Chapter 0318 [Familiar Stranger]
0318
"Mrs. Mu, I don't like to hear what you say, we used to be quite compatible", Lin Fei said unashamedly.
These words made Su Yingxue roll her eyes beside her, and the woman didn't bother to pay attention to him, so she asked curiously: "Mrs. Mu, what you just said, what solar car battery development project is your company going to invest in, I think it's quite interesting, can you tell me in detail?"
Mrs. Mu was overjoyed, "Miss Su, are you interested in listening?" That's really good, to be honest, over the years, the company has become bigger and bigger, and the investment fields have become wider and wider. That's why I had to give up the warmth I had worked so hard to build at the beginning and come to the United States to manage such a company.
Miss Su, your business talent is higher than mine, if you can help me with advice, I will be able to have a bottom in my heart."
"Mrs. Mu, you have won the award, don't mind if I participate in your company's trade secrets, I'm just very interested in these", Su Yingxue said shyly.
"Hehe, how can we talk about any secrecy or not, now there are just a few companies competing for this project, and the bidding price of this project has made us feel a little unsafe, and we are considering whether to add funds or give up.
Miss Su must also know that gasoline will not be used for many years, the popularization of electric vehicles is inevitable, but the construction of power stations cannot reach a sufficient scale in the short term, and solar car batteries will be the core of the dominant future.
We are afraid that we will miss this opportunity, and we will regret it when that company succeeds in research and development.
To be honest, I'm an old woman, and I have enough money to spend, but after all, the company affects the families of hundreds of employees below, and I have to think carefully about them......
When Mrs. Mu explained the investment project to Su Yingxue in detail, food also came up one after another.
Lin Fei didn't have much interest in these business matters, and gobbled them up on his own.
Su Yingxue and Mrs. Mu each only wanted a steak, and they ate it slowly, focusing on business.
After more than half an hour, Mrs. Mu finally finished talking about what the overall investment project was, and Su Yingxue didn't ask much questions, just listened attentively.
From time to time, the woman would have some thoughtful look in her eyes, obviously absorbing some knowledge she wanted.
After talking about it, Mrs. Mu took a sip of lemonade and said with a wry smile: "That's probably it, this project is just a big project of solar cells, but it is divided into fourteen sub-projects, which is quite complicated, as long as more than one sub-project cannot be completed, the battery will not be manufactured."
People in the company think it's a project to give it a try, because the company's R&D success rate has always been the highest in the U.S. in the field of automotive development. I don't know much about the science, and I don't know what their success rate is, so I'm having a headache about it."
Su Yingxue nodded thoughtfully, and after thinking for a while, she said, "Actually...... Mrs. Mu, I don't think we need to worry too much about the scientific research level of that company, and since the investment in this project is so precise, we can use other methods to predict whether it will be successful."
"Oh?" Mrs. Mu's eyes lit up, "Miss Su, what do you think, you can say it bluntly, I'm really worried that my wrinkles are better." ”
Su Yingxue smiled, suddenly beckoned to a waiter, took out a twenty-dollar tip and handed it to the waiter, and said, "Please help me bring a piece of paper and a pen."
The waiter went gladly, and it was not long before he found paper and pen.
Mrs. Mu wondered, "Miss Su, what are you writing here?"
"Mrs. Mu, what is the success rate of that company's project development?"
Mrs. Mu was stunned for a moment, thought about it carefully, and replied: "It's 70 percent, which is very high in this kind of industry."
Su Yingxue nodded, then pushed the dinner plate aside, and began to write on the paper, it seemed to be some arithmetic, all kinds of decimal points, accurate to one thousandth, one ten-thousandth, and there was no calculator.
Lin Fei was a little surprised when he looked at it on the side, this woman is worthy of being in business, when she used to go to school, she must have done very well in mathematics, this mental arithmetic ability, I'm afraid that some people can't write as fast as she does according to the calculator, this is not something that ordinary people can have.
