Chapter 229: Economic Intuition

Leaving the classroom, Yan Xiaoqin couldn't help complaining: "It's all your fault, okay, someone kicked you out!"

"Why do you blame me, it's the teaching assistant who has a problem with the class. Having said that, Chen Qiaoshan was also a little depressed in his heart.

Yan Xiaoqin looked at him and didn't admit defeat, and couldn't help laughing, "I know that you can do it, and you dare to talk nonsense in the future." ”

Chen Qiaoshan pretended to be aggrieved and said: "I'm like this, you can't comfort me." ”

Yan Xiaoqin glanced at him, and said coquettishly: "Don't pretend, I don't know you yet, let's talk about it, what idea do you have again?"

"I haven't thought about it yet, but it's definitely not over. Chen Qiaoshan's tone was very affirmative.

When the teaching assistant pointed out that the case was excerpted from Professor Li Daokui's paper, he made up his mind that he had to analyze it carefully when he went back, and he must find out the problem.

In 04, the complete abolition of agricultural tax has reached a consensus in the domestic academic circles, but whether to implement the policy of "agricultural subsidies" has generated great controversy.

The controversy has actually been going on for a while, and those who study economics are naturally sensitive to the news in this regard, and Chen Qiaoshan has also heard about it, but it is not the turn of a college student to intervene, and when he saw that case, he gradually had some ideas in his heart.

"By the way, when will you still speak French?" Yan Xiaoqin asked curiously.

Chen Qiaoshan said with a smile: "I don't know any French, but Tirole's name is not small, and he was recognized by the academic community as the most favorable contender for the Nobel Prize in Economics ten years ago." ”

This is a mixed bag, but it doesn't hurt to discuss it privately.

"Then did he win the award?" Yan Xiaoqin asked curiously.

"Not yet, but soon. ”

"How do you know?" Yan Xiaoqin was very suspicious.

Chen Qiaoshan was stagnant, and Tirol would have to wait another ten years for the Nobel Prize, so naturally he couldn't say it, and after a little pondering, he gaged: "Because he is the best math among economists." ”

Yan Xiaoqin was a little confused, "What kind of reason is this?"

Chen Qiaoshan explained with a smile: "Because mathematics has an advantage, many Nobel Prizes in economics have been awarded to mathematicians, Tirole's mathematical skills are profound, and his economic literacy is not bad, I think that the probability of winning the prize is much higher than that of ordinary economists." ”

"You're just talking nonsense. Yan Xiaoqin was very disdainful, but he no longer dwelled on the matter of being kicked out of Tsinghua University.

Yan Xiaoqin thought that today was just an episode, from the bottom of her heart, she was still a little happy, before the two left, a room of Tsinghua teachers and students were teased by Chen Qiaoshan and looked at each other, she remembered it very clearly.

Chen Qiaoshan was not ready to let it go easily, he found the paper in the library from the mouth of the teaching assistant.

The article was published in "Economic Research", Chen Qiaoshan knew that this is the top economic journal in China, the article mainly on agriculture-related issues for economic analysis, and agricultural subsidies were taken out as a key argument.

Chen Qiaoshan's economic skills are shallow, and even if so, he can make a rough judgment, in which Professor Li disagrees with subsidies.

The article is of a very high standard, but once the argument is questionable, the argument is debatable.

The debate between the government and the market has never stopped in the economic field, and like the question of whether tofu brain is sweet or salty, there will never be a definite answer.

In economics, the more macro and vague the economic theory, the more consistent the economist's views are, because idealized constraints can be applied.

For example, the supply theorem, which is the most classic theory in economics, a demand curve and a supply curve, the intersection in the quadrant is the optimal solution, and no one will question it.

But when you apply the supply theorem to the actual situation, the problem arises, there are more constraints that affect the equilibrium of supply and demand, and you have to take into account all the factors that affect the reality of the situation, and the argument will naturally arise.

In the face of problems, ordinary people can scold each other at most, but economists can't do this, you have to be reasonable with facts, and every point of view must have a basis and logical data, otherwise it is easy for people to refute.

Chen Qiaoshan was very sure that he had found the flaws in Professor Li Daokui's paper.

Professor Li made a very low-level mistake by ignoring that some of the factors are intrinsic properties of the supply curve itself, and some of the factors move along the curve, and that there is a mutual cancellation between these two factors.

