Chapter 628: Giving a Coat
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"Mr. Fan said this, isn't it a bit too much? After all, Microsoft's investment in this project is not small, and they can't see the risks of the market, right? Some people expressed their opposition to the statement that Fan was not sick.
Fan Wuxian said with a smile, "Microsoft has a lot of failures, but everyone is used to publicizing their successes and deliberately ignoring other failures." Besides, billions of dollars in investment are really nothing for Microsoft. ”
After all, it is an indisputable fact that Microsoft is huge, and people are rich and can afford to spend this money, and they can't afford to bear this loss.
Microsoft has not always been successful, and there have been several major failures in its history, the first of which was in December 1987, when Microsoft cooperated with IBM to develop OS/2, the successor to MS-DOS, and claimed that OS/2 would surpass indos in performance. However, indos 3.0 sales momentum was super good, which eventually led to Microsoft parting ways with IBM and abandoning the OS/2 project, which gradually withdrew from the market.
The second is that in March 1995, Microsoft released Microsoft Bob, Microsoft Bob was launched mainly to meet the needs of beginner computer users, although it has a good idea, but it is too simple, just explain how to use the computer, but the price is as high as a hundred dollars, and the result is eliminated in the absence of a market.
The third time was in 1997. In February, when Microsoft tried to enter the toy market, the $100-dollar ActiMates didn't have the same longevity as indos or IE. Microsoft's toys called ActiMates are mainly aimed at education, but children are clearly not interested in these toys, and now Microsoft has completely abandoned this expensive toy.
All in all, a lot of companies are making people. Seeing their successes, but not willing to let others see their failures, this makes many people have longing for those large companies, but they don't know that they have also experienced many ups and downs before they gradually grow into towering trees.
But Fan Wuxian also said, "Information appliances. This formulation covers a wide range of content, and we can't just focus on the set-top box and follow Microsoft's baton. In fact, we have recently been developing similar information home appliances, mainly PDA and other products, as well as some digital products. ”
Li Dong of BDL Home Appliance Group Company was more interested in this, so he thought. Ask for details.
Fan Wuxian simply said his plan, after all, he was here. Considerable progress has been made in research and development, and he can already stand on his own, but in terms of production capacity, it will not expand a lot for a while, he hopes to become an upstream manufacturer, and sell mature chips and systems to downstream production enterprises, so that the market risk he has to bear will become very small, and the profit is indeed quite high.
Therefore, Fan's Investment Group cooperates with domestic home appliance manufacturers. The cooperation should be a win-win situation, and it is of great significance for Fan's Investment Group to become a truly influential large enterprise.
"Of course, it's me. It remains to be seen how far the specific PDA can go, and this market is not something that can be built in a short period of time. After Fan Wuxian talked about the bright future, he also mentioned the difficulties he would encounter at the moment.
The development of information home appliances originates from computers, because information home appliances and computers have similar system structures, operating systems, and CPUs, so information home appliances inherit the characteristics of some computer products and have the unique essence of information home appliances.
If the computer is a locomotive industry, then information appliances are an extended industry. The computer is a new locomotive industry that has grown from scratch and then developed on its own. Information home appliances are an extended industry formed by the combination of computers, networks and a number of existing technologies after they mature. At this stage, PDA, the landmark product of the information appliance industry, is still only a miniature computer, and the vast majority of users are computer veterans who extend to portable applications. In other words, PDAs are still limited to computers and have not expanded into a wider market for non-computer users.
In addition, computers are an independent industry, and information appliances are a dependent industry. Computers have independent and complete functions and can be operated by themselves, while the unique appeal of information appliances is mainly that they can be used at any time, so the vigorous development of information appliances must rely on the maturity of broadband communication networks. In the short term, when the mobile broadband communication network has not yet been fully established, information household appliances will not be able to surpass computers.
