"The most ferocious pandemic in more than a century." If the same thing came from the mouth of other experts, Fang Tianshu wouldn't take it too seriously. After all, these experts have not made mistakes once or twice. But the same words came out of Ye Tao's mouth, and it was different. Fang Tianshu confirmed again: "The plague of the century? On what basis do you make such a judgment? ”

"Let me stress it out first. My argument is based on the presence of new cases. "Ye Tao doesn't want to confuse the public. He confirmed that Fang Tianshu understood the premise before he explained: "If there are new cases, we can determine a few points. The virus does not have any symptoms during the incubation period, and once it occurs, it will lead to the death of the infected person in a very short time. And the lethal mechanism is uncertain. I don't know if you have any objections? ”

These analyses are based on existing assumptions. There is nothing unreasonable. Experts attending the meeting in Beijing said that the assumption was reasonable. But one objected: "These sounds scary. But without understanding the transmissibility of the virus, why can Dr. Ye be sure that the virus will spread widely? Or even call it the 'plague of the century'? ”

Although Fang Tianshu didn't say it explicitly, he obviously also hoped that Ye Tao would explain it clearly.

"I don't think you guys have heard my settings yet. The basis of my inference is the assumption that there is a third infected person. I think there should be experts in the field of infectious diseases here. Please help with the calculations. Assuming that the incubation period of this infectious disease is 24 hours, how many infected people are there now, v, w, ⊕ ww. ”

Fang Tianshu looked at a middle-aged scholar: "Dean Li, can you estimate the number of people who are infected based on these numbers provided by Dr. Ye?" The scholar nodded and began to do the math quickly. After the calculation, his face changed dramatically. "According to a rough model, there should now be three to five carriers of the virus!"

Hearing this number, there were several experts with relaxed expressions. But the faces of some of the older experts began to change. An old man stood up tremblingly and said, "Announce the closure of the border immediately." Immediately! Otherwise it's too late!! Several elderly experts were also excited. shouted for Fang Tianshu to immediately activate the highest level of emergency response.

Fang Tianshu was dumbfounded. Even when ** broke out, he didn't see these old experts so excited. He comforted: "Dean Lin, old man Qian. Don't get excited and break your body. Is there anyone who can sue me. Why is this infectious disease so scary? Even if your assumptions were true, there would only be single-digit infected. There's no need to overreact, right? ”

"What do you know about a young boy!" The white-haired old man who was called Old Man Qian by Fang Tianshu slapped the table. "Immediately seal off the borders. Activate the emergency plan. Otherwise, the fortunes of China will come to an end! ”

Fang Tianshu knew that if he didn't do something, these old men would go crazy. He shook his head: "According to your assumptions, it is useless to seal the border now. The explorer arrived in Southeast Asia five or six hours before he died. He'd been ...... before. In our Huaxia. ”

Several old men instantly slumped into their seats when they heard the news. Fang Tianshu was also nervous by these people. He asked loudly into the phone, "Ye Tao, I order you to tell me in the most simple and easy-to-understand language about the potential danger of this infectious disease. ”

"Three to five carriers of the virus. Normally, it's not much. But three to five carriers of the virus are surrounded by hundreds, if not thousands, of high-risk people. Most critically, the cause of death from this virus is unknown. Post-mortem autopsies have not been able to reveal the cause of death. Not to mention the timely detection of isolation. It may be that Minister Fang has dealt with some more routine infectious diseases. There are traces of these infectious disease tests. So it's relatively easy to prevent and control. But in the face of this unknown contagion, we are as powerless as the inhabitants of the Middle Ages. Think about how many people were killed by the Black Death in the 14th century, when transportation was very backward. Almost half of the population at that time! ”

Fang Tianshu listened to Ye Tao's words, and then thought about the population flow in the world today, and his expression was petrified. He finally knew why the old experts were so excited. But Fang Tianshu still retained a trace of sanity. "Your assumptions are based on a third case of infection. I remember Ye Tao, you mentioned that the chance of surviving the third case of infection is very small. ”

Ye Tao gave an affirmative answer. "Definitely. A perfect plague capable of exterminating humanity requires many conditions to be met at once. This unknown virus satisfies several stripes that are already very rare. In terms of probability, the odds of him being highly contagious are very low. I don't take drastic measures. If, as we say, the plague of the century strikes, these measures are largely futile. Instead of announcing it and causing unnecessary panic, it is better to sit down together and pray for the future of humanity. ”

"Well, I think so too. This is the meeting for the time being. Let's take a break. There will be a report from a higher level of leadership in a moment. Fang Tianshu came to a hidden place with his mobile phone. Ye Tao. I want you to sue me. What can we do in the face of this pandemic? ”

"Pray, pray that this virus is not reliably contagious. Even if you are unfortunate enough to be contagious, you must have a weakness that you can overcome. Otherwise......" Fang Tianshu smiled bitterly. "Pray? I'm a party member. Marxists don't believe in ghosts and gods. You even made me pray? ”

"Frankly, there's very little we can do other than pray that God doesn't want to exterminate humanity right now."

"Thank you for your confession. We'll get back to you if there's an update. ”

Ye Tao hung up the phone, only to find that Caterina and Wei Ping were staring at him with wide eyes. Ye Tao tried to squeeze out a little smile. "Why are you looking at me like that? Didn't I just say it all. The chances of a perfect virus being in existence are too low. If the perfect virus really exists, it is that God is going to destroy humanity. In that case, let's just wait for death. ”

Wei Ping's smile was a little ugly. "I didn't find you having some black humor before." Katerina also tries to keep herself from thinking about the worst-case scenario. She teased: "I didn't expect Ye Tao that you also have times when you pin your hopes on God." Shouldn't I be happy about that? ”

Ye Tao was dumbfounded. It wasn't until the irresistible crisis came that Ye Tao realized that he was not God. "Let's pray together that no third infected person will be found. Otherwise, we will be forced to fight a battle that we must lose. Because then our enemy was the God who wanted to destroy us! ”

Caterina and Wei Ping looked at each other and sighed slightly. Ye Tao clenched his fists and began to pray: "Don't have a third infected person." Don't get a third infected. As soon as Ye Tao's voice fell, a piece of news was urgently inserted on the TV: the third infected person was found in Zhuzhou, Huaxia......

(l~1`x*>+``+