Chapter 47: The Crisis of Excess
Fang Mingyuan gave Yu Qiuxuan another cup of hot tea and said: "When this matter in Japan passes, it is estimated that it will be almost the same after April, and I will let Qing'er be my assistant!" "Now that it's all come to this, he's not hypocritical.
"Alas......" Fang Mingyuan let out a long sigh, and Yu Qiuxuan, who had just picked up the teacup and took a sip, immediately raised his eyebrows and looked at him, and his eyes immediately became sharp.
"Thinking about it in the future, if you call Sister Qiuxuan Mom, why do I feel so awkward and uncomfortable." Fang Mingyuan sighed. Yu Qiuxuan immediately squirted out a mouthful of tea, followed by a series of coughs, Fang Mingyuan hurriedly stood up and helped her pat her back.
After a long time, Yu Qiuxuan relieved his breath and said in a hoarse voice: "Stinky boy, you did it on purpose, right?" ”
Fang Mingyuan couldn't help but smile and asked, "Sister Qiuxuan, if I change my words, don't you feel awkward?" He didn't deliberately pick the opportunity to drink tea in the autumn time, but he really felt it. After calling Sister Qiu Xuan for so many years, it is really uncomfortable for him to change his words for a while.
Yu Qiuxuan glanced at him angrily and said, "What's awkward? I will only feel relieved and proud! "The daughter has a lifelong result, and in the future, the Guo family's incense will also be passed on, and she can be regarded as giving the Guo family and her husband an explanation. As for the lack of an official title, although it is a little regrettable, but her daughter insists on it, and she and her father-in-law don't think that there are people who are better and more outstanding than Fang Mingyuan, and they are also more reassuring candidates for the two, what else can she say? Fang Mingyuan changed his words, although he will definitely not be suitable in the short term, but in the long run, what is this?
"Can you be sure that you are safe in Japan? Prioritize your own safety! Yu Qiuxuan still couldn't help but tell Fang Mingyuan again.
Fang Mingyuan hesitated for a moment, motioned for Yu Qiuxuan to lean over, and lowered his voice in her ear: "Actually, the approximate time and place, I know it now, if I don't go there, there is actually no risk." ”
Yu Qiuxuan couldn't help but be dumbfounded, and looked at Fang Mingyuan with wide eyes, but she quickly returned to normal. Also, the time in Huaxia also showed that the approximate time and place of Fang Mingyuan's judgment were accurate. Although everyone is accustomed to saying "little Japan" naturally, and it is true that Japan's land area is only 370,000 square kilometers, it depends on who compares it to. Compared with Russia, China, Canada, and the United States, it is indeed small, but in essence, the land area of Germany and Switzerland is only the same as it. Moreover, Japan is also divided into four islands, if Fang Mingyuan knows the approximate time and place, the risk is naturally not great.
Yu Qiuxuan couldn't help but reach out and knock on Fang Mingyuan's head, and said hatefully: "Then if you don't say it earlier, everyone will worry about you."
"There is no impermeable wall in the world, and the fewer people who know, the more benefits can be maximized. And even if I said it early, it didn't make much difference. Fang Mingyuan rubbed his head, and under Qiu Xuan's anger, he was a little ruthless.
Yu Qiuqian thought for a moment, and slowly bowed his head, it is indeed the case, this kind of thing is useless to say it earlier, it will only cause social unrest, I don't see that the Japanese government can only secretly prepare for disaster relief now, and on the surface, the frequency of various disaster response drills is much higher. And in this way, it is also convenient for Fang Mingyuan to obtain more benefits from Japan, Fang Mingyuan's attitude towards Japan, others don't know, can she still not know?
"Well, you've long been a person who can make ideas, so I won't say anything, I believe you understand." Yu Qiuxuan tuckled his sideburns behind his ears and chuckled. Knowing that Fang Mingyuan was in control of everything, she immediately felt a lot more at ease in her heart. The next topic of conversation between the two turned to the affairs of Kwok's Shipping Group and Hong Kong Kumho Film Group Company. Fang Mingyuan can't stay away from Japan these days, some things are not appropriate to communicate through the phone or the Internet after all, Yu Qiuxuan also needs to listen to Fang Mingyuan's thoughts with his own ears.
