Chapter 249: Jumping off the building
Back at the hotel, Hao Like pretended to be surprised and said: "Zhang, you are an ugly duckling turned into a swan, and Cinderella has become a big beauty, so beautiful!"
Zhang Ting knew that this foreigner scolded her for Li Mo's sake, but she still covered her mouth and smiled, smiling so proudly that her cheeks showed a pair of deep dimples. Pen & Fun & Pavilion www.biquge.info
Getting down to business, Hao Like brought over a lot of information, and Li Mo began to look through it.
It's all English information, and Zhang Ting can't understand it, but some curves only have Arabic numerals and curves on them, which seems to be "understandable". But if you look at it this way, you can make money? It was beyond her comprehension.
Li Mo looked at these things as a verification, in case his memory was wrong, and he was also afraid that because of his appearance, history would change. This time, and another time, after taking risks, even if you invest in the future, you will only earn a "pocket money", so as not to catch up with the old capital. The next time will be much better, the main thing is that this time, winning, is the sea and the sky, losing, is nothing. Of course, the most risky is the last Plaza Agreement, which is a hundred-fold leverage, if a predator pays attention, although the time is short, it is enough to blow up his position.
Prudence is a must.
He was watching, Hao Lik and they were sitting in the room, and they didn't dare to come out.
Even the traders recruited later were carefully staring at Li Mo and did not move.
After looking at it for a while, Li Mo rubbed his eyes and smelled the faint fragrance around him, whether it was the girl's body fragrance or Zhang Ting's perfume, Li Mo couldn't tell the difference, he turned his head, just as Zhang Ting bent down, trying to understand these book-like information.
Li Mo said in her ear: "Zhang Ting, you are really dirty, is your bra the bra your mother wears?"
"You, rascal, I'm going to tape your mouth shut. Zhang Ting was annoyed.
"Alas, is it good to be reasonable, do you think I am Yanagi Megumi, although I don't have the idea of taking you as a little lady, but you are like this, I am a man, a very normal man, and may be a very powerful man, there is no physiological reaction? ”
"I knew that you were a little pervert who finally showed his fox tail," Zhang Ting said hatefully, and ran back to her room.
Uncle Qin smiled, how did this little beauty meet the boss?
Li Menu said, "Uncle Qin, lock the door." ”
Li Mo deliberately shamed her away, because what he was going to say next couldn't be leaked. Zhang Ting is finally young, and Li Mo didn't even figure out what kind of personality and what personnel contacts. Trouble is trouble, business is back to business.
"Uncle Qin, what I said today can't be revealed. ”
"Xiao Li, don't worry, I am definitely someone you can trust. ”
Li Mo nodded, Uncle Qin, Uncle Liang, and Uncle Li had been compared in his yard, but it was just fun, and Uncle Qin was the best.
With the rise of net worth, you have to have a powerful security guard by your side, and General Yang's son-in-law is the best lesson. Including this time in Japan, Li Mo gradually took Uncle Qin with him.
Li Mo began to write high numbers.
High numbers are a coaxing thing, can you really use high numbers to calculate the stock market? But at this time, some people really believe it, and in the future, many people will continue to believe it.
There are three real reasons for this stock market crash.
On the contrary, the Cold War brought lasting peace to Western countries in the past decade or so, and the Third Industrial Revolution began to bear heavy fruits in the seventies. Two major factors led to the economic take-off not only of Japan, but also of the entire Western world from the 70s and even earlier from the 60s.
But at this time, both technology and economy have touched the ceiling, and Internet technology is still immature, that is, this new technology still cannot become a pillar industry to support the economy to continue to fly forward.
This is also the reason why Internet stocks rose sharply in the nineties, after a long period of peace, the economy has taken off for a long time, many people have money in their hands, these hot money has nowhere to go, and the old industry has reached the ceiling, so all kinds of hot money flows to Internet stocks.
Even tell a good story, whether it is profitable or not, the stock will sell well, if it can be profitable, even if it is a little profit, the stock has risen to a sky-high price, for example, Cisco and Microsoft have broken through the $600 billion mark before and after.
What is the concept of 600 billion?
Don't want any invisible family tens of trillions, nonsense!
For example, if China is opened up at present, 600 billion US dollars will rush in, which can completely destroy China's economy together, which is even worse than the countries in Southeast Asia later.
The bubble blew too big, snapped, and blew up!
At the moment, this bubble is not as good as the bubble in 2000, but it is not small.
A soft landing for the U.S. economy.
Looking at the three sets of data, the increase in US dollar GDP was 83 years, 8.8%, 84 years, 11.1%, 85 years, 7.6%, 86 years, 5.6%, 87 years, 6.1%, 88 years, 7.9%.
After deducting the price increase, the real increase was 4.6% in '83, 7.3% in '84, 7.3% in '85, 4.2% in '86, 3.5% in '86, 3.5% in '87, 3.5% in '88, 4.2%.