It's not that people who are good at mathematics will necessarily be good in business, it's just that Su Yingxue is very sensitive to these aspects.
And Su Yingxue usually doesn't come out, if it weren't for such a quick handwritten calculation in front of him today, Lin Fei wouldn't have known that there was such a human brain calculator hidden under the woman's beautiful face.
After about two minutes, Su Yingxue scrutinized it repeatedly, checked it, looked at the dense pages of numbers and formulas, and put down the pen.
"Miss Su, what are you...... What is it?" asked Mrs. Mu curiously.
Lin Fei glanced at the side, probably understood the woman's intentions, and nodded secretly.
"Mrs. Mu, I am calculating the probability of the success of your project, and after calculation, I don't think you need to consider investment at all, because this is a project that is almost impossible to succeed in terms of scientific probability", Su Yingxue said.
"Oh, why?" said Mrs. Mu, puzzled, "but the success rate of their project is 70 percent."
Su Yingxue smiled and said, "Maybe you haven't studied statistics, in statistics, it is generally based on 5% to calculate whether the probability is too high."
For example, if a coin is tossed ten times, the probability of eight heads is 5.46%, and nine heads is 1.07%, according to statistical theory, although the probability of eight heads is not large, it is not surprising, that is, it can be a fight, and nine times, it can almost be judged that it is impossible, which is a problematic probability.
The successful R&D rate of the company is 70%, but because it is divided into 14 sub-projects, this is a bit much, and you need to achieve at least 13 goals to join 14 projects before you can develop successfully. Then the probability of success will be only 4.8%, just below 5%.
In summary, statistically speaking, your project can be classified as 'unlikely to succeed'......
When Su Yingxue finished speaking, Mrs. Mu had already half opened her mouth, her expression was a little sluggish, and her eyes were a little strange when she looked at the woman.
Su Yingxue couldn't help but spit out her pink tongue, and found that she seemed to be too radiant, and whispered embarrassedly, "Mrs. Mu...... I'm just going to give my opinion, this kind of calculation is also a rough algorithm. Don't take it too seriously, after all, it's your company's decision, or you're up to you."
Mrs. Mu sighed, as if she had thought of something, and thought it was quite interesting, so she lowered her head and smiled.
"Miss Su, you have always opened my eyes, as you said, maybe this calculation method is not difficult, but there are so many people in our company, but no one has ever thought that judging this investment in this way has always considered the details of the project, rather than through the macro probability and statistics, to complete such a decision", Mrs. Mu said.
"Maybe it's a bystander," Su Yingxue Tian said with a smile.
Mrs. Mu shook her head, "No, you are really talented in business, you have a keen sense of smell, and you can always find the key to many problems, this point, you are different from ordinary people, not to mention that you are still so young, you are really terrifying."
Su Yingxue was very embarrassed, picked up the water cup and drank to hide the blush on her face.
"By the way, Miss Su already knows her own mother and your mother's family," Mrs. Mu said suddenly.
Su Yingxue was stunned for a moment, looked up at the old woman in surprise, "How do you know ......?"
Mrs. Mu suddenly smiled mysteriously and winked a little playfully, "You are the companion of our esteemed Lord Skelp, and of course we are all secretly watching you."
As soon as these words came out, not only Su Yingxue was stunned, but even Lin Fei almost didn't squirt out the noodles in his mouth.
After choking a few times in a row, Lin Fei's eyes widened, looking at the old woman who seemed to be smiling, at this moment, Mrs. Mu became so familiar and unfamiliar!
"Are you ......" Lin Fei chewed quickly and swallowed the food, "Senate's?"
Mrs. Mu smiled silently, forming a triangle with her thumb and forefinger with both hands, and then stretched out her hand and pointed to her eyes.
Seeing this code gesture, Lin Fei couldn't cry or laugh anymore, damn it, this old woman turned out to be a member of the Senate!?