Coming to the door of the office, Zhao Weidong saw a tall leader with black hair but a lot of gray hair mixed with sideburns sitting in front of the desk inside, aged about 45 to 50, looking at the documents in his hand, Zhao Weidong knew that the Tangshan Prefectural Committee and the Revolutionary Committee had been hit hard by the earthquake, and the first secretary of the prefectural party committee, Fu Guangcan, and other 7 members of the prefectural committee members died, and the general cadres died even more, and the second secretary Liu Qi was alive, and one leg was not good. Liu Zihou, secretary of the Hebei Provincial Party Committee, arrived that day, and he appointed Liu Qi at the airport to take over as secretary of the prefectural party committee. If history cannot be changed, the secretary of the prefectural party committee in front of him, who is carefully reading the documents, will also pass away.

Zhao Weidong knocked on the door, only to see Fu Guangcan slowly raise his head, glanced at the two of them and asked very majestic:

"Is there anything wrong with you?"

"We are from the regional science and technology commission, and we have important situation reports."

Wei Qiwen is also the first time to report to such a level of leadership, and he is very nervous, while Zhao Weidong has no feelings, in his previous life, he was the chief designer of a large state-owned enterprise, and his administrative level was also the deputy department, and he was already the richest man in the world in this life, and that identity was not simple. Secretary Fu said:

"If you have something to report, then come in."

The two walked to Secretary Fu's desk, took two chairs specially prepared for the reporting staff from the side, and sat down in front of Secretary Fu, Wei Qiwen motioned to Zhao Weidong to report, Zhao Weidong nodded in agreement, and began to report to Secretary Fu:

"Secretary Fu, today we are here to report to you is a very important matter, determined by experts based on long-term observations, combined with recent indications, a large-scale earthquake will occur in the Tangshan area, "Beijing, Tianjin, Tang earthquake is in danger!" "There is a more than 80% chance that a strong earthquake will occur at 3-4 a.m. on July 28, and it is a large earthquake that occurs in the second half of the night, and the disaster will be even more serious."

"In 1974, the State Council issued Document No. 69, pointing out that the earthquake situation in North China and the Bohai Sea region was tense. The document said, "It is necessary to be vigilant in the presence of earthquakes and be prepared for sudden attacks of earthquakes of magnitude 6 or higher." The National Earthquake Administration had an early prediction and forecast of the Tangshan earthquake, and Secretary Fu should be very clear that the prefectural party committee attached great importance to it at that time, and all government agencies, enterprises and institutions and sub-district offices in the city publicized earthquake knowledge to the citizens and put forward measures to prevent earthquakes. In daily life and work, people often talk about earthquakes. Many government agencies and residential compounds have assigned people to take turns on duty day and night, such as observing whether the light bulb hanging in the room is swinging, or putting a bowl of water on the table to observe whether it is shaking. If a light bulb suddenly swings and the water surface suddenly shakes, the staff on duty should ring a bell, ring a gong or blow a whistle to remind people to flee immediately. ”

"Secretary Fu may think that if the Tangshan earthquake is about to happen, the National Earthquake Administration must have a recent forecast; However, the National Earthquake Administration has not heard any near-term predictions for the Tangshan earthquake. Indeed, the National Earthquake Administration and the Beijing Earthquake Team also predicted and proposed a few days ago: 'The Beijing, Tianjin, and Tang earthquakes are in danger!' However, the accurate predictions made by these rigorous, conscientious, and responsible experts in China's earthquake science have been endlessly debated and ridiculed, and the current director of the State Earthquake Administration hesitated when questioning whether these responsible experts have ulterior motives, whether they are demagogic and sabotage the 'revolution' and production. If it can't be uploaded to the top leaders of the country, it can't be transmitted to local leaders, and it can't be transmitted to you, and the news media don't dare to report because they don't have official documents from authoritative departments, so the common people don't know anything. ”

"Now there are only nine days before the earthquake, my uncle Ye Junhao is the deputy director of the Jiangxi Provincial Revolutionary Committee, and he has gone to Beijing a few days ago to report this work to the leaders of the State Council, reflecting this problem, you must know how busy the leaders of the State Council are, I don't know when it will be arranged, I am afraid that it will be too late, he asked me to come to you to report, the time before the earthquake is too short, we can only take a multi-pronged approach, and now the time for propaganda, mobilization, and deployment is already very hasty."

"Secretary Fu, we have also done a special survey, the assessment of the houses in Tangshan City, more than 90% of the city's houses have a very low seismic level, so this earthquake, the damage to Tangshan and the surrounding areas will be devastating, now the work is not only how to avoid the earthquake, but also the living problems of millions of people after the earthquake, otherwise the earthquake is avoided, but after the disaster does not know how many people will starve to death, the country just wants to transport relief food can not be transported in, because this time the earthquake intensity is large, destructive, after the earthquake, the railway, Roads will be destroyed, and the consequences will be devastating. ”

Fu Guangcan heard this auspicious report, shocked, the decision-makers of the National Earthquake Administration dared not to make a decision, so bold, but a thought can also understand, laymen leading insiders in a particularly strong professional department will indeed have serious consequences, it is estimated that this time is really caused by this, for the earthquake forecast a year ago, he is very important, personally arrange the deployment, layer by layer to grasp the implementation, did not expect that in the end, this matter is extremely important, but it has to be verified again, so Fu Guangcan asked:

"Where did you get the news, why don't I know?" Fu Guangcan asked solemnly.

