In 10 years' time, few people may mention the energy apocalypse, because in addition to highly polluting thermal power generation, the photovoltaic industry, wind power generation technology is mature, and some hydropower generation in various countries around the world, among which the representative work is China's Three Gorges Project. Pen Fun Pavilion wWw. ｂiquge。 The technology of the nuclear energy industry is gradually maturing, and mankind has begun to study other energy sources, as well as rock shale oil and combustible ice. Even in the oil itself, many large oil fields have been discovered in various countries around the world, and some oil fields have "inexplicably come back to life".

But in the 90s, at the beginning of the 21st century, some people may be manipulating public opinion, so the whole world is clamoring for an energy apocalypse crisis, for example, this year, among the OPEC countries, said that Indonesia's oil can only be exploited for 20 years, Algeria and Libya can only be exploited for 40 to 60 years, and Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Kuwait are the big oil producers who can exploit for at most 100 years, and after a hundred years, mankind can only obediently return to the Stone Age.

Why, in this case, does China also sell a lot of oil to the Japanese?

In Li Mo's words, this is not heart-wrenching for the master to sell the cub field.

Or in order to support friendly countries, it doesn't matter if you suffer a little loss, it's not the first time that China has done such a stupid thing, don't forget the past, and follow later!

In official terms, this is called oil for technology, for Baosteel technology.

In the early 70s, the price of oil per barrel was only 1.8 US dollars, and then the fourth Middle East war and the Islamic Revolution in Iran caused the price of a barrel of oil to skyrocket to 34 US dollars in 80 years and to 39 US dollars in 81 years. After adjusting for inflation, this oil price is equivalent to at least $250 for 15 years. Oil-poor Japan approached China and proposed to exchange oil for technology. China provided $10 billion worth of oil and coal to Japan, and the Japanese provided $10 billion worth of smelting equipment and technology to China.

After the completion of the first phase of the project, China found that the Japanese had provided only old equipment and outdated technology...... This is not the worst, after the completion of the first phase of the project, it turned out that Japan's technical equipment is to smelt Brazil's rich ore, and Baosteel must import Brazil's rich iron ore if it wants to start construction. In addition, oil prices are gradually falling, and the Japanese are no longer dependent on China. As a result of these two results, most of the precious foreign exchange in the 80s was occupied by Baosteel and used to buy obsolete equipment from Japan or iron ore from Brazil, and China was seriously short of foreign exchange throughout the 80s, which gave rise to the so-called foreign exchange coupons.

Later, the people of the late province ridiculed the officials of the late province and sacrificed the resources of the entire late province to complete a big city, and in the 80s, it was equivalent to sacrificing the resources of the entire Chinese province to complete a big magic capital...... Then when it came to the second phase of the project, it could no longer be fooled, and the Chinese government tore up the contract, not to tear it up, but to tear it up, and as a result of the tearing, China had to pay huge compensation to the Japanese. In other words, in addition to the cost of 8.5 billion US dollars for the construction of the first phase of Baosteel and the introduction of technology, a lot of additional compensation was also paid to Japan.

In the case of limited financial resources, it is beyond reproach to support the development of local areas first, and the key is that this stupid oil deal will continue to exist, and even in 01-03, when China began to import a large amount of oil, it will continue to provide the Japanese with 3 million to 4 million tons of oil every year.

If you want to take it, you must give it first.

If you want others to love you, you have to love others, and if you want others to respect you, you have to respect others. But it can also be interpreted in this way, if you want others to respect you, you must also respect yourself, you are willing to be cheap, how can others look down on you?

The strange deeds of some of China's leaders have nothing to do with national oil prices.

After the 80s, the international price of crude oil hovered between a dozen dollars and more than 20 dollars per barrel.

But scientists have argued that the world's oil has only been extracted for 100 years at most, and there has been a rift within the 13 OPEC countries (which later Gabon and Indonesia withdrew and Angola joined, becoming the Twelve).

Led by Iran and Iraq, there are several countries with relatively small oil reserves, and Iran and Iraq are major oil countries, but the Iran-Iraq war has forced the economies of the two countries to suffer, so these countries advocate reducing production and raising oil prices.

