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"Good news, boss. Wang Ning strode into Li Mo's office and said very happily, "There was a riot in Tunisia last night, and we analyzed that this is the beginning of a color revolution, and soon this storm will sweep across Tunisia and even affect neighboring countries."www.biquge.info ”

Color revolutions, also known as flower revolutions, were regime change campaigns conducted in a peaceful and non-violent manner. Most of these activities, which have obvious political demands, take place in multi-party countries, with the opposition party as the main body, and through social mobilization, they lead to social unrest and antagonism, and exert great pressure on those in power. And this kind of movement is often backed by the intervention of foreign forces.

This is a kind of movement that took place at the beginning of the 21st century, in addition to the military coup, another movement to change the main body of the regime. Such as the rose revolution in Georgia, the chestnut flower revolution in Ukraine, the tulip revolution in Kyrgyzstan, etc.

And why was Wang Ning happy after getting the outbreak of the color revolution in Tunisia? Mainly because the conflict that is about to erupt in the North African-Arab region, which has long been the focus of the intelligence services, broke out too timely.

The Somali Navy has just seized an American freighter and its crew, and this is not the time to 'shine' internationally, but to immediately divert international attention. Because Li Mo and Wang Ning both know that they must be careful about the provocation and retaliation of the United States, otherwise they will really kill themselves.

To say that Somalia and the United States are like eggs and stones is to humble oneself is not to underestimate oneself, but to be true. It can be said that Somalia really has nothing to praise now, except that because of the possession of nuclear weapons, other countries will feel jealous and will not easily use force against Somalia.

Such a huge gap in strength prompted Li Mo to take revenge on the United States while not surpassing the other party's bottom line.

Somalia openly seized a US freighter in the waters of the Gulf of Aden, in the eyes of many people, it is a slap in the face of the US political axe, and if the international focus is on the United States and Somalia, it will inevitably cause one side to lose control and cause the situation to deteriorate when the negotiations between the two sides are unfavorable.

Li Mo wants to take revenge on the United States, but he does not want to really provoke the United States into a direct military conflict and confrontation. Therefore, at this time, it is very important to divert international attention and reduce the pressure on both sides, especially the United States.

The Tunisian color revolution is a very important international event, because it is not only Li Mo who has a vision, those big and powerful countries have more advantages than Somalia in the analysis of the international situation, they have a complete and excellent think tank, and they can collect hundreds of relevant experts at any time to analyze a certain issue and get the data they want.

And this color revolution that broke out in Tunisia, North Africa, may spread to other countries and regions. In North Africa, there are several countries with social instability and regimes similar to those of Tunisia, such as Libya and Egypt.

Once this color revolution sweeps through these countries, the impact will even spread from one region to the rest of the planet, and the final impact will even be global. In the midst of a downturn in the international financial environment, if there is political and social turmoil in a local area, the effect will be more serious than a local conflict. Because the consequences of conflict are intuitive and predictable, but once this kind of political movement spreads, it will not affect a small number of people.

Li Mo took the information submitted by Wang Ning and read it carefully, the content on it was very detailed, and even had the details of the fruit seller who triggered the fuse of this color revolution. In his opinion, in fact, China has similar hidden dangers, but compared with Tunisia, China has a vast territory and a large population, and it is in a period of rising economic development, and many hidden dangers have been covered up by the momentum of economic growth.

Forget it, Li Mo shook his head and secretly said that he was really blind.

"What's going on in Tunisia right now?" Li Mo finished reading the information, the content on it was all before last night, and now that more than ten hours have passed, the situation must have changed again.

"Although the situation is not very good, but from the current point of view, it is still under the control of the political axe, but according to the analysis of intelligence officers in Tunisia, the Tunisian political axe is not prepared for this color revolution, especially the person in power. President Ali seems to have taken this time as a peddler since. The burning incident was treated as an ordinary emergency, and when the political axe dealt with the wave of popular lawsuits and protests, the reaction was rigid and rigid, without directly analyzing the causes of the incident and estimating the consequences, and the Tunisian interior department was even using police force to disperse the protesters, and so far there have been many direct clashes between the two sides, resulting in at least a dozen injuries. But so far, no casualties have been reported. ”

Wang Ning after receiving a report from the Tunisian intelligence station. Start paying attention there right away. Because he has long heard many times from the boss that there may be an analysis of possible changes in the situation in some countries of North Africa. Not to mention that Somalia is also a North African country, any turmoil in the countries of the North African region may have an impact on Somalia, that is, Somalia's important ally - Libya, the social situation is very unstable, it can be said that there is also a volcano about to erupt, and Somalia cannot watch a staunch ally against the United States be dismantled by means of 'conspiracy'.

