Duan Tianluo asked, "Why?" ”

"This stock is doing energy, and now the world energy price is rising sharply, so its profitability has increased significantly. According to my calculations, the profit in the first half of this year will increase by more than 150 percent over the same period last year, and according to the current situation, the second half of the year will probably be the same. And its earnings per share last year was one piece two, so this year's earnings per share should be spread to three. And it seems that the stock price is only fifteen yuan. This means that if you buy this stock based on this year's profit, it only takes five years to pay back your investment. This kind of stock should definitely rise sharply in any market. ”

In addition, it changed its management at the beginning of this year, and this team is stronger and more powerful than the previous team, and it is rumored that the company will be set up as a pilot for management equity incentives. In this way, the positive surname of the management is stimulated. So many positive things put together, but this stock has been up and down in the past month, and has been fluctuating between fifteen and seventeen yuan. I carefully studied the daily volume and candlestick charts, and finally, I came to the conclusion that the bookmaker was washing. But because the dealer's chips are not enough, it washes and sucks at the same time, so the price has been oscillating here, not up or down. is waiting for those retail investors to lose their patience and sell their stocks to him. ”

"But how do you know where he's going to rise today?" Hearing this, Duan Tianwolf asked.

Long Guohai smiled and said, "Thirty percent intuition, thirty percent experience, and thirty percent technique." ”

"And what about 10 percent?"

"And ten percent? Then it can only be left to luck. Long Guohai said, leaning against the pillar of the trading floor, "If my luck wasn't as bad as it was a few years ago, then our profit today should be above six percent." ”

Duan Tianluo looked at Long Guohai and didn't say anything, just stood there and quietly looked at the price card.

Two hours later, the stock market closed with a final gain of 2 percent.

That is to say, Duan Tianwolf and Long Guohai earned 4.42 percent in two hours, almost about 5,000 yuan.

As far as ordinary people are concerned, this is a very remarkable achievement, but Long Guohai seemed extremely dissatisfied with this result, he frowned and sighed, and said: "What is going on with this dealer, why did you pull it here?" It's disgusting that I haven't even reached the average rate of return. ”

At this time, Duan Tianwolf asked again: "Can you tell me, what is a dealer?" ”

"Oh, the so-called market maker is a super big person who buys and sells stocks. Because they have a lot of money and stocks, enough to influence the price of the stock, we call them bookmakers, just like in a casino. ”

"The market maker is controlling the price of the stock?" Duan Tianwolf blinked thoughtfully, "Is it possible to predict the price of future stocks as long as you can predict the future actions of the bookmaker?" ”

"This ...... There are many kinds of dealers, some are strong and have strong control, some are weak and weak, some stocks are multi-village, and some stocks are single. If it is a strong village, and it is a single bank, then what you just said is valid. ”

"In that case, it's no different from being in a gambling game." Duan Tianwolf pouted and said.

"Of course there is a difference, in the casino you can see your opponent and judge him by his expressions, breathing, speech, demeanor and other various feelings. But in the stock market, you can't see your opponents at all, how can you judge? In addition, the stock market still has the constraints of the market and retail investors, and the will of the market maker is not certain, it may change at any time, and it is not easy to predict the action of the market maker. ”

Duan Tian Wolf thought for a while and nodded, "You're right, if you can't find a suitable method, it's completely impossible to predict the actions of this invisible opponent. ”

Duan Tianwolf said this, but asked again: "In that case, how do you predict and judge the dealer's behavior?" ”

"Me? I'm looking at the K-line chart and the trading volume, as well as the cooperation of various news, which is a complex science. Long Guohai said quite self-containedly.

"So many things?" Duan Tianluo shook his head, "No, it's too troublesome. However, I think that, like everything in the world, any phenomenon or feature always has to be expressed through some means or way, and the same should be true for stocks. ”

Speaking of this, Duan Tianluo thought for a while, and then asked Long Guohaidao, "What is the ultimate manifestation of the dealer's intentions?" ”

"Needless to say, of course, it's the price and volume of the stock."

"Price and volume?"

"Of course, the price represents the direction of the bookmaker, and the volume symbolizes the intention of the bookmaker. No matter how complex the idea is in the bookmaker's head, it is ultimately expressed in terms of volume and price. ”

"In this way, theoretically, as long as you clearly see which trades are completed by the bookmaker, and look for the patterns in them, you can find out the patterns of the dealer's actions and accurately predict his next move, right?"

"That's true, but you've said it yourself, it's theoretical. In reality, this is not something to be done, and the buying and selling of bookmakers and retail investors are mixed. It's simply impossible to know very clearly which trades are made by the market makers and which are done by retail traders. ”

Duan Tianluo didn't answer Long Guohai's words immediately this time, but thought for a while, and after that, he asked, "Then can you judge which stock is a single village or a strong village now?" ”

Long Guohai nodded and said, "That's not a problem, I still have this eyesight." ”

"Give me one." Duan Tianwolf said.

"God, you don't really want to try, do you? No matter how boring you are, you shouldn't waste your time on this kind of thing. If you are really so idle, you might as well learn formal securities investment knowledge from me, and with your talent, you will be able to keep up with me soon. ”

"Didn't I tell you? I don't like to play games that I can't afford to. Duan Tianwolf said, turning his head to look at Long Guohai, "Hurry up and give me a stock like this." ”

Long Guohai and Duan Tianwolf looked at each other for a while, shook his head helplessly, and said: "Okay, I'll give you one, Feiyang Electric, with a total share capital of 300 million, and the tradable shares are about 200 million, two yuan per share. In my opinion, the stock will be very volatile in the next three months, and if you can really predict the mind of the bookmaker, then you can make a small profit. ”――

ps: There are not many essences this week, tomorrow night, that is, at 12:15 p.m. on Sunday on the 27th (to be exact, in the early morning of the 28th), a refinement conference will be held in the book review area, and 10 essence buildings will be sent, more than 1000 essences, please come and support, and smash more tickets. VIP group dedicated to senior VIP users, the group number is 40691834, remember to report your VIP account before joining, in order to verify, Tianqing readers communicate ordinary 5 group 40703413, will be the first time in the group to notify the update and sperm! Chinese.

;