Chapter 1073: Opportunities are always rare
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In fact, the top and bottom of the Fan Investment Group are concerned about the issue. It is nothing more than whether this terrorist attack will cause the US economy to plummet, and if so, some domestic economic policies will need to be adjusted accordingly.
At the same time, everyone also noticed that Fan Wuxian happened to gather the employees of the American company for intensive training in the past few days, which also avoided the casualties of the company's employees in this incident.
However, despite the fact that Fan Wuxian had ordered all the American companies to conduct training, there were still people who were injured in the 911 incident, that is, a foreign executive of an American company, who had a temporary business at the time and went to the World Trade Center to have a business exchange with a company that had been scheduled for a long time, but he encountered a plane crashing into the building, but fortunately he was on the lower floor, and he was able to retreat, and by the way, he also saved several injured women and children, so he was rewarded by the US government.
Fan Wuxian didn't say much about this, although he said that the temporary training was something he repeatedly emphasized to be followed, but this time it was more sudden, and he couldn't say anything to the employees, the reason why he emphasized discipline was just because he wanted to try to avoid his own employees from being killed or injured in the incident. Now it looks like it's working, at least not as badly as the companies that moved to the World Trade Center.
There are many companies that can enter the World Trade Center, and there are many powerful companies, and this time the death toll of the World Trade Center has reached thousands, most of these people belong to the industry elite, and their death has directly led to the operation of many enterprises, and even the leadership of some enterprises has basically been wiped out.
In any case, some of the employees who were quite resistant to Fan Wuxi's training camp at the beginning have felt very fortunate at this time. Because Fan's investment group has a large business and involves a wide range of areas, especially with the financial industry, there are a lot of people working in the World Trade Center, and the floors are also very high, if it were not for Fan Wuxi's move, I am afraid that many people would have stayed on the ruins of the World Trade Center forever.
The shocking scenes seen on the TV screen are enough to make the parties feel frightened and feel lucky.
This was followed by an assessment of the damage caused by Fan's Investment Group in this incident and a consultation on the policy adjustment of the financial work in the United States.
The impact of the 911 incident on the U.S. economy will affect the global economy through four channels: trade, capital flows and exchange rates, international market prices, and financial market contagion, affecting the global economic development.
From the perspective of trade, after the 911 incident, the United States closed all its gates and part of its borders with Mexico, temporarily interrupting trade and logistics with all countries and regions in the world, and had a greater impact on the exports of Canada, Mexico and other countries that rely heavily on the US market.
The United States has always occupied the most important position in the international market, accounting for about 25 percent of global trade in imports. If the U.S. economy is in recession, its imports will inevitably shrink, which will affect the development of global trade. However, the extent of the impact varies from region to region.
North America, Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries have been greatly affected, and Japan's exports to the United States account for one-third of its total exports, and the economies of Latin America and Southeast Asia are heavily dependent on exports to the United States, especially more than half of electronic products are exported to the United States; according to Goldman Sachs' estimates, since 1997, half of Southeast Asia's economic growth has come from exports to the United States. The EU's trade with the United States accounts for about 8% of its total trade, and is less affected than Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries.
From the perspective of capital flows and exchange rates, the 911 incident will affect the exchange rate adjustment of major currencies, and the direction of capital flow will change, and international capital will flow to countries and regions with relatively rapid economic development, social stability, and relatively moderate foreign policies, such as Europe.
Currently, the U.S. dollar depreciates against the euro from $0.90 per euro to around $0.93 per euro. The statement issued by the Federal Reserve acknowledged that the economic data released in the United States in recent weeks have been disappointing, with high oil prices, consumer confidence falling to a nine-year low, employment falling, with more than 300,000 jobs lost in February alone, and retail sales also falling.
From the perspective of financial markets, the stock markets of countries around the world are now fluctuating with the volatility of Wall Street, and hedge funds may also take advantage of the opportunity to make waves.
The U.S. stock market is falling, and the stock markets of other countries are also struggling to improve. Tokyo stocks fell 4.8 percent, London 6.2 percent, Paris 11.4 percent and Frankfurt 12.3 percent, with the most affected airlines falling even more, with British Airways, Lufthansa and Air France down more than 30 percent.
On the day the U.S. stock market opened, major stock markets outside the U.S. rebounded, with European stock prices rising by about 3 percent and then volatile in the following days, indicating that people continue to take a wait-and-see attitude towards U.S. stocks.
Judging from the prices of international strategic commodities, the prices of oil, gold, non-ferrous metals, and other commodities rose rapidly after the 911 incident. On the same day, London Brent crude futures rose to $31.15 a barrel, up $3.2 and reaching their highest level since December last year. The terrorist incident did not affect the global supply of crude oil, and the rise in oil prices was caused solely by the uncertainty of the terrorist attack and psychological panic. The history of world economic development shows that oil prices are closely related to world economic growth, and every large-scale economic recession is related to the rise in oil prices.
The economies of the world are interdependent and influence each other. Due to the hegemony of the United States in the world economy, countries around the world have no immunity to the slowdown of the American economy, and when the American economy is prosperous, the world economy is easier to develop, and if the American economy declines, it will also drag down the economies of other countries in the world.
Due to China's high dependence on U.S. exports, the U.S. economy has entered a recession, especially the decline in U.S. consumption levels, and the corresponding decline in demand for imported goods, which will inhibit the growth of China's exports from the external demand side. The impact of the 911 incident on the economy of different countries is different, and the impact on North America, South America, Japan, and East Asia will be greater. The impact on countries such as Europe and South Asia is relatively small.
