Zhengyang and Liu Daoyuan's schedules were quite tight, and they flew out of Andu together on the fifth day of the first day of the first day of the second day in only two days, but one flew back to Beijing and the other flew to Qianyang.

Cai Zhengyang still had some time, but he received a call from the General Office of the CPC Committee saying that there would be a very important meeting on the State Council's side asking him and Qin Zedong, director of the Economic and Trade Commission, to attend in person, and it was said that Vice Premier Hong personally presided over it.

In fact, since Cai Zhengyang was promoted to vice chairman of the State Economic and Trade Commission, Zhao Guodong has been thinking about a problem, how to make the best use of everything he can recall to do something for the country.

After thinking about it, he felt that the only thing he could be sure of was that the price of oil would rise rapidly from the current ten or twenty dollars a barrel to more than $100 a barrel after the US war against Iraq, and even the highest point of $1 a barrel.

Due to the rapid development of China's economy, the demand for oil is increasing, and the domestic oil resources are decreasing, the international oil price will only rise, there is no possibility of falling, and China's crude oil self-sufficiency rate will quickly decline to less than half, and this trend will be irreversible, so how to take precautions, preemptively establish China's own stable crude oil import supply system, will be a vital factor.

Looking at the world at this time, the oil resources of the Middle East have basically been carved up by all forces, and it is difficult for China to intervene, and regions such as Iran and Iraq are affected by the political influence of the superpower from the United States, China does not yet have the strength to challenge the hegemony of the United States, although Africa is rich in oil resources, but the first distance is too far, China's influence is difficult to achieve for a while, and second, transportation costs will also be a huge problem, especially in this period of low oil prices, transportation costs are more sensitive.

For China, the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Russia's economic recession and the independence of Central Asia are even a rare opportunity to a certain extent. To promote the economic development of this region and achieve a win-win situation, it is necessary to lay out as soon as possible.

Cai Zhengyang's entry into the State Economic and Trade Commission as deputy director undoubtedly provides the possibility for Zhao Guodong's plan. On the one hand, Zhao Guodong collected as much information as possible, and on the other hand, he also wrote down his thoughts and opinions as much as possible and sent them to Cai Zhengyang.

As expected, Zhao Guodong's things aroused Cai Zhengyang's interest, although it was only half-believed, but this view is not without echoes in the domestic economic circles, sitting in this position, Cai Zhengyang can easily get in touch with the major domestic university research institutions and the systematic research departments of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions and groups, and quickly obtain very rich and accurate information and information in this regard.

Cai Zhengyang was quite puzzled by Zhao Guodong's thinking, and he could hardly imagine how a young man like Zhao Guodong, a young man engaged in public security, could have such a profound and accurate view of such a very complex and extensive professional practice.

In '96, Turkmenistan had a serious disagreement with the Russian side over the issue of gas prices. The two sides are at loggerheads. And Russia, with its absolute control over the gas pipelines, has choked Turkmenistan by the throat. Make the other party unable to resist. They watched as the other side forcibly bought natural gas at an extremely low price and then resold it to Western Europe at a high price for huge profits. Faced with difficulties, polar bears will not use such means to grab cheap and abundant natural gas resources in Central Asia. Then their economic situation will be even more embarrassing.

And what will happen to the gas price dispute between Turkmenistan and Russia in 97. Cai Zhengyang is also a little pregnant. Turkmenistan does not have the strength to fight Russia. The reason is simple. Turkmenistan's natural gas export route is completely in the hands of Russia. In other words, Russia is the only buyer of natural gas in other countries. It has no choice.

But Zhao Guodong told Cai Zhengyang that Turkmenistan President Niyazov is a rather stubborn politician. He will not easily submit his country to the pressure of the polar bear

In all likelihood, Turkmenistan will fall out with Russia. And this is precisely China

The anemic polar bear is now a strong outsider. They are not very capable of interfering with China's expansion in Central Asia. In particular, we will strengthen investment in energy. Because their own domestic energy companies are also in an extremely embarrassing state. As a result of privatization, the production capacity and efficiency of energy production enterprises have fallen to a rather difficult situation. The relative weakness of international oil prices has made their situation even worse.

