0461 Dilemma

Xu Yi thought about all aspects of the village, but in the end, he also felt that only the knowledge of agriculture, forestry, or animal husbandry, which was more closely related to the livelihood of the village, was what he really should consider. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. biquge。 info

Except for some young people in the village, they couldn't stand being poor, so they simply gritted their teeth and left their hometowns to work in other places. But after all, because I have no skills, I can only rely on physical strength to eat, but I can always earn more than farming. Most of the remaining people still face the loess with their backs to the sky, living a living by digging in the soil and watching the sky eat.

Although there is much more land per capita than those villages and towns outside the mountains, most of the fields in the villages are thin and the yield is not high. In particular, the depression under the dam is particularly susceptible. In addition, the price of grain has not been too prosperous in recent years, so relying only on farming can at best support the family. Not to mention making a fortune, it is quite difficult to achieve a well-off life.

No matter what time it is, food is a necessity for social development. Although prices are relatively stable, after all, they have to face the current situation of liberalizing grain prices, and they also have to be affected by the market.

With accession to WTO, food prices are also increasingly affected by global food price fluctuations. Under the impact of imported low-priced grain, the downward trend of local grain prices will inevitably become greater and greater. Comparing international and domestic grain prices, it is not difficult to find that grain prices will continue to fall for a long time in the future.

According to the trend of the past few years, only corn has risen in price. And this is due to the rapid development of the aquaculture industry and the new energy industry, and the increase in the demand for raw corn. The prices of the remaining such as wheat, soybeans and rice have not kept pace with the pace of currency over-issuance, and even soybean planting has shown a contraction of the whole industry under the impact of imported cheap soybean feed, and now there are not many soybeans in the three eastern provinces.

Xu Yi returned to the traditional Chinese medicine hospital after reporting to the school at the beginning of the year, and when he returned to the village, he heard that there were several families who wanted to change the paddy fields back to dry fields to grow corn. He is also a little worried that it is okay to change from dry land to paddy field, but if the paddy field is changed to dry land, there will be problems such as easy compaction due to changes in soil properties for a few years, which will greatly affect the yield. It's okay to change blindly like this, and it's okay to grit your teeth and get through it for a year or two. But in case the industry adjusts at that time, and corn can't avoid price reduction, should it be changed back?

However, until the rice planting was completed, they did not move, and it seems that they are not ready to toss this year, but they don't know what will happen in the future.

Xu Yi is not uncannibalistic, he has been in the countryside for more than ten or twenty years since he was a child, and he understands their hardships. Although it seems that the income of planting paddy fields is higher, compared with dry fields, paddy fields consume more labor, fertilizer, diesel, etc., and it is not so easy to sell grain during the harvest season. Especially in the past few years, grain prices have not risen much, but contract fees, fertilizers, labor and so on have risen gradually.

Taking rice planting as an example, in the past, it was enough to hire someone to plant seedlings for 30 or 50 yuan a day, but now when you are in a hurry to farm, you can get more than 200 yuan a day for hiring people to replenish seedlings.

If you really rely on hand-transplanting seedlings, the good hands will only have more than one acre of land a day at most, and then you have to count the seeds and fertilizers, how much can be left of this acre of land? Especially for farmers who have no one at home and no car, it will be difficult to plant less to feed their own family, not to mention that if there is a disaster, it will be a problem for the family to wear old snacks. And the cost of farming is not low, if it is affected by disasters year after year, it is really impossible to even grow land.

Revenues remain unchanged and production costs increase. If you hire all the people, the net income from growing rice is lower than that from growing corn, and even if you do it yourself, the extra money you earn is not enough for hard money.

Looking at it this way, it is like the place below the dam in my own house, where the terrain is relatively low-lying, and the surrounding water control water and the water seeping from the dam are flowing towards it. As a result, the ground temperature is very low all year round, which seriously affects the growth of crops.

Even if it rains for two days, it looks white and vast, not to mention that the seedlings are all submerged in the water, and even children can swim there, how can this land be planted?

Therefore, even if the young people in the village are adults and can't get the land, no one cares about that large area of low-lying land, and would rather go out to work than stay in the soil to dig food.

Now most of the people in the village are old, and these people can farm for a few more years. If they really can't do it, what will they live on?

Therefore, if you want to increase your income, you have to change the traditional planting model in the village.

Thinking about it now, Xu Yi feels that it is more appropriate for his village to develop industries such as fruit tree planting and breeding according to local conditions. Although these may not make a lot of money, it is much better than burying one's head in the land. With the improvement of living standards, the market for these daily necessities and non-necessities will only get bigger and bigger, so as long as the products are good, they will not worry about selling.

