Statistics believes that when the changes of two sets of data show a certain pattern, it is said that there is a correlation between them, if it increases at the same time, it is positive, and if one increases and the other decreases, it is negative.

Statistics, however, make it clear that correlation does not mean that there is a causal association between two things.

Correlation is only an objective description of the relationship between two sets of data, and whether there is an actual connection between the meaning of the data representation cannot be directly seen from the data. In order to see the causal relationship, it is no longer enough to rely on data statistics and analysis, it is necessary to spend a lot of effort to design controlled experiments, strictly control the variables, and then analyze the experimental results to be able to see it.

For example, the "reduction of pirates leads to global warming" propagated by the Flying Noodles is a deliberate fallacy. While statistics can confirm that there is a negative correlation between the number of pirates and global temperatures, it does not lead to a causal relationship between the two, and everything has to be determined by experimentation.

Fortunately, there is basically no need to do this experiment, you just need to think about it in your mind: count how many pirates have decreased each year, artificially supplement the appropriate number of pirates into it, so that the number of pirates in the world remains the same, and then continue to observe the changes in the global average temperature, if the temperature continues to rise, it means that the number of pirates has nothing to do with global warming, otherwise it is related, and then scientists are busy.

However, the Flying Noodles Sect has long noticed this "bug loophole", and they have long announced, "The pirate saints we are talking about are the kind of classical pirates, and those armed fishermen in Somalia are not our followers of the Flying Noodles Sect", and increasing production will not help control global warming, or waste less trees!

However, the retired physicist's study, because of the lack of control data on the control variables, did not have any scientific significance at all.

It is also for this reason that after the broadcast of this documentary, the elbows and their pro-conversion factions have not yet opened their mouths to fight back, but scientists in other fields can't stand it anymore, and they have jumped out to say that there are serious logical loopholes and common sense problems in this film. Oh my God, if it were so simple to do scientific research, my grandparents would have published a bunch of papers on "Love of ice cream leads to an increased chance of drowning", "Children who often eat lobsters have high intelligence", and "Christmas lights cause Wi-Fi speed to weaken"! The anti-smog team of the Ministry of Environmental Protection would not have rushed to find trouble with coal-fired boilers, car exhaust, and rural straw frying vegetable oil pots!

It can be said that Xiao Cui's head is quite in place, which leads to a big change in the situation on the field in an instant. Originally, they were the reasonable party, GMO does have some hidden dangers, and consumers' right to know should indeed be respected, but then he did not work hard in this regard, did not do to promote more food companies to improve labeling, and mark more content in detail, which is a good thing for the benefit of the country and the people, but really went to the US imperialists to study the harm of GMO. However, the evidence he came up with was very deceitful, for example, a woman in the film said that she ate organic food for a month, and then her cancer disappeared immediately.

In fact, such solitary evidence does not have much research value, because it cannot be reproduced.

Just like the popular "drinking urine therapy" among some people at home and abroad, many people say that "drinking their own urine can make up for the lost vitality, and can prevent cancer and prolong life". Although those people are convincing and use their longevity and illness and drinking urine in public to prove their views, there are always a few people who follow their example and do this cup of soup. Even if "urine therapy" is indeed effective, it still cannot be generalized to other people, otherwise humans would not need to urinate for a long time.

Similarly, the case of the American aunt can only prove that "she can cure cancer by eating organic food", but does not prove that genetically modified organisms are bad. What's funny is that next Xiao Cui found a bird and gave it two piles of corn kernels, one of which was said to be ordinary corn kernels, and the other was genetically modified corn kernels, but the bird ate the pile of ordinary corn first, trying to use this to confirm that "genetically modified birds don't eat it!"

Again, this is a very unscientific experiment, because other factors that are uncontrollable have not been ruled out. First of all, it needs to be repeated many times to eliminate the randomness of a single experiment, secondly, to check the two corn kernels to ensure that their appearance, color and smell are the same, to avoid discrimination because the kernels are too large and too yellow, and then in order to eliminate the interference of the taste, diet and habits of a single bird in the experiment, more birds have to be brought in for testing, and finally in order to avoid "observer preference" , should also hide the experimenter, do not tell him which of the two corn kernels in his hand is genetically modified, and then let him do the experiment to determine whether the bird is anorexic genetically modified corn.

