Chapter 416: Gambling is good

The financial market is chaotic, but each market will also produce correlation, if you invest in individual stocks, Wang Nuo needs to grasp the highly targeted information and data.

If it is for a large index or a target with complex impact factors and a wide range of correlations, the seemingly useless information in many cases can actually deduce the direction of the change of the core factor.

"In February, the environmental protection field and the new energy sector led the rise. ”

"In March, the environmental protection industry and new energy sector related stocks rose the most. ”

"The stock market fluctuated to the upside in the first quarter, with an amplitude of within 5% and an increase of less than 2%. ”

In order to deal with the research business of Huapu, Shenghe, Rainbow, and Tailong, Wang Nuo knew that the information was very complicated, and in addition to the information given by the buyer, there were also several variables that were cut out with an honest pen.

It's all information about the stock market, and if you make targeted investments, Wang Nuo can imagine how exaggerated the proportion of energy consumption will be.

However, the use of information still has its doorway, Wang Nuo is not in a hurry, because waiting, in fact, it is advantageous.

In the research report to the buyer, Wang Nuo used neutral wording, that is...... Try to make the research report correct, but also try to make the buyer not change the investment plan after reading the research report.

This in itself is not difficult, after all, the funds of several buyers are massive, and the investment plan is also very structurally rigorous, not to mention that Wang Nuo's views are definitely in line with some analysts, so as not to change the buyer's investment plan, or ...... changed, but does not produce additional expenditure of energy.

Judging from the latest information, whether it is Ye Yaohua or Yuan Rongxin, they all hold the same view as Wang Nuo: the market's expectations for strategy are relatively neutral.

What is neutral is that it can rise or fall, and the data almost perfectly reflects the influence of the strategy, and the index is very reasonable.

This reasonable premise is that the environmental protection and new energy fields are temporarily in a sideways situation.

The market does not think that the valuation here is unreasonable, and the strategic side does not think that the fundamentals will have to act on this under the premise that the strength is already large enough.

The direction of the big industry, this is the focus of the two sessions every year, and the current leadership team is almost the easiest to take the blame since the founding of the People's Republic of China.

When economic development reaches a certain stage, the current leadership finds that if we ignore certain problems in development, the country will have problems, so they ...... Wielding a knife to tidy up the interior, bearing the labor pains.

At the same time, the development has reached a certain stage, and the economic, political, and military fields are quietly changing their forms, or changing their postures.

Just talking about the economy, that is, the extensive development model and management model of the past need to be changed, and one of the key points can be high-tech and new, which is really a complex proposition.

The core words given in the circle are: direction, strength.

The capital's annual investment of hundreds of billions of yuan to improve the environment, the pursuit of China Blue in ten years, the adjustment of production capacity structure, and the transformation of industrial direction, a series of propositions have been thrown, which has its historical background and necessity.

In the financial circle, the bet is on direction and strength.

Environmental protection and new energy are the directions, the Internet, the tertiary industry, industry and agriculture are also the directions, and the strength is to guess how much force the strategic side will exert in these directions, so as to have much impact on the market.

This is not unwarranted speculation, but rather a directional tilt and force adjustment inferred from a large amount of data.

"The country's investment in the field of environmental protection and new energy has been large enough, and the industry wants to completely digest these strategic influencing factors, at least three years, and the circle generally believes that there is no need to exert greater strength in this direction...... "Yuan Rongxin's analysis is the mainstream view of strategic analysts.

In short, the expectations given by the market are sufficient, there is nothing to adjust, and even if it is, it should be a small adjustment.

"From the data point of view, too many positions are due to the inertia in the early stage, and there are not many markets available for funds to be stationed now, and the futures market is the better one among the most choices, from the data side, the long and short divergence is still there, but if there is no major change in the strategy, the space generated by this divergence will not be too large......," Ye Yaohua briefly elaborated.

"There is no big trend on the strategic side. Yuan Rongxin emphasized: "At least there is a deviation from our direction, but I think there are signs of reform of financial rules, and everyone knows that both the World Financial Exchange and the international market are ...... to the Chinese market."

"The data of the domestic market cannot be completely opened up to the docking with the international market, we can't take it, Lao Yuan, are you stupid to do strategic analysis? Some risks in the domestic financial system are not much worse than those in the subprime mortgage period in the United States, and we rely on ......" Ye Yaohua opened his mouth to be data.

Wang Nuo listened with relish, he had already discovered that the attitudes of Ye Yaohua and Yuan Rongxin often represented the mainstream view of the market.

At present, the mainstream opinions of the market, placed in environmental protection and new energy, are optimistic about the same.

This is very normal, if you are optimistic about the big change, the corresponding target has already changed in price, after all, the price represents market cognition.

In other words, the market feels that the index is very reasonable now, environmental protection, new energy, in last year, the year before last, the year before and so on have been supported, and now it is booming, and the corresponding industry still has a large number of strategic influences that have not been digested and implemented, and there is no need to move now.

Besides, it takes time to change, and how much time will it take for China's economic structure to go from the old to the new and welcome the new? Do we have this foundation to speed up the process? Some people think it is okay, and some people think it can't.

The overall strength is there, and if you exert too much effort in certain directions, it means that you will not only have to sacrifice the foundation in certain directions, but also spend part of your strength.

For Wang Nuo, the question is, why is the field of environmental protection and new energy rising? Relying on the neutral cognition of the mainstream of the market?

If it's not strategically favorable, then what's possible?

If there is a new technology coming out, it will also be good for the strategy to be reversed.

Wang Nuo thought about a lot of factors, and they all felt ...... That's at least a definite influencing factor.

Turn around and look at the commodity futures market, there is not enough information support for agricultural products, precious metals or something is also vague, only black commodity futures are the most affected by the correlation, coincidentally, the position here is not small, the market has been continuing, both long and short have been ready to move.

From the fourth quarter of last year to the first quarter of this year, black futures were not only affected by the domestic environment, but also affected by exchange rates and international trade policies.

The downside is open, the upside is there, and the up and down probabilities are almost equal, which is the best and worst time for investors.

"Do long bifocal steel. Wang Nuo made a decision.

There are only two days left before the first official transaction after the Spring Festival, and most institutions have also started their own layout.

Regarding Wang Nuo's research report, others also have their own opinions.

"He's just betting on the good!"