Cai Zhengyang has been following this issue for the past two months. The dispute between Russia and Turkmenistan over natural gas is escalating. This is the same as Zhao Guodong's prediction. The huge differences between the two countries over the price of natural gas exports and the payment method make it seem difficult to find a solution between them for a while. This made Cai Zhengyang even more impressed by Zhao Guodong's accurate view.

Zhao Guodong and Cai Zhengyang have also discussed domestic energy issues many times, including the exchange of telephone and written materials, and have come to the unanimous conclusion that China's external energy needs will increase, and the proportion of imported energy will also increase, and the increase will be larger.

In view of the instability of the situation in the Middle East and the great concern of the European and American powers in the Middle East, the most convenient and stable energy supply channels that China can seek at present can only be Central Asia and Russia, followed by Southeast Asia (Myanmar, Indonesia and Cambodia) and Africa.

Cai Zhengyang has always believed that Zhao Guodong should work in some policy research offices of central ministries and commissions, and he even firmly believes that if Zhao Guodong can be trained in departments such as national think tanks and think tanks such as the Policy Research Office of the Central Committee or the State Council, Zhao Guodong's exhibition prospects will be broader, but Zhao Guodong seems to be less interested in entering this kind of research institutions, and prefers to be honest in the grassroots exhibition.

It is important to work at the grassroots level, but being able to work at the central level cannot make you stand on a better platform, but Zhao Guodong repeatedly gave up this idea.

As a national think tank, there are countless people with far-sighted vision and outstanding wisdom, but why can Cai Zhengyang's views get the attention of the highest level, while the suggestions and articles of these people who hold the same views and attitudes can only appear as attachments?

There is no other reason, because he stands high enough, which makes Zhao Guodong feel deeply.

Lei Xiangdong has officially received the order, he will step down from the post of vice president of the Agricultural Exhibition Bank of Anyuan Province, and be promoted to the deputy director of the Financial Stability Bureau of the People's Bank of China, officially becoming a deputy director-level cadre, and ranking among the core centers of the central financial center.

This will be the last Chinese New Year he will spend in Andu, after which he will officially take office.

Zhao Guodong doesn't know if a series of discussions between himself and him on the financial crisis have also had the effect of butterfly flapping wings and leading the storm in Lei Xiangdong's life, but Lei Xiangdong himself does not shy away from saying that because Zhao Guodong and his discussion of the huge systemic risks in the financial sector of Southeast Asian countries, especially the financial sector in Thailand, will be very likely to lead to a financial crisis, he has been tirelessly studying this issue in the past few months, and it has also caused him to frequently publish such warning articles in domestic and foreign financial journals.

This objectively increased his influence, but it also put him under considerable pressure, and if the financial crisis did not happen as expected, he would have become a laughing stock, and no one would believe his theory even if it was correct.

However, it is very realistic that his views have won the support and recognition of some people, and most of them are recognized by quite high-level people, otherwise Lei Xiangdong does not believe that an unknown character like him will suddenly be transferred to the bank.

It is not known in what way the financial turmoil will sweep in, and it is difficult to say whether it will even come in a sentence or two, but Lei Xiangdong firmly believes that there is none.

The financial turmoil belongs to the financial turmoil, for the current Zhao Guodong, how to base himself on reality and do his job in a down-to-earth manner is more important, and everything else is very important to the parties, but it is still a little illusory for himself.

Now, winning the recognition of the main leaders of the municipal party committee is the most important thing for him, especially in the coming year, how to achieve further leaps and bounds, that is the key.

Brothers, you can't lose! Vote for your guaranteed vote, Lao Rui strongly calls for a guaranteed monthly ticket!