The faction led by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait advocates moderate oil prices, a barrel of crude oil is just a dozen dollars, and the oil-producing countries can make a lot of profits, after all, this is the 80s and 90s, and the fluctuation of more than 10 to 20 dollars is equivalent to 50 to 90 dollars in 15 years. At the same time, this oil price can also be accepted by Western countries, so that most of the oil can be sold at a profit before alternative energy sources come out, so as to achieve economic transformation, especially Saudi Arabia. If oil prices are too high, it will inevitably lead the global economy into a recession, as it did in the early eighties, which will be detrimental to OPEC countries. If there is no alternative energy in the future, sooner or later, everyone will finish it together, it makes no difference.

During the Iran-Iraq war, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia both provided economic assistance to Iraq, and from the standpoint of major oil-producing countries, the Soviet Union and the United States also turned to Iraq, but while the Soviet Union and the United States turned to Iraq, like China, they were also selling weapons to Iran and making a lot of money, so it triggered the Iran-Door incident of the Reagan administration.

The Iran-Iraq war ended, oil prices fell to $18 a barrel, and the 27th OPEC ministerial meeting was held in the middle of last month.

At that meeting, Iraq proposed that OPEC reduce oil production in order to raise the price to $25 per barrel. Saudi Arabia and other countries did not agree, and even more fatally, Kuwait increased production and caused oil prices to fall, hoping to force Iraq to settle their border dispute.

Saddam Hussein was so anxious by Kuwait's move that after the end of the Gulf War, Iraq owed $70 billion in foreign debt, of which $14 billion was owed to Kuwait. What does 90 years of $70 billion in debt mean for a country with a population of just over 30 million and desperately impoverished by a long war?

After the OPEC meeting failed to negotiate, Saddam Hussein directly sent people to Kuwait, not only because of the debt problem, but also for a number of reasons; the Iraqis have always believed that Kuwait is part of Iraq, and the problem of geographical location is that Kuwait's oil fields are in a low position, and as long as Kuwait continues to extract oil from some oil fields, Iraq's oil will flow to Kuwait's oil fields. Moreover, this time, Kuwait took the lead in opposing Iraq's production reduction plan and "disobediently" increasing production to threaten Iraq.

This kind of thing made Saddam finally unable to bear it and wanted to do something to Kuwait. Moreover, Kuwait and Iraq have solved the problem of access to the sea......

When the Al Sacrum envoy made some demands to Kuwait, which were refused, Saddam Hussein suspended the negotiations and summoned the American ambassador, April Glaspie. According to the Americans, Saddam Hussein said he would not use force against Kuwait until negotiations resumed, and Glaspi said that the United States was concerned about Iraq's concentration of armed forces on the Iraq-Kuwait border. According to the Iraqis, Graspi had said that the United States was neutral in its position on intra-Arab disputes, including the Iraq-Kuwait border dispute. In other words, you guys fight, it has nothing to do with us in the United States.

That day, Limer's remarks were another one, saying that the United States would inevitably use some plausible arguments to make Saddam misjudge and induce Saddam to invade Kuwait.

In this way, the United States will be able to use its troops in the Middle East in a bright and open manner.

It just so happens that the Soviet Union is getting worse and worse, so from now on, the United States will control this strategic place of energy, and with the strong dollar, the United States will dominate the world.

In fact, the Americans deliberately made Thambe miscalculate, not only this time, but Saddam Hussein made another miscalculation more than 10 years later, and one of his subordinates reminded him that the United States might not be kind to him, he said, I am against extremist religious fundamentalism, I am on behalf of the United States to contain Iran, why did the United States attack me, and what good will it do to the United States to get me down?

Why are you fighting, you are mostly plains, easy to fight, Iran is both mountains and mountains, if you want to take Iran, how much price do you have to pay......

However, due to the butterfly effect brought about by Limer, the date of Iraq's attack on Kuwait was postponed from 2 August to 6 August.

On 2 August, Iraq did not send troops.

Li Mo is not in a hurry, although Iraq did not send troops, but on the Japanese side, Robertson is frantically using all kinds of formal and irregular means to sell stocks to cash out, and then throw out a large number of short orders.

In fact, after the OPEC meeting, Iraq deployed troops on the Kuwaiti border.

However, at that time, it was difficult to say whether Iraq would use troops against Kuwait, after all, in the Iran-Iraq war, Kuwait could also be regarded as Iraq's ally, and most people thought that Iraq was only a threat to force Kuwait to make some concessions.

By the time Iraq summoned the US ambassador, it was already ready to send it.

Time is running out for Robertson and the others.

If Li Mo doesn't enter, although it is too late to short, he can calmly cash out the stocks. In fact, in the previous life, in this Japanese stock index crash, funds such as Tiger did not make much profits, mainly because the time was too rushed.

