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Blue thin shiitake mushrooms, so I ran out to drink Tuhi, the young lady didn't pick it up, tossed dizzy, diarrhea for two days.
As we all know, this book is not finished, and there is still a lot of content to come.
Personally, I'm very sorry and sad, but the first is that I really can't write it, the second is that no one really reads it, and the third is that I really can't write it completely.
Let's briefly talk about the things that need to be done and the problems to be solved in modern "sanctification", and sort out the outline and personal thoughts.
After reading it, I believe you will have an idea of the theme of "sanctification".
The reason why I put this part in the text is because I don't want too many people to see it, and those who chase here can see it if they like it, and if they don't catch it, it's good if they don't exist at all.
Before I begin, let me be clear about my qualifications to talk about this.
I'm 19 years old, IQ250, handsome.
I have an elder brother who is a registered investment consultant with the Securities Industry Association and has done asset securitization projects, and has followed all the way to the New Third Board, Qianhai, and PPP. 16 years planted in the stock index futures country lock-up, decided to write, because the market will not have a market in the short term, and the tightening of the supervision of asset management projects is the general trend, so simply find a way back, anyway, the skills are a lifetime, and the market can jump back at any time to continue to cut leeks.
Therefore, in my opinion, the remarks of some trolls are very funny, the position is not high, and the field of vision is not wide, so I always feel that the world is what I see around me, but I don't know that Huaxia is already so big that there are no borders, and all places have their own characteristics and situations, and we must learn to use data and scientific objective vision to understand the truth.
Of course I can't do it either, I'm just handsome, and my brother's level is okay. So I'll just talk about my personal opinion.
In my opinion, there are three major problems in the world today.
The first is wealth inequality.
As I said before, once capital is gathered, it grows much faster than the world's GDP, i.e., the wealth of all mankind.
Big capital is getting stronger and stronger, cutting the wool of all mankind, and the per capita wealth of the general public will become less and less.
The situation of 18 years, in my opinion, is relatively close to that before World War II.
I'm talking about the situation of capital gathering, this part of the data is too mixed, in fact, there is no clear standard, but from 08 to the present, capital is quite restless, the three major economies are facing their own huge difficulties, and global capital is rushing left and right, which is a fact.
As mentioned earlier, there are drastic and not-so-drastic ways to solve it.
Everyone understands the former, and the latter is actually a scientific and technological revolution.
The same is redistribution, and the scientific and technological revolution also has the effect of making the cake bigger and increasing the absolute amount of wealth, which is a better way.
The second problem is the global climate pulse + uneven population growth.
There are currently two theories in the academic community, one is warming, and the imminent Xiaoice is another, and there is no convincing result yet.
However, it is confirmed that extreme weather has become more frequent in the past decade and beyond.
The earth is in a period of climate pulsation, with frequent floods, extreme heat, severe cold, and storms, which will pose a great threat to food production, and the rest of the impact, such as economic damage, will not be mentioned here.
The global population is growing rapidly, but it is structurally differentiated, with low or even negative growth in the old capitalist countries and high growth in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
The combination of the two will make the food problem more and more serious, which is a worldwide problem.
Another obvious problem is that the imbalance in the demographic structure has slowed down the improvement of the quality of the population, which cannot support the continued explosion of technology, and it is even difficult to drive further growth in consumption - it may be that the overall contraction has already occurred, but I don't have the latest data at hand, after all, it has been more than two years since I left the industry.
Please pay attention to the quality of the population mentioned here.
First of all, the race, top scientists and senior scientific research personnel and technical personnel, the vast majority of them are from Asia, the United States, and Europe, in addition to South Asia, there are 100 million high castes, and the rest of Central Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America are basically small throws.
The second is education, secondary and higher education is now obviously insufficient, so it can only be put into a small number of elites on IQ, and the selection method is different in different countries.
More important is actually preschool education, including prenatal education, early education, early childhood education, some studies have shown that from the fetus to the 3-year-old stage, the child's intellectual development is the fastest, once the age of 3, the child's IQ will not occur a large increase.
