Chapter 690: Epilogue
During the entire Asian financial turmoil, and even all the financial turmoil he participated in, Lu Shaohua provided data to Li Yunqing in advance, so that they could grasp a degree, which led to success every time.
Gradually, Li Yunqing and the others have become accustomed to such rules, but now they suddenly heard Lu Shaohua say that there is no data, how can Li Yunqing not be disappointed, they always feel empty in their hearts, as if they are missing an important thing.
Fortunately, Lu Shaohua finally said that he could provide some data references, which made Li Yunqing and them easier. That's right, Lu Shaohua finally decided to provide them with some data, and the data provided were those in his memories of his previous life, and finally made a special explanation, only letting Li Yunqing and them refer to it, and the rest was free to play.
According to the memory of the previous life, the Central Bank of Russia announced on August 17 that it would expand the fluctuation range of the ruble against the US dollar to 6.0~9.5:1 within the year, postpone the repayment of foreign debts and suspend the trading of state bonds.
As soon as this news was announced, Soros attacked them frantically, and the ruble fell rapidly, and by September 2, the ruble had depreciated by 70% compared with before, setting a new record and creating a record low in the ruble exchange rate.
And Lu Shaohua gave Li Yunqing their data is this total range, a 70% decline, so that Li Yunqing and them can grasp this degree, as for whether it falls below this range, Lu Shaohua doesn't care, let Li Yunqing and them play freely.
However, for the sake of insurance, Lu Shaohua solemnly issued a death order to Li Yunqing, telling Li Yunqing to seize the time and completely withdraw from the Russian financial market on September 2, 1998 at the earliest.
The amplitude is given an approximate number, whether there is a change in the middle, Lu Shaohua does not know, but since the trajectory of history has changed, according to the experience of so many years, the deviation should not be too big, at least in terms of time, it has not changed, so Lu Shaohua is determined in his heart.
Yes, there has been no change in time, which can be confirmed by the news from the Russian side, the next day, that is, on August 17, the Central Bank of Russia announced that the ruble will be exchanged for the US dollar exchange rate within the year, and the expanded range is consistent with the previous life, which is 6.0~9.5:1.
As soon as the news came out, Lu Shaohua received Li Yunqing's notice as soon as possible, and now he made up his mind to only grasp the time, regardless of the decision of the decline data during this time, so that Li Yunqing and them could keep an eye on the situation over there.
From August 17th to September 2nd, there is more than half a month in between, and this period of time is also the time that Lu Shaohua gave Li Yunqing and them to do, once the time limit is reached, Li Yunqing and they will fully evacuate Russia.
And half a month passed too quickly, in the blink of an eye, half a month passed, when September 1 came, Li Yunqing made a phone call to Lu Shaohua, on the phone, Li Yunqing specifically proposed that after the three of them discussed together, they felt that the Russian side had reached the limit, and it was time to take action.
On September 1 and 2, the difference was only one day, and Lu Shaohua would not care about anything for a day's time, so he simply asked Li Yunqing to do what they discussed and evacuate the Russian side one day earlier.
By the morning of September 2, Li Yunqing and the others had fully evacuated from Russia, and once again came to Lu Shaohua's residence with the summary documents, so that Lu Shaohua could accept the results.
The data on Russia's side is not as good as the previous data, if it was the previous data, Lu Shaohua only glanced at the results, but this time it was different, it was for Li Yunqing to play freely, plus the facts proved that Lu Shaohua's original guess was normal, and Soros used Russia as a punching bag.
is listed as a punching bag, three-year-old children know the power of Soros's attack, and Russia's decline will definitely exceed 70%, so this decline is worth Lu Shaohua's careful look.
Coincidentally, Li Yunqing always lists the range every time they summarize, and this time it is the same, Li Yunqing also lists the range, which is on the third page of the entire document.
Lu Shaohua flipped through it, and soon found it, and after a closer look, it clearly marked the total range of a decline, which was 78.35%, which was eight percentage points more than the expected 70%.
Don't underestimate these eight percentage points, these eight percentage points are enough for Lu Shaohua to add dozens of dollars, and Lu Shaohua will naturally not underestimate it.
After reading the total decline, Lu Shaohua felt very satisfied, and then turned to the last page, ready to see the final overall result.
At the moment when the result was announced, everyone was faintly looking forward to it, and Lu Shaohua was the same, he was also looking forward to what the result would be, and even before he turned the last page, Lu Shaohua was already secretly guessing in his heart.
"Four and a half billion dollars? No, it should be less, five hundred and eighty billion dollars, well, it seems a bit much, well, five hundred and eighty-five billion dollars, right......"
