Chapter 475: Crisis

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After the news of the successful listing of Fantesi Company was transmitted back to China, Fan Heng felt a little dumbfounded, and it was hard to imagine that just a piece of information about the signing of a purchase and sale contract could make Fantesi's stock listing such a huge success.

"It feels like I'm cheating on money—" Fan Heng said to his son, Fan Wuxian.

Fan Wuxian corrected with a smile, "It's a circle of money, not a cheat of money, only the kind of money that has no return is called cheating, our company's profitability is predictable, but it has not been shown for the time being, but after all, we have mines in our hands, the reserves are amazing, and the quality is very high, which is the foundation of our foothold." As for getting huge orders from Chinese mainland, it is a shot in the arm for Australians, giving them confidence in the prospects and sales of Fantesi. ”

First of all, there are resources in hand, and secondly, the sales of these resources are guaranteed, so do you still need to worry about money? Investors are in such a state of mind, and it is natural that they want to pursue Fantesi's stock.

"What's going on in Gangnam Province?" Fan Wuxian stayed in the capital for a while, then went to Shanghai for a while, and when he returned to Jiangnan, it was already April.

Speaking of the matter in Jiangnan Province, Fan Heng frowned and said, "Everything else is fine, that is, the problem of abnormal weather you said is more serious, the impact of the El Niño phenomenon has been fully manifested, and it is estimated that there is a high probability of flooding contrary to the forecast this year, and the scale is not small." ”

On New Year's Day, the state promulgated the Flood Law, which is also the first time that flood prevention has been elevated to the provisions of the law, which shows that the government's high-level estimates of this year's flood control situation have been raised by more than one notch.

In fact, since the beginning of the 90s, there have been four major floods, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River have to fight floods almost every year, but the situation is still under control, after all, many reservoirs along the coast still play a great role.

However, this year's situation is special, first El Niño, and then the influence of La Niña's worldwide anomalous weather, without continuous concentrated rainfall, flooding in the Yangtze River and Nenjiang River basins will definitely not occur. From this point of view, the main cause of the 98 floods is natural disasters.

On the one hand, if it were not for the serious destruction of forest vegetation in the middle and upper reaches of the river, if it were not for the large reclamation of the lakes in the lower reaches, if it were not for the serious siltation of the river channel caused by the sharp increase in soil erosion, and if it were not for the blind occupation of the flood distribution area and the inability to start, it would not have been possible to have a situation in which the rainfall and flow did not break the record and the water level repeatedly hit a high and new level, and it would not have been possible to have a super flood situation in which the flood did not recede for two months and the flood peak raged eight times.

Upstream ecological vegetation: to destruction is also an important cause of flooding. But many people may not notice. There is a direct correlation between the destruction of ecological vegetation and the one-sided promotion of forestry land achievements.

According to the information published by the State Forestry Administration. By 993. China has moved away from the situation of declining forest area and stock and entered the era of "double growth". The forest area of the whole country has increased from 080 million hectares at the beginning of the founding of the People's Republic of China to 137 million hectares. The forest coverage rate has increased from 8.7 per cent to 13.92 per cent. Since 1993, it has maintained the annual planting of more than 3.6 million hectares of land. In 1994, Guangdong, Fujian, and Hunan announced that they would basically eliminate barren mountains suitable for forests. Anhui and other provinces and autonomous regions have also announced the elimination of barren mountains suitable for forests.

Good news about the forest land is often seen in the news media. Ordinary people can only conclude that the situation of China's forests is good or is moving towards a good situation.

But experts who know the inside story are worried. Just dig a little deeper. Then we know what the problem is with forestry propaganda sites.

In addition to the State Forestry Administration's statistics. There is another set of figures published by the Department of Soil and Water Conservation of the Ministry of Water Resources in Guangming Daily. From the 50s to the 80s, the area of forest land in the 12 provinces and autonomous regions in the Yangtze River basin decreased by an average of 6 to 8 per 1,000 per 1,000 per year.

Suppose the State Forestry Administration's land figure is on the ground. Then the increase in forest land is indeed gratifying, if the Ministry of Water Resources, Soil and Water Conservation Division, the land figure is right. In that case, the number of places where the national forest area has increased by more than 70 percent compared with the beginning of the founding of the People's Republic of China is worthy of scrutiny.

What was cut down was the old forest that was shady from the sun, but what was planted was sparse and young forest. So even with an increase in area, the quality of the forest and the productivity of the forest have dropped so dramatically that loggers often complain that it is difficult to find decent timber.

In particular, it should be pointed out that a large number of primeval forests, which are located in the middle and upper reaches of China's northeastern, southwestern, and central and southern rivers, which are known as ecological treasure houses and animal paradises, have been destroyed, leaving behind debts that can never be made up, and even if 100 percent of the greening is carried out in the future, this account will not be repaid. Because the primeval forest is the green crystallization of the evolution of the earth over hundreds of millions of years, the comprehensive ecological function of the primeval forest is incomparable to that of the plantation, and the primeval forest and its function cannot be replicated. In terms of water holding capacity alone, the water holding capacity of the canopy of well-developed natural forests is seven or eight times higher than that of plantations, and the effective water storage capacity of forest soil is six or seven times higher than that of plantations.