If the three teachings are done well, the child's intelligence will be high, only about 10% is limited by congenital genes, no matter how stupid, the rest are smart children.
So, how many children in the world can enjoy scientific preschool education?
Less than 20%.
In the vast non-urban area, 95% of parents do not understand, have no patience, and do not have time to educate their children.
With the current level of civilization, the depth and breadth of knowledge are already extremely terrifying, and there is not enough high-quality population to cover those subdivided majors.
But you still have to eat food, you still have to use oil, and you still have to mine mine, right?
This is a huge imbalance, unable to go up and down, trapped in one ball, consuming non-renewable resources, and not knowing how long it will take to accumulate the foundation for launching a scientific and technological revolution.
The third major issue is the succession of hegemons.
Rabbit sauce and eagle sauce...... That's what it's called, right?
At the heart of the trade war is the transfer of hegemony between rabbits and eagles, but in essence it is still the internal dumping of capital.
Big capital wants to maintain the growth rate, and now it is no longer possible to meet the needs of scraping the bottom wool, so it can only devour each other.
The so-called capital without borders can only deceive children, and from a macro point of view, the large-scale transfer of capital must be accompanied by the decline of sovereign states.
Individual Venture Capital can only represent itself.
Therefore, in the case that it is difficult to create more wealth quickly, there must be a war between capitals, which is characterized by the transfer of wealth, and is reflected in the competition between major powers, and the result is that there must be a lie.
We will transform and adjust our structure, develop emerging strategic industries, and develop 2025, one generation and one ...... And so on, it is to create more wealth, drive the world economy to continue to move forward, rise peacefully, and earn more wealth reasonably.
Eagle sauce is a financial hegemon rather than an industrial power, and its only choice is to violently plunder, maintain its hegemony, and continue to be the rule-maker.
I don't want to expand on this question anymore, I'm afraid.
……
In the context of the whole world, our motherland is also facing various difficulties.
The first is an asset bubble. Our M2 is the highest of any country. Is there a bubble or not? How big is the bubble? At present, there are two views in the academic circles. There is an opinion that our bubble has reached a very dangerous level. One is that China is in a state of rapid development. Bubbles do exist, but not a big problem.
In a sense. If the Belt and Road Initiative can be implemented smoothly. Then our renminbi becomes a peripheral settlement currency, as a settlement currency of cooperative countries. The foam can be well digested. Just like the United States once did. Now RMB oil futures. In fact, it is such an attempt.
If the yuan can't get out. That is your current M2 money stock. Even if the increment slows down. It also takes quite a long time to digest it.
All internal crises, including the so-called financial risks. Debt crisis. Housing price crisis. Essentially, it is all driven by the release of money.
Because we can look at the cistern. There are only a few big pieces in China, the stock market, the real estate market, and the industry.
Due to the misallocation of funds, the stock market cannot be supported first, and second, even if it is supported, it is of little significance.
The key points are the real estate market and industry.
I just finished writing about the sale and purchase restrictions in Yunzhou. Immediately, Changsha issued a sales restriction order. It's basically the same as the policy I think should be in place.
What does it mean?
In fact, the country has already seen this, and is really ready to take action to govern it.
But it takes a process. And it's not that I can directly target real estate, in fact, the situation is involved in the whole body.
If this money comes out of the real estate market, where will it end up?
If there is no place to put it, it will be a big mess.
So local governments are starting to lock up the market.
The local government's restriction on sales is a very clear signal, and I won't let your second-hand house enter the market to avoid impact.
House prices are falling. The economy continues to grow. After two or three years, the currency naturally depreciated, and a large part of the bubble was digested.
In fact, since 16 years, we have been in a process of defoaming.
The adjustment of the industrial structure to backward production capacity. On the one hand, it is industrial upgrading and making the cake bigger. On the other hand, it is necessary to reduce backward production capacity and save valuable large enterprises and state-owned enterprises as much as possible.
Financial regulation. Its core purpose is to reduce financial systemic risk.
Why? Because there is too much debt overall.
