Chapter 2014 Republic Countermeasures
In addition to developing the economy, the second major issue facing Jin Xiaosan is the issue of reform.
Reform? How to change? Change what? Did the polity and economic model continue his father's path? The key to Jin Xiaosan's face is that the situation in North Korea has reached the point where it cannot be changed, and the current North Korea is like sitting on a crater that may erupt violently at any time, and now, this volcano erupts one day a night, and it is accumulating some energy for future eruptions, and the later the eruption, the greater the energy that the volcano will carry out in the future
"Jin Xiaosan must also be able to understand that if the economic and political situation in North Korea continues like this, once this volcano containing huge energy really erupts, what awaits them Jin family is definitely not a good result, for Jin Xiaosan, reform is imperative" When he said this, Brother Hu's mood seemed very relaxed, obviously, although the current international pressure on the republic is not small, the current situation is still very favorable to the republic.
"In the second half of last year, a number of senior officials of the North Korean government, including the Prime Minister of the Government Council, visited us many times, and judging from their itinerary to visit mainly economically developed regions such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Guangdong, the DPRK has a tendency to carry out reforms, or at least have a tendency to carry out economic reforms."
"This is a crucial step, because the direction of the North Korean people's reform and the results of the reform will determine the direction of the current North Korean regime, the stability of the DPRK and the Korean Peninsula, and, of course, the stability of the northeast. Obviously, after weighing the pros and cons of all aspects, the North Korean side is inclined to learn from the experience of reform and learn from Vaughn, a socialist country like them, and draw lessons from reform and opening up. ”
"In addition, there is another issue that needs our attention is the struggle for power within the Jin family, especially the elder brother Jin Xiaoer of Jin Xiaosan, based on some of the information and information we have now, we have reason to believe that some Western countries should stand behind Jin Xiaoer to support him."
The reason why Brother Hu focused on Jin Xiaoer instead of Kim Boss is naturally for a reason, Kim Xiaosan's eldest brother Kim Jong-nam has been staying in Macau, and there should be no idea of taking power, but the deputy governor Kim Jong-chol has a certain degree of uncertainty, especially some time ago, Kim Xiaoer has made several statements against the continuation of North Korea's rights by the Kim family.
Obviously, from the perspective of normal logic, opposing the right of the Kim family to continue to take charge of North Korea is opposing Kim Xiaoer himself, so Jin Xiaoer's remarks can easily make people doubt his value-added tendency, especially after considering that Jin Xiaoer once studied in Switzerland and has a considerable affection for Western society, the Republic needs to be wary of Kim Xiaoer, the "outlier" of the Kim family.
"Speaking of which, after realizing that his body is no longer good, it is estimated that the most worrying problem for the fat man in recent years is how to create a condition that can be successfully replaced by his successor after his death," Speaking of this, Brother Hu couldn't help but smile, obviously Brother Hu was in a good mood at the moment, "But Lao Jin obviously didn't expect that he would hang up so suddenly, if you give Lao Jin another two years, even if it's a year, I'm afraid today's situation won't be so complicated......"
Speaking of this, Brother Hu, who was in a good mood, couldn't help but shake his head and purse his lips and smile, and everyone around him was also smiling: This old Jin is really not the right time to die, so that Jin Xiaosan, who is about to take over, has so many difficulties in vain, but for our republic, Jin Xiaosan's difficulties are not our opportunities? As long as we seize the opportunity, we will be able to exert unprecedented influence over North Korea
Of course, there are difficulties, but at least the sudden death of Kim Fat Man has been highly concerned by the five countries with the greatest interests in North Korea, including the Republic, South Korea, Japan, the United States, and Russia, and have taken urgent measures. There is no doubt that the death of the fat man has brought a trace of joy to the United States, South Korea, Japan and other countries, at least the hanging up of the fat man has made them see the hope of changing the political map and sphere of influence of the Korean Peninsula, although this hope still does not seem too big at the moment, but compared with North Korea, which was run by the fat man and was impervious to needles, for the United States, South Korea, and Japan, the situation in North Korea is now the best time in more than half a century. …,
"I agree with the general secretary's point of view," after Brother Hu finished his point of view and motioned for the people below to continue, Zeng Qingzheng, who was the nominal No. 5 person and the actual No. 2 person, unceremoniously took Brother Hu's words and spoke, "As far as the Korean Peninsula is concerned, maintaining the status quo is our most urgent need, and we also see the hope of further wooing Kim Xiaosan and bringing the whole of North Korea closer to us. ”
"At the same time, we should also be aware of the seriousness of this matter, once we change the color of North Korea or reunify the peninsula with South Korea, it will be a nail in the coffin of the United States at the eastern gate of our country, and at the same time, in the future, at least the phased Sino-Russian cooperation to build a dam, which will pose a real threat to our East China Sea, including the Liaodong Peninsula and the Bohai Sea export. Therefore, we should intervene as soon as possible to take the lead in the situation on the peninsula, and we must not allow the polar bear of the United States and Russia to become the dominant force on the entire Korean Peninsula. ”
Hearing Zeng Qingzheng's words, everyone nodded for a while.
