Ye Tao put down the work at hand and asked: "The epidemic has covered half of China. It will affect Suzhou and Hangzhou in two days at most. Are you going to leave at this time? Wei Ping's eyes blinked. Her face was dazed. The expression on his face seems to say, "You shouldn't be confused." ”

Caterina also cast a puzzled look. "Ye, during this time, the epidemic has been controlled in China. On the contrary, the epidemic situation in Southeast Asia is not optimistic. I know you're a radical nationalist. But should you focus some energy on case studies in Southeast Asia? ”

"'Radical nationalists'? Sounds like a compliment to me. ”

Caterina was very helpless. She cast a pleading look at Wei Ping. I hope Wei Ping can help persuade Ye Tao. The long-legged beauty thought about it and said, "Ye Tao, what Dr. Carter said is right. Evidence from all sides suggests that the epidemic will not spread widely in China. I think you can shift your focus abroad. ”

Ye Tao shook his head. "The combined population of Southeast Asia is not as large as the two provinces of China. And there are many islands. There are natural advantages in fighting large-scale epidemics. It is densely populated and lacks geographical isolation. Once the epidemic breaks out in China, the whole world will inevitably be affected. I know you must think I'm confused. But my focus on domestic cases is really global prevention and control. ”

Wei Ping was stunned when she heard this. But she soon discovered the flaws in Ye Tao's words: "The consequences of Yan zhòng you mentioned are all based on the fact that the epidemic will break out on a large scale in China. But now the epidemic is only sporadically distributed in Zhuzhou and nearby provinces and cities. In total, there are only a dozen or so cases. Less than one percent of deaths in Southeast Asia! ”

Along with Wei Ping, several experienced nurses also agreed. Only Luo Li looked at Ye Tao with admiration on her face. It is estimated that Ye Tao said that the earth is square, and she will not question it.

Ye Tao saw that it was not a way to go on like this. He found a map of China. Ye Tao found Zhuzhou on it. All detected cases were then labelled sequentially against the health authorities' notifications. After all the labels were marked, Ye Tao asked a few people, "Have you found a problem?" ”

Everyone's eyes widened.

Ye Tao sighed helplessly. "You are all experienced doctors. Didn't you really find a problem? ”

Caterina stared at the map in silence. Something suddenly occurred to her. The blonde doctor finds a map of Southeast Asia. Comparing the spread of the epidemic in the two places, Katerina woke up at dusk. "I see what you mean!"

Ye Tao gave a thumbs up to Katarina. "He is a popular candidate for the next European Academic Council. It was seen so quickly. Director Wei, what about you? Ye Tao looked at Wei Ping with expectant eyes. Wei Ping's call helpless. She's just a general doctor. When it comes to experience, she won't be much richer than the few middle-aged nurses behind her. Wei Ping didn't bother to guess. "I'm not in the mood to play a guessing game with you."

Ye Tao was not in a hurry to break it, but drew many circles, large and small, with Zhuzhou as the center of the circle. Luo Li, who had done her homework, quickly pointed out: "This is the epidemic transmission model of the disease control expert system. These circles are the extent of the spread of the epidemic expected by disease control experts. ”

Wei Ping looked at the circles drawn by Ye Tao and then at the cases that had been discovered, and suddenly woke up. "The epidemic has been spreading according to the original model!" Ye Tao snapped his fingers. It's time to find out. "When the epidemic was first discovered, disease control experts developed a prediction model. These models predict that the epidemic will sweep across China within two weeks. It is based on this model that the state urgently raises the level of national prevention and control. However, the epidemic did not cause widespread casualties as the model predicted. Therefore, this model is widely criticized. But ......"

Wei Ping leaned on the table and sat down. She needs to calm down. At this point, everyone understood Ye Tao's worries. Katerina asked, "Do you think the outbreak has been spreading according to the original model?" It's just that the conditions for the outbreak are not available. The virus is incubated. Hence the present of a smaller danger hài? ”

Ye Tao nodded. "Based on the scope of the epidemic, I am 100% sure that the virus has swept half of China. It's just in the latent state. Models made by disease control experts estimate that 50,000 people have been infected nationwide so far. The reality is: there are now at least 50,000 virus carriers in China! ”

"And because these carriers of the virus go undetected, there will be much wider transmission. Soon this model will fail. Because the number of infected people will be much faster than this model. After Luo Li finished speaking, she was also frightened by herself. Her small mouth opens in an "O" shape.

The medical staff who had just offered to leave the room were speechless in shock. Wei Ping asked, "How sure are you?" Ye Tao stared at the limited materials he had at hand with a stern face. If you ask me how sure I am about the spread of the virus, my answer is 100 percent. But if you want to ask how sure is the outbreak of the epidemic in China. I can only sue you for five or five open. There is a half-chance that the virus will sweep through China. But because a certain condition is not met, it will never erupt. The other half is ......"

Everyone knew what Ye Tao didn't finish. Wei Ping looked at several of her colleagues. Everyone nodded tacitly, returned to their respective positions, and continued to sort out the latest case reports. The epidemic has been spreading according to the model proposed by disease control experts. The only difference is that cases of onset are extremely rare. Initially, less than 1 percent of people with the virus will develop the disease. Ye Tao devoted all his energy to the common denominator of these cases. He worked without sleep or food. The others were limited in what they could do other than help collect the number of jù.

Two weeks after the outbreak began, the epidemic in Southeast Asia began to be brought under control. Just like Ye Tao said. Southeast Asia is home to many islands and has a natural advantage in the fight against the pandemic. Despite this, the unprecedented outbreak has caused more than 10,000 casualties in Southeast Asia. It was also partially detected in Europe and the Americas later in the pandemic. The whole world sweated. But the epidemic did not spread widely in these few places.

Governments around the world are relieved. Soon, well-known experts pointed out that the outbreak lacked transmissibility outside of Southeast Asia. Ye Tao scoffed at such a statement. "Lack of transmissibility? At least 10 million people around the world are now living with the virus! ”

It was the first time Wei Ping had heard Ye Tao say this number directly. She walked over and patted Ye Tao's shoulder and comforted, "Don't scare yourself." It's just your guess. Even if the epidemic does break out one day, you have to recharge your energy now. You haven't gone out to eat in days. Autumn has arrived. The weather is getting cooler. Beware of colds when eating cold things every day. ”

Ye Tao had already stood up. Hearing Wei Ping's words, his whole body froze in place. After a while, Ye Tao said excitedly: "I know the trigger conditions of the virus!" Oops, the National Day has passed. Wei Ping, will there be cold air in the next few days? ”

(l~1`x*>+``+