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In January 2008, the Third OECD had a strong confrontation with the United States and some other Western countries on the nuclear issue, triggering a series of influences that have gradually expanded. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

At the beginning of this month, the international light oil price once again hit a record high, reaching 110 US dollars / barrel, and the previous oil prices rose sharply, and finally in various political diplomacy by the oil exporting countries to stabilize the difference, this time the oil price rise is slow, but it began in June last year, and now the international oil price has risen by 30% compared with June last year.

However, OPEC members and other major oil exporting countries have no idea of increasing oil production and stabilizing international oil prices, and a new round of changes in the international situation triggered by rising oil prices has begun to take shape.

On 2 February, Kurdish guerrillas of the Iraqi Liberation Front launched a car bomb in Diyarbakir, Turkey, killing four people and injuring more than 20 others. Subsequently, the Iraqi Liberation Front (ALF) claimed responsibility and claimed that Turkey's retaliatory actions against Turkey would not stop if it continued to agree to the use of airfields in Turkey to strike at Iraqi guerrillas.

The Diyarbakir bombing heralded the beginning of a large-scale retaliation by Islamist militant groups and other forces against the United States and its minions.

On 8 January, US President George W. Bush Jr. made an eight-day visit to Middle Eastern countries, with two main purposes: First, he hoped to force Middle Eastern countries to stop supplying weapons and intelligence to Iraqi anti-US guerrillas through other means of exchanging interests, and second, he expressed the US attitude in order for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to continue to stand on the side of the Third OECD, because Syria did not appear on Bush Jr.'s list of visits during this visit.

Another major international repercussion in January was Russia's largest joint naval and air exercise since the collapse of the Soviet Union in the Bay of Biscay, between Spain and France.

During the sea and air exercises in the Bay of Biscay, the Russian Navy dispatched 11 warships and 47 carrier-based aircraft from the Northern Fleet and the Black Sea Fleet, including the aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov, and flew two Tu-160 strategic bombers from the domestic mainland to the exercise area before the show began.

The Bay of Biscay, located in the southeast of the North Atlantic Ocean, borders France in the east and Spain in the west, covers an area of 194,000 square kilometers and has an average water depth of 1,700 meters. During World War II, the Bay of Biscay was also the base camp for German U-submarine threats to the Allied forces.

In the sixties of the last century, NATO forces held an exercise codenamed 'Meteor' in the Bay of Biscay, and at that time, a former Soviet K-14 submarine under the command of Lieutenant Colonel Marin, under complex climatic and hydrological conditions, took the initiative for the first time, tracked NATO ships for a long time, and entered the attack area many times, demonstrating the Soviet Navy's high tactical accomplishment.

In this exercise, the Russian Navy used a new 'aircraft carrier buster', the 'Basalt' supersonic cruise missile, which is 11.7 meters long, weighs 4.8 tons, flies at Mach 2.5, has a maximum range of 550 kilometers, and can be equipped with a conventional warhead of 750 kilograms, and can also be equipped with a nuclear warhead with a yield of 50,000 tons, which is 3.5 times more powerful than the American-made "Tomahawk" cruise missile.

The scale and length of the exercise, the number of ships and warplanes participating in the exercise, and the depth of its symbolic significance are the largest since the end of the Cold War, and have aroused strong concern from Western countries and military observer organizations.

Some people say that the main purpose of this exercise is to publicize Russia's naval and air forces, and it seems to show that Russia has been 'dormant' in the past few years, and it is not weak to be bullied; once it gets angry, Russia will still be the powerful country in the world that made the whole world tremble under the iron horse.

Some people speculate that Russia's move is also a warning to France, which last year joined the United States in trying to win over Syria, Russia's last ally in the Middle East. Placing the exercise at the 'doorstep' of the developing country is a warning and deterrent.

Of course, in international public opinion, there is also the least vocal argument that the purpose of Russia's move is an irritated reaction after being 'ignored'. 07 years, among the most important major events in the world, the confrontation between the Third OECD and the United States can be included, think about the Cold War at the beginning, in fact, the former Soviet Union fought against Western countries with the strength of one country, but now it has been reduced to a group of third-rate countries in the world to perform, and the United States is helpless to let the strong polar bear feel that he is being ignored. Although the polar bear has not yet recovered from a serious illness, it still has to show its strong chest and muscles to the world, especially those unfriendly neighbors, to show its existence.

