Chapter 537: Trading Awareness
Chapter 537 Trading Awareness
After the Thai government announced that it was abandoning the fixed exchange rate, the Thai baht was decoupled from the dollar and a floating exchange rate system was introduced, Rebecca locked herself in her office for a whole day. Pen ~ fun ~ pavilion www.biquge.info
In the international foreign exchange market, it can be regarded as more than two years of crawling, but when it comes to the degree of danger, only this time made Rebecca feel the chill and really feel that bankruptcy is only one step away from her, and she also realizes that if she is a step slower and hesitates a little, then she may now face an irreparable situation.
Twenty times leverage, half position trading, theoretically as long as the exchange rate fluctuation does not exceed 10%, then the fund she manages can completely resist risks.
But who would have thought that as soon as the news of the Thai government was announced, the Thai baht would plummet by 17% against the US dollar!
Seventeen percent!
This means that even if her fund is only operated with ten times the leverage and half position, her fund is facing the possibility of being forced to close at that moment.
Never thinking she was so close to bankruptcy, Rebecca was glad and fearful, which deprived her of the courage and opportunity to follow the elite of Wall Street in sniping at the Philippine peso, Malaysian Geint, Singapore dollar, and Indonesian rupiah.
It's just that the pain will eventually be alleviated, and the scars will eventually heal, the financial turmoil in Southeast Asia has made the rising Xiangjiang stock market the only optimistic haven on Wall Street, and Rebecca, who still has fear in her heart, went to see a psychiatrist, and then according to the market research reports of investment banks such as Goldman Sachs and ********, and the news leaked by top traders on Wall Street, she re-laid out the Hang Seng Index and prepared to make up for the previous losses with the help of Hang Seng Index futures.
But Rebecca didn't expect Xie Yunpeng to call the day after he completed the layout, and he was stunned to tell him about his current operation and inventory, wanting him to share the joy of his current surplus.
However, Rebecca said her goal, and Xie Yunpeng said to wait and leave her aside, which made Rebecca's anger in her chest quickly pile up.
Sitting at the window on the second floor, Xie Yunpeng saw that Fu Zhengyi had a different expression after learning about Rebecca's current position and take-profit standard, and his left hand holding the microphone couldn't help but tremble, and hurriedly asked cautiously. "Justice, there's a problem?"
Putting down the teacup in his hand, Fu Zhengyi thought for a while before asking. "Yunpeng, what do you think is the reason why you can play in the securities market, foreign exchange market, and financial derivatives trading market for a long time?"
In Yanjing's circle, Xie Yunpeng has earned a lot of face and favors through Rebecca's fund company, so he is also interested in the financial market. "Accurate news!"
Fu Zhengyi was not surprised by such an answer, at this time the domestic stock market was still keen on telling stories, fighting the insider, and sitting in Changzhuang, so he thought about it before continuing to ask. "Let's take an analogy, if Indonesia continues to rain heavily this summer, and the rainfall is several times that of a normal year, what would you think?"
Xie Yunpeng was stunned and hesitated before speaking. "Torrential rains in Indonesia? At most, floods have caused people's houses to be washed away by floods, and food production in agriculture has been reduced, and roads and bridges are in danger, right?"
"Yes, I still have some associative ability," Seeing that Xie Yunpeng seemed to be teasing him, Fu Zhengyi's face turned pale. "A qualified financial market analyst, or a qualified independent trader, is absolutely incompetent just thinking about this. At the very least, we should be able to think that Indonesia's rubber production will decrease, pulp quality will decline, and the number of various local unique trading commodities will decrease through the continuous heavy rain......
Xie Yunpeng was stunned when he heard this, and looked at Fu Zhengyi in amazement, and only after a long time did he say in amazement. "Isn't it? Just because of a 'continuous rain' news report, you have to be able to think of so much?"
"Butterflies in South America stir their wings, and then a hurricane in the Pacific Ocean sets off a 'butterfly effect'. And its use in the financial market is a basic ability that financial traders must have, so I said that until now, you still think that you can make money by relying on 'accurate information'?"
Xiao Liao, who was sitting on the side, finally couldn't help it. "Brother Fu, isn't the 'accurate news' that Xie Shao said exactly what you said before? It's just that the 'news' he refers to is the final result that is similar to the analogy you made before, and it saves all the analysis and reasoning processes in the middle......
