Chapter 11: The End of the Harder

"As we all know, the value of human beings to society has almost nothing to do with the use value they create, only with the scarcity of their skills and resources.

Everyone needs to eat, but the status of the peasants is still low, and this is because there are too many peasants to kill all the individuals who overlap with their skill tree and thus create their own scarcity.

Therefore, when we discuss which is more important and more open in the future society, we must not only look at human society itself, but also look at 'which type of people are more likely to be eliminated and replaced by machines'.

At present, with the birth of deep learning, those who can learn 90 points in one course in 50 hours, and 90 points in both courses in 100 hours, but cannot learn 98 points in any course even in 300 hours, will be far more popular in the future than those who can only learn 75 points in 50 hours, but can grind 98 points in 300 hours.

Because if we rely on hard work and grinding, how can human beings with flesh and blood work harder than machines? In the past, machines could only 'execute' and could not 'learn', so people who 'only have the advantage of hard work' among human beings still have the value of living. And once the machine also learns to 'learn', the human beings who only know how to work hard will lose to the machine.

That's why today's innovative technology companies are increasingly looking for learning ability and speed rather than knowledge stock when hiring R&D talent. Even if a professional can sharpen a skill to 98 points in three years, what can it be? The knowledge is updated too quickly, and before it has been sharpened to 90 points, everything learned before it has been outdated and eliminated.

Technology companies only need a month to get started with a new skill, run on the passing line, and iterate quickly. As for those who specialize in craftsmanship, you can continue to make sushi or fried tempura.

So, what are the disadvantages of deep learning AI compared to humans? For example, Google is currently working on a robot game called 'Alpha Dog', which can only be set to 'win Go', and then everything evolves to achieve this goal. Every time you play a game, you will learn statistics if the winning rate is high, and avoid it if the winning rate is low. If you want him to play Go beautifully and ornamentally at the same time, it can't do that.

The final bottom line between humans and machines is that humans have multiple values and interests, and humans are just doing things that seem aimless or inefficient at achieving the current main goal. At this time, we can see the collision of ideas and value innovation brought about by the cross-circle trade-off between multiple goals. That's why a lot of opportunities in the startup world are now emerging in cross-circle nodes......"

As a positive side, Feng Jianxiong's concluding argument was published after Su Qin.

Therefore, by the time Feng Jianxiong finished speaking in the past few minutes, the audience had no chance to refute except for questions from the audience.

Before summarizing the presentation session, Feng Jianxiong relied on his imagination and foresight to open the scene slightly, which made Su Qin feel deeply powerless.

But at that time, Su Qin, after all, had not completely given up treatment.

When he finished talking about the opposing party's summary statement, he once felt that he was quite aura and reasonable.

However, Feng Jianxiong's final decision came down. Su Qin knew that none of the illusions about victory just now existed.

Tian Haimo, the host on the rostrum, was also in the same mood: "From the perspective of experts and generalists, who is more likely to be eliminated by machines, it is simply unheard of." But looking at his arguments, they all seem to be true. ”

Her understanding is actually more profound than Su Qin's.

Because Su Qin was still competing just now, it was impossible to verify whether the arguments said by the other party were true on the spot, and there was no way to cross-examine them as well as court debates.

However, Tian Haimo and the other judges of the jury took advantage of the gap between the two sides to take Feng Jianxiong's English version of "Wired" and other paper evidence for the first time.

Therefore, they knew that Feng Jianxiong's evidence was true.

"This Feng Jianxiong's sensitivity to cutting-edge technology is simply terrifying. I didn't expect a debate in 05 when the pros and cons were evenly matched, and Wanwan's white execution still relied on it to win. Just a year later, because of the latest changes in technology trends in Silicon Valley, it has become a funny topic with little to argue. ”

Several judges felt a sadness in their hearts.

The proposition of the debate is too backward!

Today's scene is almost like in 1990, when Jinling University and Wanwan University debated the question of "will the Soviet system collapse", it may have been difficult to solve at that time, but a year later, as soon as the ironclad evidence of the demise of the Soviet Union was laid out, the debaters who stood for the Soviet Union were trapped.

"Study hard" is still an excellent character.

But people who "only work hard", and professionals who "only work hard", are already doomed to lose to other people of their kind when machines can learn.

The future belongs to people who can do, find goals, set goals, question and ask questions. Rather than someone who is only given homework and can solve it with effort alone.

The way of heaven and the truth stood on Feng Jianxiong's side, which really made him invincible.

……

"How did Feng Jianxiong's brain grow? This is not only a matter of eloquence and eloquence, but also too broad-minded. ”

"That's it, I'm different from you, I'm a semi-professional debate enthusiast, this topic last year's Taibazi and Hong Kong Can debate video, I have worked hard to find and watch! But even in last year's international competition, everyone just deducted definitions and played word games, and there was no brain hole in Feng Jianxiong's game today. ”

The melon-eating crowd in the audience frantically legends Feng Jianxiong's awesomeness, as if most Xiaobai can't understand the subtle and mysterious awesomeness.

When the emotions of the little whites are almost fanned, it's time for everyone to stand up and shout 666, and those senior fans who are half a bottle of water will show off their knowledge and help Feng Jianxiong shout "Basic operation, sit down for me who shouts 666~"

The scene was chaotic for a while, until the jury finished its tense discussion.

