Volume 3 Chapter 16 [4] Begin Today Caring for Energy
Listen to what Li Sheng said. Pen % fun % Pavilion www.biquge.info
Fernando chuckled and said, "Just now I also talked to a Qatari prince about oil and cars. ”
Li Sheng looked at him and waited for him to continue.
"I think the maturity of electric vehicle technology will inevitably reduce the status of oil. However, he believes that oil will remain the primary energy source for at least three decades. And the value of oil will be higher and higher. Fernando said with a smile. "Although I stand by my opinion, I have to agree with him. ”
He shook his head and continued with a smile: "I have to say that the countries along the coast of the Persian Gulf are favored by God. The world's crude oil production has almost reached its peak, but the vast majority of experts believe that the peak of oil demand will not occur until at least 20 years later. If that were the case, the price of crude oil would certainly continue to rise. These countries can squander oil for at least another 30 years. ”
Li Sheng didn't pay much attention to the world's energy problems, but after hearing him say this, he thought for a while and said, "Indeed." Although now some countries are working on electric vehicles. But there is still a long way to go before high-energy batteries come out and the cost is reduced to an acceptable level, and electricity is going to replace oil. ”
"Even with that kind of technology, the way of life of the entire human society will change a lot. At the very least, the gas station needs to be turned into a charging station. This requires fast charging technology. In addition, if electricity does become the power of automobiles, electricity production is also a big pressure. Fernando said with a smile. "I thought about whether to invest in an electric car, but now I think that the future of electric vehicles should be a few decades away. ”
Li Sheng couldn't help but smile when he thought about it. A small car needs almost 20 kilowatt-hours of electricity to run 100 kilometers. If Huaxia's cars are mainly electric-powered, they will need billions of kilowatt-hours of electricity just to supply these cars every day, that is to say, the annual power generation of the Three Gorges Power Station can only supply the electricity needed by the country's cars for a few days. I don't know how many power stations will be built. In addition, what kind of transformation of the power grid needs to be carried out to supply such a large amount of electricity is really a real problem.
He said with a smile: "It is said that an electric car that can drive 200 kilometers now has a battery weight of 600 kilograms. If it is a lithium battery, I don't know if there is so much lithium supply in the world. ”
"So, they think they can rely on the glory for 30 years. Fernando said with a smile. "I'm thinking now about investing in a more efficient gasoline engine. Maybe it would be a good research project. Are you interested?"
Li Sheng shook his head and said, "No." In this direction, automakers do not know how many years of research and how much they have invested, but they have not made much progress. There is no difference between us investing and throwing money into the sea. ”
Fernando had to agree with him: "What you say makes a lot of sense. Speaking of which, hasn't the United States come up with a technology to artificially produce crude oil?"
"The one who produces crude oil from cow dung?" Li Sheng also read that information. Using high pressure to accelerate the conversion of organic matter into hydrocarbons is indeed a very constructive idea. If it can be produced in large quantities, it can solve or alleviate the problem of the oil crisis before electric vehicles can become popular. Of course, this production technology also has its flaws. For example, the production efficiency is relatively low.
Fernando nodded and said, "We control quite a few cattle farms now, and there will definitely be more in the future." Maybe we can turn cow dung from those cattle farms into treasure. ”
Li Sheng's heart jumped when he heard his thoughts. He pondered for a moment and asked, "How much is the world's oil export now?"
"Last year's statistic seemed to be 2.4 billion tons. The industry believes that exports peaked three years ago and are likely to decline in the future. And the demand for oil will increase. So they are quite optimistic about oil prices. Fernando said with a smile. "Maybe we can also operate crude oil futures. ”
Li Sheng smiled and did not continue, but said: "So, the investment in crude oil is very promising now?"
"Are you interested in that cow dung to oil technology? Why don't you have a special research department in the company?"
Li Sheng said noncommittally: "I don't have any opinion, but maybe you need to convince others." ”
Fernando thought for a moment, shook his head and said, "First of all, Ali won't agree." And I've heard that the yield on that project isn't very high. "If they can study it, of course those oil-poor countries can study it. So in the end, there may not really be much money to be made.
Not long after, Ali also noticed the two of them sitting on the side, so he came over and said, "What are you talking about?"
Fernando stood up with a smile and said, "Talk about some thoughts on crude oil." ”
"Futures?" Ali didn't think about it, and now crude oil futures do have a tendency to go higher. Many people are bullish on the rise in oil prices.
Fernando looked at Li Sheng with a smile and said, "Yes, I think the price of oil may eventually reach two hundred dollars a barrel." ”
"Haha, I hope so. "Ali is certainly happy to see the rise in oil prices.
He took the two of them to talk to the prince and the others in the field, and sure enough, they were all talking about crude oil. It seems that they have reached a consensus that the price of crude oil is going to rise.