GDP per capita, 82 years, 14439 (USD), 83 years, 15561, 84 years, 17134 years, 85 years, 18269 years, 86 years, 19115 years, 87 years, 20101, 88 years, 21483.
In '87, China's per capita GDP was only $299, and its actual per capita income was less than $200, or about $700...... Nothing to do with China.
These three sets of data can show a lot of things, first of all, after a series of policy stimulus by Reagan, the world's largest economy in the past few years, has been developing rapidly, and in 86 began to have a soft landing.
Secondly, through the comparison of price increases, it shows that a soft landing is right, and price increases have become very slow.
Although the stock market was in a mess after the bailout, on the contrary, a lot of hot money flowed to the real industry, which stimulated the economic development of the United States.
But now no one would have thought about the stock market crash, and no one could have imagined what next year would be like.
The U.S. economy is on a soft landing, but the stock market is soaring, and the two are becoming more and more incompatible, and from this point of view, a huge bubble is forming.
Shadow market.
The shadow market, as the name suggests, is a market in a dark area, although it is real, but sometimes it is difficult to see from the outside, and the business activities engaged in are highly hidden.
High-risk, shadow market business activities are out of people's sight, and they are destined to pursue profits in a different way than formal financial institutions, and most of them are engaged in high-risk businesses.
It is not easy to supervise, the shadow market is roaming in the formal financial market, and the external is difficult to detect and sort out in time because of its concealment, which brings new regulatory issues to regulators.
Li Mo's three funds are not shadow markets, although shareholders or investors keep them secret, which is not illegal. Every operation is clear, no violation of laws and disciplines, no illegal operations, no tax evasion, and making money in reasonable rules.
Even Li Mo is very careful within the rules, such as this stock market crash, if Li Mo sells a large number of stocks while shorting, although it is legal, but if the SEC notices, it will inevitably say that Li Mo is operating in violation of the rules, which happens to be their punching bag.
These shadow markets are extremely destructive, and in the world they are generally dominated by investment banks, hedge funds and venture funds, and later in China, the shadow market refers to bank-trust cooperation and underground banks, which is even more unscrupulous.
It wasn't until after the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in '08 that everyone realized their harm. But now, the shadow market is popular with everyone, venture capital, what is risk, this is called risk......
And the Wall Street shadow market has also become a bellwether for various investors, venture capital, who undoubtedly hold a large number of high-quality stocks that are not even supervised by the Securities and Futures Commission.
Back a month ago, the US stock market continued to boom in August, and in September the US stock market began to swing, and in the first week of October, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 158.78 points, followed by another 235.48 points in the second week, including more than 100 points in one day on October 16.
The U.S. stock market is closed on Saturday and Sunday, and many stockholders are discussing at home, including these shadow markets, and this decline is terrible, the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the United States is only 3,000 points, and in just half a month, it has fallen by nearly 500 points.
By the opening of the market on the 19th, if it was better for ordinary stockholders, how many stocks did these shadow markets hold?
This caused even more panic, and even ordinary shareholders rushed to the trading floor and sold their stocks one after another.
To make matters worse, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's David Luther said in a speech in Washington, D.C., "At a critical moment, although we don't know when this critical moment will be, I will discuss with the stock exchange to temporarily close the exchange." ”
When everyone hears it, something big must have happened, otherwise why would the exchange be closed?
Can this be closed, once it is closed for three or four days, four or five days, the stock falls to the price of scrap paper like in 29, which means that their stock becomes worthless, hurry up and sell it, you sell it for $20, I sell it for $18.
The United States is the largest economy, the vane of Western countries, and the stock markets of these countries have bubbles, and some are even more serious than the United States, such as Xiangjiang, which fell when it heard the wind, and a global stock market crash finally broke out suddenly.
After the stock market crash ended, the United States came to life, some hot money flowed to industry, and some hot money looked left and right, and when I saw that Japan was not greatly affected, it was still better for Japan, and more hot money went to Japan, and more than two years later, Japan went to the Pacific Ocean.
Therefore, later foreign countries demanded that China completely open up its financial market, and many people who led the way also agreed, because China's immature financial market, coupled with the collusion between some bad people inside and outside, China will become a very small number of people's withdrawal machines. In short, whether it is stocks or futures, the intentions were good at first, but they have been spoiled by these investors, China's ...... Not to mention.
But if Li Mo has to explain clearly, Li Mo can't say clearly, isn't it the 19th, why can't it be a week earlier, or a week later, or a month later?
You can only be smart, not demonic!
Li Mo wrote these high-math formulas and explained them appropriately with the economic situation of various countries.
If so, even if it is published, there will be people who will approve of it.
"Li, so you say, there will be a global stock market crash?"
"Hao Lick, don't be surprised, some markets are probably going to the sea, but there are absolutely no problems in two markets, one is Japan, there is too much hot money, and the other is the United States, your country is only a soft landing, and the economy is good, so it can quickly survive this stock market crash. And this squeeze will squeeze out the bubble, and the stock market will become healthier, at least the index can match the size of the economy, which is a healthy stock market. ”
"Lee, you've noticed it a long time ago?"