On the contrary, in recent days, he has been expressing the importance of stabilizing financial markets on various public and private occasions, and has expressed his dissatisfaction with the international hedge funds that have taken advantage of the fire.
"Could it be that the boss has changed sex?" The most curious people are naturally the people in charge of these financial institutions.
In many previous ups and downs in the stock market, Fan Wuzhi has successfully grasped the pulse, and easily doubled his assets, this time Fan Wuxian also made some preparations in advance, such as reducing recent financial activities, selling some unstable assets, etc., and also arranged training for employees of financial institutions in the United States to avoid accidents, it stands to reason that he can take this opportunity to make a big profit.
However, Mr. Fan didn't take action, which is really strange.
In this regard, Fan Wuxian naturally has his own thoughts.
After all, after the 911 incident that attacked the United States, the U.S. government will conduct a strict review of foreign investors and foreign capital for a long period of time. In order to complete the global strategic layout of Fan's Investment Group.
Another point is that the development of the country is about to get on the right track, and Fan Wuxian feels that it is time to return to China to show his skills, so in addition to some stable financial or mineral investments, in addition to those assets that should be hidden in large foreign banks, in addition to those real estate investment projects in hot spots in various countries, some other assets can already be transferred to China.
The most important thing is that after the state-owned enterprises have basically achieved the predetermined goal in three years, the country needs to have new growth points to promote the development of the entire economy. It is necessary to vigorously promote the process of domestic modernization, especially to strengthen the development of enterprises in the central and western regions.
In fact, on the third day after the 911 incident, Fan Heng, the father who returned home, had an in-depth discussion with his son about the matter.
"In the recent period, the domestic policy toward the United States has been relatively positive, and although it seems that Bush Jr.'s coming to power is relatively unfavorable to China, and before he was elected, he also seemed to be a cowboy who is not afraid of heaven and earth, but if we have studied this person, we will often come to a conclusion that this person is more humane." Fan Wuxian said to his father Fan Heng, "To be honest, although many domestic media have a relatively high evaluation of Clinton, it is precisely this Clinton who is our great enemy, and he has caused us some trouble during his tenure." ”
"So how do you think the Americans will respond to this terrorist attack?" Fan Heng asked rhetorically.
"Since George W. Bush played the role of a cowboy hero, then only war can allow him to continue to play that role." Fan replied.
"War? Hit whom? Fan Heng asked.
"Naturally, Afghanistan, the place where Americans and Russians have been entangled, there is also the base camp of **, the Taliban organization is actually very closely related to **, and the Americans will not let go of this opportunity this time anyway, Uncle Sam, who was annoyed, it was quite terrible." Fan replied without thinking.
Fan Heng frowned when he heard this, and carefully considered this matter.
In the eyes of many people, although the Americans are belligerent, they always fight for their own interests, otherwise they maintained neutrality in the early stage of World War II, and only provided arms and other materials to the warring parties, and it was only after the Japanese were hurt at Pearl Harbor that they made up their minds and finally entered the war.
This terrorist attack has been described as the second Pearl Harbor attack, so everyone is speculating about where the anger of the Americans will go. They do need to find an outlet for their emotions, but for a terrorist organization that has no fixed nest and roams all corners of the world. Where do you start?
Van Wuzhi gave a very clear direction to Afghanistan.
As far as Afghanistan is concerned, in fact, the country's top leaders have long looked at them unpleasantly, because it is a gathering place for Islamic fundamentalist extremists, so it has always been a troublemaker, and the members of the more active terrorist organizations in the country are basically trained there.
Some time ago, these people did cause a lot of trouble, which caused a lot of headaches for the domestic government.
These people sneak back and create some terrorist incidents, and then they immediately slip back to Afghanistan to recuperate, and they can't be beaten and caught, which is very annoying.
This time, the 911 terrorist attack was created, in fact, the top level is still happy to see the Americans clean up Afghanistan, after all, this small barren country has become an unstable factor in the political activities of Northwest Asia, if it were not for the peaceful development strategy pursued by China that cannot be changed, someone would have fought it a long time ago.
"Counter-terrorism is a double-edged sword, and many things that were difficult to solve in the past can now be completely solved before this anti-terrorism name." Fan Wuxian reminded his father Fan Hengdao.
Fan Heng thought about it for a while, and suddenly understood.
In the past, in the face of some extreme events in China, the Americans always had to point fingers, for example, on the issue of Tibet or Xinjiang, or on the issue of Chechnya in Russia, the Americans always liked to arbitrarily interfere and attack in the name of human rights.
But this time, if the Americans oppose terrorism and wage war against Afghanistan, then everyone can learn from the same in the future, you Americans can fight terrorism, then we can naturally fight terrorism, as long as we put a terrorist hat on the opponent, and when the time comes, whether we fight or kill, it is all the righteousness, and no one can say anything wrong.
And another point is that even if the Americans really want to attack Afghanistan this time, they will need the tacit approval of countries such as China and Russia to launch military operations, and if they want to do this, it is impossible not to communicate privately, so that many issues that could not be discussed before can now be discussed.
For example, the issue of joining the TO, the issue of sovereignty in certain regions, and the so-called human rights issue that the Americans have been biting on before, these issues can be better resolved.
"All in all, this is a good opportunity to show support for the U.S. counter-terrorism and solve a lot of historical problems, so why not?" Fan Wuxian finally concluded.
Fan Heng thought that this was indeed the case, and it seemed that some problems could be communicated in advance.
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