Chapter 1761 Prospects
In the face of the leaders of the municipal party committee, Bao Feiyang did not have the slightest stage fright, and started his report in a clear manner: "Let's not talk about other places in the country for the time being, let's just say that our Pujiang City, as the most economically developed municipality directly under the central government in the country, has our economic development level, urban construction level, and industrial technology level...... There is also a huge gap compared to developed countries. ”
"The gap is not terrible, the gap just shows our development potential......"
"For example, in the automobile industry, the total sales volume of automobiles in the country in '98 was more than 1.6 million, while the number of civilian cars in China was only about 13 million, compared with the number of automobiles in the United States exceeded 200 million, nearly 20 times that of ours......
It is hard for people to imagine that just a dozen years later, the annual production of automobiles in China will exceed 20 million, nearly 30 million. In other words, more than ten years later, the number of cars produced in China every year will be more than twice the number of cars owned in the country now. And this is the potential! Bao Feiyang can't tell anyone else about this data, but by comparing it with the United States and European countries, he can let everyone see this potential.
The comparison of the data is very real, and the huge gap between more than 10 million vehicles and 200 million vehicles is enough to make people despair. However, it also illustrates China's growth potential.
"The situation in our country is different from that of the United States, but the overall trend of the development of productive forces and the needs of production and life is still the same. With the development of China's economy, whether it is the transportation of goods or the requirements of people's travel, the demand for automobiles will grow rapidly. ”
"Therefore, even if the domestic automobile market is not sluggish, we have enough reason to believe that the future of this market must be very promising. We can't expect China's auto industry to reach the level of the United States soon, but I think that in the future, China's car ownership and annual production and sales will definitely surpass that of the United States, after all, we have a population of 1.2 billion, and the scale of this market is incomparable to that of the United States. And in the next 10 years, at most 20 years, we will have more than 100 million, more than 200 million cars, which will be a very huge market. ”
"Another example is the real estate industry, at present, China's per capita housing area is only 17.8 square meters, compared with the United States, the United States per capita housing area as high as 60 square meters, the United Kingdom, Germany in Europe has reached 38 square meters, even in Japan, where the population density is larger, the per capita housing area has reached 31 square meters......
Bao Feiyang said: "If China's per capita housing area increases by one square every year, it will be necessary to build more than one billion square meters of houses, in fact, China's rural population now accounts for the majority, with the process of urbanization, the urban population will be more and more, the annual construction of housing area will reach more than one billion, or even billions of square meters, and the development of the real estate industry, the demand for building materials, including steel, will also skyrocket......"
"Hehe, I probably know why Comrade Feiyang, you were able to persuade the Germans to come and invest, your pie is really big enough!" said Deputy Secretary Tao Ran with a smile.
"I remember that the central government did introduce policies to stimulate and promote the development of the automobile industry, but since the beginning of this year, the response of the automobile market is still tepid, and there should be some distance from the full launch, and the situation of real estate is about ......."
Bao Feiyang said with a smile: "It's not that I'm painting cakes, but I have confidence in the development of Huaxia!"
Bao Feiyang said: "On the basis of 10 million vehicles, it seems far away to look forward to 100 million vehicles. But when we look back 20 years ago, 10 years ago, didn't we think that 10 million was an unattainable number?"
"The rapid development of the past 20 years shows that we have the potential to catch up with the United States and the United Kingdom, even if the process is a bit long, but I always believe that we will be able to reach that height, or even surpass ......."
Bao Feiyang said: "Let's still talk about the automotive industry, with the increase in automobile production, it will inevitably lead to an increase in demand for automotive steel plates...... At present, China's automotive steel plate still needs to be imported, and with the development of the automobile industry, the demand for automotive steel plate will continue to increase. The same is true for the steel industry, such as stainless steel and seamless steel pipes. ”
"After the financial crisis, the world economy fell into a downturn, and a large amount of capital was dormant and looking for new investment opportunities. As far as industrial capital is concerned, enterprises are facing difficulties in business and are also looking for new opportunities for development, and this is also our opportunity! Therefore, during this trip to Europe, we were able to persuade European iron and steel enterprises to invest in China! This is also the reason why we plan the project of 10 million tons of steel production base!
