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August 11, 2007 is a very important date for Iranians, as it is a commemorative day for Muhammad to be appointed as a saint. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

However, this day is not only an important Islamic holiday, but also the most important day of the year in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

On this morning, Iranian state television publicly broadcast a video showing a huge towering steel bracket erected out of thin air in an empty plain area, and on the side of the steel bracket, a huge white and blue missile with the Iranian flag engraved on it is firmly locked onto the steel bracket.

With the introduction of the announcer, the outside world became a sensation. In the early hours of this year, the Islamic Republic of Iran launched a domestically produced exploration and research satellite, Hope, on its own Messenger-2 carrier rocket into an elliptical orbit around the Earth.

The Hope satellite is a scientific research satellite for the purpose of detecting astronomical data and related research, with two channels and eight data transmission lines, and can orbit the Earth 15 times every 24 hours. The satellite will return to the ground in orbit for one to three months, providing reliable and valid data for Iran to launch long-running satellites in the future.

The launch of the 'Messenger 2' rocket and the launch of the 'Hope' satellite indicate that Iran will become the 43 countries in the world that have satellites and the ninth country with the ability to launch satellites.

The video broadcast on Iranian television was astonishing and quickly reached the desks of dignitaries in various countries.

This is a step towards justice and peace, and in the face of unjust international sanctions, Iranian scientists have used their wisdom to preserve the dignity of the country. ’

Although Iranian television also said that Iran had launched satellites only for peaceful purposes, for the United States and Israel, Iran's satellite launches undoubtedly posed a great threat -- Iran could launch satellites with rockets, and naturally could strike Israel with missiles.

As a result, the United States, Britain, France, and the four countries issued statements at the first time, expressing serious concern over Iran's satellite launch, and the United States was the most hard-line one. The US political axe feels that the first to bear the brunt of the pressure on Iran's satellite launch is not Israel's ally, but the hundreds of thousands of US troops in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Although various countries have issued sternly worded statements one after another, in fact, the political axes and intelligence and security services of various countries have already begun to take action, quoting an unnamed official of the US security services as saying that the United States does not know the true purpose of the Iranian satellite, and the United States is trying to obtain relevant intelligence.

The timing of this satellite launch is also intriguing, and the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in the 'Quad Alliance'? As soon as the rumors of Assad's attitude began to waver, and the fourth formal negotiations of 'Riyadh' were about to begin, Iran's political axe made such a world-shaking decision: to launch a domestically produced satellite with a self-produced rocket.

An Iranian expert, who asked not to be named, told Somali state radio that Iran's move sends a message to the world, that is, 'Iran is very strong, you have to deal with us in a more correct way'.

In fact, the issue that the outside world is most concerned about is not a satellite in the sky, but Iran's multi-stage rocket technology that successfully launches satellites, which means that Iran's missile technology is already very advanced, but to what extent? Whether it can carry intercontinental flights and whether it can carry nuclear warheads is what countries are most worried about.

Iran possesses a certain number of atomic bombs, and this news has been confirmed by most countries, but the possession of atomic weapons and the possession of strategic nuclear forces are completely different concepts.

The greatest power of nuclear weapons is to stay on the launch pad, which means that if you want to have nuclear deterrence, you must make people understand that you have the ability to drop nuclear weapons on the enemy. Otherwise, your nuclear deterrence will be illusory and will not have much deterrent power.

The ability to deliver nuclear weapons is embodied in the three-in-one launch method. That is, strategic bombers and nuclear missiles dropped by air, intercontinental ballistic missiles, and strategic nuclear submarines, and these three major strategic nuclear weapons delivery methods are the foundation of a country's strategic nuclear deterrence. As for the use of tactical nuclear weapons in other ways, they cannot have an advantage over the old nuclear powers, and it is still unknown whether these tactical nuclear weapons can be used in the event of a nuclear war.

The launch of Iran's satellite has not only dealt a blow to the countries that are 'hostile' to Iran, but also made the 'Quad Alliance' nervous.

The most peculiar of these are Syria and North Korea. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad? When Assad received the news, he froze. He had long known through some channels that Iran was secretly carrying out a space program, but Bashar dismissed it, believing that Iran was not capable of carrying out such an incredible program on its own under international sanctions.

It is no secret that Iran's missile technology comes mainly from the DPRK. Iran's current Meteor series missiles are mainly derived from North Korea's 'Laborer-1' missile, which is called Scud D, which is developed and improved by the submarine-launched SS-N-4 missile by North Korea with the technical support of the former Soviet Union and Russia.