Kwok's Shipping Group is now in the stage of business contraction, on the one hand, it is receiving new ships, and on the other hand, it is speeding up the process of eliminating old ships. Of course, it is not a complete contraction, and at the same time, the Kwok Shipping Group is also acquiring its peers who have been unable to hold on in the economic crisis and continue to expand its market share.
"Whether it is Hyundai Merchant Marine or Hanjin Shipping Company, the equity we now control has reached the ceiling, and if we want to continue to increase our equity, I am afraid that the South Korean government will be the first to intervene." Fang Ming said from afar. South Korea is a coastal country, the country's economy is highly dependent on import and export trade, the shipping industry can be said to be the core industry, the Fang family can now be said to have essentially controlled the Hyundai Merchant Shipping Company, and also participated in the Hanjin Shipping Company, the Koreans are unlikely to tolerate the country's largest shipping company being controlled by foreigners.
Yu Qiuxuan nodded, with some regret on his face, Guo's shipping group company has now fallen into a bottleneck in the development of the mainland, domestic shipping companies are booming, there is support and policy encouragement from the top, several state-owned shipping companies in recent years The development speed is quite amazing, even in the economic crisis, they can also get special support funds from the government, continue to expand the fleet, and compete for market share with the old shipping companies.
Although today's Chinese economy is still in the stage of rapid development, the market cake of the shipping industry can be said to be expanding every year, but Yu Qiuxuan must take into account that if the growth rate of China's economy slows down in the future, Guo's shipping group company will have to face the dilemma that the "strong" competition of domestic state-owned shipping enterprises may have to face. East Asia is the core business area of Kuok's Shipping Group, but unfortunately Japan and South Korea are both major shipping countries, and most of their domestic markets are occupied by domestic shipping companies.
Although Guo's shipping group company has developed to Southeast Asian countries, the economic level and domestic market of these countries are quite limited, and only one Indonesia can still be brought to the table, but Fang Mingyuan's dislike for that country is well known. Moreover, there is also Singapore, a "big" shipping country in Southeast Asia. The future development direction of Guo's Shipping Group Company made Yu Qiuxuan a little confused and could not find a certain direction.
"Sister Qiuxuan, Guo's Shipping Group Company has developed to this day, in fact, it is necessary to stop and rest, take a look at the scenery along the road, as for how to go next, you might as well take a look in a few years." Fang Ming said from afar. Guo's shipping group company has developed too fast over the years, has become one of the world's top shipping companies, although there is the old man Guo left behind the old man's assistance, there are Fang Mingyuan and Yu Qiuxuan two people control, but with its share in the global market is getting bigger and bigger, the size of the fleet is becoming more and more amazing, in the economic crisis now, how to keep it from declining, is also a very difficult job.
Moreover, to this day, because Huaxia has not launched a strong stimulus plan of four trillion yuan, the economic crisis has not been reversed as quickly as in Fang Mingyuan's previous life, and the future trend has fallen into a fog, in many things, the little memory he still has in his previous life can no longer provide enough reference, so Fang Mingyuan is also a lot more cautious.
Yu Qiuxuan thought sideways for a moment, nodded and said, "The old man also has this opinion, then let's let it go first." And what about the shipyard piece? At present, many shipbuilding enterprises in China want to cooperate with us, especially the provincial government of Donghai Province, which has been proposed to us many times. ”
Fang Mingyuan pondered for a moment and said: "It seems that the provincial government of Donghai Province has also realized that the shipbuilding industry is now in crisis, and an overcapacity crisis may break out at any time." ”
At the beginning of 2010, there was a news that made the Chinese people excited, in 2009, in the three major indicators that show the competitiveness of the shipbuilding industry - the number of orders received, the number of undelivered orders, and the number of construction, South Korea gave up all the world's first laurels to Huaxia, and Huaxia has become the world's largest shipbuilding country!
