Chapter 6 Gambling with Xie Hongyu
"Hello classmate Qin, I am Zhang Jie, the secretary of the Stock Association, you mentioned last time that the bank has sufficient cash, how do you know that everyone has deposited money in the bank?" A tall classmate behind Xie Hongyu asked. Pen ~ fun ~ pavilion www.biquge.info
"First of all, the economic development in the past few years, everyone's wallets are bulging, this is an indisputable fact, but the matching investment and financial products are indeed seriously lacking, the property market investment has a certain threshold to block most people, and saving money to the bank as the most stable way to manage the money has naturally become people's first choice, is this explanation satisfactory?" Qin Chuan asked with a smile.
"There is another question, is it a bit hasty for you to judge the big bull market just by Gann's time cycle, you must know that Gann, who invented this theory, was also poor in his later years, so it can be seen that this judgment is not very convincing!"
It is true that Gann failed in his later years, but this does not completely negate his theory. You may not listen too seriously to the derivation of the bull market, but there are three points to sum up, first, the country's share reform policy, which is the right time. Second, various stocks are now at historically low prices, which is a geographical advantage. Thirdly, now the market is well funded and has strong liquidity, which is human. These three points are the basis of my judgment of the bull market. ”
"In terms of timeframe, even if I don't use the Gann timeline, I can roll it out in other ways." Qin Chuan said confidently.
"Can you tell us about it?" Shan Xiaoxiao looked at Qin Chuan with a pleading look in her eyes.
"Don't listen to his nonsense, Xiaoxiao, he's pretending to be X." Xie Hongyu looked at Qin Chuan with disdain and said, "We all study economics, isn't it better for you to study psychology?" ”
"Hehe, what if I really knew.... Let's make a bet, if I can't say it, I'll give up this demo competition, in case ...... I said it, do you dare to give up? Qin Chuan looked at Xie Hongyu without showing weakness at all.
"Okay, let's be a witness!"
"Everyone here is studying economics, and I think everyone should be familiar with the Kondratiev cycle, which cycles once every 60 years, and it is divided into four parts: upswing, boom, recession, and flute. The current Kondratiev cycle began to pick up in 1982, and as you know, the years 75 to 82 were the last Konpo stage. If you understand the history of the world economy, you should know that global stagflation, the United States and the United Kingdom are doing supply-side reforms, and supply-side reforms are a sign that the world has entered the flute! Then the prosperity is 91 to 94 years, is the United States information technology bubble, is the sign of the prosperity of the Kondratiev cycle, and then the economy has grown for seven or eight years, from 2004 to 2015, this should be the recession period of the Kondratiev cycle, the recession period can see that although the economic growth is not very good, but we can also get a lot of significance from asset prices, such as our stock market, bond market, and 2006 to 2009 next year is the fourth inventory cycle of China, So there will inevitably be a big bull market after 2006. ”
"Who... Who knows if what you're talking about is made up. Xie Hongyu continued to slander Qin Chuan.
"Okay, if you lose, you lose," Li Weiwei glanced at Xie Hongyu, turned to Qin Chuan and said, "Through the conclusions of Senior Qiao Fei, Chen Cheng, and Feng Zhang, there will inevitably be a big bull market in the future, but I want to ask classmate Qin, why do you see 6100 points." ”
"There really isn't any indicator or technology right now that can prove that it can reach 6,100 points in the future." Qin Chuan said helplessly.
"So you made up this point?" Li Weiwei asked rhetorically.
"There are three kinds of funds in the stock market, the first funds, the main funds and the following funds, the first funds to enter the market at the end of the bear market, and now this point into the market belongs to the first funds, and then make the bottom of the form, that is, when the Shanghai Composite Index reaches about 1300 points, and then the main funds begin to intervene on a large scale, at this time, the Shanghai Stock Exchange began to rise rapidly, and the market should reach about 3500 points, at this time various media began to hype up the stock market, The first batch of follow-up funds entered the market, the Shanghai Stock Exchange continued to rise to about 4500, the Shanghai Stock Exchange continued to rise to about 5400, and then the pre-felt funds began to withdraw from the market one after another, and finally a large number of follow-up funds entered the market, and the market reached around 6100 points. "Qin Chuan feels that he is about to empty out everything he knows, is it easy to pretend to be an X.
Although Li Weiwei did not agree with Qin Chuan's ideas, she was frightened by the various theories and terms that Qin Chuan did not know where to learn.
"Do you have any questions?" Qin Chuan looked at the audience with a smile.
The audience was silent, and everyone knew in their hearts that the president and vice president of their association were all suppressed by this person named Qin Chuan.
Li Weiwei pondered a little and said, "Let's get here today, thank you Qin Chuan for sharing, the secretary and above will stay in the meeting to talk about the mock disc competition, and strive to get out before the National Day holiday, and the rest will be dispersed." ”
Shan Xiaoxiao came to Qin Chuan with an embarrassed face and said, "I didn't expect it to be like this, I'm really embarrassed." ”
"It's okay, it's good to communicate more."
"You are really amazing, Brother Chuan, you have a feeling of tongue fighting!" Wang Fatzi suddenly rushed out from the side.
"My skills are very average, fat man, don't tell this kind of big truth in the future, let's keep a low profile..."
"Wait, get out of here, we're going to have a meeting soon." Xie Hongyu shouted towards Qin Chuan's place.
Qin Chuan shrugged his shoulders and turned around and left the classroom with Wang Fatzi.
"Why did you come out, I've been smothering you for a while."
"Chen... City, why are you here? Wang Fatzi asked in surprise.
"Originally, after listening to the report yesterday, I wanted to go to you for advice, but I ran into Qin Chuan's classmates touching someone's chest, so I didn't dare to go up and disturb, and then I heard from my friend that you gave a lecture to the Stock Association today, so I came over."
"Everyone learns from each other, I am bluffing, the real real thing is that you are good, and that ...... It's just that I accidentally touched it, so don't mention it in the future. ”
"Haha...... let's exchange contact information first, it's not too early, let's discuss it another day."
After separating from Chen Cheng, the two of them went to the dining room to have a casual meal and returned to the dormitory.
Wang Fatzi was still the same as usual, and he fell asleep after a while. But Qin Chuan has insomnia, and now there is no dragon and tiger list, which completely disrupts his plan, it is really about to reach the virtual disc competition, not to mention Chen Cheng and Feng Zhang, it is estimated that even winning Xie Hongyu is hanging.
It wasn't until the sky was bright that Qin Chuan fell asleep.