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The sudden tension in East Africa immediately attracted the attention of the world. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

Everyone knows that since Li Mo took control of Somalia, he has never been ambiguous when he should be tough on the outside world, and when he killed local warlords and foreign aggression internally, he did not frown; During the Soken War, the Somali army even entered the Eastern Military Region Command in Kenya for a time, which shows that the Somali army led by Li Mo will definitely not be weak.

How can a strongman who can join the Third OECD and fight against the infiltration of Western forces?

The Ethiopian political axe, not knowing who instigated it this time, actually tried to create friction on the border, which is similar to the act of seeking death.

Although the Somali army is small, its combat effectiveness is still very strong in Africa. It is an iron-blooded soldier who has fought a civil war for more than ten years, eliminating the old, weak, sick and disabled, and equipping advanced weapons, and the combat effectiveness is not comparable to that of ordinary countries. Moreover, the victory of several wars has won Li Mo great prestige, and the army can be united and morale like a rainbow, once the fight starts, unless Ethiopia fights a war that takes the initiative to jump up, the possibility of victory is low.

These are the thoughts of those who stand from a neutral point of view and cannot yet see through it for a while. Those who are well-informed already know who is standing behind Ethiopia and what is the reason for Ethiopia's outrageous behavior this time.

Amid the commotion from the outside world, the Ethiopian National Security Council was also convened in a state of emergency, and the president, prime minister, defense minister and military officials were arguing over how to respond to Somalia's 'provocation'.

This time, Egypt's tough posture in the border area was the result of secret consultations between several high-level bigwigs. The original purpose was not really to fight a war with Somalia, after all, Somalia has changed in the past two years, and the whole country of Egypt knows that it is impossible to defeat Somalia with Ethiopia's strength alone. Moreover, the war with Somalia did not benefit Egypt at all, but affected Ethiopia's economic construction. Although many Egyptian insiders have suggested that Ethiopia needs access to the sea, in fact, everyone understands that under the current situation in which the world pattern is basically fixed, the possibility of Ethiopia wanting to occupy the territory of other countries and obtain access to the sea is too small, unless it receives strong support.

Two years ago, when Somalia was not yet reunified, Ethiopia did not have the means to directly use force to obtain access to the sea from Somalia.

Originally, the reason for this border turmoil was that Egypt had received a promise from a certain country to create some tension in the border area, and as long as Egypt fulfilled this 'task,' it would be able to get more aid and investment next year." The Egyptian political axe was also carried away by this promise or by the person who made it, and did not carefully consider the tension on the border but the spark that triggered the war.

It was only at this time that the Ethiopian political axe suddenly realized that Somalia was really not the country that used to look at Ethiopia's face and act, and now it has a powerful political axe and an army that is speeding up modernization, which has given the poor country that was divided and divided the confidence to say no to others.

After discussions at the high-level meeting of Ethiopia, it was decided to temporarily appease the border officers and soldiers and not to cause a border conflict between the two countries. On the one hand, Ethiopia also needs to immediately make secret contacts with those who made the pledge to discuss the next steps.

But there is a question here, and at this point, the hard-line diplomatic note of Somalia has become well known, and what kind of impact will Ethiopia's easy compromise now have on the outside world and the people at home? Does it mean that the political axe cabinet has been weakened and has lost the face of the Egyptian country?

In the 05 Egyptian general election, as the first political party, the Egyptian Revolutionary Line has lost many seats and votes, and once the cabinet is put on the impression of being weak or even humble to the outside world, the Ethiopian Revolutionary Line will not want to continue to govern in the next general election.

In Somalia, the General Staff and the Somaliland Military Region are already formulating a plan for self-defense and counterattack, and if Ethiopia does not proceed from the overall situation of maintaining peace between the two countries and continues to make unilateral military provocations and create a tense atmosphere on the border, the Somali army will not hesitate to strike hard at a certain point.

In this plan, the Northern Military Region was finally selected to carry out the self-defense counterattack plan, mainly because there is a controversial area on the border between the Northern Military Region and Ethiopia that has not been recognized by Somalia, that is, the Ogaden region, which is also famous in the world.

On the map, the Ogaden region is the so-called Dorai region, which is the pointed part of northeastern Ethiopia.

Ogaden, which means 'scorching land' in Somali, covers an area of 20,000 square kilometres, with an average altitude of 500 meters above sea level, and most of the plateau is desert, inhabited by Somali herders.