Because of Li Mo's entry, the situation became serious, and they wanted to eat up the funds in Li Mo's hands, and Shengsheng raised the Nikkei index to more than 33,300 points, which led to several situations, they had a large amount of money on various stocks, and the stock price was also raised by them, and it was not easy to cash out, and many companies also ate the empty orders thrown by Li Mo.

In front are various funds, and there is still the shadow of the Federal Reserve in the back, so perhaps ahead, the female ambassador of the United States deliberately dragged Saddam Hussein for a few days.

But it's only a few days......

If Kuwait is scared and compromises with Saddam, the fighter plane will be missed, and the compromise may bring about another worse consequence, OPEC countries have to cooperate with Iraq to reduce production and raise oil prices, which will undoubtedly make the US economy, which is already dragged down by the credit crisis, worse.

Time was short, and the Japanese stock market was in turmoil.

Li Mo was hidden in the magic capital, looking at Japan and the Middle East...... Fed officials are also scrutinizing Mr. Limer's operation.

They also gave Li Mo some interpretations.

Iraq and Kuwait were at loggerheads last year, and Kuwait began to deliberately increase production last year.

Iraq's debt, as well as the current dire economic situation, are well known, and a little inquiry will make you hear.

As long as the brain hole is open, you will be able to make some accurate judgments last year.

Maybe after Li Mo made some judgments this spring, he frantically brought a lot of money to Japan.

Why is it August, the reason is simple, at the end of the year, Iraq must repay some loans, and if the loans are not repaid, at least the interest must be repaid.

If you want to repay the loan at the end of the year without pressure, you must send troops in August, then the price of oil will skyrocket in September, and if there is a sale of high-priced oil in two or three months, there will not be much pressure on Iraq to repay the loan at the end of the year. If it is too late, even if it sends troops to Kuwait, Iraq will still have a lot of pressure to repay the loan at the end of the year. Besides, if they have sent troops to Kuwait, will other debtor countries, such as Saudi Arabia, forgive Iraq's debts?

Then in the first half of July, Li Mo was still a little uncertain, otherwise Li Mo would be more profitable this time.

This is why Li Mo cashed out and fought with Tiger and other funds. It's a slight loss, but it's worth it compared to the upcoming harvest. Even if he made a mistake in judgment, Li Mo could still afford this loss. Futures are inherently a gamble, and who would dare to say that there is no risk at all every operation?

The OPEC meeting began, and at the same time, Li Mo also asked Hollick to send a large number of people to the Middle East to find out the news, of course, no one will notice until Iraq reveals its ambitions to invade Kuwait.

These people quickly fed back the news of the OPEC meeting to Li Mo, who only then concluded that Iraq was going to use troops against Kuwait.

So Li Mo asked several funds to quickly sell all kinds of medium and long short orders, and even the Chinese government was wiped out, and the Bank of China entered the oil futures market in advance with a large amount of foreign exchange.

During the Iran-Iraq war, the reason why it fell steadily from the highest of $39 per barrel in 81 to almost all of them fluctuated around $15 in '86, only $21 at the high, and as little as $11.1 at the low. The main reason is that Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, two big dog players, are increasing production.

Iraq invaded Kuwait, and even more fatally Kuwait is south of Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia is not small, it is the third largest country in Asia (after the collapse of the Soviet Union, it was squeezed into fourth place by Kazakhstan), it is several parts of Iraq, but most of them are deserts and Gobi regions, sparsely populated, and less than the population of Iraq. If Iraq wants to deal with Saudi Arabia, it will be a matter of minutes......

How much impact would Iraq's invasion of Kuwait have on national crude oil prices?

International crude oil prices will inevitably rise, so how much impact will it have on the extremely oil-poor Japanese economy, and the Japanese stock market has been blown up into a huge bubble.

Some sighed.

They didn't know that Li Mo would withdraw from the Japanese market after shorting this time, so in their minds, it was not yet time to decide the winner. After all, no matter how smart you are, Iraq's invasion of Kuwait is just a rare and special incident, and under normal circumstances, if you want to make money in the risk market, you have to rely on wisdom and strength in your hands. In order not to let people grasp the handle, and the Chinese power behind it is not strong, he has to "abide by the law", and behind Robertson is the powerful United States, which can operate unscrupulously, if the stalemate continues, the money made by Li Mo may be "taken away" by Robertson bit by bit.

