Chapter 169: Wrong?

"From July 2 to July 6, the renminbi appreciated. ”

In order to seek stability, Wang Nuo erased the directional variables of the RMB exchange rate.

If China is regarded as a stock, the total amount of RMB in circulation is the market value, and the RMB exchange rate is the stock price.

In the second quarter, the renminbi depreciated, but the stock market rose, and people in the industry could see the smell of gunpowder inside, and the motherland carried the pressure transmitted by the international financial market.

In the comments of the Wall Street Journal, the Oriental dragon roared again, and in the words of the World Financial Exchange, it was "China, you are still doing the village again".

Yes, the big dealers continue to make the red capital bank, the depreciation of the renminbi, the outflow of funds, and the dissatisfaction, China just wants to let the international market take a look, the economy here is still improving, this is the same as the United States manipulating the dollar to harvest the world, it is a reason, it is the state in action.

Wang Nuo's professional ability of half a bucket of water can't analyze everything at all, but he is in the Institute of Finance, so he can know how the thrust and resistance of the stock market rise and the future market fluctuations are reflected.

The answer is that most of it will be reflected in the RMB exchange rate.

"I think that at the beginning of the third quarter, the yuan will show an upward momentum, and the stock market will not peak, but there is still room for upside. In the conference room, Wang Nuo came to a conclusion.

"Arnold. Zhou Minghai rubbed his forehead and said, "Have you ever thought that the rise in the stock market will actually put pressure on the RMB exchange rate." ”

Yao Shuliang added: "The stock price rises, sells stocks, takes money and leaves, because the losses caused by the depreciation of the yuan are just covered by the profits brought by the rise in stock prices." ”

"One gain and one loss, the financial market is a whole, if the stock market rises, the renminbi still appreciates, the financial risk is equivalent to an increase. Zhou Minghai concluded.

Wang Nuo's mind is full of data, and he has also considered the problems that Zhou Minghai and Yao Shuliang said.

It's nothing more than seeking stability and change, the risk is proportional to the return, but the risk and the loss are two brothers, which are triplets.

There are too many things related to currency, Wang Nuo put all the distractions away, he doesn't care too many things, he knows that the yuan will appreciate this week anyway.

There are many things that can be reversed by the appreciation of the renminbi, and the stock market is in this delicate situation, and the probability of its rise is very high.

"My view on the stock market is cautious but not bullish. Zhou Minghai sighed and said: "It's more inclined to shocks, the probability of the market rising in the future is greater than the probability of falling, but the room for rise is much smaller than the space for falling." ”

Wang Nuo nodded, listened to Zhou Minghai's analysis, and drew some knowledge from it from time to time.

Overall, Wang Nuo himself is optimistic about the market outlook, Yao Shuliang is cautiously optimistic, thinks it will fluctuate, and then rises slightly, Zhou Minghai is not optimistic, and feels that even if it rises, there is not much space, but we should pay more attention to the huge downward space, three people have three views.

In this way, Yao Shuliang and Zhou Minghai's opinions can be said to overlap for the most part, while Wang Nuo's views are more maverick.

Zhou Minghai suddenly became difficult, in his heart, Wang Nuo's opinion is very weighty, but he himself is not optimistic about the stock market, what should he do?

"Look cautiously, the probability of the stock market rising should be relatively large. In the end, Zhou Minghai shook his head and said with a wry smile: "I'll upload the analysis report later." ”

"By the way, Arnold, what's going on with your charity foundation?" Quickly arranging the work, Zhou Minghai turned on his mobile phone and prepared to upload the electronic version of the research report, while pretending to ask Wang Nuo casually.

"It's okay, the partner has held many similar events, and I just went to mix up a few business cards. Wang Nuo spread out his hands and said indifferently.

The operation of the charity fund has not brought much energy to Wang Nuo for the time being, and he is now appearing on the scene, more of a familiar face, exchanging business cards with some individuals, and if there is a need in the future, these connections may be able to come in.

But Zhou Minghai didn't ask about this kind of thing.

"I'm asking if you're having any difficulties. Zhou Minghai said it very bluntly.

"Everything was fine. Wang Nuo didn't know why, but after looking at Zhou Minghai's concerned eyes, he understood, "Brother Hai, don't worry, I will definitely be able to do the agreement with Chief Tao." ”

"How much do you lack, tell me when the time comes. After Zhou Minghai finished speaking, he immediately said with a strange expression: "Forget it, don't tell me this, just look for me in the end." ”

"I didn't expect that my brother Hai, who had thick eyebrows and big eyes, also rebelled because of love. Yao Shuliang was not in tune with his business, but he was the best at this kind of gossip, and immediately squeezed his eyebrows and said: "People's hearts are not ancient." ”

"Stinky boy, get out of here and get to work. Zhou Minghai reprimanded angrily, but there was an annoyed and angry expression on his face.

Wang Nuo also reacted, Zhou Minghai has been working diligently on Tao Hui's side recently, it seems that it is not only because of the competition for analyst rankings, but also because it may be......

"Do I want to call Uncle Hai with Xiuxiu in the future?" Wang Nuo also laughed and teased, and was immediately driven out by Zhou Minghai.

Not long after, Zhou Minghai, who was a little embarrassed, walked out by himself, and he was so angry that he forgot that everyone was in the conference room just now.

And Wang Nuo and Yao Shuliang did not guess wrong, Zhou Minghai even walked to Tao Hui's office in front of Wang Nuo, and the behavior of "betraying" his junior brother was undisguised.

"He didn't ask you to borrow money, and he definitely won't go to Xiuxiu, my brother hasn't been in contact with him, and Yao Shuliang hasn't either, so what can he do?" Tao Hui muttered, turning his head and noticing Zhou Minghai's playful expression, his face suddenly blushed.

"Ahem, I think Arnold must be thinking about making a profit in the stock market again. In order to dispel Tao Hui's embarrassment, Zhou Minghai hurriedly analyzed: "That kid is very talented. ”

"Talent? Hmph, he has the talent to spend money!" Tao Hui hated it so much, Wang Nuo would only make money or only spend money, and it was impossible to chase Tao Xiu into his hands, but he had both.

"I've read your research report, there's no problem, wait for the opening if there is no big change, just follow this. Tao Hui sorted out her expression and deliberately mentioned this matter.

Zhou Minghai heard the song and knew the elegance, deliberately delayed for a while, and when Tao Hui almost couldn't help asking, he said: "Arnold has a different opinion from us, he is optimistic about the market outlook, and the main body of the argument is the direction of exchange rate changes." ”

"Bullish. Tao Hui was thoughtful.

In the morning, the stock market opened lower.

It's just that the stock market has fallen slightly, and everyone doesn't think there's anything, and that little bit of decline can be regarded as a shock at best.

However, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB has risen, which means that the RMB has depreciated, which is an important factor in sounding the alarm.