"No, last year I just followed the yen and the Japanese stock market, and I didn't expect the stock market crash to come. But when I went to the United States this summer, I saw that the U.S. stock market had become crazy, and I realized that there might be a stock market crash, so I didn't know when it would erupt. It wasn't until September, after seeing the stock market swing, that the approximate time was calculated according to the form of the economy and the size of the stock market. ”
"It's still not very easy to operate. ”
"Easy to operate, place an order on Thursday and deliver it after Monday. ”
"Can you tell if it's that week?"
"According to my calculations, it is likely to be the 26th, which is the most certain, followed by the 19th and the beginning of the next month, but this calculation can only be approximated, so we have to make two plans. ”
The first plan is to enter the market from this Thursday, without high leverage, first double, next week five times. Next week, it's twenty times. Twenty is fifty times. How many multiples of the pole are carried specifically, Li Mo will adjust according to the situation.
In fact, this is Li Mo's intention, deliberately saying that No. 19 is No. 26, and deliberately operating in advance, at least in the human realm, it can be understood, otherwise it can't be understood.
In addition, the beginning of the low multiple carrying rod may be a little short, not in the United States, but in the United States, and not necessarily how many people buy. In other regions, the stock market is still hot, Li Mo is a short order, then he will inevitably lose, but with a low multiple, the loss will not be too much, and it is normal to make and lose.
Li Mo deliberately said fifty times, not fifty times, he has too much money in his hands now, fifty times to play, the funds he leverages are too huge, and the risk is greater, in case it attracts the attention of several predators, I won't sell the stocks, eat this list first, the whole situation will be rewritten, and Li Mo will be eaten to nothing.
And Li Mo put the money into the accounts of more than a dozen shell funds, and asked each trader to go to the exchanges in various countries and regions, and use the names of these shell funds to disperse the operation, so as not to attract attention.
The second plan is to continue to mortgage Microsoft shares.
At this time, the mortgage was not $120 million, Microsoft's market value went straight to $27.8 billion, and nearly 18% of Microsoft's shares in Li Mo's hands had to be lent out of $400 million. However, Li Mo not only tried to find a way in the United States this time, but also asked Hao Like to send his men to the Xiangjiang HSBC Bank to find a way, not to mortgage one, but to mortgage in many, so as not to attract attention.
But this money must be fully received on the 13th, and then injected into various shell funds one after another, and orders will be placed on the 15th and 16th, so that all empty orders will be eaten by the next family.
Uncle Qin asked, "How much is it in total?"
"More than 800 million dollars, but it's not my own, there are a lot of people's money in it. ”
"Xiao Li, if it's fifty times the prying, wouldn't it be 40 billion?"
"Theoretically, yes, but the deal can only be successful if the order is eaten. And in the entire market, if it is as I said, even if the United States survives this stock market crash in time, it may also evaporate four or five hundred billion dollars. ”
In fact, even if no one asked, Li Mo would not do it, it was too attention-grabbing.
"If you succeed, won't you make a lot of money?"
"Uncle Qin, it's not what you think, it's betting on the entire index, for example, if the index drops by five percent, twenty times it can only make a profit, 800 million US dollars, and you have to pay taxes, handling fees, and guarantee fees. If it goes up by 5 percent, I'm liquidated and I have nothing. In fact, for the huge stock markets of these developed countries, it is very abnormal for the index to rise or fall by 5% in just two or three days. ”
This explanation is also inaccurate, but Uncle Qin doesn't understand anything about it, so Li Mo has to explain it simply.
"Then there's the risk. ”
"Whether it is the stock market or futures, there are risks, especially futures, ten people enter, nine people will lose a lot, if you don't have the ability, don't think about greedy for this money. Even I don't dare to enter futures easily. ”
"It's not good to play like this. ”
"It's not good, but everybody plays like this, it's reasonable, it's legal, it's in line with the rules. Li Mo said, it's not good, Soros doesn't have much money in his hands, it seems that there are only more than seven billion, and that's how he played, bankrupting several countries.
Hao Like and a group of traders, especially the old traders of several funds, have unlimited trust in Li Mo.
Three accountants, Merio, Bode, Hollick, Limer, and nineteen traders, discussed which countries to go to and how to distribute the funds.
Uncle Qin looked at the numbers and his heart was pounding.
He couldn't stand it anymore and ran to the balcony to smoke a cigarette.
The next day, funds began to be injected into various shell fund accounts.
More than two dozen people were preparing to leave one after another, and not only them, but also Jeffman, and some assistants who were hired later, also set off from the United States. In these eighteen days, don't do anything, and keep an eye on this operation. In addition, they also have to hire more than 20 temporary traders, break up these people, and assist the traders of the three funds to operate together, otherwise there will be a shortage of manpower. After all, the list of operations is a bit too much......
Li Mo returned to China.
On the plane, Zhang Ting asked, "Did anyone jump off the building?"
Uncle Qin's eyelids jumped, if what Li Mo said came true, I don't know how many people would jump off the building this time.