After eating, he talked to Xu Shangxiu and Li Biting for a while, and while learning to find a set of spare keys for Xu Shangxiu, he picked up his mobile phone and car keys and said, "You two go to bed early, and I'll come back tomorrow morning." ”

The house is so big, Xu Shangxiu didn't expect Bian Xuedao to leave, leaving the home to his sisters. Standing at the door and watching Bian Xuedao go out, she was very grateful for Bian Xuedao's trust in her, and also grateful for Bian Xuedao's respect for her.

Before going out, Bian Xuedao said: "Upstairs on the right hand side is the guest room, I have boiled the hot water, you can take a bath and then go to sleep in a while, relieve fatigue." ”

The door closed, Li Biting ran to the window, watched Bian Xuedao walk out of the unit door, get in the car, and drive out of the community. Then he jumped back to Xu Shangxiu's side, held Xu Shangxiu and said, "Sister, he's gone, I want to take a bath, do you wash it first or I wash it first?"

Xu Shangxiu said: "You wash it first, I'll clean up the living room." ”

When Li Biting was taking a shower in the bathroom, Xu Shangxiu cleaned up the coffee table and sofa, then sat on the carpet, flipped through the photo album of Bian Xuedao page by page, and carefully looked at his every expression and movement in the photo, like looking at his strange 20 years before knowing Bian Xuedao.

Li Biting came out of the bathroom with a bath towel, poured a glass of water, sat on the sofa, looked at Xu Shangxiu, who had put away the album, and whispered: "Sister, do you think there will be a camera or something in this house......?"

Xu Shangxiu looked at Li Biting speechlessly: "What do you think about every day in your little brain?"

Li Biting said with a smile: "No matter, I like that kind of grandma's, cute boys, Bian Xuedao is too rough, if he suddenly slips back in the middle of the night, you will deal with him." ”

Xu Shangxiu came over and grabbed Li Biting's water glass: "Li Biting, you talk nonsense, you sleep on the sofa tonight." ”

……

Back to the Red Mansion.

Bian Xuedao called Yang Enqiao and told him Xu Shangxiu's ID number, asking him to book a first-class cabin to fly to Shudu on the weekend.

Originally, Bian Xuedao wanted to accompany Xu Shangxiu to fly to Shudu together, and the earthquake-resistant building had been gone for half a year, so he should go over and walk around in person to see the specific progress and construction quality. But in Europe in July and in Wutai Mountain in August, it is not a matter for Songjiang to be so unmanaged.

After making the call, Bian Xuedao continued to pursue his search career on the Internet.

When he was in Wutai Mountain, he realized that it was his mistake not to systematically understand the history of this time and space before 2001, and after returning to Songjiang, he had to search the Internet for news before 2001 almost every night.

As I watched and organized, there were more and more things written on the paper, the lines became clearer and clearer, and the time spent thinking about the Tao became longer and longer.

When interspersing Zhu Haishan's life manuscript ~ into the historical process of this time and space, Bian Xuedao sighed in his heart: Sure enough!

……

And so it was.

Wutai Mountain, in the hut where Zhu Haishan was retreating, looking at the information sent back by the Zhu family from the United States, and deducing it for a day and a night, Zhu Haishan judged that what Bian Xuedao said was true.

Zhu Haishan has not had a high degree of education in his life, but he has rich experience in financial practice and his understanding of the financial field is no worse than that of some experts.

In fact, by mid-2006, the subprime mortgage crisis was already on the horizon in the U.S. financial sector, and some people were aware of the source of the crisis, with the difference that there were certain illusions about the magnitude of the storm, or that the U.S. government's intervention would defuse it.

However, Bian Xuedao has made it clear that the subprime mortgage crisis that has swept the world will last from now until the end of 2011, because by the end of 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Index and the Subprime Mortgage Index in the United States will return to their pre-crisis levels.

He also told Zhu Haishan that in this crisis, there was a shortage of liquidity, the US economy was severely impacted, and the financial markets of various countries were hit in an all-round way. In addition, the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis is far-reaching, and the crisis continues to spread, gradually spreading from the private sector to the public sector in other countries, and many countries in Europe and the United States will encounter the opportunity of credit ~ use ~ crisis ~ and downgrade their sovereign ratings.

