Chapter 490: An Urgent Contract
If finance is a dirty industry, outsiders may disagree, but it can be recognized by everyone. Pen & Fun & Pavilion www.biquge.info
In China, Lei Hao dumped other things to others, including Qiu Yuting, Su Yiwen, Luo Ziyang, Yu Rong and others, all of whom have deeper ties with some interest communities through various means, and he only needs to make money.
But outside, Lei Hao can't find anyone who can be completely trusted for the time being, but the dark side of the United States is even worse than China's, and he also wants to stretch his hand longer.
The huge amount of money that is unprotected in the financial circle is a big piece of fat, Lei Hao has this awareness, and the Americans will crush the forest to death if they come up with any ridiculous accusations.
Developing more influential customers in various fields is the way for financial institutions, and Lambert seems to be a good place to start.
"Yingfeng, take out my betting ticket." Lei Hao instructed Li Yingfeng first, and after taking it, he showed it to Lambert, and then said to Lambert in his unfamiliar English: "I am optimistic about Windy City winning, of course, at halftime, I wavered, but unfortunately, I have my own way of dealing with the bet with Mr. Keith, whether I win or lose." ”
"Cool." Lambert said with a smile: "This explanation is acceptable and consistent with my analysis. ”
"Huh." Lei Hao sat there and looked at Lambert with a smile.
The other party said simply, but he definitely didn't fully believe it, Lei Hao actually didn't care, he was not afraid of cooperating with smart people, he was afraid of a few fools dragging him back.
Mutual speculation, coupled with a small part of mutual trust, after the temptation, Lei Hao could feel Lambert's American-style sincerity: everything is spread out, what strength is there to show for everyone to see, and cooperate while contacting and probing.
"Ray, are you supposed to be ...... Deliberately losing, right? When he got into the returning car, Fox asked in his slightly broken Chinese, with a look of disbelief on his face.
"As I said, there is a plan for winning or losing." Lei Hao was a little tired, explained a few words, and then stopped talking, just told Fox to make preliminary preparations.
Fox was skeptical, but Li Yingfeng, who was sitting next to Lei Hao, was beating at an accelerated pace, he was 100% confident in Lei Hao, and he was almost sure of one thing: Lei Hao just knew that he was going to lose.
Back at the hotel, Lei Hao began to lock himself in the room again, Li Yingfeng was looking for real estate news outside, but his eyes fell on Lei Hao's door from time to time.
Opening the notebook that recorded relevant information about the future, Lei Hao was writing and drawing on it, and his eyes stayed on the above message: "The US federal funds rate has risen......
In addition, some other things are also recorded in the notebook, finance is like this, the whole body is affected, the stock market, futures, foreign exchange and other markets affect each other, but now, what Lei Hao needs to seize is the place that can make the most profits, maybe keep some funds, expand some information channels.
The forward interest rate agreement is such a thing, put on Forest and Oasis, and when the time comes, there will definitely be an insurance company involved, and there may be a credit collateral for both parties, whether it is funds or other things, the less risk the insurance company needs to bear, the less it will charge.
In addition, the more forward interest rate agreements are signed between financial institutions, the more they will actually affect the interbank lending rate.
For example, if a bank needs 10 billion funds to be released, and they can't do it in an instant, what should they do if they want to lock in interest rate income? It's a good idea to do some forward rate agreements.
I assume that I lend out the 10 billion at an interest rate of 1%, and I am sure that I can release the funds before the confirmation date.
When the interest rate is too low, I don't lend, anyway, if it's less than 1%, someone will add the difference interest rate to me;
When the interest rate is high, I will lend, anyway, before the interest rate is set, I use a higher interest rate than 1%, I can get more interest, and if I lend more, maybe I can still keep the interest rate below 1% before the interest rate is set, and I may make another profit at that time.
Even if the interest rate exceeds 1% when the interest rate is determined, I have achieved the purpose of controlling the risk, I have put 10 billion in front of me, I have locked in 1% of the interest income, and I have achieved my goal.
Among them, there are all kinds of strange calculations, the most outrageous is the manipulation of interbank lending rates, UBS, Keda and other large institutions will be investigated by the monitoring department almost every year, and they need to pay a lot of fines every year, but they still enjoy it, why? Profit is enough.
Lei Hao is not qualified to participate in the setting of interbank lending rates now, but when he knows the direction of the market, he can actually speculate a lot of things, and he is ready to kick Oasis Securities into the quagmire.
But many people don't think so, Oasis Securities is, and Forest's investment team thinks so.
On Monday, April 24th, another weekday on Wall Street, companies will have a small meeting as usual, and in addition to finalizing last week's resolution, some changes will also be finalized today.
Regarding Lei Hao's bullish attitude towards interest rates, Yarman and others decided to voice opposition.
"Since half a year ago, the U.S. federal interest rate has continued to fall, taking the December period as an example, it fell from 0.8136% to 0.7529%, thunder, the market is not short of money, the economy is weak, and we are even moving towards the era of zero interest rates." In the small conference room, Yarman hesitated and said firmly.
In terms of the stock market, futures and other fields, Yarman may not refute Lei Hao's decision, but he comes from a big bank, and he has too much say in such things as interest rates.
The economy is weak, enterprises do not want to borrow, so it is logical for banking institutions to lower interest rates, when the interest rate is low to the corresponding point, the enterprises that use the money will find it profitable, issue loan demand, and push up interest rates.
This is the same as the stock market, the more people buy, the interest rate rises, there are no corporate loans, only banks are screaming to lend, and it is strange that interest rates do not fall.
And the more the supply exceeds the demand, the more the target falls, which is an iron law all over the world.
"Don't you think it's very strange that we don't get a good response to the contract purchase intentions we send out?" Lei Hao stretched out his hand and asked, "I thought the U.S. financial market was very developed. ”
When you buy a forward rate agreement, you have money when the reference rate is higher than the agreement rate, that is, you are bullish.
Forest has invested nearly $100 million in the protocol currency so far, yes, that's it.
This is simply not normal, and the U.S. restrictions on such agreements are not as strict as in China, where the Thunder has not even obtained access and only relies on sporadic off-the-counter legal agreements to eat in this area.
"Banks don't take any risks when they're not sure they can release enough money before the rate fixation date, Ray, I've worked at Deutsche Bank, UBS, and I know that." Yarman struggled to explain.
"I think I've reached a tipping point." Lei Hao put it simply, he didn't mind Yarman's objection, because the financial circle was originally a big casino, and no one dared to be sure that the next step would be right.
"I don't think so! To be precise, I don't think it's likely in the short term. Yarman's face darkened, and he said: "From having an intention to placing the trading date, settlement date, and confirmation date quite close, this practice is too dangerous. ”
"So, Oasis Securities thinks so too?" Lei Hao made a joke, from Yarman's body, he saw the necessity of his own calculation, waved his hand, and said: "Within a few days, I have more than 100 million US dollars entering here, this matter is so certain, what we need to discuss is...... How to get the opponent to sign a contract for a larger agreed amount. ”
The conference room was quiet, and everyone was helpless to implement the "independence. When the intention was sent to Oasis Securities, the opponent was naturally taken aback.
What does it mean to write as soon as possible on a trading day? What is the purpose of writing the 1st on the confirmed day? Is it because you want to make trouble if the settlement date and the confirmation date are as close as possible?
Forget it, write as much as possible on the amount of the agreement, you are going to heaven! But Lei Hao took out the one million dollars he lost and didn't sign it...... It seems like a bit of a loss. (To be continued.) )