Chapter 1164: Double 11 Shopping Carnival
79, 80 two floors?!
Bian Xuedao was still chewing on the meaning of Zhu Zhichun's words, and Zhu Zhichun smiled and asked, "Are you still entertaining in Yanjing?"
Knowing that Zhu Zhichun was well-informed, he didn't answer and asked, "Why didn't I see you coming to the event?"
Zhu Zhichun sighed deliberately and said, "The collective activities of your rich generation are not welcome to people like me who rely on Zuyin. Pen | fun | pavilion www. biquge。 info”
Bian Xuedao smiled and teased: "Don't be modest, please don't move you, right?"
Zhu Zhichun said: "It's true, when you start talking about business, you will find that only the founder + helmsman of a business like you can keep up with the rhythm of those people, and the third-generation successor with limited resources at hand like me can't play with them at all." To put it bluntly, I can't represent the Zhu family, and it's in vain to talk to me about anything. ”
It really made Zhu Zhichun say.
After the warm-up of the afternoon dinner, in the cigar bar on the third floor of the hotel, I lit a cigar and smoked a few puffs, and the bigwigs began to talk about business.
There are about 6 small reception areas in the cigar bar, and there are 7 people sitting around the table in Bian Xuedao, and everyone else consciously avoids this area and does not interfere with the 7 people chatting.
Pan Shiyi was the first to speak, he looked at Bian Xuedao and said, "Mr. Bian, I heard that Youdao wants to buy a piece of land in Yanjing to build the Yanjing headquarters building?"
Bian Xuedao nodded: "Yes." ”
"Hit the Z2B of Chaoyang East Third Ring Road?" Pan Shiyi continued to ask.
Knowing that there are some things that can't be hidden, Bian Xuedao said: "I am indeed more optimistic about this land." ”
At this time, Liu Chuanzhi, who was sitting next to Pan Shiyi, interjected: "I heard that the water is very deep in the 9 plots of CBD this time, and I am afraid it is not easy to take." ”
Ma Yun knew relatively little about real estate, so he turned his head and asked Wang, "Do you want to make a move this time?"
Wang Shi nodded: "I will participate in it, but there is not much hope." ”
Bian Xuedao asked: "Why is there not much hope?"
Wang Shi pointed his finger at the ceiling and said, "The plot is basically decided before it is put up for auction, and it is not the rule of 'the highest price wins' at all." ”
"100% premium is not good?" asked Bian Xuedao.
"No matter how much money you pay, it's useless, but ......" Speaking of this, Wang Shi changed his words: "The positioning of CBD is the core of regional economic development, and the government hopes that the CBD plot will be held by the enterprise and built into a corporate headquarters building or financial complex, so I can't do it with Mr. Pan, but there is still hope for your way, but there are rumors that South Korea's Sanxing is very interested in Z2B, and it is almost inevitable to win, and you want to grab land with Sanxing, you need to do work in advance." ”
Bian Xuedao listened, leaned on the sofa chair with a cigar and said: "It's nothing if you can't shoot it, Youdao's headquarters building in Songjiang is enough, Yanjing is not in urgent need of office space, it's really not good, I want to find a way to buy Kaichen World Trade Center, enough for the branch." ”
Belch......
Bian Xuedao's statement surprised several other people.
In fact, Pan Shiyi came to this party to discuss with Bian Xuedao, so that Youdao Group and SOKO China could form a consortium to bid for the Z2B plot together. If it succeeds, it is good, but even if it is not successful, it can send a signal to the outside world that the two companies are aligned to a certain extent.
As a result, 10,000 didn't expect that Bian Xuedao was so "negative", and it seemed that he didn't take this piece of land to heart at all, so Pan Shiyi didn't know how to continue.