Local governments, businesses, residents. The source of the three major liabilities is to the bank.
Integrate the supervision of financial institutions. Seal the shadow bank. Monitor the channels of brokers, funds, and trusts. It's like putting a firewall in the financial system. Your risk elsewhere. It will not affect the banks on a large scale. Then once the banks stabilize, the financial system stabilizes. The risk is only regional and local, and it will not cause chaos.
No, individual banks can go bankrupt.
Then it is precisely when we see this and see the determination of the central government. Now more and more local governments. Attempts are being made to solve the debt problem on their own.
For example, you can say the shantytown reform in third- and fourth-tier cities. This thing is the last chance for local government.
CDB cooperated with the monetization resettlement. The local government received cash to the shantytown demolition households. Then the demolition household has money in his hands, and he has just the need to buy a house. It will take the initiative to digest the real estate inventory in the counties and cities.
In this process, then the real estate speculation group will see the business opportunities inside. Take the initiative to go down to this third- and fourth-tier city to hype in advance. Boost house prices.
If you can't sell it, if you can't monetize it, it's a story.
You don't have to look at the housing prices in some fifth-tier cities that have risen by 20,000 or 30,000 yuan. If he doesn't have any special resources around him. The rate of population inflow is not high, or even negative, net inflow. Then his house price must not be stable.
Once the local government starts locking the disk. It won't be good if you just need to live in it, and if you increase leverage and go to fry, you basically have to be paste.
So what is the real purpose of locking a disk?
It's to keep your money from flowing around. You've been here for three years. Waiting for us to digest some of this bubble.
The consequences of a direct collapse in housing prices are particularly serious, but the consequences of allowing them to continue to rise are actually even more serious.
Now look at the situation in the magic capital. Property prices have actually fallen by more than 10% from their peak.
The listing price of a second-hand house. In fact, it can be even lower. The transaction price is lower. The entire second-hand housing market is now in a state of complete lock-in.
From the whole 15 years to the present. The power of the purchase restriction policy in first-tier cities has basically been reflected.
Next, if there is a large-scale restriction. There may be a significant amount of funds locked up in second-, third- and fourth-tier cities.
Then in 20 years, as soon as the property tax was introduced. It's all delicious.
So this bubble will actually digest very quickly.
Your normal inflation, normal asset depreciation, 2 bubbles are most likely not so dangerous.
Judging by the current situation. The state is putting the risk of preventing this asset bubble in a very, very high strategic position.
If you add to this the development of the Belt and Road Initiative. The risk of over-issuance of currencies is not so great. The premise is that the next large-scale release of water cannot be continued.
So what I just said was a static thing. What's dynamic?
The international environment is not static.
There are three major points, one is the development progress of the Belt and Road Initiative. The second is the internationalization of the renminbi. The third is the trade war.
These three points will affect our policy.
You say, let's say, a trade war. Now there is a demand that we give up agricultural subsidies. This touches on our core principles.
Food security is a lifeline.
As I said before, there is a problem in the world now, and that is the problem of food.
It is absolutely impossible for staple food to be handed over to anyone else.
The food that 1.4 billion people eat is controlled by others, just like a joke.
Then agricultural subsidies were actually pioneered by the United States. Now he, in turn, tells us not to subsidize. The intention is to curb our development and lock our throats. This is certainly unacceptable.
In my personal judgment, the trade war will not last more than two or three years at the longest. After that, there was fierce friction.
War and friction are two different things, with different intensity.
Because if you continue to fight like this, it will hurt everyone.
If you win or lose, there is a high probability that our country will suffer more.
Because the timing is too passive, and we don't have particularly good hands to play.
So in the short term, it will definitely suffer.
But look at it in the long run. Personally, I think our economy is more resilient. It is far stronger than the current US imperialism.
If nothing else, we must be the ones who have the last laugh.
I can't talk much about the system problems, efficiency problems, and execution problems, but you can understand them for yourself. Occasionally, I look over the wall to see the white pill party in the West, and the remarks are particularly interesting.