However, in the eyes of the elites in the industry, this good news cannot hide a reality, that is, today's Huaxia shipbuilding industry has come to the edge of the cliff of serious overcapacity. According to industry statistics, in the four years from 2006 to 2010, the number of shipyards with a capacity of 300,000 tons increased from eight to 35, and the number of 100,000-ton dock slipways increased from 19 to 69. Before 2006, the output of the top 10 shipyards in China accounted for about 70% of the national output, and in the third quarter of 2010, it dropped to less than 40%! The output of the top ten shipyards in Japan accounts for nearly 60%, and the output of South Korea is as high as 95%!
The sharp decline in industrial concentration reflects the fact that in the past few years, too many shipbuilding enterprises have been established, and the total number of shipbuilding enterprises in the country has exceeded 3,000, and in those major shipbuilding provinces, there are even more than 200 shipbuilding enterprises in a single city, and more than half of them were established after 2004. And the shipbuilding enterprises of Japan and South Korea combined, they will not reach this figure!
And so many shipbuilding enterprises, most of which are small and medium-sized enterprises, do not master the manufacturing technology and qualifications of high-tech ships, and the result is homogeneous competition! In order to survive, these enterprises can only desperately reduce the cost of manufacturing, so as to reduce the selling price in exchange for orders, in the shipbuilding industry once again there is a phenomenon of what Huaxia sells and what big price reduction. But even so, after the economic crisis hit and the global shipping industry entered a trough, the shipbuilding industry will naturally face a strong impact! For example, before 2008, the quotation of a 35,000-ton bulk carrier was usually 278 million Chinese dollars, but after the outbreak of the financial crisis, it fell to around 200 million Chinese dollars, and in 2010 it fell to 134 million Chinese dollars.
The sharp decline in prices has caused a huge shrinkage in the profits of shipbuilding enterprises, and many enterprises have suffered losses, but even so, there are still a large number of shipowners abandoning ships, and the number of new orders has begun to decline.
Yu Qiuxuan said: "The Donghai Provincial Government hopes that we can acquire Rongsheng Heavy Industry Group Company, and if we are not willing to acquire it all, we can also participate in the shares and become an important shareholder." ”
Looking at the snowflakes still flying outside the window, Shangguan Yi sighed deeply, crushed the cigarette butt in his hand in the ashtray on the windowsill, returned to the desk, looked at the documents on the table, and frowned. Rongsheng Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd., is a well-known star shipbuilding enterprise in Donghai Province, and has been listed as a "key construction project" and "one of the 100 key private enterprises supported by Donghai Province" by the Donghai Provincial Government.
Shipbuilding industry is the pillar industry of Donghai Province, as the country's largest shipbuilding province, Donghai Province's shipbuilding industry accounts for about one-third of the national market share, before 2008, the booming shipbuilding industry, not only created a large number of jobs, but also contributed to the economic development of Donghai Province can not be ignored. But no one expected that after the outbreak of the economic crisis, the global shipping industry took a sharp turn for the worse, and even the shipbuilding industry was dragged into the water.
Donghai Province's shipbuilding industry, which accounts for one-third of the country's market share, has more than 70 percent of the ships built for overseas shipbuilders, which has naturally been strongly impacted. Last year's shipbuilding industry in Donghai Province showed an overall loss, except for a few shipbuilding enterprises, such as state-owned enterprises and large shipbuilding enterprises, because they were able to receive orders from the navy for warships, it was quite good; Another example is a few private shipbuilding enterprises that have a fairly high reputation in the world, although the global shipping market is sluggish, but the replacement of old ships will also produce order demand, although it is difficult to live, but there is not much crisis. But this will not change the current predicament of most shipbuilders.
Although the shipbuilding enterprises facing bankruptcy liquidation are still a minority, if this situation can not be reversed in the short term, it is conceivable that in the next few years, the vicious competition in the industry will be further fierce, and a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises with low technical gold content will face the crisis of bankruptcy liquidation, and even some large shipbuilding enterprises will not be spared. In the event of a shipbuilding company's bankruptcy, banks and local governments are most affected – in order to encourage the development of shipbuilding enterprises, promote local GDP growth and absorb the working population, local governments often give them generous loan terms and preferential terms in terms of land policy. Shipbuilders are generally large lenders to local banks, which makes it possible for the crisis to extend to the banking sector – a situation that has already occurred abroad!
Rongsheng Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd. is the most headache in the shipbuilding industry in Donghai Province!