Chapter 909: Brexit
There has always been a mysterious department under the GB department that studies big data analytics.
Liu Chen has long been planning big data and cloud computing.
Cao Zhi, the first batch of god-level scholars recruited by GB, is a genius in the computer department.
Liu Chen asked him, "Are you ready?"
Cao Zhi smiled shyly, "87% sure." ”
Liu Chen also smiled, "That's enough." ”
Brexit is leaving the European Union, and on January 23, 2013, British Prime Minister David Cameron first mentioned the Brexit referendum.
On January 4, 2015, British Prime Minister David Cameron said that if possible, the referendum originally planned for 2017 would be held earlier.
On 29 May 2015, the UK government submitted and published a bill to the House of Commons on a "Brexit referendum", including the referendum issue, and promised to hold a vote by the end of 2016.
"How's the data analysis?"
Cao Zhi showed it to Liu Chen.
Why did the British leave the EU?
The first shock of this historic event was that the global financial market was in turmoil, safe-haven funds were rushing, and many contradictory financial phenomena emerged in a short period of time.
What is the reason why the British are so angry and abandon the European Union?
The easiest level of thinking is that most of the people who support Brexit are middle- and lower-class Britons, and those who support Remain are mostly elites, as well as residents of Scotland and Northern Ireland who share the same dream as England and Wales.
The mainstream political views of the extreme right in Europe are: opposition to globalization, European integration, Muslimization, and demand for tighter immigration policies.
Cao Zhi concluded: "Brexit is the cry of the poor. ”
In other words, in the years since the establishment of the European Union, and especially since its eastward expansion in 2004, the interests of the middle and lower classes in Western European countries have suffered the most.
Liu Chen asked, "Why is this happening?"
"Because of the 10 poor relatives of Eastern Europe who have just joined the EU, there is a massive influx of the working class into Western Europe. The United Kingdom, for example, has hosted more than 1 million Eastern European immigrants in 10 years. In the eyes of the lower middle class in Britain, Eastern European immigrants have robbed them of jobs and applied for a lot of benefits and allowances, but they rarely spend in the UK and send money back to their Eastern European hometowns. This is also prevalent in countries such as the Netherlands, Germany, and France. ”
"And it was at this time that the European economy fell into recession. When the cake is bigger, more people will divide it, and everyone will not say anything, but when the cake cannot be made bigger, or even smaller, the contradiction will come out. ”
Liu Chen looked at it and continued to ask: "What about the pro-Remainers? Polls show that the Remainers have a big advantage. ”
"In the eyes of Western Europe's elites, that's not how accounts are counted. Entrepreneurs and factory owners believe that Eastern European immigrants increase the supply of labor and reduce the cost of enterprises, while politicians believe that immigrants can bring economic growth and easily reflect their political achievements, and the eastward expansion of the European Union can squeeze Russia's living space and make Europe safer. In this game of eastward expansion and European integration of the European Union, the rich have become richer and the poor have become poorer, and they have even been forced to compete with Eastern European immigrants for jobs. So, it is impossible for the poor not to be angry. ”
Liu Chen nodded and said: "Just from this level, it is too shallow, our thinking might as well go to the second level: what does globalization bring, who benefits from the new trade rules, why has there been a trend of anti-globalization around the world in recent years, and why Brexit-style anger is becoming more and more commonplace: it is not only in the United Kingdom and Western Europe, but also in East Asia and the United States." ”
Another core member of the big data team is Gu Fei, the first batch of recruited geniuses, top students of the School of Journalism, with keen observational skills, she continued: " In recent years, the United States believes that there are many people in the TO, and it is difficult to achieve any new progress in trade liberalization, so it is starting a new project in an all-round way, building a new circle of friends such as TPP and TTIP around the core rules such as the negative list system and pre-establishment national treatment, and in the new trade rules led by the United States, there is a very eye-catching clause: protect the interests of multinational corporations, and even prepare to set up a ruling mechanism that transcends national sovereignty. ”
Liu Chen smiled: "Can you make it clear?"
Gu Fei was very embarrassed, his occupational disease was serious, and he smiled slightly: "Sorry, Mr. Liu, under the new rules, multinational companies will achieve global domination! An important reason for the anger of the poor is that in the era of globalization, there is a winner-takes-all situation, and it is difficult for the poor to turn over under the oppression of the Matthew effect. If the trade rules established by the United States in which multinational corporations dominate the world are realized, not only will the poor be poorer, but also the poor countries will be poorer, and it will be difficult for them to turn around. ”
Liu Chen was good at thinking and quickly understood, and continued: "Go deeper to the third level: what role has the global monetary policy played since the financial crisis, and who is it beneficial to?"
"We have found that the essence of global monetary policy in the last eight years: borrowing more money to cover up previous debts, not one or two countries are doing this, but all countries around the world are doing this," Cao said. ”
"When the financial turmoil broke out in 2008, when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and announced the implementation of QE, countries followed suit, and now when the Fed starts to raise interest rates, countries will continue to throw money. Many countries have even been forced to implement unprecedented negative interest rate policies, and central banks have begun to buy not only government bonds, but also corporate bonds without a bottom line. ”
Gu Fei continued: "In the past few years, the degree of electronic and virtualized money has become higher and higher, and people have less and less cash in hand, which means that the central bank has become more and more influential and efficient, and when these powers are overused, the global leverage ratio has been increasing." In the era of high leverage and low interest rates, those who dare to borrow money and can borrow a lot of money are often the ones who have the fastest wealth appreciation. And the general public, in such an era, is destined to shrink their wealth and make ends meet. ”
Liu Chen nodded and said: "Although the tide of opposition to globalization is getting higher and higher, we must admit that with technological progress, globalization is an irresistible wave, and trade liberalization is also a basic trend. ”
Gu Fei also nodded and said, "The opposition is not to completely oppose globalization, but to oppose unequal opportunities in the era of globalization. In the eyes of the poor countries, the rich countries have seized more opportunities, and within the so-called rich countries such as Britain and the United States, there are also disgruntled poor people who believe that the rich have seized more opportunities. Therefore, there is no dispute over directions or roads, only between interests. Brexit and Remain are both means, and in the end they can only achieve a compromise through negotiations. ”
Liu Chen saw that they had indeed made complete preparations, and said with a smile: "The United States wants Britain to stay in Europe and extend its influence to Europe through this staunch ally, so we will use big data to make Britain leave the EU." ”
Cao Zhi and Gu Fei nodded.
Can a major event that affects the course of the world, a major event that affects the pattern of the world, be decided by just two unknown people?
Brexit referendum: June 23, 2016.
On June 24, 2016, the results of the Brexit referendum were announced: according to the votes for 352 of the 382 constituencies, supporters of leaving the EU led the way, with a total of 51.9% of the vote, or 15.7 million people in favor of leaving the EU, while 14.58 million supporters of remaining in the EU received 48.1% of the vote.
British Prime Minister David Cameron announced his resignation in a statement on the same day, saying that the Conservative Party will elect the next British prime minister at its annual meeting in October.
It was a poor man's victory, and the entire British elite was in mourning.
On Facebook, the American elite collectively ridiculed the UK.
It worked.
Cao Zhi and Gu Fei jumped up excitedly, and Liu Chen on the side also smiled happily, the United States and the stone would not have thought of it, this time, how much did you lose?
This is just the beginning.