"All in all, computers are necessities, and information appliances are non-essentials. Since the launch of the computer, it has become a necessity for enterprises, and then a necessity for families, so the scale of the global computer market this year will exceed 100 million units, and various products such as PDAs have not yet become necessities. It is estimated that by three years, the global market size of PDAs will only be more than 10 million units, and there is still a huge gap with the market size of computers. Before the functions of information home appliances such as PDA can make a breakthrough to meet the real needs of users, the information home appliance industry will not be able to let go of the pace of rapid growth. Fan Wuxian said to everyone.
"Mr. Fan's interest is still on the computer!" Li Dong said with a smile.
It can be seen that this time Fan Wuxie's analysis still has a relatively large impact on the participants, and many people are considering whether they should conduct more careful investigation and research on this issue? But some people don't think about Fan Wuxi's words, but think that Fan Wuxian is a bit alarmist, after all, Fan's Investment Group also has a relatively close connection with Microsoft, it is difficult to say that Fan Wuxian said this, not to scare away other competitors? It's hard to say, and it takes time to verify before you can draw conclusions.
In fact, the domestic interest in the Venus program is based on the success of this plan, but now it seems that many people are deeply skeptical about whether the Venus-style set-top box products can be accepted by the market. Moreover, at present, there are even the majority of people who hold this mentality, including the CEOs of some domestic home appliance companies who are trying their best to support Microsoft this time.
Many media people assert that this kind of set-top box product is only a conceptual product prototype, just a big pie drawn on paper, and it is impossible to form a market. One of the most plain reasons is that the big threshold that affects the domestic Internet is not the device, but the high cost of the Internet line.
China Telecom's tariffs have always been a knot, although several thunderbolts have been made to reduce it, but in fact there is no obvious substantive change. Secondly, the current scale of Internet users is not large, but the network speed has shown the difficulty of the old cow to break the car, and the export and bandwidth are a real bottleneck. If there is a nationwide rush to surf the Internet, the consequences are unimaginable.
In addition, with the resolution of 300 lines on the TV screen, the effect will be very dismal if you want to display ordinary web pages. And it is even more difficult to let the people change their shotguns and improve the resolution of their televisions. If you can't surf the Internet normally, then the existing online resources are difficult to use the set-top box, and you can only browse simple web pages tailored for it, so it is difficult to really attract people.
Another point is that the key issue to catch up with ordinary people on the Internet is content. At present, the development of domestic ICP is still in the original initial stage, and the improvement of this market requires long-term investment, and it is impossible to get qualitative improvement in just a few years.
The last problem is the price of the product, the system based on indos CE is difficult to effectively reduce the cost of the machine due to the relatively large software and the large number of hardware resources. For TV users, a thousand or two more means double the cost. For set-top box products, the price is daunting. After all, now that the price of domestic personal computers has dropped, they can be fully configured within 5,000 yuan, and the functions are satisfactory.
Based on various analyses, it is indeed not easy for set-top boxes to succeed in China, but people still feel a little surprised to directly assert that set-top boxes are Microsoft's failures like Fan Wuxi.
Other people think that what Fan Wuxian said is a bit big, but Boss Zhu doesn't think so, after all, he knows very well the strength of Fan's Investment Group, but it is far greater than Microsoft, and Fan Wuxi's personal value is far above Microsoft.
After Fan Wuxian and the others dispersed, Li Dong wanted to drag Fan Wuxian to the bar to drink, but Fan Wuxian resigned, he and these half-old men basically didn't have much in common, and it was impossible to waste his precious night time in this kind of place.
When he gathered with Davis and other executives of his company to leave, he found that someone was already waiting in his car, which was the unusually stylish Bugatti Veyron.
"Miss Ye hasn't gone back to the hotel yet?" Fan Wuxi looked at Ye Jiarong, who was standing there with two bags with a complicated expression, and asked with a gentle smile.
Ye Jiarong nodded a little awkwardly, and then said, "I originally wanted to go back to the hotel, but I thought that Mr. Fan's clothes were still in my car, so I sent them over." Probably some red wine was stained on it, so I took the opportunity to go out and buy a set of clothes for Mr. Fan, which should be able to be worn. ”
When Fan Wuxian saw Ye Jiarong open a bag, he replied with a smile, "Let Miss Ye break the bank, but I really feel a little cold at this time." ”
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