Yes, at the entire level where everyone is, everyone can realize that the death of the fat man and the coming to power of Jin Xiaosan this time are not only a huge opportunity for the republic, but also a huge challenge, but considering the overall strength of the republic, especially the strength of the navy, it is already capable of fighting a limited war with the Americans at our doorstep without much repercussions, and this matter seems to be really doable?
"Let me say a little," At this time, Li Yumei, who always only has eyes and ears and no mouth when she has a meeting on weekdays, suddenly spoke, and as soon as she spoke, she immediately attracted everyone's attention: What? Does the Alice Group want to make a statement about its existence at this time?
Thinking of this, everyone was a little dissatisfied: your Zhang family and Alice Group make trouble on weekdays, but at this critical moment related to our country's future geopolitics and international strategic pattern...... It's too ignorant, isn't it? Not a lot of words
It's no wonder that everyone thinks so when they hear Li Yumei speak, who makes it clear to everyone that Li Yumei is the spokesperson for the interests of the Alice Group and the Zhang family at the central level, unless she speaks out her own interests on behalf of the Alice Group and the Zhang family on weekdays, who has seen Comrade Li Yumei express any views at the meeting in their spare time?
Brother Hu, Chairman of the National People's Congress, Prime Minister, Chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), and Zeng Qingzheng, the chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, did not see any surprise on their faces, and before that, they already knew that Zhang Lan had "sneakily" visited Park Sung-dong, the No. 2 person in the North Korean military, on the first day of the North Korean delegation, which means that the Alice Group and the Zhang family must have some ideas on the North Korean matter, and it is really good that they can take the initiative to express their thoughts at this time......
It doesn't matter that the Jang family and the Alice Group have their own interests in the matter of the new North Korean monarch coming to power, what everyone is worried about is that the Jang family and the Alice Group are making small moves in private, and now they are willing to take the initiative to say what they want, which is actually a good thing.
After a short pause, leaving everyone with a buffer time to think, Li Yumei continued, "At this time, we can't ignore the potential threat to us from Jin Xiaosan's uncle Zhang Chengze. ”
What the? Isn't it that the Zhang family and the Alice Group want to appeal for their own interests in this matter? Hearing Li Yumei's words, everyone was stunned at first, and couldn't help but be a little surprised.
But then, with Li Yumei's words, even Brother Hu's face began to be a little solemn: Li Yumei was right, when everyone was discussing before, they discussed the various domestic and foreign problems that Jin Xiaosan needed to face when he came to power, and the various problems that the Republic needed to face if it wanted to support a pro-China North Korea at this time, but Jin Xiaosan's uncle Zhang Chengze was ignored by everyone intentionally or unintentionally.
If there is one sentence to encapsulate Jang Song-thaek, it is that after the death of the North Korean leader, whether his 28-year-old son Kim Jong-un can succeed him smoothly has become the focus of global attention. Jang Song-thaek, Kim Xiaosan's uncle, vice chairman of the National Defense Commission and now the "regent" of North Korea, will play a key role.
At this delicate moment when Kim Xiaosan is about to take over but has not yet finished his duties, he holds heavy power, wears many positions, and serves as vice chairman of the North Korean National Defense Commission, member of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea, member of the Central Military Commission, director of the Administration Department and first vice minister of the Central Guidance Department, can be described as a very popular minister, especially in the matter of Kim Xiaosan's coming to power, has a decisive influence and is one of the decisive figures who can determine whether Kim Xiaosan can succeed smoothly...,
To put it mildly, it is difficult to predict whether Jang Cheng-taek, as the "regent", will be the promoter or opponent of Kim Xiaosan's rise to power
Based on all the existing circumstances, from the analysis of the new work trends of the people around Kim Xiao-san, and the claims of those loyal to the Kim family that "the succession of power in North Korea has been completed," it can be analyzed that the power struggle in North Korea will not escalate, and in addition to the fact that Kim Fat Man has been preparing for the smooth succession of his heir in recent years, it is estimated that the political situation in North Korea will develop in the direction of Kim Jong-un's succession.
However, although Jin Fatzi has made preparations for the heir issue, there is a very fatal problem, that is: the time is too short, especially the sudden death of Jin Fatzi this time, which casts a shadow on Jin Xiaosan's smooth succession. Until Kim Xiao-san stably inherits the supreme power of North Korea, I am afraid that there will still be problems with Kim Xiao-san's smooth ascent to the top, and at least it will be a huge variable.
Kim Xiaosan's uncle, Jang Song-thaek, was promoted to vice chairman of the North Korean National Defense Commission, the highest authority in North Korea, in September last year, confirming his position as the second-in-command, and his wife Kim Kyung-hee, who is Kim Fatzi's sister, was also appointed as a general of the People's Army by Kim Fat-son in October last year. We have reason to believe that the reason why Kim Fat made such an arrangement is that his sister and sister-in-law will play the role of guardian or regent in the process of Kim Xiaosan's succession and assist Kim Jong-un in smoothly taking power. ”
"The reason why Jang Song-taek was able to gain the trust of Kim Fat Man in this way is because he once recommended Kim Jong-un to Kim Fat Man when Kim Fat Man asked who was his suitable successor."