It has to be said that for them as businessmen, such a gathering is a great business opportunity. These princes know some of their domestic crude oil production prospects, and if they can get a little information out of their mouths, it could make them hundreds of millions of dollars.
Li Sheng didn't get too involved in their conversation, just listened quietly while eating, and occasionally made a non-nutritious echo.
The temperature difference between day and night in the Persian Gulf was quite large, and their feast did not go on late into the night, and by ten o'clock they were over.
Considering that Li Sheng had arrived from thousands of kilometers away and had a jet lag of several hours, Ali and Fernando did not disturb him to rest.
However, Li Sheng did not rest immediately. He's thinking about crude oil.
There is also oil in the space. It's just that he can't survey, and he doesn't know what the reserves are.
In a small basin in the temperate zone of space, there is an oil lake with an area of about 20 square kilometers, and the depth of the lake is very large, 3 to 400 meters. If it's all oil, there's one or two billion tons of oil in this lake. However, the oil lake is actually only half a meter above the surface of the oil layer, and all the water underneath is there. The oil from that lake seemed to be bubbling out all the time, and there was a small stream flowing out.
The stream rushed into the lake with crude oil, and after walking for a few kilometers, it was fed into a number of other streams, and finally fell into a waterfall tens of meters high. Coming to a small lake of hundreds of square meters, this lake has been burning, and even the news of the upstream and downstream has been burning. The fire spread upstream all the way down to the waterfall, while downstream flowed for several kilometers.
Judging from the oil-stained blank space hundreds of meters on both sides of the river of fire, I don't know how long this river of fire has burned.
He didn't think there was a lot of crude oil there, and it was difficult to mine in space, so he didn't pay much attention to it. But now I thought maybe it would be worth a try. It may be a hassle, but if you can successfully extract the oil, it will be worth the trouble.
Of course, he didn't expect much either. After all, he couldn't be inside every day, and he couldn't let other people go in to work in the space.
If the oil layer is shallow, he might be able to try to find out how much oil is in the ground through groundwater. If the quantity is large, it may be possible to produce millions of tons of crude oil per year without manual operation.
I just heard Fernando say that he doesn't know much about the demand for the production of crude oil in the world. After taking a shower, I still thought about this problem, so I checked the information at night.
He found that the world's demand for crude oil really far exceeded its export capacity. The largest increase in demand was in the Asia-Pacific region. Take China as an example, last year's crude oil demand in China was close to 500 million tons, but domestic production was less than 200 million tons. This production means that China's dependence on oil imports is close to 60%. This is still maintained by the vigorous development of new energy in China.
And there is a data that shows that if a country is dependent on 100 million tons of crude oil imports, it has to consider using diplomatic, economic and military means to ensure energy security. If it exceeds 60%, the uncertainty of energy security will increase.
Li Sheng feels that this may be the fundamental reason why the United States has used force against the Middle East. The United States has long been more dependent on crude oil imports than 60%.
In other words, if he can really find a new source of oil from the space, the market will not have to worry about it at all. And the price of a barrel of crude oil is still as high as $80 per barrel, although it has been suppressed by the United States and other oil-demanding countries. Of course, production costs are also increasing. That's mainly because some of the big oil fields in the Middle East have been exploited for a long time, and they need to increase production costs to ensure production. In addition, the US dollar, the settlement currency, is also depreciating.
But even at $80 a barrel, the price of that ton of crude oil is equivalent to more than $700. If farms can produce millions of tons, it will be billions of dollars. Billions of dollars a year for him, in fact, it doesn't matter if he earns it or not, now he can't spend all the money he earns, and no matter how much he earns, it's a number. But if there is really oil, it will help him with some plans. If there is oil, it will be much more likely, at least in Obidos. Even plans to build roads to the mouth of the Amazon River are easier to endorse.
In fact, after calculation, the lake in the space should also store tens of millions of tons of crude oil. In other words, the lake actually has seven or eight billion dollars floating on the water, waiting for him to fish.
He didn't know how much crude oil the lake could gush out of each year, but he could get it out at no cost. All he had to do was open a match. If he drained all the water in that lake, it would be equivalent to less than 20 atmospheres of pressure, and then he made a hole, wondering if he could let the oil underneath spew itself.
Li Sheng's thinking became more and more optimistic.
If you can really find a self-injection well in space, you will definitely be able to make a lot of money.
It's just that even if there is really oil production, he has a lot to think about. Oil is not something he can sell. That thing is a strategic material in any country, and it is a bit difficult to produce, and if there are too many of them, it will be very problematic to sell them.
But when he thought of this, he couldn't help but laugh at himself for thinking too much. It's unclear how much crude oil the lake can produce. It's a bit early to think about that.
He checked the information for a while, waited for his hair to dry naturally, and then went to sleep. (To be continued.) )