Chapter 56 [Policy Temptation]
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Qin Jie hesitated slightly, probably silently calculating in his heart, and then said something that shocked Shi Lei.
"About ten years!"
If Shi Lei didn't know that the paging business would completely withdraw from the stage of history ten years later, he would not be so surprised. But the problem is that in 2007, Unicom completely stopped paging business, and Qin Jie's judgment was so accurate, which had to surprise Shi Lei.
This kind of judgment is too much to bear, isn't it?
However, Qin Jie's next addition made Shi Lei feel a little more at ease.
"However, I estimate that it will take about 15 or 20 years for paging to be completely replaced by mobile phones, after all, this industry has survived for almost 20 years. I say ten years later, it's just time to paging out of the market. ”
Shi Lei was a little relieved, it seems that although Qin Jie's vision is very good, he still can't accurately judge the rapid changes in the electronic communication product market in the future. Ten years, it's almost a complete renovation.
If it is said that ten years later, in 07 years, paging completely left the communication market, which can be used as a change of times. Then, the color screen mobile phones that began to appear around 2000 also indicate that the mobile phone market has entered a real period of rapid development. By 2010, smartphones will gradually replace traditional mobile phones, and the functions of mobile phones will be extremely enriched.
Ten years is almost an extremely difficult year for electronic communication products, but at present, even the most cutting-edge scientific and technological personnel dare not predict the future that Shi Lei knows. It's like a computer in '97 that costs tens of thousands of yuan, but after three or four years, computers began to enter ordinary people's homes at a price of about 5,000 yuan, and ten years later, almost more than eighty percent of college students have their own computers.
Regarding Qin Jie's caution, Shi Lei couldn't say too much, just said with a smile: "Maybe the speed of this market will be faster than you imagined." ”
"And you're still diving headfirst into this market? Shi Lei, although I think you are genius enough, you also have to carefully consider the big market environment, in other words, you have to think macro. Qin Jie was unusually kind, and he didn't seem to want to see Shi Lei fail in any way.
Shi Lei smiled and said: "I don't plan to take this as my main direction, and the cooperation with Unicom can only be a stage surname." In the past two years, there have been many policies of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in China, and it can be seen that they are also constantly exploring. I'm just using the results of their trial to make some quick money in the market. ”
Qin Jie smiled, obviously much more relaxed, leaning on the back of the sofa relaxedly, his fingers tapping lightly on the tabletop, as if inadvertently asking: "What policy temptations do you see?" ”
Shi Lei hesitated, after all, he knew too much information, and he needed to use it carefully, rather than announcing it in advance. But now that Qin Jie asked, it was impossible for him not to answer completely, not to mention the influence of the provincial governor's father behind Qin Jie, he alone would definitely be a candidate who could not be underestimated in the future. can further deepen the relationship between himself and Qin Jie, Shi Lei will never let go of such an opportunity.
After a while, Shi Lei said slowly: "Before that, the domestic paging business has always been dominated by Guoxin, but Guoxin has never established a separate company, which is obviously because the top does not have a clear long-term goal for this industry. With the establishment of Unicom, the paging business began to differentiate, and paging stations such as Zhongbei, Wansheng, and public security appeared one after another, while Guoxin's business volume has been greatly impacted, and it has now lost to Unicom and Zhongbei in some areas. I have heard that the central authorities are now discussing the abolition of the Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications and the establishment of a special Ministry of Information Industry, and if this news is finally implemented, it will certainly lead to a reshuffle in the electronic communications industry. Listing and restructuring will be inevitable, the mobile communications bureau will definitely take action, it is likely to set up a large mobile communications company, the mobile phone business will be divided from the post and telecommunications system, and the history of post and telecommunications is probably going to end. Moreover, I heard that Lingdong Mobile has been very close to Hangnan Mobile recently, and it seems that there is going to be a big move, are you ready to list abroad? ”
Shi Lei spoke very slowly, and his voice was very low, in fact, he was not sure what kind of impact his words would have on Qin Jie. This will soon be a reality, but at this point, very few people will be able to see it. But these things are all planned by the central government, and as a provincial official, he will know some about it, and Qin Jie also got some information from his father.
"Did you analyze it yourself? Or is your family able to give you this information? Qin Jie didn't hide anything, and affirmed Shi Lei's statement from a special angle in a special way.