But in the midst of all this chaos, there is one issue that is particularly important. What is it?
It's the West and the Pan-West, which is now typical of populism.
Red Neck is populist in nature. The trend in the EU is also very clear now. Plus global allayization.
In fact, the shadow of war hangs over us at all times.
Of course. There is a high probability that it will be a local proxy war, and a full-scale hot war is unlikely.
That's the end of this topic.
The second big problem is the economic downturn.
What sets us apart from others is that we have just experienced more than 30 years of rapid growth. Then if you slow down suddenly, the consequences are very serious.
We are talking about the troika that drives the economy.
The first to consume. Then consumption is now a contraction of the nature of the whole world. The fundamental reason is that the gap between the rich and the poor is too fierce.
There is also a big problem with domestic consumption, that is, the leverage of residents is too high.
Buying a house and a car itself is very overdrawn.
Then there is a more serious problem of education.
and the more serious problem of population ageing.
So you see, although this education expenditure has gone up. However, the total retail sales of social goods did not grow.
Judging from the situation this year, it seems that the situation of this car company is generally not good.
The rest of the industries that I've been exposed to are probably relatively depressed.
Resident leverage is now actually suppressing domestic consumption.
The second is exports.
Consumption is clearly shrinking all over the world. Therefore, whether this trade war is fought or not, our domestic exports will definitely decline slowly.
This problem can be solved by industrial upgrading, but it may not be easy to solve for the time being. Therefore, the People's Daily is also blowing the wind and saying that it will strangle the waist of the neck and pants to live a hard life for a period of time.
The third is investment.
Now, if you invest in infrastructure, it is basically a duplicate investment. The pull effect on GDP is quite limited.
What's more, local governments don't have any money.
Then private investment can actually be explored a little. However, in key areas, it is absolutely impossible for the country to retreat and the people to advance.
It is the so-called fields that assume the public functions of society. No matter how bad state-owned enterprises are, they are better than private enterprises.
Because he listens to the command, does not evade taxes, works hard and tirelessly, assumes social responsibility, and plays a stable function, just understand if you know about the private subways abroad.
The topic turned back to it. Then the economic downcycle is already determined. How long it lasts, when it will disengage, these are uncertain.
What is the most valuable thing in an economic downturn?
Cash.
Here's talking about cash. This includes all assets that are easy to monetize. However, it does not include assets that are not easily realizable.
Pure cash is under pressure to depreciate. So you need to be smart with cash. Find a way to make him grow by 5 to 8 percent a year. And to be safe.
The predicament of our common people now is. There is no safe way to store value. So his impulse to buy a house to avoid risk is very strong.
But the problem is that there are very few houses that can hold their value now. In an economic downturn. No matter how scarce the house is, it depreciates.
And you also have to consider how difficult it is to monetize.
A lot of people don't understand this. However, in reality, the second-hand housing market in Modu is generally experiencing a long-term dilemma of listing at a discount of 10% and selling at a discount of 8%.
Then with the economic downturn. There will be more and more cheap assets.
Recently, someone sold the house cheaper by 2 million because of gambling. In the future, with those who increase leverage, they will not be able to hold on. Their desire to sell their assets will get stronger and the price will get lower and lower.
The house, the car, the oil painting, the shop girl, you can pick up anything cheap.
As long as you have the money.
Isn't the M2 explosion and the money shortage quite contradictory?
Because most of the money is locked in the property market.
The state will not let them out easily. Foam washing can be a very painful and long-term process, as you can refer to...... Hehe, I don't dare to say it again.
Who suffers?
Whoever leverages heavily suffers.
So what I would like to warn everyone is not to increase the leverage of yourself at such times.
You take out a CPF loan or a business loan to buy a wedding house for your own use. Of course, that's fine, you should buy it at any time, but you can't buy it so expensive.
If you want to speculate with leverage, whether it's a house, the stock market, or whatever, my advice is that it's better not to.
If you have money to invest in a money market fund or a semi-guaranteed financial management of a bank. No matter how much money you have, you can buy a dollar balance. If you get through it, you can reduce a lot of cheapness.