Bao Feiyang said: "Although the domestic steel industry is limiting production, the total supply is oversupply, resulting in oversupply in the market. But this surplus stems from the unreasonable product structure, in some products, there is still a shortage in the domestic market, such as the automotive steel we just mentioned, as well as the stainless steel and seamless steel pipes we want to launch this time. ”
"Therefore, in the case of overcapacity in the domestic steel industry, we also want to launch the logic of tens of millions of tons of steel production base lies in these two points, one is based on the overall judgment of the macro economy out of the trough and into the stage of rapid development, and the other is based on the unreasonable product structure of the steel industry, the current situation of shortage of some products, Huixun District 10 million tons of steel base project is based on filling the shortage of the domestic market, focusing on the future planning, which is in line with the ...... of the national planning of the steel industry."
"I have two questions......"
Deputy Secretary Tao Ran said: "The first problem is that the central government has proposed that this year's steel output should be limited to 10 percent, and Pujiang City also has the same index. But should the whole process of steelmaking project also be built? How big is the scale? Will the central government support it? and ...... If this base can really be built, how should the steel industry in Pujiang be adjusted, and what should be done with other steel plants except for Pugang'......s decision to relocate?
There is also resistance in the city to the 10-million-ton steel base plan submitted by Huixun District, with opponents arguing that it is difficult to get support from the central government in the context of the state's proposal to limit production. In '98, the country's crude steel output was 114 million tons, and if the project in Huixun District is completed, the 10-million-ton production capacity will almost be able to directly increase the national steel production capacity by 9 percent.
However, Bao Feiyang also has the confidence that the national production limit is the surplus wire rod and other products, and the automotive steel, stainless steel, seamless steel pipe and other projects are still supported, and the focus of the 10 million tons of steel base project in Huixun District is these products with relatively high technical content and have not been fully mastered in China.
Tao Ran did not oppose these projects, whether it is from the introduction of foreign capital or to fill the gap in the market, these projects are of great benefit to Pujiang City. The question raised by Tao Ran is related to the limitation of steel production capacity in Pujiang City, as well as the adjustment of iron and steel enterprises.
According to the relevant national production restriction policy, the stainless steel, seamless steel pipes and automotive steel introduced by Pujiang City are not in the ranks of production restrictions, on the contrary, the central government will also support the introduction of such projects. But in addition to these projects, in the construction of the 10 million ton steel base proposed by Bao Feiyang, it also includes a 5 million ton long-process steelmaking project. The so-called long-process steelmaking is to start from iron ore, through beneficiation, washing, smelting, to the final steeling, rolling, compared with long-process steelmaking, the introduction of stainless steel projects, does not include steelmaking, but the purchase of crude steel, by adding other metals, direct production of stainless steel, this is a short process. In addition, electric furnace steel, which has been more in the United States in recent years, is made of steel through scrap smelting, which is also a short-process steelmaking.
As a supporting project for stainless steel, seamless steel pipes and automotive steel, it seems reasonable and logical to have a set of long-process steelmaking projects. But with the entire steel industry having to limit production, the project may not necessarily be approved, after all, once the project is completed, it will be at least five million tons of crude steel production. The central government also has clear regulations on new steel projects, that is, while building new production capacity, it is necessary to complete the elimination of corresponding backward production capacity. That is to say, if Huixun District wants to build this 5 million tons of long-process steelmaking project, then Pujiang City must reduce 5 million tons of backward production capacity, which is almost equivalent to the entire production capacity of several major steel enterprises in Pujiang City, such as Lao Pugang Iron and Steel and Chunshan Iron and Steel and Jiangnan Iron and Steel.
Tao Ran is not opposed to stainless steel, seamless steel pipes, automotive steel projects, and even he is not opposed to the relocation of Pudong Iron and Steel and the construction of new plants, but he is opposed to the direct launch of five million tons of long-process steelmaking, he believes that after the relocation of Pudong Iron and Steel, it is appropriate to expand and build a steelmaking capacity of two million tons to meet the needs of several joint venture projects, and the rest can also be provided by several other steel companies in Pujiang City, which can also drive several steel plants to develop together.
"There is another problem, that is, investment!" Secretary Tao Ran continued: "A 10-million-ton steel project must have high standards and a high starting point, with a total investment of three or four hundred billion yuan, which is a big project. In addition to introducing a part of foreign capital, in order to ensure the dominance of the project, we must at least come up with a matching investment, that is, at least more than 20 billion yuan of investment, how to solve the problem ......of these money?