Although these things are also affected by WTO accession, unlike commodities such as grain, which are easy to store and transport, whether it is fruit or livestock products, the cost of transportation and preservation remains high, and they are more likely to be controlled by customs, and the combined cost of most fruits is still much more expensive than local production.

The varieties grown locally can be much lower than the storage and transportation costs, and they have a certain price advantage, and the relative profit margin is greater than that of imported fruits, and relatively speaking, they can withstand the impact of the market.

Even if the quality is passed, it is not impossible to compete in the international market!

So many hills in my village are deserted, and in fact, I am wasting a lot of resources. Although some of these hills have some soil erosion due to human factors decades ago, and some of them are quite serious, as long as they are willing to invest, most of the mountains can still be transformed so that they are ready to grow fruit trees.

Of course, this is just my own idea, and if I really do it, I have to see what the people in the village think.

However, it will not be difficult to implement here, after all, the events of the early years are still vivid, and I am afraid that the people in the village will inevitably talk about the color change of the tree.

And even if your idea is reliable, it is not so simple to do, and planting fruit trees is not just about buying a few saplings and planting them, waiting for the fruit to be sold for money.

It can be said that there are other factors restricting the planting of fruit trees in the village: such as the cost of inputs, such as daily management, and then business risks. Taken together, the biggest impact of these constraints is still a problem of marketing.

In the early years, it was just the reform and opening up, and the fruit planting and breeding industry should be said to be in short supply, as long as it can be shipped out, most of it can still be sold at a good price.

It should be said that his village has caught up with the good times, but the leaky house was rained overnight, and various factors were superimposed, which led to the final tragedy. Good agricultural extension turned into a political show, leaving a mess in the village.

Xu Yi also scratched his head a little, he was not familiar with this thing, and he had no clue, how to solve this sales problem was a difficult point.

If you can't solve this sales problem, you will go on the horse regardless of it, and this ending is estimated to have to repeat the reproduction of the story of the previous year, and you will wait for the people in the village to poke your backbone.

Really relying on my own small store to solve the sales problem, that is a joke in a joke. I don't know what will happen after the business opens, and I don't know how much fruit will be digested even if the business is good - but it will definitely be less than the output of the village.

What I can think of is that now that we are joining the WTO, it can be said that domestic fruit sales will inevitably have a trend of global procurement. It can be said that now as long as you have money, you can basically buy all kinds of fruits all year round, and it can be said that the characteristics of seasonal supply of fruits no longer exist.

Not only that, but now even the merchants who sell fruits are also engaged in chain management and implement group procurement. Undoubtedly, this has led them to occupy a larger share of the market, whether it is to combat competition or improve efficiency, they will always have to master many more sources than before, and not only focus on domestic production areas. What's more, I have also seen the news that they are also like supermarkets, contracting or buying large areas of land to build fruit bases to provide products for themselves.

In this way, it is undoubtedly a powerful tool to reduce costs and squeeze market share. Moreover, locally grown products inevitably have problems such as seasonality, centralized marketing, and even low yield and fruit quality. So it is obvious that the imbalance on the supply side will continue to increase even as rural reform progresses.

For example, fruits, in fact, it is foreseeable that this is the same as agricultural products, and will gradually become a place for predators to wield the big stick of capital to conquer cities.

As far as agricultural products are concerned, there is no unified purchase and marketing, and the prices of agricultural products have been affected by the market. After the implementation of the household responsibility system for the production of goods, although the enthusiasm for production has been increased and the distribution according to work has been reflected, it has also reduced the number of agricultural workers to zero.

Although the fragmented agricultural model is flexible in transformation, it has basically lost the ability to become bigger and stronger. This is not only a factor of weak capital, but also a reason for the inability to grasp the channels. The lonely peasants could not even grasp the market demand in a timely manner, so they could only be at the mercy of the market, and in the end they ended up with the tragic result that they could not sell what they planted and what they raised.

And merchants, who have mastered the channels, undoubtedly have mastered higher and higher market pricing power. So even if all the fruit on the tree rots on the tree, the fruit in the supermarket still tells you to avoid it - for fear that you won't be able to lose money if you break it.

"What you buy is cheap, what you buy is not expensive" is the advertisement of the two-dollar store on the street, but the reality is the era of "what you sell is cheap, and what you buy is expensive". If you encounter a high-end product that is really scarce or hyped up, even a cabbage potato can be so expensive that it makes you doubt your life.

The economic principle that capital is king has made farmers completely eliminated, and at best it can only become a part of the industrial chain that sells cheap labor under the gimmick of "company + farmer".

Therefore, I really want the people in the village to change the planting model, and really make money and live a good life. First of all, I have to find a way to solve the most critical sales problem on the line of production, supply and marketing, so as to break the price monopoly and really let the villagers achieve the goal of increasing production and income.