In real life, people find that there is a phenomenon of "observer preference", that is, the experimental results will be biased in the direction expected by the experimenter, not that everyone has the ability to interfere with reality and make their wishes come true, but that people's thinking habits will cause everyone to "give priority" to see what they want to see, for example, the teacher sees that the whole body of the top students is an advantage, in fact, he just subconsciously ignores the shortcomings of the top students. In order to eliminate human interference as much as possible, "double-blind trials" or even "triple-blind trials" are specially designed.

This is why "lab mice" are more valuable than everyone thinks, and the living conditions of these specially bred laboratory animals are strictly controlled to minimize the interference of individual differences in experimental results. It's not that you can just catch a mouse from outside and go back to the experiment, and a simple anatomical study doesn't make much sense.

However, even if someone popularizes a bunch of modern experimental theories for Xiao Cui, with the one million dollars he paid out of his own pocket, he doesn't want to explain this matter clearly. In the end, he could only put forward a general statement that "organic food is good, it is good, and genetically modified food is bad, and it is bad".

As the majority shareholder of organic food manufacturer Jiajing Food, it is said that Atletico Madrid should be on Xiao Cui's side, but his ass did not sit on the reverse side, but he did not stand on the side of the elbow brother either.

In the final analysis, Jiajing Group's food business is not important, this company is very similar to today's Yahoo, its own business continues to shrink to contribute little to the company's revenue, income depends on the annual dividends of Ali shares under the name, Jiajing's source of income is naturally the dividends of bees, as for its own business, it is more like a toy.

As an atypical food producer, in Atletico's view, the popularity of genetically modified crops is an inevitable trend, because the cost advantage is too obvious. The so-called organic food, in fact, like Swiss watches, has been defeated by industrially produced quartz watches and even mobile phones on the frontal battlefield, but it is dressed in the coat of "handmade and craftsman spirit", trying to survive in the high-end market.

With today's population and food consumption scale, it is a pipe dream for the whole people to eat organic food without pesticides, fertilizers, additives and genetically modified organisms, because the reason why they were defeated and eliminated was because of low cost and high output, and now the population is more and the demand is greater, and the contradiction between supply and demand is more serious.

For example, the soybean oil in the supermarket is basically imported from Brazil or Canada, while the local Northeast soybeans have long been poured on the cost issue.

Traditional breeding technology, said to be the best of the best, strong combination, its essence is still "relying on the sky to eat", researchers can not artificially control the genetic mutation of animals and plants, can only after the emergence of excellent characteristics, through screening, hybridization, grafting and other technologies to try to retain these naturally occurring excellent characteristics, the so-called space radiation breeding, chemical mutagenesis breeding, but also only with physical or chemical methods to accelerate the genetic mutation of animals and plants, the direction of mutation is still random and uncontrollable.

This uncertainty has been greatly improved after the development of genetic engineering technology, and what excellent traits can be cut and glued into with genetic scissors (in fact, it is more complicated, many traits are controlled by multiple genes), so as to obtain the crops and animals that people have been looking forward to.

This is also the reason why, as the country of origin of soybeans, local soybeans are no match for foreign genetically modified soybeans, because we are still relying on traditional breeding, but people have used tall genetic engineering technology.

Moreover, there is no doubt that as scientists study genetic engineering technology more deeply, in addition to a few existing cotton, soybean and rape, there will be more genetically modified crops in our lives, which is an irreversible historical trend, not something that some people's disgust and obstruction can prevent. What the rebels can do is to ask the merchants to clearly label the genetically modified raw materials and give them the right to know and choose, but you have the freedom not to buy GMOs, and the merchants also have the freedom not to sell organic food...... In the end, the result is still the same.