Lu Shaohua finally set an amount in his heart, and this figure is exactly 58.5 billion US dollars, but whether the result is 58.5 billion US dollars, everything needs to be confirmed by the results.
I have to say that Lu Shaohua's guess is still a bit reliable, although the guess is high, the difference is not too much, and the result is 57.8 billion US dollars, which is 700 million US dollars less than Lu Shaohua's guess.
700 million US dollars is a lot, but in the face of such a large number, 700 million US dollars is not enough at all.
"Five hundred and seventy-eight billion dollars?" Lu Shaohua frowned and asked suspiciously.
In fact, Lu Shaohua would ask every time, but in the past, he was alone to see the results and ask himself in his heart, but now it is different, Li Yunqing and the three of them are there, and Lu Shaohua naturally reacted and asked.
It was none other than Li Yunqing, who was the commander-in-chief, who answered Lu Shaohua's question, and he nodded lightly, with a smile on his face. "Yes, there is no mantissa after this number, I didn't list it."
This is Li Yunqing's habit, every time he counts statistics, he always takes the initiative to ignore the last few digits, because Li Yunqing knows that Lu Shaohua doesn't like to look at the mantissa behind him, and likes to use rounding to omit them.
"Hmm." Lu Shaohua nodded with satisfaction, and there was no more follow-up, and after a long time, he decided not to think about it anymore, so he turned the topic away and asked. "What happened to the eighteen countries?"
Now that the Russian side is over, the last wave of the financial turmoil is only the eighteen countries that were included in the list by Lu Shaohua. And now it is obvious that it has not reached the end, and there is still a period of time, and Lu Shaohua is a little concerned when he asks how the situation is.
"Everything is normal, it's all falling, and the magnitude is the largest." Li Yunqing gave a very positive answer.
"Hmm." Lu Shaohua still hummed, and there was no more squeak, he was thinking.
When Lu Shaohua made a list of the eighteen countries at that time, a lot of brain cells died, and it took a lot of effort to get it out, it was the essence of the essence, and it was all the eighteen countries that fell the most.
It is normal for this situation to occur now, Lu Shaohua is naturally more satisfied, but now Lu Shaohua needs to consider when to make a move, after all, the time has come to September 1998, and 89 years are about to end.
As far as Lu Shaohua knows, with the end of the Russian side, after a period of turmoil in Europe and the United States, this financial turmoil that has lasted for more than a year should also end.
"By your guess, when will this storm end?" Lu Shaohua suddenly threw out another question.
This is the core problem, and it is also the problem that Lu Shaohua is thinking about.
Why did Lu Shaohua think about this problem?
The reason is very simple, Lu Shaohua's speculation about those eighteen countries is a large-market index, since it is a large-market index, the general decline will not last long, plus the Russian side has gradually stabilized, and the situation should have changed, so Lu Shaohua has reason to believe that it is not far from the end.
"I think it's about the same." It was Li Yunqing who was the first to speak, and after a pause, Li Yunqing continued. "That's what we're here for today."
In fact, Li Yunqing also noticed the instability of the situation, so he took the opportunity to send summary data to gather and see Lu Shaohua's opinion.
Lu Shaohua heard Li Yunqing's voice, nodded and asked. "What do you mean?"
Now there are only two choices, one is to clear the warehouse, and the other is to wait and see, according to the meaning of Li Yunqing's words, it should be the choice to clear the warehouse and take the insurance route, but Lu Shaohua is always a little unwilling in his heart, thinking that there is still room for decline. Of course, Lu Shaohua is not so resolute, he still wants to hear Li Yunqing's opinions before making a final decision.
"Some time ago, you listed the reference data of the eighteen countries for us, and we all studied it carefully, and compared it with the current situation according to the data, and found that four countries have reached the critical point of the data you gave, but the market situation is very abnormal, as if there is a lot of room for decline." Speaking of this, Li Yunqing was a little embarrassed, but in the end he gritted his teeth and said. "It is precisely because of the abnormality that we feel very unsafe and it is necessary to clear and evacuate."
"Hmm." Lu Shaohua nodded, but he didn't rush to continue, he still fell into deep thought, and asked after a long time. "I agree with you by clearance, but what I want to know is, do you want to clear all of them or the four countries you just mentioned?"
Lu Shaohua participated in the entry of 18 countries this time, and it is impossible for the situation of 18 countries to be the same. From Li Yunqing's words, Lu Shaohua heard some different flavors, as if he wanted to clear the four countries, and it was a bit like all of them were cleared, Lu Shaohua had to ask a little more clearly.
……
(To be continued)