Seeing that Xiao Liao's comprehension was still above Xie Yunpeng, Fu Zhengyi turned his face and said seriously. "The 'news' mentioned by Yun Peng before should refer to the listed company that was intentionally or unintentionally leaked out before the release of the good news, and I am talking about the transaction in the international financial market, and no trader can cross the middle analysis and reasoning process! Not to mention the kind of 'accurate news' that Yun Peng said, in the international financial market, belongs to the category of 'insider', once it is verified to be a crime, whether it is a fine or compensation, it is definitely not a ...... that ordinary companies can afford."
Xie Yunpeng also came to his senses at this time, and he told Rebecca that Fu Zhengyi was by his side, and you should ask his opinion for your current position.
Seeing Xie Yunpeng put the hands-free mobile phone in front of him, Fu Zhengyi hesitated before speaking. "Rebecca, long time no see, okay?"
Knowing that Xie Yunpeng and Fu Zhengyi were together, the anger in Rebecca's chest dissipated in an instant, and she held the phone and said hello very seriously, so she humbly asked the other party for advice.
If it was a call with the old Tony, who was in charge of the New York fund company, Fu Zhengyi would naturally be straightforward and not polite, but for this girl with a graceful figure and **** grandeur, Fu Zhengyi hesitated before asking. "Rebecca, why do you want to hold the Hang Seng Index to 18,000 points before making a move?"
Rebecca gathered her thoughts before replying. "The financial turmoil in Southeast Asia and the depreciation of the local currencies of various countries have led to exchange rate losses for local foreign capital, so in addition to fixed asset investment, as long as the funds that can leave will flee. However, after the return of Xiangjiang, the stock market is still rising, and Xiangjiang still has the advantage of foreign exchange reserves ranking third in the world, and safe-haven funds will inevitably abandon the Japanese stock market, which has a larger capacity but has been sideways for many days......"
"Ok, since the choice of the Xiangjiang market is the release of capital risk aversion, where does the target of 18,000 points come from?"
Most of the justified and well-founded rhetoric was summarized by Rebecca through recent articles by major Wall Street analysts, so she laughed after explaining. "The analysis of top investment banks such as Goldman Sachs and ******** on Wall Street, coupled with the predictions of some well-known investors in financial journals, combined with the inferences of analysts in the company and my own feelings, the Hang Seng Index will inevitably break through the 18,000-point integer mark in the near future......"
Answering as expected, Fu Zhengyi asked without waiting for Rebecca to finish speaking. "Other people's analysis is someone else's analysis, and if the analysis of top investment banks is never wrong, then why are there so many fund companies, so many analysts, and independent traders in the United States?"
Rebecca was stunned by the question, and only hesitated after a moment. "Uh...... This is the practice of Wall Street, if you don't read the market analysis report and the research report of the top investment bank, then the news collection and market analysis will have no foundation, and there will be big problems......"
Warren Buffett's wealth is not obtained through these public analysis reports and investment bank research reports, he never participates in industries that he does not understand, never buys companies with no profit expectations, and does not enter the market when the market is feverish, so do you think the investment master Buffett is powerful, or is Goldman Sachs and ******** these top investment banks powerful?"
As if returning to class, Rebecca listened carefully and took notes, and when she heard this, she unconsciously spoke. "Professor, what do you think should be done? Is it true that it is necessary to maintain operations contrary to the conclusions of these top investment banks in order to survive in the financial markets?"
Speaking of which, Fu Zhengyi didn't notice that Rebecca's title had changed to 'professor', and immediately replied. "Remember! Oppose for the sake of opposition, for the sake of unwiseness! But if people follow the clouds, it is the beginning of failure! Independent thinking is the foundation, without this foundation, the financial market is the meat grinder of wealth, not to mention that futures trading is more cruel than the 'zero-sum market' of stock trading, if you have always regarded Wall Street research reports as the 'golden rule', then I want to advise you, change jobs." Don't mislead others and yourself! The possession of trading consciousness is a gap between you and ordinary traders and traders, and if you want to cross it, you need to understand and comprehend, and many traders have lost all their chips in the process of comprehension, and have to withdraw from the industry gloomily......"
Hearing this, Rebecca was convinced. "Thanks, I see!"
Fu Zhengyi sincerely wanted to wake up Rebecca, although he didn't mention any operation, but he told the other party about his 'transaction awareness', how much he could understand, how much he could understand, how much he could grasp, and how much he could grasp was a problem that Rebecca needed to solve...... (To be continued.) )