Of course, my suggestion does not apply to some places, and the situation is different from place to place.
The third major problem in the country is the aging of the population. I won't expand on this.
The fourth major issue is the industrialization of education, and I still don't dare to say it.
However, please note that our lack of early childhood education, as well as the malnutrition of infants and young children, and the lack of attention for left-behind children. are very serious.
A nation wants to stand tall in the world. I think there is one sentence that should be done.
Education should start with children.
Then the current situation is that the doll cannot be caught at all.
Urban workers, urban middle class. Basically, you can provide very good educational opportunities for your child.
700 million peasants? There is no such thing as pre-school education.
If you think about it, more than half of the new generation of children do not reach the average level of intelligence. And then there are more and more expensive educational resources, how many can read to high school graduation to achieve a high quality?
But the aging of our society will come when they reach adulthood.
How scary?
The fifth question is simply not to be said.
The sixth big problem is not to be discussed.
So that's the summary.
…
In my original vision. Brother Xiaowu wants to solve these problems.
Otherwise, how can it be called "sanctification"?
In today's society, you can't be holy if you write a book and say it. There is no shortage of reason.
You can't become a saint as a scientist, and no matter how much black technology you come up with, you won't solve the most basic and minimum problem.
Assignment.
It can even be said that if you come up with an inappropriate black technology at the wrong time. Then it's basically three wars.
My style is close to realism, so I write very hard, I can't make a black technology and make tens of billions of dollars without discussing its impact on society and the world.
To influence the world, we have to face those complex real-world problems.
The one who can really solve these problems has to be a leader.
He's going to have to have his base. As it stands, it can only be a business empire.
There is a special influence. It is necessary to assume great social responsibility.
There is a group of like-minded partners. Be good enough.
He wants to solve the many problems in our society little by little through ingenious methods.
Then lead China to stand tall in the forest of nations.
Finally, seek an opportunity to transcend the blue star.
To be honest, when I came up with the title "Reading to Sanctify", I really didn't expect the online environment to be so difficult.
At the end of the writing, the road has been blocked, and then pretend to be forced to slap in the face. There is no point in it anymore.
So I decided to end it when the technological revolution broke out.
The foreshadowing has been buried long ago. The emergence of a general-purpose artificial intelligence. Basically, most of the problems can be solved.
Actually, it's a pity that if there are 5000 follow-ups, then I can write down the probability of being protected.
But no, there are only more than 1,000 and less than 2,000, and this situation is impossible to be protected. So when people warn of risks, I can only make a decision.
This has nothing to do with whether you make money or not. It is a two-way choice for both the author and the reader. I was uncomfortable for three days, in fact, there are indeed unrecognized grievances in it, 15,000 high-ordered, 2,000 subscriptions for the business war part, and more than 80% of readers do not approve.
So let's continue the frontier with the new book.
The new book should be uploaded on the 12th.
………
Note: Due to finger pain, all of the above is dictated. Then there will be some places where the idea is broken, or where the logic is not clear enough. Thank you for your understanding.
Also: all the gifts for the nine readers have been put in place. But the program of activities has not yet come out.
The situation is awkward now. The book is finished. The new book was not uploaded.
Here's what I think.
First you decide what you want.
Then leave a message below, to leave this chapter to say.
[Message point!Please post this chapter here!]
After that, I'll pick and choose according to the situation.
The alliance leader will definitely give it if he wants it.
Leave a highlight review, this chapter says a lot of familiar faces. Will give it too.
In the group, I will send a red envelope to the end. The King of Luck will get a spot.
In the end, the first fan and the voting king of the first month of the new book will each get a copy.
That's pretty much it.
A handsome photo of me with my signature.
A book that I think is very good, but not boring.
A mysterious gift that has just been decided.
Winners are invited to join the VIP group. Chat my address privately. Then you can wait for the gift with peace of mind.
Thank you.
Stay tuned for my new book. Little (?) brother's legendary journey.
Please remember that the first domain name of this book is .. Mobile version reading URL: m.