon for financiers to jump from the Peninsula Hotel because of their gambling failures.

"Elliott, in the face of major downsides, several guarantee banks must be eager to sell non-performing assets, I think Mitsui Bank should be willing to provide more bargaining space, right?"

Chen Qiaoshan ignored Eliot's persuasion, although he didn't know what was happening, he still had a basic judgment.

He believes that history will not change because of his involvement, especially in commodities like crude oil, and he still has this confidence.

And this is still a good opportunity, just as a credit rating downgrade will increase the cost of financing, oil prices are bearish, and for banks participating in the VAM of crude oil call options, losses have become inevitable.

Goldman Sachs can take advantage of the fire and buy CDS at a low price, betting that the EU will not let Greece go.

Although he doesn't know the specific reason, with the news of the bankruptcy of China Aviation Oil, he is sure that oil prices will inevitably rebound violently.

Although the market is pessimistic, the risk is worth taking.

Chen Qiaoshan calculated in his heart that compared to the loss of the gambling failure, the income will also be an astronomical amount, maybe with this single alone, he may become famous in a fight.

"Okay, Chen, I'll talk to Mitsui Bank. Elliot gave up on continuing to persuade him, and now he thinks about how to explain the deal in his analysis once the royalty is gone.

When he hung up the phone, Yan Xiaoqin asked curiously, "Are you talking about oil futures?"

"Oil options, a type of financial derivative. Seeing her ask, Chen Qiaoshan said about the mortgage of Kangsheng's equity.

"What, two million dollars?" Yan Xiaoqin was surprised, "If oil prices continue to fall, won't this money be wasted?"

Chen Qiaoshan nodded, "It's like this if it falls, but if it goes up, it's ten times or twenty times the gain." ”

Yan Xiaoqin was taken aback, "So much?"

Chen Qiaoshan said with a smile: "Options trading itself comes with leverage, and no one can calculate the exact return until the last moment, so I still have a conservative estimate." ”

"Of course, the return is large, the higher the risk, as long as the entry, there are only two possibilities for the contract, one is to reap huge profits, the other is to become waste paper, and this does not need to fluctuate greatly, sometimes even if the subject matter is only a penny up and down, the contract may also become a blank paper. ”

Yan Xiaoqin was a little puzzled, "Since there is such a big risk, why did you choose to make options, even crude oil futures are safer than this, right?"

Chen Qiaoshan naturally can't say that he knows the future market, compared to futures, doing options is basically equivalent to picking up money, after thinking about it, he said: "Options betting is to judge the market trend of the vision, futures also depends on the ability to trade, just like now, if I entered the market yesterday for two million dollars, I am afraid that I will have the mind to jump off the building." ”

"In addition, there is no need to worry about being called to pay the margin when you do options, and there is a possibility of turning the market at any time until the last moment. ”

Yan Xiaoqin was also stunned, she had seen Chen Qiaoshan speculate in stocks, and the stock price fluctuated, and he was also anxious, with such a high risk, she couldn't help but be a little worried.

Chen Qiaoshan also secretly warned that commodity trading is too risky.

Especially for high-leverage things like crude oil futures, we must guard against unknown risks at any time, even bin Laden was killed by American GIs, and oil prices can plummet, and this kind of fundamental is not something that anyone can analyze.

"Where are we going?" As soon as he entered the East Fourth Ring Road, Yan Xiaoqin directly got off the airport expressway and got on the auxiliary road from the Siyuan Bridge.

Yan Xiaoqin said: "When Sun Guangming heard that you came back today, he said that he would invite us to dinner. ”

Chen Qiaoshan couldn't help but be angry, "This Sun Fat Man, what kind of mess is there." ”

Yan Xiaoqin said with a smile: "Didn't you complain that Hong Kong even has sweet chili peppers, and he invited us to eat Sichuan cuisine today, isn't it just what you want?"

"Ignore him, this kid doesn't have any eyes, he will add to the chaos, isn't the house tidied up, let's go home and eat." ”

"He's booked a place, isn't it okay to release the pigeons?" Yan Xiaoqin was very surprised, "The fire hasn't been fired at home yet, nothing has been prepared, what will you eat when you go back?"

Chen Qiaoshan said shyly: "Of course it's to eat you!"

Yan Xiaoqin's hand shook, and the MINI suddenly walked in an S shape, so frightened that Chen Qiaoshan hurriedly fastened the seat belt, he was also very weak-hearted, don't lose his life before he eats it in his mouth.

Yan Xiaoqin was also taken aback, but fortunately, there were no cars on the road at this time, so there was a false alarm, and she couldn't help but glance at the initiator with shame and disgust.

Looking at her look of disgust and joy, Chen Qiaoshan's bones suddenly lightened a little.

Vaguely, Yan Xiaoqin's youthful and beautiful face had a little more amorous meaning, and he couldn't help but admire Xiao Wu's foresight, it was indeed Yan Fairy.

Of course, Chen Qiaoshan was more expectant of the goblin fight.