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The eastern city of Chad, Abego, was originally the largest city in eastern Chad, because of its proximity to Darfur, Sudan, and in recent decades, because of the Darfur issue, the ethnic contradictions in this region have been sharp, and there are many armed forces. In 2005, Chadian President Idris, who came to power in a coup d'état? Déby's decision to forcibly control the parliament to abolish the president's decision to serve a second term has provoked stirring and unrest among other parties and forces in Chad, and has exacerbated the instability in Chad.

As one of the countries with the longest civil war in Africa, Chad is the most serious country in the world due to serious political corruption, and because after Déby came to power, he implemented the rule of reading talents and appointed Zagawas on a large scale, which caused strong dissatisfaction from Chu Bu and other armed forces in the south, and a new round of civil war officially began.

Abego is now under the control of the Chad Menchou Justice Movement, which is led by Dumai, the son of the late leader Dogoyimi.

Unlike other Chadian forces, the Chadian pro-democracy movement does not launch a large-scale offensive against the political axe army under the control of Déby, nor does it entrench itself in the east and become a Turkish emperor.

Although Dumay was only 30 years old, his long military and political struggles had trained him to be very mature.

After several years of hard work, the area under the control of the Chad democracy movement has a population of 1 million, one-tenth of the total population of the country, and an army of 15,000 people, all of whom have been trained over the years.

Today's Chad-democracy movement, in addition to the leader Dumai, also has a deputy commander of the army, Dono, Dumaii's former captain of the personal guard, in government affairs, he also has an important assistant Edira, it is because of the existence of the two that Dumai is young, but he can become one of the most powerful and low-key warlords in Chad.

Today, in a well-defended building in Abego, a meeting is taking place on the next steps of the Chad-MDC.

In addition to Dumai and two aides, there were more than a dozen officers of the army and two East Asians.

There is only one theme for today's meeting, and that is to expand the territory to the west. After two or three years of dormancy, the Chad-democracy movement has already possessed an elite army that has undergone strict military training and is armed with modern weapons.

In the Chad-MDC, Deputy Commander Dono, who is now the deputy commander, and the commanders of the 1st and 3rd brigades of the army are in favor of the immediate use of force, and they even want to attack N'Djamena directly and oust Déby from power. Edira, on the other hand, was opposed to the use of force now, believing that now was not the time to attack the political axe army, but should focus more on consolidating the existing territory.

Chad has a population of only 10 million, but there are more than 200 ethnic groups, and the complexity of its internal ethnic contradictions can be imagined. In addition to the ghosts of foreign forces, another reason is that the chiefs of various tribes and races are selfish, and everyone wants to be president, but there is only one president. With Chad's population size, it is difficult for a country to survive in Africa, where wars and ethnic conflicts are common.

No matter who comes to power, in addition to his own interests, he is seeking the interests of his own race, which will inevitably arouse the dissatisfaction of other races and trigger a new round of conflicts.

Dumai, the leader of the Chad-democracy movement, also wanted to strike immediately, he had been dormant for nearly a decade, and after his father's death, he would not have been able to sit in this position without the support of some officers loyal to his father.

Dumayi is not without wisdom, of course, he knows that if he wants to sit on the throne of the president, he must have strong strength, so in the past two years, through various connections, especially Falcon, he has purchased a large number of arms from the arms smuggling channels of the Xingchen Group, and even paid to send some officers and soldiers to receive military training at the Xingchen Group's Chad training base.

After a few years of keeping a low profile and hibernating, Dumai believes he has enough strength to take over N'Djamena. Two years ago, another armed group, the Front pour la démocratie pour la pour la démone (FLC), into the north, once under the capital city of N'Djamena, and in the end, N'Djamena might have changed hands if it had not been for President Déby's 1,200-strong French team in Chad to help.

In Dumai's eyes, the strength of the 'Alliance for a Front for Change' is not comparable to that of the Chad-democracy movement, and the combat effectiveness of the political axe army now is not comparable to that of the political axe army two years ago.

In this country where corruption is the most serious, not only the political axe officials, but also the corruption in the army, from the generals to the soldiers, all work hard for a word of money, the military discipline is lax, and the combat effectiveness has declined so much that in the eyes of Dumai it is simply vulnerable. In his opinion, the biggest difficulty in front of him is the French garrison of 1,200 people, as long as he can get this French garrison, he Dumai can become the president of Chad like Déby.

"Captain Gan, do you think we can take N'Djamena now?" Dumayi listened to the dispute between his subordinates, and was upset, and suddenly saw two East Asians who seemed to be sleeping next to him out of the corner of his eye, his eyes lit up, and he asked. Jagava

(To be continued)