Tian Haimo came to the stage with an envelope in a complicated mood - it was an envelope, not the usual piece of paper, so it looked very solemn.

Open, smooth, take a deep breath, and announce.

"Now I announce that the winner of today's contest is: the Law School team! Let's congratulate them...... Then, President Zhou was invited to present awards to the representatives of the law school team!"

"The best debater in this competition is: Zhengfang Four Debates, Feng Jianxiong!"

"The best debater of this year's 'Hope Cup' is: Law School Team, Feng Jianxiong!"

Tian Haimo announced the three messages in a staggered manner, and then looked at the many school leaders who came to the scene today to present awards to Feng Jianxiong and Yu Meiqin.

Although Tian Haimo's heart was a little empty, she was not lost, but she felt that an era seemed to be over and a new era had begun.

It's a very subtle feeling.

Vice President Zhou coughed lightly and hung the medal for the best debater in this year's cup around Feng Jianxiong's neckβ€”it was a copper-plated thing that looked like a large commemorative coin. Then he took the certificate from the emcee girl next to him, and solemnly handed it to Feng Jianxiong with both hands.

Feng Jianxiong took it respectfully.

Principal Zhou is a bald man in his early 50s, and he is usually used to being official, so even if he speaks sincerely at this moment, he still can't help but bring out a bit of condescension:

"You have performed very well, this class of freshmen has brought a lot of new strength to the school's debate circle. I hope that you will be able to compete with the traditional two powerhouses in East China, Jinling and Fudan in the domestic competition in the following year. ”

After Principal Zhou finished speaking, several staff members next to him, including the teacher who served as the coach of the school's debate team, also made fun of the appreciation, and persuaded Feng Jianxiong to take this errand with a smile.

After all, he and Yu Meiqin are just freshmen, and although they are determined to forge ahead, they will have to sharpen for another two years before they can really enter the heyday, right?

This is a normal thought for most people.

For this kind of expectation, Feng Jianxiong of course wants to give face: "Thank you President Zhou for your expectations, but two years is not too long, I think I will kill Jinling Fudan this year, and I will be able to go to Xingdao next year." ”

"This year...... Uh, hehe, okay, have ambition!" Principal Zhou's face stiffened, and it didn't hit Feng Jianxiong's self-confidence, "It's good to be ambitious, then you should start understanding the opponent's strength now." ”

The school leaders left first after a few words, and Tian Haimo also took the opportunity to say a few closing words and announced the end of this Cup.

Feng Jianxiong's old friend, Senior Sister Ding Lihui, took the microphone and didn't see it, and walked over a few steps from the auditorium to let him say a few words.

"Say whatever you want, I'll go back and edit my question. Just talk about the acceptance speech and the comment message. "Ding Lihui is very simple, anyway, the school station is just radio, not TV, so the editing of pure audio should not be too easy.

Feng Jianxiong has been a "colleague" with her for more than half a year now, and everyone knows the details of the work, so it's boring to make a gesture.

Feng Jianxiong cleared his throat and changed to a very sympathetic tone: "Actually, I think today's victory is still a bit of a victory - 'Will the future society be more open-minded generalists or specialists', this topic and 'whether scientific and technological progress will make people's development more comprehensive or narrow' actually has a lot in common." Especially when we look at society from the perspective of technology, these two issues almost coincide.

Therefore, in the quarterfinals, when I easily won the business school led by Sister Tian, it already showed that I was very accomplished in this area. Senior Su should just be unconvinced, thinking that his level is higher than that of Senior Sister Tian, and his teammates are stronger than those in the business school, so he still wants to try. But the results turned out to be very sad.

In fact, the more I reflect on this set of debates, the more I can feel a social trend: because machines in the future can also learn, and the learning speed will definitely be faster than humans, and they will be more sleepless than humans, so there is no future for specialization with machines.

The only advantage of human beings is that, at least for now, 'deep learning AI' does not set its own goals, judgment systems and data identifiers. Therefore, artificial intelligence can only be a specialist, while human beings can suddenly do something associative across circles on a whim, and they can be generalists.

In the past, when we were children, we were taught to endure hardships in order to become superior people. However, the chances of getting ahead by hardship and perseverance are becoming more and more slim.

Of course, I am not saying that we should not endure hardships and perseverance, but that a person cannot simply have the perseverance to endure hardships without hobbies and ideals. Because human nature is to be a generalist, a primitive man must be able to hunt and gather, and although the social division of labor itself is efficient, it violates human genes. Therefore, it is painful to study the same thing repeatedly, and it takes perseverance to solve it.

And as long as one thing is painful, there is a market for capital, and when capital smells this demand, it will find a way to invent a machine to help human beings complete this anti-human work. It's just that we didn't think that repetitive mental work could be overcome by machines, but now progress has shown that we are wrong.

Therefore, if a person has no ideals, hobbies and geniuses, and he simply can endure hardships than others, then the future of his elimination by machines is not too far away - the era of pure hard workers, their early days will end in 20 years. It's cruel, but it's true. It's not what I said, I'm just on the side of the Heavenly Dao. ”