Not to mention that Shi Lei knew that all this would be implemented in a few years, even if he didn't know, when he heard Qin Jie's words at this moment, he knew what he meant.
"What information can I get at home, my daddy...... Oh, I don't seem to have told you, my father is the deputy mayor of Runyang, the last one, in charge of urban construction. If there is anything he can tell me, it is that my father is a technician, and in the past, in the military factory, he would be somewhat curious about new technologies, so I have been trained in this area since I was a child, and I will pay more attention to new technologies. Of course, there are also some convenient places for the children of officials, for example, I can steal some internal information from my father, which will involve some of it. Even if I was a person with a heart, I could almost have analyzed this. ”
Qin Jie stared at Shi Lei's eyes and didn't speak for a long time, he saw Shi Lei for the first time, or when he saw his business plan, Qin Jie, who has always had extremely clever insight in the macro aspect, could naturally see the value of the imperfect plan, and naturally took a look at Shi Leigao.
After contact these days, the time is limited, and there is not too much communication, but Qin Jie found that Shi Lei always seems to make his eyes shine, and every time he communicates, he can get to know Shi Lei a little more, and then he will find that the Shi Lei he knew before is just the tip of the iceberg.
Qin Jie, who has been a genius since he was a child, sometimes even thinks that Shi Lei seems to be the freak who is a genius a little more genius than him, but is there really a person in this world who is so genius? Qin Jie really felt very skeptical.
In the past two days, he has not been idle, Shi Weixian's background has long been investigated by him. On the side of the education system, he also found out Shi Lei's college entrance examination results. It's not amazing, and I can't see how talented Shi Lei is, filling in Wudong University can only be said to be in the middle of the middle. Of course, it is absolutely no problem to be admitted to Wu University.
The more this was the case, the more Qin Jie was surprised, it seemed that in Shi Lei, he could discover something new every day.
"Since you also said that the electronic communication industry will develop rapidly in the future, and the post and telecommunications system has begun to gradually implement the separation of government and enterprises in 95 years, how can they give up the fast-growing mobile communication business and let the mobile business set up a separate company?" Qin Jie continued to ask quietly.
Shi Lei pursed his lips, how could he not see that Qin Jie was testing him? However, from Qin Jie's reaction, Shi Lei also knew that what he was saying so far did not surpass the common sense that the times could give them. Shi Lei also made up his mind that all the next conversations would remain in circles within this range, at least until the Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications canceled it, and he did not plan to make any further "predictions".
"This is just speculation, and the interests must be redistributed. How can it be possible for one department to occupy all the directions of future development? In addition, people's energy is always limited, although the company's development can be unlimited, but it is always restricted by people. The establishment of China Unicom, to a certain extent, can be regarded as a temporary truce between the competing forces, but with the development of the digital mobile phone business to this point...... I remember that less than half a month ago, and it was in our Jiangdong that the 10 million users of mobile phones appeared, right? 10 million, it's terrible. Although the number of mobile phone users of China Unicom is less than a fraction of that of mobile, the more this is the case, the more attention will be paid to the big cake of mobile business. Moreover, the political axe departments are now also tending to have a single administrative intervention capacity, such as the Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications, which has an excessively large scope of supervision, and has always had to be divided into several more detailed departments. Information, electronics, postal, I personally think that these will definitely have to be broken down into different departments. The discussion on this aspect of the central side should be very loud! ”
Shi Lei spoke slowly, in a purely conjectural tone, and he believed that with Qin Jie's mind, he would understand what he said.
But obviously, Qin Jie was still analyzing his words, but a thin applause rang out behind Shi Lei.
Bang Bang Bang ......
Shi Lei turned his head abruptly and saw a face that he was completely unfamiliar with. And Qin Jie's train of thought was also interrupted, and he raised his head, but there was a little smile on his face.
The man was about thirty years old, dressed casually, with a T-shirt, shorts, and flip-flops several sizes larger.
"Well said!"
Qin Jie smiled and stood up: "Why are you here?" Haunted. "Listening to the tone, it seems to be very familiar.
"I had some problems at work, so I didn't go to the company today, but wandered around the campus of my alma mater. I didn't think of any good solution when I walked around, so I wanted to come and see if my disobedient little sister had caused trouble for you. ”
Hearing this, Shi Lei seemed to already know the identity of this man.
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