Thirty years ago, when the Swedish oil company announced the discovery of abundant light oil and gas in the Ogaden region, it happened that the Ethiopian emperor overthrew it, and because of internal rebellion, which consumed most of the country's tax revenue, the ambitious Somali scholar Barre saw the opportunity to immediately support the Somali nomadic herdsman chief 'Reading Power' in the Ogaden region, and gave a small amount of arms and financial support.

If it had not been for the critical time when the Soviet Union, which had always supported Barre, abandoned Somalia, this territory, which belonged to Somalia in the 19th century, would not have been universally recognized as Ethiopian territory in the century.

This is what Li Mo and the General Staff mean, the Somali political axe has never given up its claim to sovereignty over the Ogaden region, but in the Ogaden War, Ethiopia was supported by the former Soviet Union, Cuba and other countries, and the Barre political axe was abandoned, resulting in the defeat of the war. The reasons for this are complex, but it is nothing more than Ethiopia's influence is stronger than that of Somalia, Ethiopia is a traditional military power in Africa, when the United States and the Soviet Union fought for global hegemony, and at the beginning the United States supported Ethiopia and the Soviet Union supported Somalia. But at a critical time, the skill and wisdom of Mengestu, the Egyptian leader who had just overthrown the Ethiopian emperor, was also incomparable to Barre.

Mengestu could compromise with Israel for the victory of the Ogaden War, and exchange the Jews in Egypt for Israeli air force pilots to participate in the war, and in order to 'draw wages from the bottom of the kettle' and make Barre lose support, Mengestu abandoned the United States at this time and threw himself into the arms of the former Soviet Union.

This series of actions finally allowed Ethiopia to get through the difficult period and reverse the outcome of the Ogaden War.

The Ogaden War, known by scholars as the 'worst' war in Africa, killed 150,000 people on both sides and caused economic losses of $55 billion.

However, the most remarkable thing is that the oil and gas that triggered the Ogaden War in the first place have not been found until now after being surveyed by experts from various countries.

After convening a group of Somali historians to discuss, Li Mo felt that there must be a conspiracy behind the Ogaden war. And Li Mo even suspects that the conspirator who led this war is likely to be the former Soviet Union. Why doesn't Li Mo suspect that it is the United States, because in this Ogaden war, it is not only Ethiopia and Somalia that have suffered the greatest losses, but the United States has also suffered 'heavy losses', not only losing Ethiopia, a traditional African power, but also not even Somalia.

For example, after Ethiopia abandoned the United States and threw itself into the arms of the former Soviet Union, the Somali ruler Barre, in order to ensure victory in the war, invested in the United States, which he had scolded as a 'bandit and rogue state' a few months earlier, and proposed to ask the United States to support Somalia on the condition of three military bases. But the United States, which was slow to react, only supported 1,500 tons of arms with the Egyptian insignia in the war, while the former Soviet Union reacted quickly, not only providing a large amount of assistance, but even sending the elite paratrooper unit 76th Airborne Division to assist the Ethiopian army.

In this war, the former Soviet Union benefited the most, and the other participating countries and the United States did not get a single benefit, in line with the idea of who profited and doubted whom, Li Mo naturally pressed the conspiracy behind the Ogaden War on the head of the former Soviet Union.

This time, the plan for self-defense and counterattack is set in the Ogaden area, where Wang Ning's intelligence department has compiled a network of connections, and many Somali herders have been co-opted. As soon as the Ethiopian political axe does not stop the border provocations, Li Mo decides to fight a self-defense counterattack and a territorial reconquest war here.

As for Li Mo's proposal, the General Staff and several other high-ranking military officials agreed very much. Some have even suggested that whether Ethiopia stops its border provocations or not, Somalia should take the initiative to create conflict in the Ogaden region and provide a pretext for war.

However, this proposal was vetoed by Li Mo, and Li Mo felt that if it was not a last resort, he would try not to take the initiative to fight abroad at this time. Although the Ogaden region was Somali territory in the 19th century, it is now internationally recognized as Ethiopian territory, and it is better for Somalia not to touch such sensitive areas unless there is a suitable reason and an international environment conducive to Somalia. Because there are too many territorial disputes in the countries of this world, especially those countries that have only been established for a few hundred years, which one has not had territorial disputes with other countries in the last two hundred years? If Li Mo suddenly opens this opening in the current international environment, it is very easy to cause some unnecessary trouble.

If Ethiopia does not stop her provocative acts, any action against the surname in Somalia will be justified.

(To be continued)