Wei Qiwen took over and said:

"Secretary Fu, you may not know that on July 14, we held an experience exchange meeting on earthquake group measurement and group prevention in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangbozhang area in Tangshan. At the meeting, Wang Chengmin, head of the North China Group of the National Earthquake Administration, mentioned at the meeting that abnormal phenomena have occurred in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangbozhang (Beijing, Tianjin, Tangshan, Bohaiwan, and Zhangjiakou) areas, and predicted that between July 22 and August 5, there will be earthquakes of magnitude 5 or higher in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangbozhang area, and that in the second half of the year to next year, there may be earthquakes of magnitude 8 in North China. He asked everyone to pay attention to the earthquake after they returned. ”

"The earthquake information collected by the Qinglong County Science and Technology Commission also came from the two seismic group measurement points of Qinglong Middle School and Qinglong Meteorological Station, and after May 1976, the data of the two group measurement points have increased significantly, and recently, there has been an inexplicable pointer jumping."

"The Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Bureau and the Baijiatuan Seismic Observatory in Eagle Peak, northwest of Beijing, have learned about some internal forecasts for earthquakes of about magnitude 5. Some experts predict the possibility of an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher in the near future from the perspective of meteorological anomalies. ”

"There are also earthquake forecasts at the group measurement sites of Tangshan No. 2 Middle School and Shanhaiguan No. 1 Middle School, and Lu Xingya, a physics teacher at Shanhaiguan No. 1 Middle School, even warned that July 26-28 could be a dangerous period."

When Fu Guangcan heard this, he immediately asked:

"When did the meeting take place, and why didn't anyone report back to me?"

"Secretary Fu, that's the case, after the meeting, the relevant experts of the National Earthquake Administration said that they will report to the leaders after they go back, and issue a formal earthquake forecast and prediction document, and the formal conclusion can only be made by them, before there is no formal document, who dares to report to you, I didn't expect the experts to go back and get attention, and there will be no follow-up, even the people in Jiangxi Province know that the situation is serious, and they rushed over to find the central leaders and the leaders of the local party committee, which shows that the matter is very urgent." Wei Qiwen explained.

Hearing this, Fu Guangcan picked up the phone on the desk and said:

"Give me the district committee."

After waiting for a while, Zhao Weidong knew that the phones were all manually transferred now, and it would take a little time, and soon someone from the district committee office would answer the phone, Fu Guangcan continued:

"Is it the district committee office, I'm Fu Guangcan, you ask Director Li to come to my office."

After finishing speaking, he put down the phone, and soon Director Li came over and asked:

"Secretary Fu, are you looking for me?"

"You can find out to me right away. No, let's take a closer look at the content of the experience exchange meeting on earthquake group measurement and group prevention in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangbozhang area held in Tangshan on July 14. ”

"Secretary Fu, I'll do it right away."

"What's the name of your two little comrades?" Fu Guangcan asked.

"Secretary Fu, my name is Zhao Weidong, a native of Tongyi County, Jiangxi Province, and her name is Wei Qiwen, and she is a cadre of the Regional Science and Technology Commission."

"Comrade Weidong, from what I heard from you, there are no experts who say that the earthquake broke out at 3 a.m. to 4 a.m. on July 28, and all the earthquake predictions I have learned are an approximate range, a possible time period, a predicted magnitude, and there is never an accurate forecast, can you tell me, why are you so sure that it will erupt at 3 a.m. to 4 a.m. on July 28?"

Hearing Fu Guangcan's question, Zhao Weidong explained:

"Secretary Fu, you are really discerning, I have another channel about the precise time of the earthquake, I am sure that there is a 100% accuracy rate, but I can't say it, and it's not suitable to say it, please don't ask again, I can't say it, please don't spread it, just take it as a conclusion based on the current forecast data, it is true that our earthquake department has predicted that there will be a major earthquake in Beijing, Tianjin, and Tang areas, and I just provide an accurate time."

"Comrade Weidong, I respect your opinion, and I will not ask any more. But I would like to ask you again: you can really guarantee that the time of your earthquake is really accurate, and the responsibility of the decision I made based on this is very heavy, because there is no basis for the decision of the professional department, and there is no strong expert opinion as the basis, please tell me with the most prudent attitude. ”

"Secretary Fu, I once again tell you with an extremely responsible attitude: the Tangshan earthquake will break out at 3-4 o'clock in the morning on July 28, if there is no major earthquake by then, I, Zhao Weidong, am willing to bear all the consequences."

"Comrade Weidong, it's not that I want to force you to make a statement, because the stakes are very high, and you have to keep in touch with me at any time at this stage, I will arrange two people to take care of you, and you can ask them if you have any requirements."

"Secretary Fu, you are too polite." Zhao Weidong was polite to Fu Guangcan in his mouth, and he understood Fu Guangcan's mind very well, he couldn't leave his sight before the earthquake, and if it wasn't good, he would arrange two people to monitor him, as long as he could rest assured, why not do it.

"Comrade Weidong, do you have any good suggestions for earthquake prevention arrangements?" Fu Guangcan said politely.