From the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China to the present, how much of China's primeval forests have been cut down and destroyed, this figure may become a mystery, and how much natural forests are left today, this figure is unknown. Historically, people have not been interested in these figures, they are only interested in the area of afforestation, how much it has increased each year, how much it has increased over the years, and then publicizing "brilliant achievements", and so on.

It is precisely because of the one-sided publicity of afforestation achievements over the years, and even the exaggeration of such achievements, intentionally or unintentionally, that many people are obsessed with the pursuit of afforestation area, coverage rate, growth rate, several major afforestation projects, and such achievements, while adopting an evasive or indifferent attitude toward the problems behind the "achievements." As a result, public opinion has been misled and some measures that should have been introduced earlier, such as stopping the felling of natural forests, closing mountains for afforestation, and increasing investment in forestry, have not been introduced for a long time, thus accelerating the deterioration of forest vegetation.

Even in Jiangnan Province, where the mountainous forests are relatively intact, this phenomenon is relatively serious.

Fan Heng said to Fan Wuxi, "I did a helicopter to do research on the environment in the province, and it is true that the forest coverage rate is high, but those decimal numbers do not play any role at all, it is nothing more than to make the land green, as for the role of maintaining water and soil, hum, can the turf maintain water and soil?" It's a dream! ”

"No one can do this, trees can't grow in a day-" After hearing this, Fan Wuxian also shook his head, after all, the economic benefits in this are huge, cutting trees and selling them for development, planting small saplings to get political achievements, cutting down big trees and planting small trees is the most in the interests of local officials, how can you ask them to go to great lengths to solve the problem of conserving water and soil?

Promotion and wealth are the first priority, and everything else is secondary.

In fact, the propaganda and the misleading emphasis on exaggerating achievements are not limited to forestry and water conservancy, and there are many other areas where similar problems exist. For example, those engaged in agriculture only talk about expanding cultivated land and increasing grain production, not about how many forests, lakes, ponds, wetlands, and grasslands have been cultivated, and those who are engaged in industry only talk about how much profits and taxes have been increased in output value, not how much debts have been incurred and how many resources have been wasted.

And all aspects of the work and achievements are emphasized. Agriculture says how much production will increase, forestry will say how much afforestation, water conservancy will say how many reservoirs have been built, land can say how much cultivated land has been protected, environmental protection says how much pollution has been controlled, there are as many institutions as there are fields, and as many institutions as there are achievements, and many of the achievements are deduced by the plane progressive deduction algorithm.

The planting area, soil and water conservation area, per capita net income, and output value can all be launched in this way.

There are also "achievements" that are "done" at a cost, but when publicizing or reporting, they often do not mention the price paid, but only talk about the "achievements" they have made.

Just like Su Shi of the Song Dynasty criticized the method of asking for rewards for some official merits at that time, "exchanging a cow for five sheep, the loss of a cow is concealed without saying, and the harvest of five sheep is referred to as meritorious achievements." "Some practices such as these, coupled with a system in which each level grasps one level at a time and one level is accountable to the other level, it is impossible not to fail to make political achievements and not to cover up problems. In a certain sense, this year's floods are the bitter fruit of the accumulation of problems caused by the long-term prominence of the political achievements of the relevant parties and the cover-up of problems.

"Actually, there are problems with the use of floodplains." Fan Wuxian thought of a little and said to Fan Heng, "The United States, like China, also has big rivers and a wide floodplain. But as early as the fifties, Americans realized that despite the government's investment in flood control projects, flood damage continued unabated, and the reason for this was the uncontrolled development of land in the floodplains. The government's expenses for flood control projects and disaster relief are the money of all taxpayers. Why do a few people go to the floodplains to develop, but all taxpayers need to protect them and take the risk for them? As a result, the United States has included the strengthening of floodplain management in the flood prevention and disaster reduction system, formulated a series of laws and regulations restricting the development and utilization of floodplains, and established a national compulsory flood insurance system after several setbacks. The idea is that while land in the floodplain is cheaper, the higher the risk of flooding, the higher the insurance rate, which makes the floodplain less attractive, and people who do not participate in national flood insurance will no longer receive federal relief after a disaster. ”

After listening to his son's words, Fan Heng nodded and replied, "The reason is very clear, but it is not suitable for China's national conditions!" It's not easy for ordinary people to make some money, and it's even harder if you want them to pay for it. Moreover, this local consciousness is also relatively strong, and it is not so simple to solve this problem. ”

"As long as the determination of the top management is strong enough, this problem is not difficult to solve, the question is to see if anyone is willing to take this responsibility." ”

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