But this thing...... It's heartwarming to think about, so many people are making suggestions, there are still so many funds to use, all kinds of formal and informal means, and they actually lost to Li Mo alone.

The United States is like Yue Buqun, no matter what kind of virtue they have, they like to fly under the banner of justice. Under this hypocritical diplomatic strategy, it is certainly inconvenient for the Fed to come forward.

And at this point, even if you come forward, it won't work.

Greenspan said, "Robertson despised this young man, and should not have been in trouble with him." ”

Judging from various indications, even now, Li Mo still has a good impression of the United States.

Everyone is trying to find a way to short Japan, which is also the result that the US government can't wait to see, but Robertson is too ugly, not only on the field, but also off the field, but also on Li Mo's industry, wanting to shake the foundation of Yili Company.

So this time they suffered a big loss, and they couldn't complain about anyone.

His words are also a statement, that is, don't care anymore.

In the early hours of 6 August, Iraq sent troops to Kuwait.

There is a five-hour time difference between Iraq and China, and in the early hours of the morning, it is five o'clock in the magic capital.

It was just dawn, and Li Mo was playing Tai Chi in the courtyard.

His Tai Chi is not counting on what can gather three flowers, just exercising, which is the original meaning of Tai Chi, especially for the elderly and Li Mo, who have little exercise, practicing Tai Chi once a day can soothe muscles and bones, reduce arteriosclerosis, lower cholesterol, prevent osteoporosis, and open the mind.

Look, with so many benefits, can Tai Chi still be degraded?

But don't do anything like "fighting cattle across the mountains" and "falling off clothes", which is not only disgusting, but also ruins the reputation of this treasure of Chinese civilization.

Halfway through the practice, Secretary Tie came.

This is Li Mo's low-key, otherwise there will be many guests who come to his house.

And the further back you go, the more you are like what Liu Yuxi wrote, "There is a great deal of Confucianism in talking and laughing, and there is no white ding", that is, most of the people who come to visit are some big people with backgrounds.

"Xiao Li, I'm practicing Tai Chi. ”

"Secretary Tie is good. Li Mo said politely. Because of the reform of state-owned enterprises, many people hate this iron fist in the future, but Li Mo has an extremely supportive view of most of his actions, and admires him more, believing that he is the most capable second-in-command in China. Real people were okay in the early eighties, but in the late eighties, for the sake of rights and the so-called people's cooking, they embarked on the evil road.

"Xiao Li, Iraq has just attacked Kuwait. ”

"Certainly. ”

"I am afraid that it will be more difficult for China to go forward. ”

Iraq attacked Kuwait as Li Mo guessed, and then Li Mo's other speculation will inevitably happen, that is, the United States will take the opportunity to enter the Middle East, and then Li Mo said, petrodollars. The stronger the United States, the more difficult it will undoubtedly be for China.

"Not necessarily, as long as China keeps abstaining from voting in the Security Council, it may be beneficial to China. ”

The Gulf War resulted in the defeat of George H.W. Bush in the next term.

Later, it caused 9/11 and then the Second Gulf War, and the US military was caught in the quagmire of the Middle East.

However, it did make the U.S. government's petrodollar system successfully implemented, and in the future, almost every country under this system has become an ATM for the United States, including China.

So the United States spent so much money on several wars, and the economy in general continued to develop.

It also makes the United States the only real hegemon in the world.

There are pros and cons.

However, Leece believes that it will be more beneficial to China, although in the future, the strong United States will make China uncomfortable.

First of all, the Gulf War woke up some old people, otherwise they would not have known that there was such a big gap with others.

The United States has focused its attention on the Middle East and has won valuable two decades for China's development. Later, Obama "returned to the Pacific" and used a Japanese American as the commander of the Pacific Navy, although it embarrassed China, but at that time, it could only embarrass China, and it was no longer capable of truly encircling China.

Even if the oil, the United States is strong, China and the mud, the United States destroys, and China builds, in fact, it has reaped a lot of benefits from following behind.

"Oh?"

"It's not that the Green Sect is useless, but some of the Green Sect's teachings are very radical......" Li Mo said implicitly, and it was just this sentence, Li Mo immediately changed the subject: "Secretary Tie, have you had breakfast?"

"On the way here, I bought breakfast and ate it. ”

"Then you're welcome. ”

Li Mo was eating breakfast while talking to Secretary Tie.

What is in the country, for the time being, has nothing to do with Secretary Tie, he is still talking about the magic capital.

