Chapter 21 Intelligence Analysis

November 18, 139 AH, Byron City, Headquarters of the Board of Supervisors. Pen, fun, and www.biquge.info

The headquarters of the Ombudsman is located in the office quarters of the officials. Nominally, the Ombudsman remains the supervisory body responsible for evaluating officials' performance. But in essence, the Ombudsman is already a purely intelligence service. The evaluation of officials' performance has become a side business of the Supervisory Committee, but the Supervisory Committee has not relaxed its evaluation of officials' performance.

On this morning, Changrong, who had not closed his eyes for several days and nights, gathered the important members of the Supervisory Committee and held a meeting. Changrong, who presided over the meeting, had a sallow complexion, heavy bags under his eyes, bloodshot eyeballs, and a somewhat hoarse voice.

“…… After further verification, I found that nearly half of the intelligence officers had died or gone missing in the city. As you all know, our struggle against the rebels in Rimi City is fierce. In just one year, we lost almost three hundred people in Rimi City, and we can afford such losses, but we also have to admit that our losses are too great. ”

"But that's not what I'm trying to say. Ladies and gentlemen, remember our defeat in Upper Present City five months ago? On that occasion, our insiders were exposed, and thirty-five of our official members died in the line of duty. It was a major loss, the biggest failure of the Supervisory Commission to date. I'm sure you all remember, because it's a shame on our Watchboard. ”

"I'm not saying this to rehash old accounts and hold anyone accountable. I just want to remind you of one thing - we can remember and feel ashamed of the loss of thirty-five people in the city of Shangjin, but why did we remain indifferent after the loss of nearly three hundred people in the city of Rimi? ”

Everyone looked stunned and at a loss. Just like Changrong said, the important members of the Supervisory Council knew that the rebel forces in Limi City were difficult to deal with, but they didn't expect the Supervisory Council to pay such a huge loss in Limi City. The most unacceptable thing for them is that they are unaware of it.

"Ladies and gentlemen, let's take a look at the report of the Rimi City branch."

Chang Rong picked up a stack of materials from the table and read directly from the first one.

"On January 3, 139 New Calendar, the stronghold codenamed Bell Flower was attacked, and five people went missing."

Then she flipped to the next page and continued reading.

"On April 14, 139 AH, the bodies of the official members of the Codename Umbrella were found. The official member of the Codename Umbrella is affiliated with the stronghold of Codename Bell Flower and has been missing for more than three months. The official member of the Codename Umbrella was killed by a slit throat, covered in bruises, and appeared to have been tortured. The branch suspects that the official members of the Codename Umbrella have leaked important information, and the fall of the stronghold of the Codename Porcelain Vase and the stronghold of the Codename White Dove may be related to the leakage of important information by the official members of the Codename Umbrella. ”

After reading the second page, Changrong turned back to the first page and continued to read.

"On January 5, 139 New Calendar, the official members of the codename villagers, as well as the official members of the codename potter, were confirmed missing, and there are no clues yet."

Reading this, Changrong turned directly to the third page and continued to read.

"On February 28, 139 AH, the bodies of the official members of the codenamed villagers were found. Although the face is no longer recognizable, the birthmark on the buttocks can confirm the identity of the full member. The bodies of the official members of the code-named villagers were still found in the garbage dump in the eastern part of the city, and unlike in the past, the corpses were engraved with sharp objects with words insulting His Majesty the King and the Inspectorate, and were written in the Ira script. The branch suspects that this is a deliberate act by the rebels. Some clues have been traced on this site, details of which can be found on page 5 of the report. ”

Chang Rong wanted to continue reading, but a senior intelligence officer who used to belong to Gray's intelligence system directly interrupted Chang Rong's words in a deep voice.

"Lord, don't read it anymore, I already know what you mean."

He took a deep breath, suppressed his anger, and spoke to the crowd.

"Ladies and gentlemen, the rebel forces in Rimi City are cutting our flesh little by little with soft knives. The damage they inflicted on us was small each time, and the people were all missing, and it was only months later that the bodies of the missing people were found. The weight of a missing person report is completely different from that of a dead report, and it is difficult to attract the attention of headquarters. But it has to be said that this is our rerelinquency. The Rimicheng branch often asks for help from headquarters, and we should have paid attention to it a long time ago, but every time we only reinforced things, causing more of our colleagues to be killed by the rebels......"

Speaking of which, he really couldn't control his emotions, and slammed his fist on the table, directly smashing a gap in the table.

"Abominable !!!"

He clenched his teeth and stood up and said to Changrong.

"Grow up! Please leave the case of Rimijo to me! ”

At this time, another old intelligence officer who originally belonged to Gray's intelligence system said calmly.

"Grown, I don't think it's that simple."

He gave his emotional colleague a look, and the other party hesitated, but sat down obediently.

"Our opponent is a thoughtful guy." He said, "If they just keep making our people disappear, and over time, the number of missing people increases, and the headquarters will also pay attention to it." If I'm not mistaken, the loss of personnel in the Rimijo branch should be phased. The first stage was the disappearance, and I had several reports from the Rimijo branch, and if I remember correctly, the number of missing people in the reports was more than two. ”

"The disappearance of more than two intelligence officers at the same time is clearly a premeditated capture or assassination by the enemy. Elder, the report you just read is interconnected. I would like to ask, after the stronghold codenamed Bell Flower was attacked, were the bodies of the five missing people all found? ”

Changrong shook his head and replied.

"Only one person was found."

"Has the body of the official member codenamed Potter been found?"

Changrong shook his head and replied in the negative.

"Lord Zhan, what is the approximate ratio of missing members to sacrificed members in the report materials you have put together?"

Chang Rong lowered his head and calculated for a few seconds, then replied.