"What about other countries? Has the social situation in Libya and Egypt been affected? "In fact, this is what Li Mo is most concerned about, a turmoil in Tunisia will not make Li Mo care too much, but once this kind of 'color revolution' spreads from the CIS and Central Asian countries to the Arab countries, the consequences will be catastrophic. Because several of Somalia's allies have some or all of the conditions for a color revolution to break out.

Wang Ning paused and replied, "At present, other countries around Tunisia have not been affected and affected by this incident, but it has been confirmed that the Libyan political axe has strengthened the monitoring of lower-level instability factors and opposition parties, and in some areas where conflicts may break out and be used by other forces, the Libyan Revolutionary Guard has also strengthened its vigilance and defense, and can directly intervene in any emergency at any time." In Egypt, the situation in Tunisia is stable because of the unclear situation in Tunisia and the fact that many people and organizations are not prepared for the fact that the situation in Tunisia is too short, but I estimate that a little success of the Tunisian color revolution will surely serve as a model for other similar countries. ”

Unless they were directly involved in the Tunisian color revolution or had been prepared for it for a long time, no one else or organization would have been able to hear from the national intelligence agencies quickly.

Li Mo nodded silently, stood up and paced back and forth with his hands behind his back. He is now worried about whether Gaddafi will be able to stabilize the situation in Libya in the coming storm.

In Li Mo's mind, Libya is more important than North Korea and Syria, all because of the presence of Gaddafi in Libya, an out-and-out anti-Western reader. And Syria, since the last time it was lured by the United States and France, began to waver, so that Li Mo did not dare to compliment, feeling that Bashar's political position is not very firm, although politics is essentially unprincipled, if there is a principle, then the core of this principle is only one - interests. However, Bashar is often swayed by the slightest interest of the outside world and ignores the overall situation. This is different from several other countries, such as Iran, North Korea and Somalia, since they have been united, they have basically been united, although it has not reached the point of handing over their backs to you, but if there is no sky-high interest, no one will easily change their position. But last time, Bashar was hesitant just for an illusory promise, which made Li Mo feel uneasy.

In the Third OECD, Libya has the weakest strength among the third member states, but it is this weakest country that is not easily seduced by external forces. He understands that for the Western capitalists, any promise is guaranteed, they only see profit in their eyes, and they are very greedy, once they are thrown into the 'arms' of the West, everything in Libya will soon be controlled by the West and become a puppet. On the other hand, the Third OECD is facing strong pressure from the Western world, and at this time, no one will think to dig into the roots of the allies, but will try to strengthen the strength of the allies as much as possible. Therefore, it is in Libya's best interest to make friends with the OECD member countries for now and for some time to come.

Follow the West, Libya has no future, follow the Third OECD, for a long time, Libya will be able to reap the benefits, how to choose anyone with a discerning eye knows.

What Li Mo fears is that such a 'firm and stallow' ally will be caught off guard by this storm of color revolutions that is about to sweep away, and under the alliance of foreign forces and internal opposition, it will lose control of the situation in Libya, and finally elevate Libya's internal contradictions to an international contradiction, attracting direct intervention from external forces. This is something that no one wants to see.

"Is there any movement on the side of the Third Rapid Reaction Force?" Li Mo stopped, lit a cigarette and asked Wang Ning.

"There is no news yet, but the third rapid reaction force is stationed in Benghazi, which is the nest of the Libyan opposition, originally, in the eastern part of Libya, Gaddafi's actual control ability is extremely weak, but for more than a year, Gaddafi is changing this situation, and in the eastern region, including the rapid reaction force, there are already several armed forces loyal to Gaddafi, which is enough to deal with unexpected situations."

Li Mo thought about it, and finally let go of half of his hanging heart, and now he can't directly help Gaddafi, so he can only pray that Gaddafi's decades of rule will allow him to continue to control and stabilize the situation in Libya.

"That American ship will arrive in the port of Berbera today, right? What was the reaction of the Americans? As soon as Li Mo changed his words, he smelled another important matter.

(To be continued)