Chapter 59: Reminder
After the business was over, the atmosphere in the room became even better, and the three of them chatted about what happened in the Xiangjiang business community while sipping red wine in Li Jiacheng's study: which family's juniors had any scandals, which family's investment had a loss, and which company's stock had risen. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ γ ο½ο½ο½ο½γγγγγγγγ
Zhang Junyi suddenly remembered that next year remembered the decline in the stock market next year, and suddenly wanted to remind the two in front of him, after all, the three of them are now a small group, Zhang Junyi has the obligation to remind, and then there is the group in the two people's family is mainly focused on real estate, so if it starts to sell slowly in the first half of next year, it is estimated that the assets will increase a lot in 82 years when they start to buy, after all, the two of them play a pivotal role in the business community of Xiangjiang, and the two will be grateful to themselves for this matterγ
Zhang Junyi first recalled the specific situation of the stock market from 1981 to 1982, after all, the two in front of him were not laymen, and he could not expect a few words to make the two believe that their story would fall, Zhang Junyi remembered that the reason for stimulating the growth of the Xiangjiang stock market was from Bao Yugang's Wharf battle, which stimulated the Xiangjiang stock market to break through 1,000 points again in the same month. By July 17, 1981, after six years of tossing and turning, the Hang Seng Index finally broke the historical record of 1774.96 points set eight years ago with 1810.20 points. In 1981, the total turnover of the Hong Kong stock market exceeded HK$100 billion for the first time. While the stock index climbed to a new high, it actually announced the end of this round of bull market. On the evening of 17 July, the Hong Kong Association of Banks announced that it would raise the interest rate on bank deposits from 11% to 12% from 21 July 1981 in order to save the weakened Hong Kong dollar. At that time, the Hong Kong dollar was not pegged to the US dollar, and the result of the interest rate hike was that the interest rate differential between the Hong Kong dollar and the US dollar was as high as 3 and a half percent, which triggered a large amount of funds to move overseas to carry interest rates. As a result, after the Hong Kong stock market opened on July 20, the Hang Seng Index fell in response, and the stock market continued to slump since then, falling to the lowest level of the year - 1113.77 points on October 5. In September 1982, British Prime Minister Iron Lady visited China and proposed to exchange sovereignty for politics, but Deng Lao refused. Later, the Chinese government made it clear that it would take back the Hong Kong River in 1997, and the Sino-British negotiations on the Hong Kong issue began. The question of Hong Kong's future triggered a crisis of investor confidence, and the stock market and property market both fell, and then fell all the way down, reaching the lowest point of the current decline of 676.30 points on December 2, 1982.
After Zhang Junyi thought clearly about the cause and effect of the matter, he coughed, and when he saw that the attention of the two of them was on himself, he began to organize his language and said: "Bao Sheng, Li Sheng, have you ever risen quite rapidly in the stock market recently!"
"It's not Bao Sheng's reason, since he won the Wharf incident, Xiangjiang's stock index is now the same every day, and now it is more than 1,100 points, of course, there is also the role of Zhang Sheng!" Li Jiacheng couldn't help but joke Zhang Junyi said.
Zhang Junyi couldn't help but smile bitterly when he heard Li Jiacheng's quipping words, and before he got into the topic, he was about to be led astray by Li Jiacheng's words, and couldn't help but say: "I think this kind of thing is not normal, if the stock index keeps growing, then the economy of the entire Xiangjiang will be like a bubble that is getting bigger and bigger, but it will also get thinner and thinnerγγγγγγγγγγ Zhang Junyi said that he would not go on.
When the two of them heard Zhang Junyi's words, their faces slowly became serious from the happy look just now, and seeing that the two of them began to be serious, Zhang Junyi knew that his words had a role, so he began to say: "I analyze the development of the stock index like it is now, there will only be two endings!"
Li Jiacheng preemptively asked, "Those two endings?"
Zhang Junyi saw Li Jiacheng's demeanor like this, so he stopped selling Guan Zi and began to speak: " When the first stock index grew to a certain height, when the Bank of Hong Kong realized the danger of this situation, it was forced to raise the interest rate so that the Hang Seng Index would fall, but the common people were all buying up and not buying down, and even if the government wanted to explain it, I estimated that the stock market in Xiangjiang would be a shock at that time; the second situation was even worse, that is, if the Bank of Hong Kong did not save itself, it would face the world's financial speculators, and then a financial crisis would definitely occur in Xiangjiang!"
Zhang Junyi gave the two of them some time to digest what he had just said, and then said: " I estimate that the Hang Seng Index of Xiangjiang will grow for a period of time, but I can't say exactly when it will grow, after all, now the Bank of Xiangjiang has not noticed this situation at all, not even expected, anyway, this year I said this situation I estimate that the two are mainly engaged in real estate, once the Hang Seng Index falls sharply, the impact on the two will be great, so I hope that the two will start to slowly sell the real estate in their hands at the beginning of next year, and wait for this wave of crisis when they are in the bottom of the bottom, which is also the reason why the funds in my hands have not entered the real estate for the time beingοΌβ
Zhang Junyi's words have been made clear to them, whether to listen or not to listen is their own business, even if they really lose a lot at that time, it is not their own business, I reminded you who is to blame if you don't listen, of course, Zhang Junyi also knows that they will not take such a big thing for a while, they will definitely go to a meeting to discuss the probability of this kind of thing happening and the time of occurrence, I know from the memory of my previous life what day the specific time happened, but unless Zhang Junyi is stupid and crazy, he will not say it, and getting rich must be done secretly, which is in line with Zhang Junyi's principle of being a manγ
The three of them said that they were not in the mood to chat here, and they were about to end this small gathering, but Zhang Junyi finally began to say in a deep voice: "You two hope that our conversation just now can be kept secret, except for this door, I won't admit what I just said!
Bao Yugang and Li Jiacheng also knew the seriousness of the matter they had just discussed, and both nodded and said that they would not reveal it.
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Zhang Junyi has lived quite easily during this period of time, but this period of time is quite bleak for Cheng Long, although Cheng Long has such and such problems, but for making movies, it is absolutely dedicated, and he is also a madman, but since Cheng Long was banned by Zhang Junyi, Cheng Long can be regarded as completely idle, there is nothing to do at all, even friends avoid him, for fear of being affected by Cheng Long. So in addition to going to nightclubs every day to get drunk, Cheng Long can only stay at home, because the reporter follows him like a fly every day, Cheng Long now almost doesn't dare to go out during the day.