In Atletico's view, the best way to resist GMO is not to oppose it verbally, but to tighten the belt.

It is the increasing consumption of modern people that has given rise to market demand for related agricultural products, which in turn encourages seed companies to develop new varieties of crops with higher yields, disease resistance and herbicide tolerance. Therefore, the source of everything, in fact, is in the consumer, if everyone wears one less clothes, pours one less spoonful of oil, and saves two or two meters, the accumulation will naturally reduce the consumption of the corresponding products in the whole society, and then it is naturally "no trading, no killing".

It's just that he also knows very well that this kind of expectation is impossible to realize, just like everyone knows that if you buy a big house, you will become a house slave and work for the bank for half your life, and you still don't want to study like the island country in the east, living in a small house, sleeping on the floor, and using small furniture.

Therefore, Atletico Madrid can only launch the "Simple Meal Disc Action" on the bee neck, calling on everyone to "change small bowls, dry discs, eat less, eat well, and eat all", advocating healthier living habits.

Originally, the "disc action" that emerged last year was more of a call for everyone to save more, order less food, not more canteens, and not do more kitchens, but Atletico's new version is trying to connect this activity with the current problem of genetically modified organisms.

However, his blatant behavior this time did not achieve any effect in the end, and the two sides of the reversal and reversal of the polemic are still tearing up at all levels from the Internet to reality, and the people who follow him on the neck to "change small bowls and dry discs" are still fewer than those who dry food before meals, after all, there is too much difference in appearance.

On the contrary, it was his simple meal disc action, and he also attracted some sunspots, and some people sent a scarf to say that Boss Ma advocated "changing small bowls and drying CDs", completely because their family's "foodie tribe" had just completed the "reduction but price increase" recently, and they were making excuses for their own black hearts.

God is pitiful, although the online takeaway foodie tribe is indeed invested by Atletico Madrid, his purpose is just to add an O2O rice bowl icon to the panel of the honey chat bib, and he does not interfere with the operation of the former, and the other side is just adjusting the price independently according to the seasonal supply.

So there was no incident where "the emperor was furious when he heard it, ordered a thorough investigation, and then the chickens and dogs jumped over the wall". Compared with Bee's own businesses, this online fast food is just a trick after all.

After a brief explanation, Atletico Madrid stopped paying attention to the scarf, talking about the world record certification from his scarf that successfully won the world's largest number of followers and the world's most sent content microblog, netizens found that the frequency of updating the bib every day began to decline "rapidly".

Although compared with other so-called diligent bloggers, Atletico still has enough water, but it is like turning from the Amazon River into a fire hydrant, and the drastic drop in the number of updates has attracted many users' complaints, but there are not many netizens who have unfollowed and returned fans, and the number of fans of Atletico Madrid is still very stable, in fact, real users are growing slowly, and the bees have taken out some AI zombie fans at the same time, so that the total amount is no longer increasing.

In the study, Tang Jiayi's eyes crossed Atletico Madrid's shoulder, looked at the monitor on the table, and couldn't help frowning and asked: "Is this warship our product? Why haven't I heard of it? And what is this big bird?"

The screen was showing the production and sales of bee hardware products in February, and Tang Jiayi glanced at it by chance when she came in, and saw two strange names, the warship and the big bird, which led to the above dialogue.

"The warship is the military version of the Shenchuan 2 mobile phone," Atletico shook back with a familiar expression, "and the big bird is a bionic flapping wing robot." ”

These two products are the first attempts of Bee to get involved in military products, the former is a strengthened version of the Shenchuan mobile phone, which strengthens the ruggedness and battery life, and is replaced with a streamlined Bee 2 system, which is a special "open source" version like Big Bird's control system, which is specially open to military customers for inspection and customization.

Theoretically, after the completion of the first batch of orders, the other party can completely get rid of the bees and find other suppliers, but now the second batch of orders is already in production and delivery, and the quantity is several times more than the first batch, which obviously shows that the troops are very satisfied with the bees' products and are willing to continue to cooperate. For mobile phone users, please visit http://m.piaotian.net