"It's about three to one."

"If I'm not mistaken, the places where the bodies were dumped should be several fixed places. Grow up, is that so? ”

Changrong nodded expressionlessly.

"The places where the bodies were dumped were several fixed places, which means that the bodies of those official members were deliberately found by the rebels. They want us to know about their deaths, and that's the second stage. They may have done so for two reasons: one was to retaliate or provoke, and the other was to avoid the disappearance of too many people and attract the attention of headquarters, so they deliberately told us about the death of some of the official members. ”

When everyone heard this, they all nodded in agreement.

"And then there's the third stage, misleading." He continued, "We suspect that an official member of the official who has important information has suddenly disappeared and is likely to be captured by the enemy, and during the period of his disappearance, an intelligence officer or stronghold associated with him is attacked, and we suspect that the official member has leaked information to the enemy." This is normal thinking, and it is also human nature. ”

"But have you ever thought about it, the core of intelligence warfare is to obtain intelligence, not to kill intelligence personnel. If I were the leader of the rebel forces in Rimi City, I would certainly not rush to action after I got important information. Put a long line, catch big fish, do what we do, as long as the brain is still there, we will do this trick. However, the rebel forces in Rimi City seem to only want to capture or assassinate our intelligence officers, which is a bit too stupid. ”

"If the rebel forces in Rimi City are so stupid, why did the Rimi City branch become so passive? Could it be that the people in the Limicheng branch all eat dry rice? Or are they even more stupid than the rebel forces in Rimi? I don't mean to insult anyone, I just want to state to you the fact that the rebel forces in Rimi City are not our opponents at all in terms of intelligence warfare, and they cannot be our opponents! But we have paid the loss of nearly 300 people in Limi City! ”

Why does this man have such high confidence in the Inspectorate? The answer is simple, it's the general trend.

The rule of success and defeat has existed since ancient times, otherwise those who oppose the royal family would not be called rebels. Now that the power of the royal family is in full swing, it needs people, resources, money, equipment, allies, and allies, and its position in the country can be said to be solid.

The rebels can only operate in the shadows, and if they are discovered, they will be dead. The strength of the two sides is not equal, and the royal forces crush the rebel forces, at least for now. If this were not the case, the rebel forces would have risen up long ago, how could they still hide in the shadows and accumulate strength like now?

For intelligence officers, the general trend is important. If you are on the strong side, it will be easier to carry out intelligence work, but if you are on the weak side, it will be more difficult to carry out intelligence work. Although the strong side is in the light, the weak side is in the dark, and the weak side can hurt people with secret arrows, but don't forget that compared with the weak side, the intelligence resources controlled by the strong side are "crushing".

The Inspectorate will have the backing of the royal family, and will be able to investigate whatever he wants, arrest whoever he wants, and let the police and defense bureaus come forward to solve the problem when it is inconvenient. And the rebel forces have no advantage other than being able to release a dark arrow. If the Supervisory Council is still beaten by the rebel forces under such a general trend, then there is no need for this department to exist.

Because the Inspectorate has an absolute advantage, it is the failure that will make them feel ashamed. As the weaker side, the rebel forces will only make them feel unwilling, not humiliated. Because they are the underdogs, the odds of winning are slim.

"Limi City, there's something strange!"

In the end, this man only gave such an ambiguous conclusion.

It's not that this person doesn't want to give a clear conclusion, it's that he can't do it. In fact, the matter has been very clear, the Limi City branch has paid huge casualties in the case of occupying an absolute advantage. However, the loss of the Rimi City branch was limited to the personnel side, and the official members who disappeared and died did not have important information, so the Rimi City branch did not leak important information, because the identities of the relevant intelligence personnel were top secret, and the average official member did not even know about their existence.

Because of this, until now, the Rimijo branch has not been aware of the true purpose of the rebel forces. They had always believed that the attrition of personnel was due to the fierce fighting, because the Rimi City branch had also captured many rebel forces. However, the arrested members of the rebel forces are also low-level personnel and do not have much useful information, so the investigation of the rebel forces on the side of the Rimicheng branch has not made much progress, which gives people a feeling of fierce struggle between the two sides.

Leaving aside the true purpose of the rebel forces, there is one question that must be pondered - why do the rebels always succeed in capturing or assassinating the official members of the Rimijo branch?

There is no doubt that the identities of these full members are exposed. As this man just said, the identity of the official members was revealed, probably because of the traitor's betrayal. But according to this line of reasoning, there are too many traitors in the Rimi City branch, right? If there were really so many traitors in the Rimi City branch, it would have been out of the control of the headquarters for a long time. After that, there was no need for the branch to call for help from headquarters, which would expose the defection of the branch.

Since there is no renegade in the Rimicheng branch, this reasoning is untenable. If you think about it another way, it is possible that there is a problem within the branch. However, so far, there has been no mention of this information in the report of the Rimicheng branch. In other words, the Rimi City branch has never suspected the existence of inner ghosts, which is too unnatural.

Nearly 300 official members have disappeared or been killed in a year, with an average of one missing or dying in a day or so, and it stands to reason that the Limicheng branch will definitely conduct an internal inventory. If there is no result in the inventory, they will report it to the headquarters, which will send someone down to investigate and find out the cause. The Rimicheng branch did not contact the headquarters for this, apparently believing that there were no internal ghosts in the branch.

Why is it that the loss is so big, but you insist that there are no internal ghosts inside?

In fact, there is only one answer, and that is the branch of Rimi City - to be precise, there are internal ghosts in Rimi City, but the official positions of these inner ghosts are relatively high, and they will not arouse people's suspicion.

Or, it was because of him or their presence that the Rimicheng branch insisted that there were no inner demons among them.