As prices rise, supply increases, resulting in a decrease in demand, but there is an overall trend between the two, which makes the supply and demand model given by Professor Li untenable.

Chen Qiaoshan felt that something was missing when he listened to the class, and when he re-analyzed the model data given by Li Daokui's classroom, he affirmed his judgment.

When the suspicion was confirmed, Chen Qiaoshan felt an indescribable pleasure in his heart, this was the first time he used the empirical means he learned to prove an economic problem, and he actually refuted the argument of an academic master, which made him a little overwhelmed for a while.

Chen Qiaoshan likes this feeling very much, which is more pleasant than making money, and he even has a faint doubt in his heart, does he really have an economic intuition?

Soon, Chen Qiaoshan let go of other thoughts, and he was eager to make his discovery public.

Yan Xiaoqin's reaction was very flat, "Are you mistaken, Professor Li is a well-known scholar, why don't you take a look again, is there something wrong?"

Chen Qiaoshan didn't give up, and called Sun Guangming again, Sun Fatzi's words almost made him vomit blood.

"Dashan, I think it's more reliable for you to put your mind on the stock market, you can't eat or drink economics, and it's still real to make money. ”

……

Chen Qiaoshan felt a little bitter, and he couldn't share his success with others, which was a good night walk, which was very frustrating.

He racked his brains, but he didn't come up with a good way, the argumentation process was not up to the paper, and it was estimated that no journal could look up to his tofu blocks.

After pondering for a long time, Chen Qiaoshan finally had an idea, he sent his discovery to Shuimu Tsinghua BBS, so that the people next door could see who the truth was, and for this reason, he also specially signed the name of Peking University Qiaoshan.

As soon as the post was sent, it was noticed, and the result was tragic, without exception, the reply was a ridicule of Yishui.

"Qiao Shan, Peking University, you have a brain disease, do you know who Professor Li is, that is a distinguished professor, doctoral supervisor, do you know how many catties and taels you have?"

"Ignore him, I can't stay at Peking University, and I can't feel comfortable running to Tsinghua University. ”

This is quite polite, even so, Chen Qiaoshan is so angry that the roots of his teeth itch.

Yan Xiaoqin was also very helpless, "I told you a long time ago, you are uncomfortable." ”

Chen Qiaoshan felt very aggrieved, and after thinking about it, he finally understood that there were only a few people in BBS who understood economics after all, so he had to think about it differently.

There are more and more replies to the post, but they are all ridiculous remarks, Chen Qiaoshan's temperament has risen, don't you believe it, I'll play a big game for you today.

If you want to do it, Chen Qiaoshan grabbed the phone and dialed the phone of the familiar Sohu editor,

The process is not very smooth, although last time I only deleted the post of Peking University Qiaoshan, but Sohu is somewhat taboo, and although the content this time has something to do with finance, it seems a little unprofessional.

"In this way, the manuscript is sent under my real name, this is always okay, right?"

"The key is that we are a financial website, not a journal or magazine!" Jia Yinan, editor of Sohu, was also a little helpless.

Chen Qiaoshan had no choice but to make a big move: "You help me send the manuscript, and I will send you a big news." ”

"What's the news?" the other party was visibly skeptical.

Chen Qiaoshan didn't hesitate, "I've seen Tang Wanxin himself. ”

As soon as he finished speaking, there was a burst of inhalation on the other end of the phone, no wonder, the crisis of Delong's system is still continuing, and Tang Wanxin has become a key point, which is really big news.

"Are you kidding? When did you meet and where did you meet?" the person on the other side was obviously a sensible person, and the questions were all on point.

"Don't worry, as long as my manuscript is on the headlines of Sohu Finance, I will tell you the exact news of Tang Wanxin. ”

"Qiao Shan, there is no such thing as you, we are also old friends, are there such a trick as you? You still want to make headlines in this draft, you don't have a fever, right?" Jia Yinan was obviously a little unhappy.

"Just kidding. Chen Qiaoshan said with a smile: "In this way, just give a better layout, don't stuff it into the corners." ”

"It's pretty much the same!" Jia Yinan agreed, and the matter was settled.

The next day, a piece of news appeared on the page of Sohu Finance, with a good position and a terrifying title: "On the Agricultural Subsidy of Professor Li Daokui", signed by Chen Qiaoshan.

As soon as the news came out, Peking University and Tsinghua University became lively at the same time.