Chapter 469: A Report on the Face
Most boys chasing girls have seen the phrase "although you are good, we are not suitable".
In the financial field, there are often cases of "although you are good but I just don't rise", and it is an example of every shot, especially in the foreign exchange market.
The non-farm payrolls data has the opportunity to deduce such an example once a month.
Due to the care of the central mother, the renminbi is most closely related to fundamentals, but ...... The Australian dollar is somewhere in between.
In the foreign exchange market, the Australian dollar accounts for about 7% of the total trading volume, and the US dollar is 87% to 90%, with some overlap, but in general, the Australian dollar is more market-oriented.
Therefore, the data plane is available, and in addition to reflecting the economic foundation, the data plane also has a thing about market psychology.
When most people think that 1 Australian dollar can be exchanged for 0.85 US dollars, the exchange rate of Australian dollars against US dollars is 0.85, which is a judgment based on economic conditions, but ...... "most people" can not look at the economic situation, "most people" can close their eyes and say that I think 1 Australian dollar can only be exchanged for 0.5 US dollars.
There's nothing wrong with it at all, that's the data side.
U-turn to look at the long-term data, the Australian dollar all the way up, with it as the base point, the corresponding long-term weakening of the US dollar, the ancestors of China said that the extremes of things must be reversed, if Australia can not provide enough support, the Australian dollar can not be infinitely stronger.
Or to look at it from another angle, that's ...... If other currencies do not provide the basis for "staying relatively rotten", the underlying currency cannot appreciate indefinitely.
To sum up, it is nothing more than the critical point of market psychological recognition, and pushing another layer of psychological knowledge is nothing more than the psychological critical point of the market that big capital thinks, and pushing another layer ...... That's true for a hundred floors.
The chaotic nature of the market is clear, so if Wang Nuo were to write this research report, the final argument would be that the Chinese market provided a positive effect on the appreciation of the Australian dollar, and the other markets were calm, and then the Australian dollar fell.
The reason is that the data side is weak, and the market psychology has entered an unpredictable area, and by extension, it is ...... Brothers in the Green Corner, if you don't start work, it may be too late.
Green's group of foreigners from the Green Corner team are actually waiting for this to come, but they are not sure of the time, at least in this cycle, they can't determine the coming moment of the "disorder zone" for the time being.
When he received the "half of the research report" submitted by Wang Nuo in advance during the week, Lujiao subconsciously expressed anger, but when he saw the argument in a blink of an eye, he immediately lost his anger.
On Hong Kong Island, in an office of Tyrone International, where Green Corner is located, the atmosphere is a little weird.
Green didn't care what research report Wang Nuo submitted, he didn't want to trust this research report, and when Wang Nuo quickly passed on a research report, he would be angry because "it was only two or three days later".
How serious can you be in spending three or two days making a research report?
However, the seller spent three or two days to make a research report, and pointed out the view that "the fundamentals are small and the data is weak", which is enough to inform the buyer immediately.
"When it comes to the analysis of the Chinese market, I choose to trust. After a long time, Green, who was sitting on the office chair and holding coffee, spoke: "I have checked Wang's information, and in the analysis of the Chinese market, he is currently on the right path, huh...... It is considered to be the front row of the Chinese industry. β
"The information analysis of other markets, although it is very rough," Jonas, an analyst from the Green Corner team sitting in front ......of Green's left, had a relaxed expression and a confident look in his eyes, and said: "But there is basically no obvious mistake, it can only be said to be very mediocre." β
"In other words, we can take the factors of the Chinese market, and the analysis of other markets is just to make up the numbers?" Sitting in front of Green to the right is a "young man" in his early thirties, French HonorΓ©, who can be regarded as a trader in the green corner.
An investment team like Green Corner, the market they are looking at is very complex, and Oreno is not called a trader, to be precise, it can be an "executor", and the structural positions, data analysis, and all the trades are under his control.
Whether it is Green, Jonas, or O'Reno, the core members of the three Green Corner teams have seen an interesting thing from this research report: Wang Nuo's reminder.
There are countless ways for financial targets to change from stability to change, among which there is a form of change in the exchange rate, that is, the impact factor of the data plane is overweight, ignoring the changes in the information plane, and the data side itself "trembles", which means that there are many things that will be distorted in a certain range, and it also means that the green corner thinks that what may happen has begun to increase the probability.
But...... Green, Jonas, and Oreno exchanged glances, all of them looking like the old gods were there.
First of all, Green Corner is still preparing for the project, and the specific terms of cooperation with investors have not yet been fully finalized.
You must know that Wang Nuo's research report wants to be correct, first to analyze the fundamentals and information, and then on this basis, let the market to prove the trend of the reverse walking on the data side, which is too difficult, and insiders generally think that this kind of analysis conclusion depends on luck.
Finally, even if the analysis is correct, the green corner has time to react, unless it is a large-scale black swan event, otherwise, the time for data changes like the Australian dollar exchange rate can be completely solved in ten or twenty days.
The green corner looks at the middle line, and then conducts high-frequency trading and structured investment on the timeline according to the data changes, and they are not afraid that what Wang Nuo points out will happen, because ...... They have plenty of reaction time.
It is even said that if Wang Nuo's research report is really completely hit, it will also be a good thing for Green Corner, and they can use it to persuade investors to get better terms of cooperation.
"If this is a report from a well-known analyst, that's even better for us. Jonas complained to Green, "David, what the hell are those damn investors thinking? And damn Tyrone, the project hasn't helped us with the preparation until now." β
"Joe, you should know that even if we give out our bottom line, that group of investors will be thinking about whether we can get better terms, and the negotiations will definitely go ahead, this is ......" Green explained.
Oreno interjected: "It's market psychology. β
"So......" Green spread his hand and said, "I really hope that what my Chinese friends analyzed will happen, so that we may see the first funds injected into the account the next day." β
"Don't make a fuss......" There was a burst of laughter in the office.
They are all in the industry, and Green Corner is still a top investment team, can its members not know that Wang Nuo's research report has a high probability of error?
This is a very face-saving research report.