When the two communicated, Bian Xuedao explained in detail the scope, intensity and chain reaction of the subprime mortgage crisis, but he did not say anything about what to do.

He's hiding it.

I wish Haishan and Soros both fought each other in close combat, and they still don't know how to fish in troubled waters?

Bian Xuedao left Wutai Mountain less than half a month ago, and after exchanging more than a dozen emails with the family's top financial students, the Zhu family's economic think tank and some scholar friends, Zhu Haishan's plan gradually took shape.

First, the crisis. Affected by the imminent outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis, the economic growth of various countries will slow down, the unemployment rate will increase, and the consumption of consumer-oriented countries will be weak, so for China, the biggest and most direct impact is the decline in external demand and the lack of China's aggregate demand, so deflation is very likely to occur, and for the Zhujia, which has a huge shipping fleet and private ports, shipping and ports, if not adjusted in advance, will undoubtedly enter a cold winter.

Second, opportunities. If the subprime mortgage crisis really develops to the kind of Cheng Dù that Bian Xuedao said, it will directly lead to a sharp decline in the income of many financial giants in the United States and a sharp drop in stock prices. The irrational sell-off caused by short-term panic will greatly distort asset prices, and dollar assets will enter the "super fire" phase. In order to get rid of the huge bankruptcy pressure, the global mainstream financial institutions hit by the subprime mortgage crisis will have an increasingly high demand for capital, and in order to meet their own capital requirements, Wall Street financial institutions will be hungry for sovereign wealth funds and private funds from emerging market countries.

In Zhu Haishan's view, the financial services industry will become more and more international along with the internationalization of the real economy, and leading investment banks, commercial banks and other financial institutions will certainly operate in a deeper and broader scope around the world, which is a general trend that cannot be reversed by any financial and economic crisis. More importantly, the financial industry is the core competitiveness of developed countries, and the political influence and voice of financial institutions in these countries are extremely prominent.

Under normal circumstances, Western developed countries are highly wary of large amounts of foreign capital entering their core financial firms, but in a crisis, this consideration will naturally give way to the need for capital. Therefore, the serious financial crisis that is about to break out in the United States has provided a rare opportunity for the Zhu family in a century.

If Zhu Jia and China can seize the opportunity of the subprime mortgage crisis, enter their core financial enterprises on a large scale when these countries are in urgent need of funds, and make certain equity investments in international mainstream financial institutions, they can obtain the right to know and even control the future actions of the institutions. In addition to being able to obtain such power, the Zhu family can also gain valuable business experience from the other party, which will be a very rare learning opportunity.

Bian Xuedao learned in advance about the subprime mortgage crisis, and the possible losses of the Zhujia shipping port were far less than the long-term strategic benefits that the Zhujia grasped and even affected those powerful financial interest groups.

More critically, if China's national think tank had known about the financial crisis in advance, launched its domestic demand plan in advance, and started to deal with the backflow of capital and the global economic slowdown in advance, the whole situation would have been completely different.

After getting up early to watch a spectacular sunrise, Zhu Haishan put the information in his hand into a small box, and then shook the copper bell at the door and called Ma Chengde.

In the hut, Zhu Haishan, who was neatly dressed, handed Ma Chengde a piece of paper, and wrote on the paper: Don't tell anyone, let's go back to Yanjing.

This time, I wish Haishan to return to Yanjing in violation of the oath, not for home, but for the country.

No matter how strong the family is, it is just a family, and the country is strong and can be born.

This is Zhu Haishan's feelings for his family and country.

……

……

(Careful readers will find that the title of each volume of the laity echoes the content of the novel in that volume, such as "Listening to the Thunder in a Silent Place" in the previous volume, and this volume is also the same.) Zhu Haishan, the golden finger, is not only to send money to Bian Xuedao, but to teach him by word and deed, and take him to turn over the clouds and rain, and let the laity understand that when the husband is alive, how can this life be in vain. ）

……

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