Chapter 384: Increase your position, wait for Monday

Any research report in the financial circle can be described by the word "market psychology".

If a stock is going to go up, why? Because most people think it's going to go up.

By extension, there are no numbers in the world, numbers are just the embodiment of people's psychological concepts, what is 1 and what is 2? are all what most people think.

For the financial market, most people's concept is the will of most of the capital representatives, and these "psychology" believe that the market must be what the market wants, and 100% cannot run away.

It's hard to grasp...... The devil knows which one is lying.

It is too normal for financial capital to open a position while being bearish and to reduce a position while being bullish.

Tyrone thinks that the market will fluctuate steadily and in a narrow range, and the renminbi has room to appreciate, and then what about the information they get, but Qin Yong dares to believe it, and he can't believe it all.

If you don't get one right, you will directly have to make a big mistake, so reading the research report is actually looking at the psychology.

Qin Yong couldn't see or figure it out, Wang Nuo glanced at it, and then ...... Entered.

This is the difference between a strategist and a practical analyst, the former is too stable to see the stability of the market, and the latter is very aggressive but can see that the market will not be aggressive.

"The right point of view is always getting bigger and bigger, and the wrong point of view, even if you have a hardware advantage, can only pursue the opportunity to share part of the profits, and being conservative is a mistake that is not wrong. "Tyrone Institute of Financial Research, Qin Jiyong sat in the office and remembered the meaning of what was taught in the financial textbook.

"But...... The inflection point has finally arrived. Flipping through the market data a little and sorting out all the information, Qin Jiyong couldn't help but sweat for Wang Nuo.

Constant is the biggest variable, continuous stability is instability, market psychology is in a weak equilibrium state, who can determine how to change in the next moment.

There is no shortage of uncertainties in the internal and external environment, with signs of a breakaway in Europe, a reversal of upward space after the decline of the three major US stock indexes, and a mess in the political and military spheres.

At such a time, the bearishness and the goodness can erupt at any time.

But in any case, Wang Nuo's belief that the appreciation of the renminbi has already hit the first half, and the argument does not matter, Qin Jiyong is amazed by the process of inference: stability is just one word.

Next...... It can't be stable.

The reality is no longer stable, and Zhonghui has begun to reveal to the outside world that it wants to lower the central price of the RMB, in fact, because market makers in the interbank foreign exchange market have begun to prepare for the appreciation of the RMB.

Instead of following the market, you push the market to oscillate in the direction you want.

18th, Friday, early morning.

"6.7997!" Ye Yaohua suddenly roared, dispelling the sleepiness of everyone in the office.

Speculating in foreign exchange is the hardest, because the time spent on the market is the longest.

Asian plate in the morning, European plate in the afternoon, and American plate in the evening, except for the time period from early morning to 9 o'clock in the morning, it is almost impossible to sleep at other times.

When the market has no wind and waves, it is actually more difficult, and the trader never knows what the next piece of information is, and never knows what the market will suddenly change.

Ye Yaohua has lost a few pounds during this time, but he has also grown very rapidly, and the common things in the financial market have been completely absorbed by him, and now he is also a little confident in the foreign exchange market.

"Breaking 6.8, breaking 6.8! Breaking 6.8 before the weekend break means that the inflection point has come, I think next Monday should be the best time to adjust the middle price......" attracted the attention of Wang Nuo and Yuan Rongxin, and Ye Yaohua immediately said.

It's early hours of the morning, the Asian market and the European market have broken early, and only the American market is still trading.

The current financial market volume and energy distribution model has a three-point situation, but no one can deny the strength of the American market, as a currency anchor, as long as the dollar moves, other currencies must follow.

And now the appreciation of the renminbi is actually because the dollar is not favored, that is, the dollar is depreciating and other currencies are appreciating, the reason is......

"North America can't digest the early gains, and the short-term no interest rate hike plan has also put too much pressure on the market......," Yuan Rongxin also began to analyze in an instant: "This is the same as the market expected." ”

So, if there are no variables, there is no space. Ye Yaohua continued.

The two of you and I directly discussed the market, but their eyes stayed on Wang Nuo.

"The external environment is mature, but the appreciation brought by external factors has also been given. Wang Nuo said subconsciously, with a brief confusion in his heart.

The external factors that affect the exchange rate are internal and external, and the external factors are the international situation, such as the pressure on the US dollar, the stabilization of the euro, etc., which are the external factors for the appreciation of the RMB, which is relative appreciation.

The internal cause is the absolute thing, I am strong, I am stable, I am valuable.

From 6.8731 to 6.7997 now, Wang Nuo has gained a profit of 734 basis points, and according to the leverage and 2,000 contracts, he has to earn 20,000 per point, so he has earned 14.68 million.

The distribution method of adding positions in the middle is 724 contracts, with an average point of 6.8416, a profit of 419 basis points, and a leverage of 200 times, and a gain of more than 3.03 million.

A total of more than 17.7 million yuan.

In the first half of January, the renminbi gave a total increase of more than 1%, and the range of the figure is not too deep, so it can only be said that it is appropriate.

No one is sure if the current position is appropriate, but as long as you look at the calculations, you can see that the value of the currency above 6.7500 is not enough to satisfy the appetite of the Chinese economy.

A year ago, the renminbi was about 6.6 against the US dollar, and counting the appreciation of the US dollar and economic expectations, it can also be one of the objects of data adjustment under 6.8 now.

It's okay to move the stock market index, price index, inflation index, and a series of other things...... Can.

However, with the maturity of external factors and the support of internal factors, how and where financial figures will change is something that is very particular.

"First of all, the stock market is not moving. The last sentence that echoed in Wang Nuo's mind was: I finally waited for you, but fortunately I didn't give up.

1% of the foreign exchange market, counting the leverage of 200, is 200%, plus the midway position is allocated, the profit of 17.7 million yuan is enough to touch the take profit point of the normal plan.

But...... Isn't what I've been waiting for the final inflection point?

Accumulation, explosion, and stabilization, this is a common formula in any financial market, and the current RMB exchange rate has only completed the accumulation, and if it breaks out, it will ...... Attitudes in the circle are extremely complex.

If one place moves, the other places will have a chain reaction, so either not move or linkage.

This side rises, that side falls, this side falls, that side rises, this side does not rise or fall, that side can rise or fall, the data is ever-changing.

"It's still the same truth, if I lose money, I will make up for my energy and make money...... The proportion of energy consumption is not high, and I don't have to hesitate too much when I have a profit on the books!"

With a book profit in hand, it is almost invincible, because ...... Energy occupies an important part of it, and Wang Nuo's ability to increase positions is actually not as great as outsiders imagine.

"Increase, wait for Monday!"