Iran's multi-stage rocket technology is derived from the missile technology provided by North Korea, but North Korea launched its first artificial satellite 'Brightener 1' as early as 1998, and this launch ended in failure, in addition to last year, that is, in 06 years, North Korea launched satellites again and continued to fail, because North Korea still has many defects in multi-stage rocket technology, especially in multi-stage rocket separation technology, North Korea's technical strength is obviously not up to the requirements.

Even North Korea is unable to complete the so-called 'space program' and become a member of the 'space club', so what about Iran, which has been trained by North Korea? Bashar was skeptical.

This time, the 'four-nation nuclear issue' has boosted the 'prestige' of the Syrian political axe in the international community, and there is a bond based on the 'nuclear program', and the 'four-nation nuclear confrontation' has become a very major international event in the world. Bashar? While Assad has gained great popularity, he is also a little apprehensive and dissatisfied. As a mature politician, Bashar understands that this kind of 'nuclear confrontation' may continue for a long time, and once the Western world led by the United States imposes sanctions and blockades on the four countries, the impact on the economy and diplomacy of the four countries will be too bad. Bashar? Assad feels that it will not do him any good if this situation continues.

Bashar? As the president of Syria, Assad inherited the greatest power in the country from his father, and has always hoped to continue the power of the Assad family. He knows very well what the situation in Syria is, it can be said that the hearts of ordinary people and many active party forces have been dissatisfied and even resentful of the Assad family's long-term control of power in Syria, but now they cannot find an opportunity or support resistance, and once Syria is mired in the whirlpool of the 'four-nation nuclear issue', Bashar can be sure that foreign forces will definitely find a breakthrough internally, unlike the other three countries, Syria's internal contradictions are the most acute and intense, and it is easiest to trigger and expand these contradictions. Once internal contradictions erupt, coupled with the fanning of the flames by foreign forces and covert support, it is very likely to threaten his rule, not to mention that he also wants his son to continue to inherit the power of the Assad family.

The purpose of developing nuclear technology is to consolidate the rule of the Assad family and increase its prestige. The ultimate goal of all these plans is to serve the Assad family's continued rule over Syria. Assad absolutely does not want to see it.

As a result, in the face of the irrefrniable benefits and promises from Britain and France, Bashar hesitated, moved by the secret promise of the political axes of the two countries, that is, to acquiesce in the Assad family's continued occupation of the Syrian presidency and provide external solidarity with the Assad family.

After careful and meticulous discussions with his own cronies, think tanks, and key members of his family, Bashar felt that the foundation for the existence of the 'Quad Alliance' was not very solid, that the agreements signed in secret could not guarantee the interests of the member states at a critical time, and that everyone was not very optimistic about the final outcome of the 'Quad Alliance', because many examples in the international community did not prove that there was no benefit in opposing the Western forces that still dominate the world before there was no strength to defy the sky.

Instead of standing in front of the 'general trend' to confront, it is better to take the initiative to integrate into the 'general trend' and gain benefits through the unstoppable forward momentum of the 'general trend'.

However, the disadvantages of breaking away from the 'four-nation alliance' are also enormous, and it will not only give people reasons to criticize, but also offend many people. Not to mention the other three countries, Russia's political axe must not want to see the last ally in the Middle East thrown into the arms of its opponent and commit that betrayal.

Right in Bashar? While Assad was still hesitating and hesitating, Iran suddenly dropped a huge flashbang on the international community, which made people dizzy.

Iran's successful launch of the satellite will certainly bring more courage to the 'Quad Alliance', and may affect a number of countries that were originally watching from the corner of the stage. Moreover, this incident will also make the Western world more worried and jealous of Iran and even the 'Quad Alliance', and may make concessions at the negotiating table before understanding what cards the opponent has.

Bashar? Assad hesitated again, and once the European and American countries gave in, perhaps the 'Quad nuclear issue' could be resolved peacefully, or even acquiesced. In this way, there is a real possibility that the four countries will become a nuclear weapon state similar to Israel, which is not recognized by the international nuclear club, but in fact exists and acquiesces in it.

The temptation to complete Syria's nuclear program and make Syria a nuclear-armed state is too great. Because Bashar knows very well that the possession of nuclear weapons and the absence of nuclear weapons are extremely important for a country. In the Syrian-Israeli conflict, Israel can carry out provocative strikes against Syria without any scruples, and Syria is a little timid because Israel has nuclear weapons.

(To be continued)