After a few seconds of silence, Liu Chuanzhi squinted his eyes and said: "The economic, political, and cultural environment of Songjiang are not suitable for corporate headquarters, especially for enterprises of this type of Youdao, and the headquarters is even more unsuitable for being located in Songjiang, so it is better to move out as soon as possible." If you feel that the local government is not easy to talk to, you can learn from Wanda, move the headquarters, and change the place of registration, which can be regarded as saving some face. ”
After Liu Chuanzhi finished speaking, Li Yanhong opened his mouth to participate in the topic: "Our company has a job market survey, which found that more than 80% of the students in Bac Giang Province who studied at Nanfang University stayed in the south to work and start a family after graduation, and more than 60% of the students trained by universities in Bac Giang Province went south to find jobs after graduation. During the company's internal meeting, it was discussed that the brain drain was so serious that the human resources of Bac Giang enterprises would definitely be affected, and everyone thought that it was a miracle that Youdao Group could rise in Songjiang. ”
Bian Xuedao dealt with Li Yanhong, and his my123 was sold to Li Yanhong. Time has changed, and the existence that made Bian Xuedao look up at the beginning is now touting each other on an equal footing, which feels very subtle.
Putting the cigar on the shelf, Bian Xuedao said: "The core of the problem in Songjiang, Bac Giang and even the three northern provinces is that the old state-owned enterprises are dominant, the efficiency is not as good as year after year, there is a monopoly chain in key industries, and private enterprises can only barely survive but cannot grow, resulting in the gradual flow of funds to the coastal areas where the rules of the game are fairer." There are few private enterprises, and if young people cannot rely on their family connections to squeeze into the 'good units in the system' that eat financially after graduation, they can only do some jobs with no career prospects, so they basically do not return to their hometowns when they are admitted to other universities, and become immigrants who vote with their feet, and those who go back are all those who can arrange 'good jobs' at home, in fact, these people have become resource recipients in the system after returning, and have neither brought vitality to Bac Giang, nor created wealth for Bac Giang. ”
A lot of the words come from the feelings and thoughts of Bian Xuedao in another time and space, and it is a bit of a contradiction to say it on this occasion, to be honest, but no one is more serious, because Bian Xuedao is a native of Beijiang, and he has the most right to speak about what Beijiang is like.
After a little more conversation, the topic shifted from overseas investment to shale oil.
Everyone here has all kinds of private investments, and if something happens on the "shale oil-oil" line, the global economy will sneeze, and many people will catch a cold.
Among the 7 people, not counting Bian Xuedao, Ma Yun and Liu Chuanzhi know the most about shale oil, but if you want to predict the prospects, you have to count Bian Xuedao's thinking is the clearest, because shale oil is in his "prophetic period".
Listening to Ma Yun's introduction to the five major shale oil-producing states of California, Alaska, Texas, Oklahoma, and North Dakota, Bian Xuedao decided to show his hand and let these bigwigs make sure that he was not in vain, and consolidate this circle of friends with high gold content.
You know, even if you don't need these people for the "Free Lunch", you can still use them when you wait for the "Ice Bucket Challenge".
Thereupon......
When asked whether the United States will let shale oil enter the stage of large-scale commercial development, Bian Xuedao said in his chest: "The United States will definitely vigorously promote the layout of the shale oil industry." ”
Hearing this, Liu Chuanzhi said: "I would like to hear it in detail." ”
Bian Xuedao picked up the cigar and smoked it while organizing the language: "The United States is the world's largest oil importer, with an annual crude oil import volume of 500 million tons, accounting for more than 60% of the U.S. crude oil consumption. If the commercial production of shale oil is successful, it will not only ensure the energy supply of the United States and reduce its dependence on foreign countries, but also create thousands of jobs in the United States, promote economic recovery, and help the United States get out of the financial crisis, and ......"
Taking a puff on his cigar, Bian Xuedao continued: "And shale oil can also hit the economies of Iran, Russia, Venezuela and other countries, and defeat opponents without blood." ”
Ma Yun asked: "Isn't it possible to strike at these countries along with the ally Saudi Arabia?"