Limer said: "A few days ago, German Chancellor Kohl sent Merkel to the magic capital and invited me to attend the reunification ceremony between the two countries on October 3. ”

Li Mo originally recounted the conversation between the two that day.

"You want to help the GDR?"

"Secretary Tie, you have also seen that the United States will become stronger in the future, and I must find a base camp......

He believed in Secretary Tie's personality and told the reason.

It doesn't take much, just this sentence is enough to make Secretary Tie understand.

"There are two problems, one is egalitarianism and the other is autocracy. I do not reject autocracy, there are few constraints, work efficiency is high, there will be continuity in policies, and long-term planning can be made. However, autocracy does have many shortcomings, because it lacks constraints and supervision, it cannot speak widely, it is easy to produce bureaucracy, official style, dogmatism, admitting death, dying to save face and suffer crimes, going to the black road can go all the way to the end, formalism, and many leaders like to do superficial work. In addition, it is also prone to corruption, or abuse of power, or abuse of power for personal gain. ”

But it doesn't work.

For example, in the back, Secretary Tie tightened the real estate policy and blocked the way of N second generations, and Secretary Wen retired, and he had to retreat.

"But I have an absolutely pejorative view of what egalitarianism is. First of all, egalitarianism is to indulge the lazy, which is equivalent to stifling creativity and stifling the vitality of enterprises. And the so-called egalitarianism is not necessarily so average. For example, in the fifties, sixties and seventies, the gap between urban and rural areas. There were also five or eight of them, where was the area where we were most severely affected, and at that time my family had a grandfather, grandmother, father, aunt, and a sister-in-law who had just been born. First the sister-in-law fell, and then the grandfather fell. But now I occasionally talk to my parents, and my parents say that my family is lucky, because in some villages more than half of them have fallen. But in that difficult situation, how many cadres of the brigade fell? Also, how many people in various towns and cities fell?"

"Where did you get so bad?"

"Yes, at least four adults have fallen, and although the relevant records are certainly difficult to query, just ask the folks in 40 or 50 years, and those who can survive are basically still alive. ”

At that time, it was a block, that is, a piece of area, and even in the late provinces and Sichuan provinces, where the disaster was severe, there were many areas where the disaster was relatively light. However, the most ignorant place at that time was to prohibit the people from fleeing the famine, just like Li Mo's grandfather, who was once ready to flee to Gan Province, but before he reached the Yangtze River, he was arrested, if he successfully escaped to Gan Province, Li Mo's sister-in-law and grandfather would not die.

That's not what Li Mo said.

The past is gone, and we have to look forward, not backward.

He said that this is just an example: "Secretary Tie, the iron rice bowl is unacceptable, in fact, the best strategy is to further liberalize the policy of private enterprises, I have also said this to Secretary Wen before, forcing enterprises to improve their vitality, creativity and competitiveness, then the entire economy will be revitalized." ”

Although going forward, China is doing well overall.

Although there are all kinds of unfairness, and the gap between the rich and the poor is getting bigger and bigger, it is better than Li Mo not even having enough to eat when he was a child in his previous life.

After all, with more than one billion highly intelligent and hard-working people, talent is the most important foundation of the country, so why can't the country become richer and stronger?

But that's all Li Mo said, even if Secretary Tie's status in his heart was very lofty, Li Mo didn't want to get too deep.

Don't look at him now, he is very rich, but some people can still trample him to death.

On this day, Li Mo received many phone calls.

What impact Iraq's invasion of Kuwait will have on the world economy is a big issue, but there is one thing, and Li Mo has made a lot of money this time.

In the afternoon, Li Mo received a call from Song Haijun again: "Li Dong, the Film Bureau said that it will allow your movie to be released, but there is one thing, when it is promoted, it has to be said that it is the protagonist's dying fantasy, not a real ghost." ”

"Hehe, you ask them, if I shoot in China, will they agree to release it?"

Of course, not all departments are bad, such as the military industry, Li Mo must be saluted!

Song Haijun really asked.

The leader of the film bureau who answered the phone was silent on the other end of the phone for most of the day.

It may be that many people have not yet seen the video tapes of people and ghosts.

However, people in the film bureau must have noticed this movie, which was the global box office champion last year, not only with a high box office, but also with a good reputation. So the fact that the Oscars did not win this year made many American media feel indignant.

Li Mozhen made this movie, is it forbidden to broadcast it? That must not make people in other countries laugh to death. Not to mention, Li Mo really plans to make another ghost movie in the future, and continue to let this group of leaders think about it slowly......