Chapter 822 - Sitting on the ground and starting the price
For every two people who read romance, there is an account that has registered for the network. The height and diameter of the old trees here are of the first class, and most of the old trees can produce about three tons of material each. If you win a bet, according to the general situation, the value of a tree is about 400,000 US dollars, ten times the gross profit, which is considerable. "But if you don't win the bet, the $40,000 is basically a waste!" Zhang Lu was not in a hurry, this Kapil sat on the ground and started to rise, which is indeed related to the current market. As Kapil said, he will still bet on the price increase.
"You're an expert, let's calculate according to the 70% hollow rate, even if you only bet on ten trees, according to the lowest odds, bet on three trees, that's 1.2 million US dollars, and you only pay 400,000 US dollars! The guarantee is three times the profit! And you're not just betting on 10 trees, and you'll be making more money even though the profit margin will be the same! Kapil calculated unhurriedly.
Zhang Lu laughed. This algorithm sounds tempting, but it actually steals the concept of "lowest probability", because even if there is a solid rate of 30%, the probability of winning 30% is very small. Moreover, the actual solid heart rate is not necessarily 30%!
This account has to be calculated like this, seventy percent of the hollow heart rate, that is, every time you choose a tree, there is only a thirty percent chance of picking a solid one! Every time you choose a tree, there is a high probability of being hollow, so the probability of choosing a hollow tree is very high! In the end, it is also very likely that a solid tree is not selected or there are only one or two solid trees in bets on dozens of trees!
This is not the other extreme, it is a reality, and this is the case for quite a few people.
But knowing this, he still has to gamble, "Okay, just do your supporting services well!" ”
"That's inevitable, don't worry. Can't let you spend money and still be unhappy! Kapil smiled, "Old friend, if you can choose more this time, you can choose two more, maybe the price will have to increase next time!" ”
"It's about a third of the tree missing, who bought it?" Tang Yi suddenly asked at this time.
"There are two patrons in front and back." Kapil replied, but apparently didn't want to say too much.
"Isn't it true that these two people have a high hit rate?" Tang Yi then asked again.
Kapil looked surprised, "Huh? How do you know? ”
In fact, the hit rate does not affect the making of money for Kapil, he is making steady money, calculated by a single tree. Even if the rest is all hollow, but it still grows on the mountain, there will always be people to gamble, someone makes a big deal, there will be a person who loses a lot of money to make up for it, he is sure to make a profit, although he does not earn the most.
"I guess!" Tang Yi smiled, "Because I feel that the heart rate of the remaining tree hollow is more than seventy!" ”
"Hahahaha!" Kapil laughed, "Mr. Don is very good at joking. However, if your feeling is very accurate, pick up all the solid ones, and let the unlucky ones who come from behind pay for you, it will be amazing! ”
Zhang Lu glanced at Tang Yi and remained silent. Kapil listened to it as a joke, but Zhang Lu was overjoyed in his heart. It seems that this boss's ability to bet on red sandalwood is not weaker than betting on Haihuang! Since Tang Yi is sure, even if there is only half of the hit rate, then adding $10,000 per tree is a drizzle.
Tang Yi had naturally glanced at it just now. The treasure light is projected on the rosewood trees and is still valid. If it is solid, the outline of the heartwood will appear dark and dark, as if it can be transmitted through the low-density skin. If it is hollow, then the inside of the tree is like glowing air, very faint, and there are many shadows.
Of course, he couldn't scan all the trees, only the one in front of him. But the empty heart rate of this piece has probably reached nearly 90%!