"But we must also see that Jang Song-thaek is not only in charge of North Korea's public security affairs, but also has the power to influence national defense decisions, and his power extends to various fields such as party affairs, government, military, and economy, especially since many of his cronies also occupy important positions in the central government, and it is still unknown whether this powerful group will willingly surrender to Kim Jong-un in power in the future."
"For Kim Jong-un, Jang Song-thaek is both a strong backing to rely on, but he may also be the strongest opponent in the power struggle."
The huge conference room was quiet at the moment, Li Yumei's words were still echoing in the conference room, everyone was almost frowning and thinking about Li Yumei's words, there is no doubt that after Li Yumei's analysis, it can indeed be considered that if Zhang Chengze has no selfish intentions, he is indeed the biggest promoter and help for Jin Xiaosan to come to power.
But the question is, Jang Song-taek, who holds such a lot of power and is now the first person in real power in North Korea, will he willingly support his nephew Kim Xiao-sam to come to power in the face of the temptation of power?
U.S. intelligence has put forward three hypotheses about changes in North Korea after Kim Jong-il's death, one of which is that there may be a collective leadership system involving the Kim Jong-il family, the Workers' Party, and the Korean People's Army, with Jang Song-thaek at the core. Intelligence also pointed out that Jang Song-thaek's two elder brothers, Jang Sung-woo and Jang Sung-gil, were both high-ranking generals in the army. Everyone asked themselves, if they put themselves in Jang Chengze's current position, I am afraid it will be difficult to make the decision to push Jin Xiaosan to power
"For us, the most tricky thing is that during the period of the fat man, the fat man trusted Jang Song-taek very much, and even said something like 'the most loyal person to my policy is Jang Song-taek'," Li Yumei continued, Speaking of this, Li Yumei paused slightly, "There is a phenomenon that we need to be vigilant against, Jang Song-taek was accused of forming a party for personal gain in 2005 and lost power, and suddenly came back two years later, and has been on the rise ever since." According to intelligence, when Kim Fat fell ill last year due to a sudden myocardial infarction, Jang Song-taek actually ruled by proxy. ”
On the contrary, Jin Xiaosan's aunt, 65-year-old Kim Kyung-hee, although she also holds important positions in the party, government and military fields, as the minister of light industry, and a member of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party, but because her political ambitions are not big, she is actually more like a noble lady who enjoys life, so we don't need to be too wary of her...... General Secretary, ladies and gentlemen, I have said all that I have to say. ”
Brother Hu was silent for a moment, and finally made his own decision, "In this way, today's meeting will be held here first, and after the meeting is dismissed for a while, everyone will discuss the content of today's meeting, and when the meeting is held in the afternoon, everyone will come up with their own opinions on how to deal with this matter." ”…,
It's time for these bigwigs who came to the meeting to hand in their homework.
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At 7 o'clock in the afternoon, after the meeting had been extended several times, the Republic finally reached a few opinions on the change of political situation in North Korea:
First, as long as Kim Jong Un can assure us that he will guarantee the interests and rights of our country after he takes office, we should clearly support it, and the Republic will invite Kim Jong Un to visit our country as soon as possible, or send a high-level delegation to visit the DPRK, so as to show the Republic's support for the Kim Ko-sam regime in such a practical manner.
Although the DPRK side does not allow foreign personnel to come to the DPRK to pay their respects during Kim Chong-il's condolences, Japan should consult with the DPRK side and send a special envoy to make sure that our special envoy is present at the funeral and = memorial service of Kim Fat Tzu in Pyongyang. To demonstrate to the world the special influence of our country in the DPRK.
Second, it is important to understand Kim Jong-un's political and strategic direction next year as soon as possible. Help North Korea carry out economic reforms in order to steer its economic and political direction in order to prevent the occurrence of color **.
3. Strengthen our military presence on the border between China and North Korea and at the same time strengthen the Navy's military readiness operations in the East China Sea and along the coast of China and North Korea, and show our attitude on this matter to those who have the power to change the political situation in North Korea by means of Jang Song-thaek and others.
Fourth, we should actively communicate with the ROK and Japan, especially the ROK, and in any case, curb the South Korean side's ambition to use this incident to promote the reunification of the North and the South, and temporarily shelve all actions. During this period, we will strictly guard against military exercises and other provocative acts by the United States and the above two countries.
5. Actively communicate with the leadership in North Korea, control the influential personnel around Kim Jong-un, and "take care" of Kim Jong-nam and his son, so as to facilitate the "influence of the regime" in the future.
In short, the dilemma at home and abroad has emerged, the food problem, the reform problem, the domestic political turmoil, the crisis of confidence in the military, the influence of openly defected soldiers, the hidden opposition, the general environment in Northeast Asia, the pressure of the United States, South Korea and Japan, the influence of China and Russia, in the matter of Jin Xiaosan's ascension, there are too many problems, but for the republic, this is an excellent opportunity, we must seize the ......,