"The United States has a tradition of betraying its allies, and Saudi Arabia will definitely fight back," Bian said. ”
Ma Yun asked: "Increase production and reduce price?"
Bian Xuedao nodded: "Oil is the lifeblood of a resource-based country like Saudi Arabia, and the shale oil that the United States has drummed up is very likely to change the global energy structure, which is subversive. Therefore, Saudi Arabia will certainly not be relentless, and will definitely let international oil prices plummet, and drive competitors and high-cost producers out of the market while shale oil companies are not yet growing, so as to defend market share. ”
Pan Shiyi asked: "How much can the price of oil be lowered, and how long can it last?"
Bian Xuedao shook his head and said: "I can't say how much, but I heard that the US shale oil uses hydraulic fracturing technology developed by companies such as Liberty-Resources and EOG-Resources (EOG-US), and after the oil is developed in this kind of well, the continuous production will decrease every month, and the annual attenuation rate will reach 60-70%, and secondary fracturing must be carried out to maintain production, which leads to the high cost of shale oil extraction." It has been estimated that the cost of shale oil production in the United States is between $30 and $60 per barrel, while the cost of oil production in Saudi Arabia is only $10 per barrel. When international oil prices fall to a certain level, U.S. shale oil producers, which have higher oil production costs, will be forced to reduce production or even withdraw from the market, so ...... The range of future oil prices is not too difficult to guess. ”
When the words fell, the gazes of several bigwigs looking at Bian Xuedao changed.
What they admire is not Bian Xuedao's logical thinking ability, but Bian Xuedao's keen sense of smell and erudition to new things. You know, the topic is random, it is impossible to do homework before coming, Bian Xuedao knows shale oil so well, it can only mean one thing, his vision is not limited to the business of Youdao Group, but look at the world, and always maintain a state of enterprising.
Interested in taking the school exam, Liu Chuanzhi asked: "What about after the oil war starts, and how will all parties respond?"
Bian Xuedao said calmly: "There is no unscathed victor in any war. The losses of several major oil producers must be very large, but Russia will not cut oil production, because oil revenues account for nearly half of the government's fiscal revenue. It is a matter of life and death, and Saudi Arabia will not reduce production, but will fight to the end. Both countries have considerable foreign exchange reserves, and they can hold on to foreign exchange for three to five years. And the United States does not have a state-owned oil company, and hundreds of large and small oil companies are affected by shale oil on the one hand, and low oil prices on the other, and life must be difficult. At the same time, the life of the US shale oil companies is not much better, for most shale oil investors, it is just a return-seeking business, and when low oil prices lead to low returns, investors will gradually withdraw and wait for shale oil companies to go bankrupt. Of course, the U.S. government may introduce some supportive policies to help shale oil companies recover, and then continue the war of attrition with Saudi Arabia and Russia. ”
When Liu Chuanzhi's cigar on the carriage went out, he picked up the cigar cutter, cut off the head of the cigar, put it in the cigar tube, and said: "Whatever China buys, the international market will rise, and what China sells, the international market will fall." If the oil war starts and the oil price really plummets, it will be an opportunity for us. ”
Half an hour later, Ma Yun found Bian Xuedao alone: "Your paper before gave me a lot of inspiration, next time you go to Hangzhou, you must come to Ali to have a look, I will sweep the couch to greet you." ”
Looking at Ma Yun in front of him, thinking that the Bordeaux cocktail party at the end of the month needed heavyweight guests, Bian Xuedao's heart moved, and said: "Regarding e-commerce, I have a small idea, the class has an axe, I don't know whether to talk about it or not." ”
Ma Yun Zhengse said: "Listen up. ”
After a few seconds of silence, Bian Xuedao said word by word: "What do you think of a large-scale online promotion called 'Double 11 Shopping Carnival' on November 11 every year?" )